NBA Finals Odds 2011: Mavericks vs. Heat Game 1 Preview, Picks

The Dallas Mavericks and Miami Heat meet in Game 1 of the NBA Finals.  The Heat are big favorites to win the NBA Championship.

Also, in Game 1, the Heat are (-4.5) favorites with a total of 186.5.

Dallas comes in 69-28 straight up, 57-38 against the spread, going over 55-41. They are 33-15 on the road outright, 32-16 according to the sportsbooks going over 28-20.

Miami is a stunning 70-27 straight up, 49-46 against the spread, going over 50-46. At home it’s 38-11, 21-27, and over 27-21 respectively.

Dallas shoots 47.3 percent from the field versus squads that allocate an average of 45.8.  They allow 95.5 points per game to teams that usually get 99.8.

Miami has a similar ratio on offense making 47.5 percent of their field goals to defenses that permit 45.6 while allowing 43.2 percent to squads that normally accumulate 45.7.

Spread betting trends (all records are against the spread): Dallas is 6-0 as an underdog, 8-2 playing on three or more days rest, 8-2 to Southeast, 20-8 on the road versus an opponent with a home winning percentage of .600 or better, 40-19 off straight up win, 41-20 on the road overall. Dallas is 9-1 in Miami and the road team is 19-7.

Miami is 6-0 as favorites, but 10-22 playing on three or more days rest.

Over/under trends: Dallas over 9-4 as underdogs. Miami has gone over 7-0 as favorites.

For more information: Get all the picks sides and totals for the NBA Finals and throughout baseball betting season as well at

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