All posts by Joe Duffy

Dancing With the Stars Odds Are Posted

promo/euro

As we reported
yesterday
, it was only a matter of time before the sportsbooks posted odds on the new
season of Dancing With the Stars. Also, as you watch the Democratic National Convention,
please note that most online casinos have taken the Republican choice for Vice
President off the board.

Intrade still gives Barack Obama
a 61 percent chance of being elected President of the United
States
say the political betting
odds
.  

Dancing With The Stars has become an absolute phenomenon
with fans watching in record numbers to watch, and old stars looking for a
re-boost in their career jockeying for position to get picked to be on the
show.  From retired athletes to “where are they now?” actors – the show
offers a plethora of familiar faces in odd places which adds to the allure.

With speculation building to an all-time high for the show as to who will win
this next competition, and the field being set for the dance-off, the largest
most successful sportsbook on the web, BetUS.com posted odds on which star will
be judged the best dancer.

Analysts at BetUs Sportsbook
posted the following odds on Dancing With The Stars:

Lance Bass    5/1
Toni Braxton  3/1
Brooke Burke  12/1
Rocco Dispirito 20/1
Maurice Green  9/1
Kim Kardashian 8/1
Cloris Leachman 18/1
Cody Linley  8/1
Susan Lucci 15/1
Misty May Treanor  7/1
Ted McGinley  15/1
Jeffrey Ross  25/1
Warren Sapp  20/1


NCAA Betting

OffshoreInsiders.com
is proud to debut the 2008 edition of the Tailgate Party. “Sports bettors made
significant profits from the free information in our NFL preseason version,”
explains OffshoreInsiders.com CEO
Joe Duffy.

However, the NFL preseason is very much a modified version
compared to the regular season NCAA football and the NFL versions.

Get the college football version of the Tailgate
Party
which features college football live odds, plus
scores and betting trends (who the public is
betting
), more NCAA football against the spread
angles, free picks, game previews
written for bettors, weather, injuries, motivational factors, CFB Halftime Lines,
the StatFox matchups, and the Chalk Gaming
version.

Yes, this is the same feature sports bettors have enjoyed
for years on the scorephones. However, the platform of the Internet gives
sports bettors more flexibility than the popular version heard on the
scorephones.

The Tailgate Party will be available every day there is
NFL or college football action through the bowls and the Super Bowl.

Week 1 CFB Betting Trends

Here are computer trends and angles for college football
betting Week 1 compiled by the staff of OffshoreInsiders.com.
All quoted records are against the spread unless we specify totals.

Get the college football version of the Tailgate
Party
which features college football live odds, plus
scores and betting trends (who the public is
betting
), more NCAA football against the spread
angles, free picks, game previews
written for bettors, weather, injuries, motivational factors, CFB Halftime Lines,
the StatFox matchups, and the Chalk Gaming
version.

Thursday

Buffalo-UTEP

The Bulls are 4-12 in non-conference games and have gone
under 11-of-13 outside the conference.

Vanderbilt-Miami Ohio

Commodores are 10-4 the last 14 road games. Miami
is 3-9 at home. Vanderbilt has gone under 10-2 at home.

Troy-Middle Tennessee State

The Trojans are 8-2 on the road their last 10 and have
covered 7-of-9 within the conference.

NC State-South Carolina

Wolfpack are 1-5 in the conference. The Gamecocks have
gone over 23-9 their last 32.

Wake Forest-Baylor

The Demon Deacons are on a 7-1 run. Baylor is 4-13 their
last 17 against the spread. Wake Forest
has gone under 15-4 their last 19.

Oregon State-Stanford

The Beavers are 6-1 the last seven in the conference and
they are 9-2 in the series. The Cardinal have failed
on 10-of-13 home games. Stanford has gone under 45-16 the last 61.

Friday

Temple-Army

Temple is 6-2 their
last eight against Independents. Army is 3-8 on fake surfaces and the Black
Knights have gone over 8-2 on turf.

SMU-Rice

SMU is 4-9 their last 13
overall. Rice has won 11-of-14 conference games and the Owls have exceeded the
total at a staggering 40-11 rate.


Biden His Tongue: Obama’s Choice Makes McCain the New Favorite for POTUS 2008




John McCain should be the heavy favorite to be next
President of the United States.
I’ve never said that before. If “Barack America
chose Hillary Clinton as his running mate, Obama would and should remain as the
favorite for the White House. In fact, the political betting
odds
would likely have gone up.

Am I oblivious to history which states emphatically that
voters chose between presidential candidates and not the entire ticket? No.

The American public is not going to vote for or against
Biden or the eventual McCain running mate choice. But Biden is on record
forcefully questioning Obama’s qualifications for president and praising
McCain’s. Barack Obama’s highly
questionable VP decision gives those soon-to-be-fatal comments a stronger
voice.

When asked by George Stephanopoulos on the ABC program This Week about questioning Obama’s lack
of experience, the verbose Biden gave a terse, “I stand by my statement.”

The American public is fair. They generally distinguish
when a candidate is distorting his opponent’s words. One look at Biden’s
criticism of Obama and praise of McCain will make it virtually impossible for
Biden to claim he was taken out of context. Biden left nothing to misinterpretation
or misrepresentation.

While Barack America
still has the ability to win over the Hillary Clinton base that he
disenfranchised, the fact he bypassed the person the polls and primary
electorate clearly preferred as veep opens the door for a powerful question.

A big selling point by Obama was that he was willing to
meet face-to-face with the vilest enemies of the country his wishes to
represent. Yet the undecided may ask why he is so eager to find common ground
with sworn enemies of the United States,
yet he couldn’t even achieve accord with Hillary Clinton?

Just as Obama started to put the Jeremiah Wright
controversy behind him, Barack’s choice was another gift horse.

Surely Republican partisans are looking to piggy back
Wright’s racist and anti-American comments, Michael Pfleger’s inflammatory
bigoted ranks and perhaps Michele Obama’s ill-fated “first time in my adult
life I’m proud to be an American” with Biden’s shocking “In Delaware, the
largest growth of population is Indian Americans, moving from India. You cannot
go to a 7/11 or a Dunkin’ Donuts unless you have a slight Indian accent.”
Perhaps the most devastating words followed, “I’m not joking.”

Hurry bet John McCain now as the big underdog (political betting
odds
) at one of the sportsbooks
that have not adjusted to the fact the Joe Biden makes McCain the “Wright”
favorite.

The author, Grandmaster sports handicapper Joe Duffy is not
only the top sports betting expert in the world, but a widely accepted
authority in political handicapping. He can be reached at joeduffy@joeduffy.net


Joe “The Factsman” Apricena



Bet at 5Dimes


We have gotten a few emails at the MasterLockLine.com
regarding Joe “The Factsman” Apricena. According to Cy McCormick,
Apricena highest finish ever in any sport was in 2002 when he ranked 97th
out of 620 sports handicappers in
college football. That year was also his highest overall finish in all sports
when he came in at 202 out of 620.

SportsForumPicks.com and Bookmaker teamed up for a
sensational publicity stunt when they claimed Apricena risked $1,000,000 in a
bet. “The worst publicity is no publicity,” said OffshoreInsiders.com
CEO Joe Duffy admitting, “I wish I thought of the stunt first.”

As radio touts Sebastian, Larry Dukehart
“The Duke” on Sporting News Radio and Jonathan Stone, as well as John Morrison, Sports
Betting Champ
show, marketing is imperative. The sportsbooks and sports handicappers are often
involved in synergy promotions and the previously unknown Apricena and Bookmaker have pulled off
the best publicity stunt since Lou Diamond’s HBO gift horse.

Perhaps one of the sportsbooks can say they found Bigfoot
or has that idea already been taken?


Early NFL Primer and Quarterback Rotations for Gamblers

promo/euro

Here are quarterback rotations, news and notes and key
gambling advice for the weekend’s preseason NFL betting.

Friday

Eagles-Patriots

Already a weakness, the Eagles are hurting out wide
receiver. Kevin Curtis and Reggie Brown are both out for this game. Curtis was
the leading receiver last year.

Saturday

Ravens-Rams

Troy Smith starts at quarterback for the Ravens. He may
play as much as three quarters. “Head coach John Harbaugh
knows that Kyle Boller is terrible. He will give Smith every chance to win the
job,” says NFL betting guru Mike Godsey of GodsTips. Godsey seems to imply a
lot of passing will be done by the normally ball control Ravens.

However Smith has been terrible so far completing just
8-of-17 for no touchdowns and one pick. Rams
star running back Steven Jackson is still a holdout. Though reports say that
may end soon, it is extremely unlikely he would play Saturday.

Wide receiver Torry Holt is
questionable because of a tight back.

Saints-Bengals

New Orleans TE Jeremy Shockey is practicing and may get
his first action of the preseason.

Sunday

Bills-Colts

The Bills will be without RB
Willis McGahee. Colts quarterback Peyton Manning is out. Stevie Vincent Senior
Analyst of OffshoreInsiders.com
says that Manning may now miss the start of the season, hence “We expect Jim Sorgi to air it out as there is a very good chance that he
will get playing time this regular season.”

Sports betting
insiders are keeping an eye on Buffalo
starting QB Trent Edwards, who suffered a contusion on his quadriceps.

Monday

Seahawks-Chargers

Seattle
starting quarterback Matt Hasselbeck is doubtful. They are also without their
top two receivers Bobby Engram and Deion Branch and
are adjusting to the departure or running back Shaun Alexander.

Backup Seneca Wallace has been limited, so third stringer
Charlie Frye has been taking many of the snaps. Though Chargers TE Antonio
Gates returned to practice, he is not expected to play.


Sacramone and Phelps Dominate Olympics, But in Difference Ways

While gymnast Alicia Sacramone has throbbed
the hearts of Americans and Michael Phelps keeps winning Gold, sharp Olympic
gamblers continue to crush the sportsbooks.

There is still plenty of money to be made and we don’t
mean in selling Sacramone pictures. Rowing has
several events still to be decided with Great
Britain
the favorite in most events.

Bookmakers have the following as the heaviest favorites to
win their respective Gold Medals (Olympic Betting
Odds
): Usain Bolt of Jamaica
is 1/12 to win the 200 meter in track and field. The men’s 10,000 meters will go
to Kenenisa Bekele of Ethiopia
and the 400 meter to Jeremy Wariner of the USA.

The men’s triple jump is more wide open with Philips Idowu of Great Britain
a more modest 6/5 favorite. The communist countries will likely get Gold and
Silver in the 110 meter hurdles with Dayron Robles of
Cuba and Liu Xiang as near co-favorites.

The men’s long jump frontrunner is Irving Saladino of Panama.
Many events are considered wide open, but virtual locks also include Blanka Vlasic of Croatia
in the women’s high jump and Jamaica
in both the women’s and men’s 4×100 relay.

However, Team USA
is a Michael Phelps like favorite to win the men’s 4×400 at 1/25.

Either way, the 1/69 favorite of the OffshoreInsiders.com
staff is Alicia Sacramone.


Plenty of Financial Motivation For Bloomberg Writer Fibbing About Betting NFL Preseason



Bet at 5Dimes


The world’s sharpest sports bettors cannot stop laughing
at a recent article on Bloomberg.com by Joe Saumarez-Smith
that claimed professional gamblers avoid betting NFL preseason football.

Of course there are many who believe Saumarez-Smith
is not that naïve, but has plenty of motivation to spread the urban legend. “Joe
is a consultant to many sportsbooks. He knows the offshore casinos make a
fortune from the square player in the NFL preseason and take a bath from the
sharp player,” assures Cy McCormick of the online
syndicate MasterLockLine.com

The laughing continues all the way to the bank. Later Joe comments
on how most Las Vegas sportsbooks have low limits on betting NFLX. Apparently he is oblivious to the fact this is done
to limit the winnings of the professional gamblers who stake large amounts, but
encourage the square player who rarely approaches the $1,000 limit.

Saturday is actually one of the best days for NFL handicapping.
First off all, forensic sports
handicapping
founder Stevie Vincent of BetOnSports 360 unleashes his 2008
Pro Football Preseason Game of the Year on the Dallas Cowboys and Denver
Broncos.

The top football betting service off all-time says: Our
mastery of football has never been matched nor likely ever will. We are already
in with winning weeks in both so far. We have five NFL sides up now including
four Wise Guy plays. Wise Guy plays from Joe Duffy’s GodsTips are widely
accepted by high rollers, bookmakers, linesmakers, and fellow handicappers as
the biggest play in the handicapping abyss. This is just fact. Click now to
purchase
GodsTips betting card for Saturday.

A Canadian based handicapping site has one and only one
handicapper worth squat. He has hit No. 1 Personal Favorite on the Pittsburgh
Steelers Friday, August 9 and the Cincinnati Bengals on Monday, August 11. Now
2-0 this football season with such plays, he now has two in one night in the
NFL for the Texans/Saints and Bears/Seahwaks

Authenticated Plays (explanation)
are 2-0 all-time in the NFL with the Tennessee
last Saturday and the Seattle Seahawks on Friday. Saturday it’s the
Dolphins/Jaguars as an Authenticated Play.

Mark the Shark, the top handicapper west of the Mississippi
hits 60-65 % of his Game/Total of the Month or higher plays. He is without question the top Pac 10 and
Mountain West tipster in America.
He’s been offered nearly seven figures per year to join a famed Las
Vegas
sports handicapping marketing giant, but has
spurned offers because they demanded marketing concessions that would
negatively affect his modules. Underdog NFL Exhibition Game of the Year, a play
he has now hit an industry best nine straight years.

No. 1 MLB handicapper service for 2008 has you up more
than 60 units, one unit per play, thanks to their famed Prime Plays and three
such sides go in MLB Saturday.

All best bets are detailed at the home page of OffshoreInsiders.com


NFL Preseason Odds Information


Here is your famed “Tailgate Party” for Saturday preseason
NFL, including quarterback rotations.

Redskins-Jets

Remember, this is the Redskins third preseason game, but
just the second for the Jets. Jason Campbell starts at QB for the Skins, but
Todd Collins comes in and may play most of the first half. Derek Devine
leapfrogs Colt Brennan and starts the third, with Brennan mopping up. A fellow
by the name of Brett Favre starts at QB for the J-E-T-S, though he reports a
tired arm. He will take 8-12 snaps.

Either way, his presence means a sellout is likely. With
more than 7,000 people in attendance for practice Thursday, Favre is expected
to bring life into the crowd despite his cameo appearance reports the top
football handicapper ever Mike Godsey.

Colts-Falcons

Indianapolis
will be minus Peyton Manning, Bob Sanders, and Dwight Freeney,
three of their best players. They will be minus six starters in all.

Atlanta is
expected to put a lot of emphasis on winning in preseason, but they are off a
loss. MasterLockLine.com impresario expects a
very motivated Bird team in front of the home crowd.

Journeyman Joey Harrington starts at quarterback for Atlanta,
with touted rookie Matt Ryan expected to get a lot of playing time,

Chargers-Rams

This is one of four Wise Guy plays for GodsTips, an
extraordinary number for the preseason. Wise Guy plays from Joe Duffy’s
GodsTips are widely accepted by high rollers, bookmakers, linesmakers, and
fellow handicappers as the biggest play in the handicapping abyss. This is just
fact. Click
now to purchase

San Diego is
expected to play their starters less than they did last week against the Dallas
Cowboys. Shawne Merriman is not expected to play for
the Bolts. Steven Jackson is out for the Rams, still a contract holdout. The
Rams were humiliated by the Tennessee Titans last week 34-13.

Cowboys-Broncos

This game has bettors abuzz as it’s
Stevie Vincent’s NFL Preseason Game of the Year. Vincent is the groundbreaking
founder of forensic sports
handicapping
.

Texans-Saints

New Orleans is
expected to turn the Deuce loose as running back Deuce McAllister is probable.
Reggie Bush is doubtful and Jeremy Shockey is out for the Saints.

Packers-49ers

Green Bay will
have their starters, including quarterback Aaron Rogers, go 30-35 plays. J.T. O’Sullivan gets the start in his three-way battle with
Alex Smith and Shaun Hill for starting QB.

Bears-Seahawks

Seattle QB Matt Hasselbeck is very doubtful. Charlie Frye
is getting the start.

Dolphins-Jaguars

Jacksonville
is down several key receivers. Jerry Porter and Reggie Williams are out and Troy
Williamson is doubtful.

Vikings-Ravens

Baltimore
gives former Heisman winner Troy Smith the start at QB. Baltimore
has several injuries on the offensive line including TE Todd Heap. They are
also without RB Willis McGahee.