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March Madness 2011 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament Odds, Picks, Predictions Schedule

As soon as the Selection Sunday committee announces the matchup for the 2011 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament, the staff of sports handicapping site OffshoreInsiders.com will go into full work mode.

Podcasts, YouTube videos, and articles—game previews and more will be the focus. Senior Writer Shea Matthews will scrutinize the dark horses and likely early exits of the four regions.

“This will be instrumental to the March Madness point spread player as well as for filling out those office NCAA Tournament brackets,” says Matthews.

With the innumerable ways to win in sports betting: sides, totals, motivation, travel dynamics, line moves, scheduling, home/road performance, matchups, trends, angles, situations among others, the experienced staff of OffshoreInsiders.com will analyze from nearly every possible angle.

As soon as the opening Vegas line on the 2011 Big Dance schedule is posted, network website JoeDuffy.net will have all the college basketball odds.

Premium picks from handpicked sports services and sports handicappers will also be obtainable.

Proposition odds will also be examined; with Matthews regional previews the anchor of such coverage.

Matt Rivers, Stevie Vincent, Joe Duffy, the Canadian Crew, and the MasterLockLine will all present free picks against the spread as well.

The web version of the “Tailgate Party” will commence shortly after the selection committee announces NCAA Tournament schedule and will continue through the 2011 Final Four, exclusively on the OffshoreInsiders.com Network of handicapping websites.

Warriors at Cavs NBA Odds, Spread, Predictions

OffshoreInsiders.com Senior Sports Handicapper Matt Rivers says your NBA spread pick winner for Tuesday is on the Golden State Warriors (-4) at Cleveland.

Reasoning: Golden State is certainly not a team that can fully be trusted laying points on the road to anybody but the Cavaliers are dreadful, save when they play the Knicks, and in the end tonight the Warriors talent should be too much.

Cleveland lost Antawn Jamison last week and traded away Mo Williams. They brought in an aging veteran in Baron Davis who really doesn’t want to be there and the team and franchise as a whole is just awful right now. Yes Ramon Sessions and J.J. Hickson are alright and the Cavs may not be the worst team in the history of the NBA and are a potential play when getting double digits but today they are way too outclassed in terms of sheer talent to be such a small dog.

The Warriors’ record (27-35) isn’t very good and they have lost six of their past seven games. This team is also probably not going to do much of anything this season but they definitely do have some talent. Monta Ellis can fill it up with the best of them and David Lee, Stephen Curry and Dorell Wright form a foursome that can compete with any, truly.

In that last game in Philadelphia the Warriors competed hard and took that thing to overtime across the country against a 76er team that has been playing some tremendous ball of late. The Warriors are far superior when compared to the horrific Cavs and are well undervalued at this dirt-cheap price, even in Cleveland.

In all honesty Golden State is giving a small handful and without a doubt could potentially win this game by 20. That’s enough of a deal for me.

The pick: Golden State from the real Matt Rivers.

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March Madness 2011 Odds for Conference Tournaments!

JoeDuffy.net will post the 2011 March Madness odds to win the big conferences such as the Big East, ACC, Big 12 and more as soon as they are up.

Already college basketball odds are posted for winning the top “non-BCS” conference tournaments.

Rot To Win Mountain West Post Season Tournament Moneyline
341 Air Force +5000
342 BYU +150
343 Colorado State +1000
344 New Mexico +600
345 San Diego State +120
346 TCU +10000
347 UNLV +175
348 Utah +5000
349 Wyoming +10000
Rot To Win Atlantic 10 Post Season Tournament Moneyline
221 Dayton +3000
222 Duquesne +500
223 George Washington +800
224 La Salle +10000
225 Massachusetts +5000
226 Richmond +250
228 Temple +150
229 Xavier +125

OffshoreInsiders.com as always will have all the best picks.

2011 Academy Awards Odds, Predictions, and Preview

Say what you want about the Golden Globes, the SAG Awards, the People’s Choice Awards, and so on, but there is no bigger award show in the entertainment betting business than the Academy Awards. It’s the crème de la crème. All the more reason to research our potential picks early.

Here are some wagers to consider. And remember – the Oscars don’t always follow the Golden Globe picks. The Hollywood Foreign Press, which makes the Globe selections, has lost a lot of credibility in recent years, so we can’t take its picks as seriously anymore.

BEST PICTURE

The King’s Speech -800

The Social Network +150

True Grit +1000

The Fighter +2000

Inception +2000

Black Swan +2500

The Kids are All Right +4000

Winter’s Bone +4000

127 Hours +5000

Toy Story 3: +5000

First things first: don’t get caught betting on anything, and I mean anything, other than The King’s Speech or The Social Network. This is absolutely a two-horse race. The Social Network took top honors at the Globes but the Globes are known for making more progressive, modern choices. The King’s Speech is more “Oscar-ish” as a period piece and led the field in overall nominations, which is often (though not always) a hint of the eventual winner.

Today’s free pick: The King’s Speech -800

BEST ACTOR

Colin Firth, The King’s Speech -10000

James Franco, 127 Hours +1200

Jesse Eisenberg, The Social Network +1400

Jeff Bridges, True Grit +2000

Javier Bardem, Biutiful +3000

I know you get a ridiculously low return on your investment but there’s little use in avoiding Colin Firth here. He was fantastic in The King’s Speech, he got his heart broken in this category last year by Bridges, and he has won every possible acting award for this role so far. Whatever you do, avoid Bridges at all costs. He won last year for Crazy Heart and he essential lyplayed the same character in True Grit. He has no shot this time.

Today’s free pick: Colin Firth +10000

BEST ACTRESS

Natalie Portman, Black Swan -2200

Annette Bening, The Kids Are All Right +500

Jennifer Lawrence, Winter’s Bone +2000

Nicole Kidman, Rabbit Hole +3300

Michelle Williams, Blue Valentine +5000

This is far less of a slam dunk than the Best Actor category, so online betting sharps beware. Most people believe it’s Natalie Portman’s year and she’s won plenty of awards on the circuit so far for Black Swan. But the Academy is sentimental; you never know if it might try to make up for Annette Bening’s past snubs and give her the win. The darkhorse is Jennifer Lawrence, so may have given the year’s best performance, but her relative anonymity will probably sink her. I think Portman takes it but it’s no sure thing.

Today’s free pick: Natalie Portman -2200

BEST DIRECTOR

Tom Hooper, The King’s Speech -200

David Fincher, The Social Network -180

Darren Aronofsky, Black Swan +1200

Ethan and Joel Coen, True Grit +3000

David O. Russell, The Fighter +3000

Hooper is the favorite here but I think he’ll be disappointed. All the critical praise for The King’s Speech has focused on the acting and writing, with very little talk of Hooper’s directing. David Fincher appeared to influence his movie, The Social Network, more. Christopher Nolan should win this award but, since he didn’t even get nominated, I like Fincher, who won the Golden Globe already.

Today’s free pick: David Fincher -180

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR

Christian Bale, The Fighter -1500

Geoffrey Rush, The King’s Speech +350

Mark Ruffalo, The Kids Are All Right +4000

John Hawkes, Winter’s Bone +4000

Jeremy Renner, The Town +4000

If it weren’t for the highly respected Geoffrey Rush’s presence, Christian Bale would have this award locked up already. Still – Bale has dominated this award everywhere leading up to the Oscars. The Best Supporting victory usually goes to someone who “steals” the movie. Bale stole the show from Mark Whalberg in The Fighter. Rush didn’t steal it from Colin Firth in The King’s Speech.

Today’s free pick: Christian Bale -1500

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS

Melissa Leo, The Fighter -600

Hailee Steinfeild, True Grit +300

Helena Bonham Carter, The King’s Speech +400

Jacki Weaver, Animal Kingdom +2000

Amy Adams, The Fighter +2000

This should easily be the most hotly contested of the major awards. Leo is the clear favorite after picking up lots of hardware for The Fighter over the last couple of months. But her role was flashy, obvious even, and some other actresses are picking up steam. Youngster Hailee Steinfield’s breakthrough effort in True Grit makes her a sentimental favorite. In the end, I expect the sometimes-stuffy Academy to recognize Helen Bonham Carter’s subtle effort as the Queen of England in The King’s Speech.

Today’s free pick: Helena Bonham Carter +400

Super Bowl XLV Wacky Wagers Set for Steelers vs. Packers

There is not much that sportsbooks won’t happily set odds on. Whether it’s the 2011 Oscar Awards odds in which The King’s Speech, Colin Firth, and Natalie Portman are expected to win the big hardware at the Academy Awards, to Super Bowl wacky wagers, the bookmakers have it all.

Of course there are the odds that fantasy football gurus bet such as the over/under on just about every major statistical category on players such as Aaron Rodgers, Ben Roethlisberger, Andrew Quarless, Donald Driver, Hines Ward, and Rashard Mendenhall.  Of course these are the most popular Super Bowl proposition odds.

But then there are the attention grabbing ones such as:

How long will it take Christina Aguilera to sing the National Anthem? The over/under is 1:54. If bettors wager on the under it’s (+135) meaning they win $1.35 for every dollar risked.

Will Christina Aguilera wear a cowboy hat while singing the National Anthem? Yes is (+175). Remember the game is in Dallas Cowboys Stadium. How long will she hold the note “Brave” at the end of the National Anthem? Six seconds is the total posted. One can even wager on the color of her hair.

Will Fergie be dressed as a Dallas Cowboys Cheerleader at any point during the Halftime show? Yes is (+450).

How Many Times will FOX show Jerry Jones on TV during the Game?  Over 2.5 would seem to be a lock. The same 2.5 total is set on the other seemingly easy over of how many times will FOX mention “Brett Favre” on TV during the Game?

Who will the FOX announcers say has better hair on TV during the game, Troy Polamalu or Clay Matthews?

What color will the Gatorade be that is dumped on the head coach of the winning Super Bowl team? Will a punt hit the scoreboard during the game? Bet yes at (+750).

What will the TV rating be for the Super Bowl and which city Pittsburgh or Green Bay will have the higher ratings are among the other props.

Which Super Bowl commercial will have a higher rating on USA Today’s annual Ad Meter?

For more information: OffshoreInsiders.com will certainly have predictions on the side, total, and game related proposition bets.

Academy Awards Odds 2011

The Las Vegas odds are out for the 2011 Academy Awards at BetUs. The King’s Speech is the overwhelming favorite on the sportsbooks odds to win Best Picture, with only The Social Network given a chance at the upset.

The Oscars Awards betting line also has Colin Firth a virtual lock for Best Actor and Natalie Portman was the sure pick for best actress. Here are the odds on all the major awards.

Rot Oscars Best Supporting Actress Moneyline
301 Melissa Leo (The Fighter) -600
302 Helena Bonham Carter (The Kings Speech) +400
303 Hailee Steinfeld (True Grit) +300
304 Jacki Weaver (Animal Kingdom) +2000
306 Amy Adams (The Fighter) +2000
Any wagers after event becomes public knowledge will be no action.
Rot Oscars Best Supporting Actor Moneyline
310 Christian Bale (The Fighter) -1500
311 Geoffrey Rush (The Kings Speech) +350
312 Mark Ruffalo (The Kids Are All Right) +4000
313 John Hawkes (Winters Bone) +4000
315 Jeremy Renner (The Town) +4000
Any wagers after event becomes public knowledge will be no action.
Rot Oscars Best Actress Moneyline
321 Natalie Portman (Black Swan) -2000
322 Annette Bening (The Kids Are All Right) +400
323 Jennifer Lawrence (Winters Bone) +2000
324 Nicole Kidman (Rabbit Hole) +3000
326 Michelle Williams (Blue Valentine) +5000
Any wagers after event becomes public knowledge will be no action.
Rot Oscars Best Actor Moneyline
330 Colin Firth (The Kings Speech) -10000
331 James Franco (127 Hours) +1200
332 Jesse Eisenberg (The Social Network) +1400
333 Jeff Bridges (True Grit) +2000
336 Javier Bardem (Biutiful) +3000
Any wagers after event becomes public knowledge will be no action.
Rot Oscars Best Director Moneyline
340 David Fincher (The Social Network) -180
341 Tom Hooper (The Kings Speech) -200
343 Darren Aronofsky (Black Swan) +1200
345 Ethan and Joel Coen (True Grit) +3000
347 David O. Russell (The Fighter) +3000
Any wagers after event becomes public knowledge will be no action.
Rot Oscars Best Picture Moneyline
350 The Social Network +150
351 The King’s Speech -800
352 The Fighter +2000
353 Toy Story 3 +5000
354 Black Swan +2500
355 Inception +2000
356 127 Hours +5000
357 True Grit +1000
358 The Kids Are All Right +4000
359 Winter’s Bone +2500
Any wagers after event becomes public knowledge will be no action.
Rot Oscars Best Costume Design Moneyline
370 Alice in Wonderland +110
371 I Am Love +1500
372 The King’s Speech -200
373 The Tempest +600
374 True Grit +500
Rot Best Foreign Language Film Moneyline
360 Biutiful (Mexico) -200
361 Dogtooth (Greece) +700
362 In a Better World (Denmark) +200
363 Incendies (Canada) +250
364 Outside the Law (Algeria) +1000

The founder of forensic sports handicapping, Stevie Vincent has been a professional gambler since 2002. His plays are now public and a must for totals bettors as mastering over/under is his specialty.

Matt Rivers Free Pick

Senior Sports Handicapper Matt Rivers has a sports pick Wednesday on George Washington (+16) at Duquesne.

Reasoning: I will give this Duquesne team a ton of credit for being completely dominant of late, as they have blown up in a great way. The Dukes are legit and probably deserve a top 25 ranking and as of right now are an at-large tournament team. They’re 15-5 overall and a perfect 7-0 in the A-10. Bill Clark, Damien Saunders and the rest of the Dukes have been smacking around all comers of late and should be an extremely confident team. Tonight at home they will improve to 8-0 in conference but at some point this somewhat overachieving run will have to come to an end.

Duquesne is not really 10 straight win good or beating Temple easily good, which they did, and right now are a tad overvalued because of this recent run. George Washington is extremely mediocre and not the team that can go on the road and win in a spot such as this one but the Colonials have been very good defensively and have been playing games in the 50’s and 60’s on a regular basis. I don’t expect that here but if they can only allow about 20 points more than normal, which is a ton, and keep the Dukes in possibly the 70’s I don’t see why the visitors can’t stay within single digits, no less this gaudy number.

GW has allowed 46, 81, 62, 68, 67, 52, 71, 67, 50 and 57 over the past few weeks. I’m not saying these guys are a lockdown team that is great but Karl Hobbs has been preaching the d and if they can even do a little bit of defending today then this low post is going to prove to be way too large.

It will be a 78-68 final!

Top expert pick on this game: George Washington

For more information: Not only is the biggest play I possess and a bomb dropping 500,000* covering the solid underdog number tonight but they are also winning outright and I’m putting my money where my mouth is.

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Sweat Barometer, Better Known at Margin of Cover Report, NBA Rest

The margin-of-cover standings have some clear-cut undervalued and overvalued teams. The top sports betting service in the world has another Wise Guy winner and today’s NBA schedule features some rested versus unrested matchups including one of the NBATV games.

Now to the NBA rest report:

Pacers vs. Cavaliers

Cleveland is playing their third game in four nights.

Hornets vs. Thunder

New Orleans is playing their third game in four nights, fourth in five nights and playing back-to-back nights.

Blazers vs. Nuggets

Portland is playing back-to-back nights while Denver is playing their third game in four nights.

Rockets vs. Jazz

Houston is playing back-to-back nights, while Utah is playing their third game in four nights.

Here is a Margin of Cover (MOC) breakdown for NCAA basketball. Renamed “sweat meter” in Chad Millman of ESPN’s column, MOC is similar to scoring margin, but it is measured by how much a team covers or fails to cover the point spread.

Many sports handicappers believe MOC is invaluable in isolating under and overvalued teams.

At 11-2-1 against the spread, Duquesne has the best MOC in the nation at (+7.5).  The Longhorns of Texas have been kind to bettors at 14-3 to the number and a (+6.9) MOC.

The only other team with at least 10 lined games and a MOC of 5.0 or better is Connecticut, which has exactly a (+5.0) margin at 10-4 in the back pocket.

Texas Tech has the worst MOC at (-5.6) and a terrible 5-13 record according to the sportsbooks. With a 5-9 point spread record, Central Florida is second worst with a (-5.4) deficit.

No other regular rotation team has a negative 5.0 or worse, but Ohio at (-4.8) and Michigan State at (-4.7) are next on the Vegas shame list.

Top expert pick on tonight’s card:  The greatest just keeps winning. A push on Florida, but a huge moneyline winner on Portland (+186) on the moneyline wins for GodsTips. That’s 57-34 overall, which includes several moneyline underdogs.

Now get six winners including yet another Wise Guy as Wise Guy plays from GodsTips are widely accepted by virtually every bookmaker, Vegas runner, pro bettor, Vegas insider, oddsmaker, and fellow handicappers alike as the strongest pick in sports gambling. GodsTips Wise Guy and entire card is up.