OffshoreInsiders.com Senior Sports Handicapper Matt Rivers has an MLB free pick for Father’s Day on the Kansas City Royals (+175) to St. Louis.

Reasoning: Why not back the pesky Royals here? Sure Jaime Garcia at home has been beyond belief and is a legitimate stud lefthander that could dominate anybody when on but Tony LaRussa’s Cardinals have not been very good of late and at this price I’ll back the semi capable Royals. Matt Holliday did hit that eighth inning home run last night but take that away and St. Louis would literally still be winless over the last few weeks. Things are still not fully right and I can see them falling flat once again today.

Obviously Kansas City isn’t a good team just yet but they have a few players that are alright. Both Butler and Gordon are very good major leaguers and the kids that have recently been brought up in Hosmer and Moustakas could be special. Of course when push comes to shove the Redbirds at home with Pujols, Holliday and Berkman are clearly the superior team that is going farther in the end but things have not been very good of late and at this price I’m alright with young Danny Dufffy and the visitors.

It’s definitely asking a lot here as we are well behind the eight ball in most categories from the get go, including the all important starting pitching, but Garcia is overdue to give up some runs at Busch as he can’t possibly keep up this pace and with the recent shoddy play I’ll grab this number and fade the still struggling Cardinals.

Top expert pick on this game: Kansas City

For more information: Yup that’s right! 64 of the last 105 days have now been winning as I did it again yesterday. It’s once again getting really easy as I flex my muscles and prove that I am the best there is on the diamond. I am right round that plus 7 million star mark and am going to cruise past it today in yet another 2-0 sweep. 300,000* Blue Jays-Reds plus a 200,000* Brewers-Red Sox. Here we go baby! Click now to purchase

OffshoreInsiders.com Senior Sports Handicapper Matt Rivers Saturday is on the Boston Red Sox (+105) to Toronto.

Reasoning: I backed Toronto in a comp loser as the big dog yesterday and am reversing course here because the price is just too good not to.

Brandon Morrow certainly has the potential to be a very very good pitcher as he is a dominating strikeout machine at times. Shoot the way this season has gone for John Lackey the Blue Jays may even have the advantage on the hill. But with that said I’m not writing Mr. Lackey off just yet and in that first start back off the DL the former Angel actually looked better. Is he back and will this form last for good? I’m not sure about that but he’s much better than the 3-5 record and 7.60 ERA would suggest that I can tell you.

As for the two teams, clearly the visitors from Beantown are the more powerful overall squad with a lineup as nasty as any. The Jays can hit as well led by a budding star in Jose Bautista among others but the Sox are obviously far superior. Big Papi is on-fire, Adrian Gonzalez may be the early season MVP and Carl Crawford, Jacoby Ellsbury, Dustin Pedroia and Kevin Youkilis are all very good and great at times.

Things won’t come easy today for Boston but in my opinion they are of solid value at this number as they just win this game more than they don’t and that constitutes a value at this price.

If Lackey regresses today and gets slapped around then so be it. We were able to get a great team at a great value but just happened to lose. But if the guy is healthier and improving then we should be laying a decent chunk of change but yet aren’t and I’m more than fine with that scenario!

Top expert pick on this game: Boston from Matt Rivers

For more information: The run is now 58 of 97 winning days, as in 58 winning days compared to only 39 losing ones and 5.7 million* of profit after the 400,000* on the plus money Nationals took care of business. It should have been another sweep of the board had we gotten any sort of a break with the big dog Bruins who were nipped 1-0 but in the end another winning day.

Now to another 400,000* involving the superior but beat up Braves in Houston plus a 300,000* with the Indians and Yankees. Am I feeling good? You bet your arse I am. Click now to purchase

OffshoreInsiders.com Senior Sports Handicapper Matt Rivers has a free pick Monday is on the Minnesota Twins (+138) to Cleveland.

Reasoning: Why not? I’m going to continue to roll with the Twins as has been the case for a little while now. I have been on them for the last little bit because Ron Gardenhire’s club is just not nearly as bad as the record indicates and I knew that they were going to start winning some games, which they have.

Minnesota just swept Kansas City on the road in all four games and even though they are still a semi mash unit without Joe Mauer, Joe Nathan and a few others I like this team and will ride them. Year after year we see the small market Twinkies rise up and play ball the right way. It has even led to a bunch of postseason appearances. This team has those components with guys like Morneau, Cuddyer, Young and Span and have started to get things going of late. It may be too late to play in October this season but Gardy is a great manager and will continue to have his Twins playing hard.

Cleveland is in first place and Josh Tomlin has been really, really good but the Indians are suddenly struggling mightily and I think collectively questioning themselves a bit these days. The Tribe were just pummeled at the Jake by the Rangers and now face an improving Minnesota team with a guy in Scott Baker who can be very good. Baker didn’t have his best stuff last time out but the right-hander is solid and can be dominant as the high number of strikeouts continue to prove.

The Twins are hot, the Indians are extremely cold and at this price I will gladly continue my liking of Minnesota.

Top expert pick on this game: Minnesota

For more information: I loved the Mavericks and I lost with the Mavericks. I’m not going to make excuses as Miami was the better team in game three and deserved to win the game, period. I have still won over the past three months at a 65% clip and am up well over 4 million stars. I’ve given some back of late and especially yesterday but that is going to happen in this deal.

A pair of plays today including one on the ice. 300,000* Rays-Angels plus a 200,000* Canucks-Bruins. A winner is a winner and I am a winner! Click now to purchase

The Dallas Mavericks and Miami Heat meet in Game 1 of the NBA Finals.  The Heat are big favorites to win the NBA Championship.

Also, in Game 1, the Heat are (-4.5) favorites with a total of 186.5.

Dallas comes in 69-28 straight up, 57-38 against the spread, going over 55-41. They are 33-15 on the road outright, 32-16 according to the sportsbooks going over 28-20.

Miami is a stunning 70-27 straight up, 49-46 against the spread, going over 50-46. At home it’s 38-11, 21-27, and over 27-21 respectively.

Dallas shoots 47.3 percent from the field versus squads that allocate an average of 45.8.  They allow 95.5 points per game to teams that usually get 99.8.

Miami has a similar ratio on offense making 47.5 percent of their field goals to defenses that permit 45.6 while allowing 43.2 percent to squads that normally accumulate 45.7.

Spread betting trends (all records are against the spread): Dallas is 6-0 as an underdog, 8-2 playing on three or more days rest, 8-2 to Southeast, 20-8 on the road versus an opponent with a home winning percentage of .600 or better, 40-19 off straight up win, 41-20 on the road overall. Dallas is 9-1 in Miami and the road team is 19-7.

Miami is 6-0 as favorites, but 10-22 playing on three or more days rest.

Over/under trends: Dallas over 9-4 as underdogs. Miami has gone over 7-0 as favorites.

For more information: Get all the picks sides and totals for the NBA Finals and throughout baseball betting season as well at OffshoreInsiders.com

OffshoreInsiders.com Senior Sports Handicapper Matt Rivers has a winner for Friday on the Philadelphia Phillies (-142) to NY Mets.

Reasoning: I am the first one to stand up and say how the Phillies offense has underachieved in a major way for the last month or so but with Chase Utley back and with David Wright and Ike Davis banged up this price is just too cheap on the visitors from the City of Brotherly Love.

When push comes to shove the Phils with Roy Oswalt on the hill against the Mets and Chris Capuano is a mismatch, plain and simply. I don’t even mind Capuano as the lefty is fairly athletic and overall has an upside but he is no Oswalt and to get Howard, Utley, Polanco, Ibanez and a far superior Phillies’ club is worth a small play here. The lineup definitely misses Shane Victorino as that guy is the straw that mixes the drink but in the end the Mets are a team that is extremely blah and not on par with today’s opponent.

I generally don’t love laying a price such as this one but it’s not as steep as it should be as Philadelphia just flat out has the better everything in this game and should be a heftier favorite.

I expect Oswalt to be Oswalt and for the clear-cut better team to be just that, the clear-cut better team.

Top expert pick on this game: Philadelphia

For more information: Are you kidding me with a game on the diamond tonight? I literally have isolated a game that is at the very least 50 cents off, no and’s, if’s or but’s. The Bulls fourth quarter was a total debacle and now I move on as a winner in 11 of the last 17 days and 51 of the last 82 with a profit of a cool 6.4 million stars.

The biggest and most powerful play in my arsenal is on display tonight, a 500,000* baseball play in which I fully expect to win by four runs, period. Click now to purchase

Well I made it to heaven via the Rapture. From the home offices of OffshoreInsiders.com here are the Top 10 early observations from eternal life

10. Led Zepplin has the No. 1 all-time song up here too

9. Hooters girls not as friendly. One already told me to go to hell.

8. Awkward moment: I confused Marilyn Monroe and Marilyn Manson

7. Founders of Heavenly Ham about to be slapped with large copyright infringement lawsuit

6. Telling somebody they are “down to earth” is considered a major insult up here

5. Chick Fil-A has limited Sunday hours

4. Michael Moore is working on a movie “Fahrenheit 521” that proves George Bush could have prevented the Armageddon but chose not to

3. Billy Jean King was not Michael Jackson’s lover, but is now. It was a match made in heaven

2. Milk and honey have no expiration dates

And the No. 1 early observation from eternal life is….

1. That Carly Simon song…It was about Karl Malden

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OffshoreInsiders.com Senior Sports Handicapper Matt Rivers has an NBA lock Saturday is on the Memphis Grizzlies (-3) Oklahoma City.

Reasoning: It’s tough to go against Kevin Durant and Russell Westbrook as the Thunder are a team with tremendous upside but I’m going to roll with the vastly improving Grizzlies. Memphis completely outclassed the experienced and very good Spurs at home and I can see them take care of business here as well.

Lionel Hollins’ team is not looking like an eighth seed at all. These guys are extremely confident and seemingly have not missed a beat without Rudy Gay. Zach Randolph is a beast, Mike Conley, Jr. has become a quality point guard, Marc Gasol is playing better than Pau Gasol and all in all the Grizz at home should win this game and this price is cheap enough to therefore expect a cover.

I do think that Oklahoma City could and probably should win this series in the end as they have the experience from last season but in this first game back in Elvis’ hometown I will roll with the growing Grizz and expect the crowd to go ballistic and get rewarded with a win and cover.

Top expert pick on this game: Memphis from Matt Rivers

For more information: A winning Friday as the 400,000 star Mets came through. That’s now 39 winning days compared to only 23 losing ones and an overall boatload of profit. Two more plays and at least 700,000 stars of profit as I fly over the 7 million mark. Another 400,000 star is here in this game between the Heat and Celtics along with a 300,000 star involving the Braves and Phillies. That Crookie is about to get smacked around one more time. That you can bet on! Click now to purchase

There are two NBA games on tonight’s schedule, Boston Celtics at Miami Heat and the Memphis Grizzlies at Oklahoma City Thunder. Miami and Oklahoma City are the favorites.

OffshoreInsiders.com Senior Sports Handicapper Matt Rivers has a free pick Tuesday is on the Memphis Grizzlies (+6.5) to Oklahoma City.

Reasoning: Zach Randolph and the Grizz were so dominant in that opening game on Sunday that I’ll make a small play on them plus a healthy number today.

I am a bit hard pressed to believe this series is going to be 2-0 heading back to Memphis, as that is asking a lot, but all Lionel Hollins’ team seems to be doing is play great basketball and cover game after game after game. These guys completely dominated San Antonio at home and on the road even looked like the better team, which is extremely impressive. Now in the first game in this series it was as if Kevin Durant and Russell Westbrook had little answers defensively. I guess things could change in a hurry in Okie City as the Thunder are a really powerful offensive team but it’s not like the Grizz. aren’t playing at an extremely high level right now.

Randolph, Marc Gasol, OJ Mayo and Mike Conley, Jr. are certainly a team on the rise. It’s been fast and may not be something that eventually leads to a championship but right now at this time Memphis is legit and should steal that cash one more time.

I expect the Thunder to walk off the floor as the victor but I also expect the Grizz to continue to do what they do and cover in the end.

Top expert pick on this game: Memphis