Category Archives: Uncategorized

Stafford Out Among NFL Injuries, 2 Free NFL Picks

Whew. We avoided getting boned on Wyoming UNDER. Nobody has dominated any sport the way Joe Duffy has the NFL for decades. Ten NFL winners led by Wise Guy. Wise Guy plays from Joe Duffy are in near unanimity considered the strongest bet in sports wagering by bookmakers, pro gamblers, oddsmakers, and fellow handicappers alike.  Three NBA winners, two are Wise Guys including another “named” play, the NBA Interconference Total of the Month.  Get the picks now

NFL injuries:

  • Matt Stafford out for Detroit
    • Athletic journeyman Jeff Driskell starts 
  • Cowboys WR Amari Cooper is probable 
  • Jets RB Le’Veon Bell is probable 
  • Colts QB Jacoby Brissett is out

Lions at Bears

  • Stafford out as mentioned above 
  • Revenge angle based on each team playing poorly the week before is 68-28 (Detroit)
  • Consecutive road games, team off a loss is 327-237-11 (Detroit)
  • Detroit gets 8.1 yards per pass attempt teams normally accumulating 7.4 but allow 7.4 to 7.2
  • With Trubisky, Bears can’t exploit that 

The pick: Detroit +3.5

Bills at Browns

  • When a team is favorite despite having at least four fewer wins than opponent and not getting at least 2.5 points, they are 58-23 ats (Cleveland)
  • Anti-splits angle about fading road teams who have been better on road than home team has been at home are 140-101-10 (Cleveland)
  • Bad ats team to a good one is 217-137-14 
  • RB Kareem Hunt makes his debut for Cleveland and expected to play a big role 
  • Bills “trendy dog” getting 80 percent of bets

The pick: Cleveland -2.5

NFL, College Basketball, NBA Sharp Betting For November 10

It’s not quite the blinding and robotic favorites that the public is loving this week. Oh, yeah road favorites are still the overwhelming consensus, but they also are going with some away dogs too. Here is your sharp report:

NFL

Biggest public consensus in term of percentage of bets: Kansas City, LA Rams, Baltimore, Arizona, Miami

Most lopsided bets in term of percentage of money and biggest sportsbook liabilities: LA Rams, Kansa City, Chicago 

Sharp versus square metrics AKA pros versus Joes: Indianapolis, Chicago

Top expert pick on today’s card is from Joe Duffy. Whew. We avoided getting boned on Wyoming UNDER. Nobody has dominated any sport the way Joe Duffy has the NFL for decades. Ten NFL winners led by Wise Guy. Wise Guy plays from Joe Duffy are in near unanimity considered the strongest bet in sports wagering by bookmakers, pro gamblers, oddsmakers, and fellow handicappers alike.  Three NBA winners, two are Wise Guys including another “named” play, the NBA Interconference Total of the Month.  Get the picks now

Now to NBA where the road favorites where the road favorites are popular.  

Biggest public consensus in term of percentage of bets: Denver, Milwaukee

Most lopsided bets in term of percentage of money and biggest sportsbook liabilities: New York Knicks, Phoenix, Orlando 

Sharp versus square metrics AKA pros versus Joes: New York Knicks

Biggest line moves with opening odds followed by current odds: Orlando -1.5 to -3.5

To college basketball, including added rotation games at Bet Now   

Biggest public consensus in term of percentage of bets: Central Michigan, Missouri State

Most lopsided bets in term of percentage of money and biggest sportsbook liabilities: Missouri State

Sharp versus square metrics AKA pros versus Joes: none

Biggest line moves with opening odds followed by current odds: Missouri State -14.5 to -17.5

Alert! Alert! Alert! MyBookie is now a 50 percent sign-up bonus. They always pay on time.  

Winning Free Picks College Football, College Basketball Friday

Joe Duffy is killing it big time! Off a 6-0 sweep, Boston as TNT Game of the Month makes us 42-17 with named plays. I am 12-4 NBA. Winning for you since the 1980s scorephones, college football total up for Friday, five NBA led by Wise Guy, two college basketballGet the picks now

UCF at Tulsa

UCF -17 with o/u 69.5

  • UCF dropped 5-of-6 ats and style points motivation is long gone
    • Won’t be highest ranked non-Power 5
  • Tulsa 2-7 SU but 3-2 last five
  • Tulsa lost to SMU and Memphis by combined 7
    • Also lost to Michigan State, Oklahoma State, and Cincinnati 
  • UCF with good OL and four RB can keep ball on the ground

The pick: TULSA +17

Washington at Oregon St

Washington -10 with o/u 65

  • Fade home underdogs off win in which they had 550 or more total yards is 87-57 for 60 percent (Washington)
  • Washington’s top two tacklers in secondary 
  • Home teams with two or fewer turnovers in game 8 or higher a go-against 58-47 (Washington)
  • Oregon State overpowered by Utah’s physicality and Washington plays physical 
  • Only one WR has gotten over 100 yards receiving to Washington and for OSU to have chance Isaiah Hodgins has to have big game
  • OSU needs two wins in final four to be bowl eligible, but more about pressure 
  • OSU truly is fired up about going to a bowl possibly 
  • Oregon State not sneaking up on teams

The pick: WASHINGTON -10

College Basketball

Baylor vs. Washington

Baylor -5.5

  • Baylor with game under belt, Washington debut
  • No big advantage despite adage biggest improvement from game 1 to 2
  • Huskies lost four seniors plus Jaylen Nowell left early
  • 5 games accounted for 80 percent of offense 
  • Baylor with nine players with 26 or more games experience 

The pick: BAYLOR 

Arizona St vs. Colorado

Colorado -5

Game played in Shanghai China

  • Colorado most back from 22-13 team
  • Buffs picked second in Pac-12
  • Remy Martin vs. McKinley Wright battle at point guard
  • Colorado Wright last season played with a hurt left shoulder, yet still averaged 13 points, 4.9 rebounds and 4.8 assists. He had offseason surgery but enters the season completely healthy
  • Romello Wright questionable for ASU
    • Averaging 9.9 points per game and 6.4 rebounds
  • ASU lost the Pac-12’s top rebounder, Zylan Cheatham (10.3 rpg)
  • ASU with improved Rob Edwards following minor offseason surgery, averaged 11.1 ppg

The pick: ASU +5

#1 Sports Handicapper in History Continues to Destroy Bookmakers

What can advanced analytics and proprietary handicapping do for you? How about 6-0! Off a 6-0 sweep, Boston as TNT Game of the Month makes us 42-17 with named plays. I am 12-4 NBA. Winning for you since the 1980s scorephones, college football total up for Friday and a lot more coming.  Get the picks now

Wise Guy plays are your maximum play. Majors are .75 of Wise Guy plays. Game of the Year and Game of the Month plays still involve the same straight betting as above. While we believe all gamblers need only bet our plays we realize some pick and choose selections. Said distinction is for such ala carte players. All units won quoted on systems are based on one unit per bet. 

NFL

Major

LA Chargers-Oakland OVER 48

When a math total has a large enough difference to the posted total, we use the oddsmakers knowledge against them. Because we store each over and under differently in each sport, the over and under angles will have different records, but in reality one could combine them for an overall record.  The over version goes over at a rate of 716-517-25. 

CFB

Major

South Florida-Temple UNDER 50.5

Teams off dominant rushing effort have gone under 453-273-23. 

NBA

Wise Guy

BOSTON -7 Charlotte 

TNT Game of the Month 

Road favorites versus an opponent off a close win is 373-256. However, with several other factors added, it has a subsystem that is 93-38 for 71 percent. 

Major

SAN ANTONIO -4.5 Oklahoma City 

Go against teams on a straight up winning streak against teams on a straight up losing streak under certain circumstances is 489-360-13. 

PORTLAND +6.5 LA Clippers

Rest dynamics generally benefit the home team. However, when the road team is more rested, it nullifies the normal home court advantage and creates an off line to the tune of 242-175-9.

San Antonio-Oklahoma City OVER 214.5

Two cumulative under teams tend to go over 796-605-25. It is even better since 2015.

NFL Week 10 Free Pick Raiders-Chargers Side

A big day for bettors as it’s the Los Angeles Chargers vs. Oakland Raiders, plus UL Lafayette-Coastal Carolina and Temple-South Florida. Grandmaster Sports Handicapper Joe Duffy, CEO of OffshoreInsiders.com has it all for you. 

Chargers at Raiders

  • Teams off consecutive wins as an underdog then posted as road favorites are a go-against of 15-1, 11-5 SU (Go with Raiders
  • Underdog 6-3 SU in Chargers games
  • Better team in short week unless they had substantially more snaps previous week is 80-32 (Chargers)
  • Fading bad defenses off win is 140-85-4 (Chargers)
  • Chargers third road game in four weeks while Oakland playing back-to-back home games 
  • Raiders S Erik Harris is probable with illness but has missed practice 
    • One of four Cal Vulcans in NFL 

The pick: Chargers -1 at MyBookie

Winning College Football Betting Picks For Week 11

Joe Duffy has free winning college football picks for this weekend’s action. Thursday, it is NFL and college football totals. Friday college football total. Saturday, ABC Total of the Year among six college football, three of them Wise Guys. More coming, but lock in now at OffshoreInsiders.com    

Stanford at Colorado

  • Numbers suggest closer than records indicate 
  • When comparing yards per play to what opponents normally allow get
  • Stanford -.4 on offense to Colorado -.1
  • Stanford -.2 defense, Colorado -.5
  • K.J. Costello is back for Stanford
    • Substantially better with him at QB
    • Was most efficient QB in Pac-12 last year
  • Stanford won 3-of-4, while Colorado lost five straight 

The pick: Stanford -3.5

Louisville at Miami

  •  Hassan Hall, the Cardinals leading kick returner and back up running back is questionable 
  • Cards one more win to be bowl eligible 
  • Cards HC Scott Satterfield 19-5 SU in final month of season at App State
  • Cards off bye week, while Miami could have letdown off road wins at Pittsburgh and Florida State
  • Fading home favorites off consecutive wins as road underdog is 31-18 (Louisville)
  • Louisville averages 218.1 rushing yards per game, but the Hurricanes have allowed just three teams to rush for over 100 yards this season
    • 4.9 yards per rush to teams that normally allow 4.3
  • Miami’s defense holds teams to .8 yards per play below normal average 

Pick: Louisville +6.5

Wake Forest at Va Tech

  • VA Tech QB Hendon Hooker missed one-point loss to Notre Dame, questionable 
  • Tech honoring long-time DC Bud Foster who is retiring 
  • WF QB Jamie Newman leads conference at 337.7 yards of total offense
  • WF R Sage Surratt league-high 9 TDs and averages 118.5 ypg
  • Wake over 400 yards in offense 10 straight games, going back to last year
  • Despite averaging 320 passing yards per game, Wake under 5-1 last six
  • Only Wake’s third road game
  • AF of two or more playing just third or fewer road game in game 9 or later are 98-77-2 for 56 percent

The pick: Wake Forest -2.5

Free pick and critical intel sponsored by Bovada sportsbook. Among the advantages

  • For horse racing, they have 94 tracks to bet on
  • Been paying all clients on-time since 2011
  • Over 4 billion slot spins since their inception
  • Blackjack tables approaching 2 million rounds
  • Post sports lines before most and carry what many have off the board

All this and more at Bovada Other sportsbooks we love MYBookie | Intertops |Betonline SportsBetting 

Check out Huge Line Swings Super Bowl, NFL MVP, ROY

My, oh my, how things change. 

Remember when the Browns were one of the Super Bowl favorites? Or how about when the 49ers had more than double the title odds of the Bears?

The NFL is one of the most unpredictable leagues on the planet, which makes it so great, and even the oddsmakers have a tough time prognosticating what might transpire on any given Sunday, or any given season. 

To help you highlight some of the changes from the start of the season through the midway point now, we’ve put together odds comparison tables for the: 

– Super Bowl

– Conferences

– Divisions

– MVP

– ROY

All odds are courtesy of SportsBetting

Current odds: 

Super Bowl  
 PreseasonAfter Week 9
Patriots7-13-1
Chiefs8-19-1
Saints8-15-1
Bears12-1100-1
Rams12-120-1
Eagles12-116-1
Chargers14-150-1
Browns16-1150-1
Packers16-112-1
Texans16-125-1
Steelers16-140-1
Cowboys22-114-1
Jaguars25-1100-1
Vikings25-125-1
Seahawks25-116-1
Falcons28-1500-1
49ers28-16-1
Ravens33-110-1
Panthers33-140-1
Colts50-140-1
Raiders50-1100-1
Titans50-1150-1
Bills66-133-1
Broncos66-1100-1
Jets66-15000-1
Lions80-1150-1
Giants80-11000-1
Buccaneers80-15000-1
Cardinals100-1250-1
Bengals150-110000-1
Dolphins150-110000-1
Redskins150-125000-1
AFC  
 PreseasonAfter Week 9
Patriots7-24-5
Chiefs4-15-1
Chargers7-125-1
Browns8-180-1
Texans8-112-1
Steelers8-120-1
Jaguars12-150-1
Ravens16-16-1
Colts25-120-1
Raiders25-150-1
Titans25-180-1
Bills33-116-1
Broncos33-150-1
Jets33-12500-1
Bengals80-15000-1
Dolphins80-15000-1
   
NFC  
 PreseasonAfter Week 9
Saints9-25-2
Rams6-110-1
Eagles6-18-1
Bears7-150-1
Packers8-17-1
Cowboys10-18-1
Vikings12-114-1
Seahawks12-19-1
Falcons14-1250-1
49ers14-13-1
Panthers20-120-1
Giants33-1500-1
Lions40-180-1
Buccaneers40-1250-1
Cardinals50-1150-1
Redskins80-110000-1
AFC EastPreseasonAfter Week 9
Patriots-400-1500
Jets+550+100000
Bills+800+800
Dolphins+2000+500000
   
AFC NorthPreseasonAfter Week 9
Steelers+125+350
Browns+165+2500
Ravens+325-500
Bengals+1600+500000
   
AFC SouthPreseasonAfter Week 9
Texans+165-125
Jaguars +210+700
Titans +350+1000
Colts+400+200
   
AFC WestPreseasonAfter Week 9
Chiefs-160-450
Chargers +175+650
Broncos +1000+1600
Raiders+1600+1000
   
NFC EastPreseasonAfter Week 9
Eagles-150+105
Cowboys +200-125
Giants +1000+10000
Redskins+1000+100000
   
NFC NorthPreseasonAfter Week 9
Bears +190+5000
Packers +190-225
Vikings +225+200
Lions +800+1400
   
NFC SouthPreseasonAfter Week 9
Saints -150-1250
Falcons +350+500000
Panthers +450+700
Bucs +900+5000
   
NFC WestPreseasonAfter Week 9
Rams -150+700
Seahawks +250+300
49ers +450-275
Cardinals +1600+50000
MVP   
 PreseasonAfter Week 9
Patriots Mahomes4-112-1
Aaron Rodgers13-26-1
Drew Brees8-125-1
Carson Wentz8-1N/A
Baker Mayfield10-1N/A
Tom Brady12-120-1
Russell Wilson16-12-1
Deshaun Watson20-17-2
Philip Rivers20-1N/A
Matt Ryan26-1N/A
Jimmy Garoppolo30-116-1
Lamar Jackson30-17-2
Kirk Cousins40-133-1
Christian McCaffrey50-16-1
Dak Prescott50-133-1
ROY  
 PreseasonAfter Week 9
Josh Jacobs7-14-5
Kyler Murray3-23-2
Gardner MinshewN/A9-1
Marquise Brown25-120-1
Daniel Jones33-125-1
Terry McLaurinN/A33-1

SportsBetting pays on time and that is great if you are client of OffshoreInsiders.com because they win all the time. 

Cassius Winston Likely Player of the Year, But How About First Pick in NBA Draft

Zion Williamson is gone from the collegiate ranks, but NBA scouts are drooling over another big man with freakish talent. 

James Wiseman is a 7-foot-1, 240-pound freshman for the Memphis Tigers, and SportsBetting has made him the odds-on favorite to be selected No. 1 overall at the 2020 NBA Draft.

LaMelo Ball, who will not play in the NCAA ranks this season, is fourth on the draft odds board at 6/1. 

No. 1 pick in 2020 NBA Draft

James Wiseman – 4/5

Anthony Edwards – 5/2

Cole Anthony – 5/1

LaMelo Ball – 6/1

Isaiah Stewart – 11/1

Theo Maledon – 11/1

Current odds (subject to change): 

Additionally, the site has set odds for the AP National Player of the Year. Michigian’s State’s Cassius Winston has the lowest odds while every other candidate is higher than 5/1.

NPOY Odds

Cassius Winston – 3/2 

Jordan Nwora – 11/2 

Cole Anthony – 6/1 

James Wiseman – 6/1 

Markus Howard – 8/1 

Myles Powell – 8/1 

Devon Dotson – 9/1 

Tre Jones – 9/1 

Kerry Blackshear Jr. – 10/1 

Sam Merrill – 18/1

OffshoreInsiders.com is always home to your handicappers of the year. 

NBA and Opening Night College Basketball Sharp Intel, College Football Preview

It’s opening day of college basketball, a big night of college football, and NBA. 

Here is what sharp bettors must know for today in NBA. No surprise, the road chalk rules. 

Biggest public consensus in term of percentage of bets: LA Lakers, Boston, San Antonio

Most lopsided bets in term of percentage of money and biggest sportsbook liabilities: LA Lakers, Indiana

Sharp versus square metrics AKA pros versus Joes: Indiana 

Biggest line moves with opening odds followed by current odds: San Antonio opened -3 now -5.5. 

We have big college football action tonight and Grandmaster Joe Duffy breaks it down.

Top expert pick on today’s card is from We sweep Monday, going 3-0 in NFL and NBA combined! I am 6-2 NBA and 40-16 with named plays. Tuesday Night College Football Total of the Year among three Tuesday college football winners. Let’s keep dribbling your BM with three NBA winners. That is 6-0 in all! Oh included is our famed “anti-splits” angle that has turned sports handicapping upside down, inside out.  Get the picks now

Now to college basketball. 

Biggest public consensus in term of percentage of bets: Seton Hall, Furman

Most lopsided bets in term of percentage of money and biggest sportsbook liabilities: Seton Hall

Sharp versus square metrics AKA pros versus Joes: Cal State Northridge, USC 

Biggest line moves with opening odds followed by current odds: Penn State opened -31.5 now -36

Alert! Alert! Alert! MyBookie is now a 100% bonus up to $1000. This is brought to you by DuffyGifts.com the place to go for gifts for Christmas and Hanukah.

Critical College Basketball Betting Intel, Inside Info From Sportsbooks Revealed

Kentucky and Michigan State were co-favorites to take home this season’s National Championship, but a frontrunner emerged over the weekend.

SportsBetting had both teams listed with 8/1 title odds on Friday, but updated numbers from Monday show the Spartans have moved to the top of the board at 8/1 (full list of teams below). 

However, according to the book, Michigan State is not one of its major liabilities going into the season. Here are the teams SportsBetting.ag will be rooting against:

Top 5 Liabilities (sportsbook stands to lose the most if national champion) 

1. Florida

2. Memphis

3. Maryland

4. Kansas

5. Louisville

There has been some movement in the conference odds as well. Here are notable changes (since Sept. 15), which indicates which team bettors are wagering on:

(Conference odds from Sept. 15 are listed first, current odds are last)

ACC

Clemson 25/1 to 16/1

Notre Dave 50/1 to 25/1

Big 12

Kansas 3/1 to 2/1

Baylor 7/1 to 4/1

Big Ten

Purdue 10/1 to 6/1

Pac-12

Colorado 12/1 to 7/1

SEC

Kentucky 3/1 to 2/1

Current conference odds: 

Finally, the oddsmakers have projected regular season victory totals for almost 40 teams. Gonzaga is expected to have the most wins while Duke and Michigan State are second. 

TeamWin Total
Arizona21.5
Auburn21.5
Baylor21.5
Butler15.5
Creighton21.5
Drexel13.5
Duke25.5
Florida23.5
Florida State20.5
Gonzaga27.5
Indiana18.5
Iowa15.5
Iowa State19.5
Kansas23.5
Kentucky24.5
La Salle14.5
Louisville22.5
Maryland23.5
Memphis24.5
Michigan State25.5
Michigan 19.5
Nebraska16.5
North Carolina24.5
Ohio State22.5
Oregon21.5
Penn State17.5
Penn 17.5
Pittsburgh16.5
Purdue20.5
St. John’s13.5
Saint Joseph’s12.5
Syracuse18.5
Temple16.5
Tennessee20.5
Texas18.5
Texas Tech22.5
Villanova24.5
Virginia23.5
West Virginia19.5

Current odds: 

National Championship
Michigan State6-1
Kentucky8-1
Duke10-1
Kansas14-1
Memphis14-1
Louisville14-1
Virginia16-1
North Carolina16-1
Florida16-1
Villanova20-1
Gonzaga20-1
Texas Tech25-1
Maryland28-1
Oregon28-1
Michigan33-1
Arizona33-1
Auburn33-1
Ohio State33-1
Tennessee40-1
Florida State40-1
Washington40-1
Mississippi State50-1
Texas50-1
Purdue50-1
Marquette50-1
Syracuse50-1
Seton Hall50-1
Xavier50-1
Baylor50-1
LSU66-1
Iowa66-1
Houston66-1
Cincinnati66-1
Alabama66-1
Wisconsin80-1
Creighton80-1
Mississippi80-1
UCLA100-1
USC100-1
Colorado100-1
Arizona State100-1
Georgia100-1
Indiana100-1
Connecticut100-1
Notre Dame100-1
Arkansas150-1

SportsBetting is the place to bet and OffshoreInsiders.com is the place to get info to beat the books.