All posts by Joe Duffy

Late NFL Notes



Bet at 5Dimes


The ultimate fantasy football and sports handicapping NFL
injuries report
and the news and notes for the early
games
as well as the biggest picks and prediction for NFL
betting
but now the staff of OffshoreInsiders.com
gets the rotogeeks and gamblers ready for the late
NFL.

Adding to that is that ESPN is reporting Seattle QB Matt
Hasselbeck is getting shots for pain, a bulging disk in his back, and the
Seahawks are significantly worried about this. Sportsbooks currently have the Bills
laying 1.5.

Cowboys-Browns

Most key indicators agree that Browns running back Jamal
Lewis is a game time decision. Derek Anderson is the starting QB for Cleveland
even though he missed two preseason games with a concussion. Braylon Edwards returns to the line-up for the Browns at WR.

The Pokes have the best opening day record straight up in
the NFL at 32-15-1. Cleveland has
lost their last three season opening games. However, they enter on a seven game
winning streak straight up in the new dog pound. This is one of three NFL Wise
Guys from the top sports handicapper
in the business at GodsTips. Wise Guy plays from Joe Duffy’s GodsTips are widely
accepted by high rollers, bookmakers, linesmakers, and fellow handicappers as
the biggest play in the handicapping abyss. This is just fact.  Get their entire betting card for $17 Click now to
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Panthers-Chargers

Both quarterbacks Jake Delhomme and Philip Rivers will be
tested coming off injuries. So will Chargers tight end Antonio Gates. San
Diego
has won 10-of-12 games straight up entering this
season, while Carolina lost
7-of-10.

The Panthers clearly though are better with Delhomme
healthy. Since the last game of the 2006 season, his QB rating is 116.1.

Ditto for the Chargers being better with
Philip Rivers at QB.
They are 25-7 straight up with him including a
stunning 15-1 at home.

Cardinals-49ers

Mike Martz is the new offensive coordinator for San
Francisco
and J.T. O’Sullivan
the new QB.

Bears-Colts

The Colts open a new stadium and they’ve won five straight
home openers. Kyle Orton gets the nod a QB for the Bears. They are a surprising
12-6 straight up with Orton starting.


Who To Bet On Sunday NFL



Bet at 5Dimes


It seems the sportsbooks
need to contact GlassDoor.com as clients of OffshoreInsiders.com
continue to knock the door through with consistent winners.

NFL Injuries…

Fantasy football players and sports gamblers alike are
keeping an eye on the Jamal Lewis injury situation. Will there be a New
England
air show or will the reigns on Tom Brady be pulled in? Check
out the famed Tailgate
Party
.  The
injury
report
has just been added. NFL
handicapping primer
for early NFL card (also great for fantasy football) is
up. Get  NFL Game Odds, 
NFL Halftime Lines, NFL Quarter Lines, NFL Fantasy Football Props, Sports Databases NFL Matchups, or the
Statfox NFL Matchups, plus NFL Trends, NFL Game Previews

Free NFL Picks…

Get the Colts-Bears
spread betting pick from the No. 1 NFL handicapper of all-time GodsTips. Leo
Getz has a pick on the over/under betting of the Lions-Falcons.

Biggest sports service plays…

While Dr. Bob, Mark Lawrence, Jim Feist, Wayne Root, Doc’s
Enterprises and a few others get and buy the best publicity, are they the best
football handicappers? In some cases says Silver
Bay
bettor Cy
McCormick, but in most cases not says the head of the online betting syndicate MasterLockLine.com
  

MasterLockLine.com has the top plays from the
top sports service in their highest ranked sports and here is the consensus sports
service
menu:

An ironman Wisconsin
handicapper is the grand turk
to the bookmakers. Top NFL handicapper and top NFL and college handicapper
combined has his 2008 NFL Shocker of the Year. This tout is 4-0 already with GOY/TOY
plays including NFLX.
He’s charging $50.

One of the best up and coming handicappers in the
business is climbing up the Mohawk Mountain
of tipsters. Today, he has a Key Injury Information Play. He says this critical
injury information is not factored into the line.

The marquee play on a Wisconsin
based site has razor sharp information on their AFC East Lock of the Year
Jets/Dolphins. Get this play from the mythic NFL betting service.

A marketed on radio handicapping outfit is offering
the top play from each of their five handicappers for $195. Included is their
top handicapper with the Sunday Night football Bears/Colts. We have those five
plays as part of a $16 package.   All the above plays are just $16. It would be
between $425-500 if you purchased the service plays individually, but get them
all on the MasterLockLine. Click now to
purchase

How about the best NFL handicapper in the business?  GodsTips sweeps Thursday and Friday and a
winning day yesterday has us
entering Sunday 11-5 for the week (many of you are 11-4-1).

The single best NFL sports betting service is GodsTips,
which had winning weeks 4-of-5 in the NFL preseason. They start out the week
1-0 with the Giants easy. Get three NFL Wise Guy sides, plus
four Majors.
Click now to
purchase
and find out if the Cardinals-49ers become the Westover air show
or whether it stays under. The current total is 42.5 at BetUs Sportsbook  

You get what you pay for with forensic sports
handicapping
founder Stevie Vincent. The founder of forensic sports
handicapping
Stevie Vincent has been annihilating the bookmakers for years.
His Blue Ribbon NFL plays are 74.3 percent all-time. Get a Blue Ribbon play on
the Dallas-Cleveland side among four pro football winners. Click now to
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then watch the NFL Sunday ticket with a huge smile and a bigger
wallet.


Fantasy Football and Betting NFL Injury Info


Here NFL injuries for fantasy football players and sports
bettors alike. This is compiled by the staff of OffshoreInsiders.com,
the top site for spread picks in the NFL.

Jaguars-Titans

Of course the big question is the mental state of Jacksonville
following the shooting of backup tackle Richard Collier. Jacksonville’s
offensive line is banged up and starting wide receivers Jerry Porter is out and
Reggie Williams will be rusty after missing the preseason. Troubled WR Matt Jones starts for the Jags.

The power of 620 sports
services
behind every selection is now 8-3 the last 11 in the NFL
since the preseason. This includes 2-0 in the regular season with the Giants
and under. Check out today’s loaded gun at MasterLockLine.com

Bengals-Bills

Buffalo
running back Willis McGahee will plays, but whether or not he starts is a game
time decision. So a full load is unlikely.

Sweep Thursday and Friday and a winning day yesterday has GodsTips entering Sunday 11-5
for the week (many of you are 11-4-1).

The single best NFL sports betting service is GodsTips,
which had winning weeks 4-of-5 in the NFL preseason. They start out the week
1-0 with the Giants easy. Get three NFL Wise Guy sides, plus four Majors. Click now to
purchase

Rams-Eagles

Philadelphia WR Reggie Brown is
doubtful and last years leading receiver Kevin Curtis is out. Rookie DeSean Jackson gets thrown to the wolves.

Buccaneers-Saints

For Tampa,
Antonio Williams starts at WR because Ike Hilliard is
hurt. Cadillac Williams is out, so Earnest Graham starts. The Bucs OL is hurting, so Donald Penn and Jeremy Zuttah, a rookie, are being forced into starting duty.
Brian Gould of ScoresOddsPicks.com
says the Buccaneers offensive line is one of the worst in the NFC
because of the injuries.

Joey Galloway should be close to 100 percent for Tampa.

Panthers-Chargers

For San Diego,
QB Philip Rivers and TE Antonio Gates star and Shawne
Merriman also plays passing up on knee surgery.

The Panthers are without WR
Steve Smith who is suspended and QB Jake Delhomme starts his first game since
getting Tommy John surgery. D.J. Hackett is not 100
percent, but will be available for Carolina.

Seahawks-Bills

Seattle is
without WRs Bobby Engram
and Deion Branch. For the Bills, Pro Bowl tackle is a
holdout.

Cowboys-Browns

Cleveland RB Jamal Lewis is a
game time decision.

Chiefs-Patriots

Bill Kayma of Lines-Maker.com reports that many
insiders believe Pats QB Tom Brady is not fully recovered from the injury that
limited him in the Super Bowl. “He is throwing off his toes,” reports the NFL
insider.

Ben Watson, one of Brady’s biggest targets, is listed at
doubtful.

Jets-Dolphins

It’s official, Ricky Williams
starts at RB for the Dolphins. We hear that the Jets
have a new QB in Brett Favre.


Victor Profit


Cy McCormick of MasterLockLine.com
reports that Victor Profit is the latest radio tout to battle for the
business of sports bettors. The power of 620
sports services
behind every selection will monitor their picks and
see if they are among the two percent of sports handicappers who can and do
win.

Quite interesting is that Stu Feiner and Kevin Duffy (no relation whatsoever to OffshoreInsiders.com CEO
Joe Duffy) are reunited after a tiff. Along with a newcomer named Tony Smith,
they outbid handicapper Larry Dukehart who calls
himself the Duke, for infomercial time on Sporting News Radio.

Ah at one time Rick Ballou, Tim Brando and even weekend host Chet Coppock
made them a worth listen.


What NFL Bettors and Fantasy Football Players Need to Know

Used for fantasy football and NFL betting, here are some
betting news and notes for the early NFL card from the staff of the world’s top
source for NFL picks, NFL odds, and spread betting information, OffshoreInsiders.com  

Get  NFL Game Odds, 
NFL Halftime Lines, NFL Quarter Lines, NFL Fantasy Football Props, Sports Databases NFL Matchups, or the
Statfox NFL Matchups, plus NFL Trends, NFL Game Previews

Seahawks-Bills

Seattle is
just 11-21 all-time in openers, but they have won the last two. Buffalo
is as bad at 19-29. Maurice Morris gets the start at running back for Seattle,
head of a 1-2 punch with ex-Cowboy Julius Jones taking over for Shaun
Alexander.

Jets-Dolphins

Perhaps you’ve heard, but maybe you were busy watching the
Republican National Convention and Sarah Palin. So in
case you missed it, Brett Favre is making his debut as Jets QB. Though from Southern
Mississippi
, Favre has played his best in the cold, going only 8-7
in Florida.

The subplot is former Jets starter Chad Pennington is the
now the starter at Miami. The Fins
could have a surprising 1-2 punch at running back if Ricky Williams avoids the
wacky tobaccy. He is backed up by Ronnie Brown who
has four 100-yard rushing games in seven starts before going down with a knee
injury. The Fins were more competitive than their record indicates as they led
the league with six losses by three or fewer points. The Jets only road win
last year was in Miami.

Lions-Falcons

Detroit got
out of the gate quickly last year winning their first two games but only
winning five of their final 14. Rookie Matt Ryan starts at QB for the Dirty
Birds. Atlanta has decent weapons
at running back adding free agent Michael Turner to go with Jerious
Norwood who showed flashes last season.

The top NFL handicapper of all time is Mike Godsey of
GodsTips, which had winning weeks 4-of-5 in the preseason and is 1-0 this week
with the Giants. Get three NFL Wise Guy sides plus four Majors in the NFL. Wise
Guy plays from Joe Duffy’s GodsTips are widely accepted by high rollers,
bookmakers, linesmakers, and fellow handicappers as the biggest play in the
handicapping abyss. This is just fact. Click now to
purchase
GodsTips.

Detroit has committed to much more of a ball control game
this season adding former Bengal Rudi Johnson and rookie Kevin Smith to the
mix. Detroit was 2-6 on the road
straight up last year. The teams alternated wins over the last seven, with Atlanta
“due” for the win here.

Rams-Eagles

With a healing Donovan McNabb, the Eagles were 5-1 in his
last six starts. D-Mac has a 95.3 rating in the contests. If you bet quarters,
note that the Rams allowed the most fourth quarter points last year.

Texans-Steelers

Andre Johnson is healthy for Houston.
Because of injuries, he started just nine games last year but led the league in
yards per game among receivers with at least 50 catches. The Steelers lead the
league in consecutive opening wins with five.

The founder of forensic sports
handicapping
Stevie Vincent has been annihilating the bookmakers for years.
His Blue Ribbon NFL plays are 74.3 percent all-time. Get a Blue Ribbon play on
the Dallas-Cleveland side among four pro football winners. Click now to
purchase

Bengals-Ravens

Cincinnati has
won three straight season-openers. Baltimore
is 4-8 straight up in season openers, dead last in the conference. The Bengals
are 6-1 in the series. Rookie Joe Flacco starts for Baltimore
at QB. Flacco is being rushed due to the retirement
of Steve McNair and a season ending injury to Kyle Boller. Baltimore’s
John Harbaugh is making his regular season debut as a
head coach at any level.

We will update with the game day injuries on the famed Tailgate
Party
, a must read for fantasy football players and bettors alike. However
it looks like both T.J. Houshmandzadeh and Chad Johnson will play for the
Bengals.  

Chiefs-Patriots

ESPN’s Ron Jaworski, a guy who
knows a little about quarterbacking and watching game films, said earlier this
week, he believes Tom Brady may still have the same injury that limited him in
the Super Bowl. Jaws said that Brady appears to still be throwing off his toe,
something he did not do until last year’s Super Bowl loss to the NY Giants.

New England has won 19 straight
regular season games

Buccaneers-Saints

Do the Saints have an upside? They were second in the
league last year in dropped passes and have added Jeremy Shockey to the fold.
The Saints are 13-28 all-time in openers including last year losing en route to
an 0-4 start.

Jaguars-Titans

Jacksonville
closed out last year winning 6-of-8 by an average of 12.9 points per game. They
were 9-3 when David Garrard starts. The Jags are 9-4 in openers.

 

 


Ball State-Navy Sports Picks


Navy and Ball State
highlight tonight after the betting weekend got off to a tremendous start
Thursday night if you followed elite football betting picks from the top
handicapping services.

The top football betting picks service is GodsTips. Here
is what the ultimate public allies for bettors has: Sweep! Sweep! We sweep
football last night with the Giants and the Vanderbilt game under. We have the
Ball State-Navy side up now. Have you gotten the weekend warrior packages from
the top handicapper in the land? Click now to
purchase
from GodsTips.

There is a better chance of Oprah Winfrey having Sarah Palin as a guest then there is of forensic sports
handicapping
founder Stevie Vincent of having a losing weekend with
football picks.

Stevie has his best bet of the entire week on Ball
State-Navy. Stevie also released the Saturday card with two Level 5 sides
including a Perfect Play. Yes the famed Perfect Play means an angle that is a
100 percent angle, with a minimum of 10 games. You must have a package that
includes Saturday to access.

The founder of forensic sports
handicapping
Stevie Vincent has his best bet of the entire week on
Navy/Ball State. Yes this is bigger than any play this week on collegiate
football. Click
now to purchase

The power of 620 sports
services
behind every selection goes 5-1 last night and is 6-2 the
last eight in football spread picks. A heavily marketed sports betting service
that is advertised in most preseason magazines that accept advertising from handicappers
has his biggest play so far this year has his Vegas Masters Play of the Month
on Navy/Ball State side. Click now to
purchase
sports betting picks from the top sports services or you can get more information and a free sports pick.

Best wishes out to Jody McDonald of WPEN,
one of the best radio sources of information anywhere. He is recovering nicely
from open heart surgery.

We are glad to hear that Rick Ballou
is back solo after his 1010XL radio station in Jacksonville
abandoned attempts to debase his sports talk show into guy radio. While
suffering through I.M. Bettor of Freeplays.com is
painful, Cy McCormick reports there are at least 180 handicappers who can say
“I am better than IM Bettor” in college football and more than 210 in NFL
picks.

McCormick is the President of MasterLockLine.com which has the top plays from the top sports service in
their highest ranked sports and monitors more than 620 sports services.

McCormick says that while a few services have gone out of
business, new services he will monitor this year include
collegefootballpros.com, solidsportsbets.com, thepicksexchange.com,
nflchoice.com, rustybanks.com, collegefootballpoll.com, smartbetters.com (sic),
Harry Wins, 10freefootballpicks.com and a few others.

So far none appear to likely be among the elite sports
picks betting services, but only the objective numbers will tell.


Official Betting Preview Redskins-Giants

Sports Betting at the Sportsbook

The famed Tailgate
Party
took a betting view of the South
Carolina-Vanderbilt
clash, but let’s assist sports bettors with NFL picks.
The Washington Redskins take on the New York Giants. The betting line (NFL
betting odds)
has the Giants a four-point favorite with a total of 41.

The Giants do have all 11 starters from the Super Bowl
returning on the offensive side of the ball. However, they are minus perhaps
their two best defensive players from last year. Michael Strahan
retired and Osi Umenyiora
is on the injured reserve. However, Stahan’s
replacement Justin Tuck has been very impressive so far says Brian Gould of ScoresOddsPicks.com

The Redskins offense has been totally overhauled as rookie
head coach Jim Zorn takes over for legendary leader Joe Gibbs. Arguably the
biggest acquisition of the offseason was the Redskins adding Jason Taylor to
their defense.

It’s hard to ever say there is a bigger pick on this game
than from the football specialists at GodsTips. No handicapper dominates any
sport the way Joe Duffy’s GodsTips does the NFL. This is a fact few gamblers,
oddsmakers, or fellow handicappers dispute.

Get the Redskins-NY Giants side and the Vanderbilt-South
Carolina total. Click now to
purchase
from Center of the Handicapping Universe GodsTips.

The Giants have won 10 of the last 15 meetings straight up.
The last five NFL season-opening games have been won by the home team.

Checking spread records (all are against the spread): the
Redskins are 9-19 in the month of September. But they are 28-11 as a road
underdog of 3.5-7. The Giants are on a 6-0 run and are 9-4 to the NFC East.

As far as over/under trends, the Skins have gone under
17-8 to the NFC East. Don’t forget to check out the home page of OffshoreInsiders.com and
see who the top sports services have. They will be listed on the
MasterLockLine.


Official Betting Preview of South Carolina-Vanderbilt


Here are news and notes and computer trends, as we take a
look from a bettor’s standpoint, the Vanderbilt and South
Carolina
televised on ESPN.  South Carolina
is a 10 point road favorite with a total of 41 according to BetUs Sportsbook.

The Gamecocks will start backup quarterback Chris Smelley. However, Jimmy Ashton of Lines-Maker.com says that is not
necessarily bad news for USC. Starting QB Tommy Beecher threw four
interceptions in his first career start to NC State last week. Smelley came in and completed all five passes en route to
two scoring drives.

This is a huge revenge game for USC. Last year they were
6-1 and ranked sixth in the country, but were beaten in Columbia
by the Commodores 17-6. USC Running back Mike Davis starts after a token
non-start, but non-benching last week in which he carried just 14 times, but
rushed for 101 yards.

Vanderbilt will likely be without starting running back
Jeff Jennings because of a shoulder injury. This further depletes an offense
that has several injuries at wide receiver including starter George Smith.

Without any question, the biggest bet from a proven world
class handicapper is from Stevie Vincent, the father of forensic sports
handicapping
. He has the ESPN SEC Game of the Quarter Century on the side.
More details are at the home page of OffshoreInsiders.com   

For those who bet college football
quarters
note that Vanderbilt has little depth on the defensive line. Any
injury could be devastating.

Here are computer betting trends, all records are against
the spread. Vanderbilt is 2-11 off a win of 21 or more points. However, they
are also 10-2 in the month of September

As far as over/under trends, South
Carolina
has gone under 13-3 on the road after a game
in which they committed three or more turnovers.

 

 

 


Moneylines in Betting the NFL Odds




It was somewhere around 25 years ago – an eon in the
prospering life of modern sports betting – that Nevada’s licensed bookmakers
first began employing money lines. The action was one of necessity as bet
takers, in an effort to limit their susceptibility at being caught between two
numbers (a situation called being middled or sided) sought a profitable (for
them) but reasonably attractive (for bettors) alternative to moving
pointspreads.

With money lines, (which are the wagering standard for baseball), players don’t
lay or take points; they lay or take a price. For example, if the Colts are a
3-point favorite over the Broncos, on the money line, Indianapolis
might be -160 (bet $160 to win $100) while Denver
is +140 (bet $100 to win $140). No pointspread is involved.

”The time when a money line is really used in force is on a game such as the
Super Bowl where a side or a middle literally could cost you millions of
dollars,” explained a noted Las Vegas
bookmaker with vast knowledge of the intricacies of money line management who
asked not to be identified. “At a really large sportsbook, getting sided on the
Super Bowl could cost the house well over $1 million.

”The time that a money line is really valuable is when the line is -3. Rather
than moving the spread to -2 ½ or -3 ½, I like using a money line, especially
if my jeopardy is going to be around seven figures.”

Of course, a bookmaker’s jeopardy or risk is a relative factor.

”Again, it’s up to the guy running the joint,” pointed out the bet taker. “Obviously,
if you’re on -3 and you’re $2 million high, if you go to -3 ½ you know you’re
going to get money back. How much do you want to risk? It all comes down to how
much belly you have.”

Bookmakers also use money lines when they hang halftime lines, a game within a
game where pointspreads based solely and independently on single halftime
scores are offered.

”Halves are pretty treacherous,” admitted the bookmaker. “Using a money line is
a tactical move because I think that’s the only way you can really book
halftimes. If it’s pick with the money line and the game comes tied, all you do
is give the money back. But it’s dangerous to go from pick to 1, pick to a ½ or
pick to 1 on the other side because, quite obviously, if the game winds up 7-7
at the half, you’re going to lose a lot of money.

”That’s a strategic move because there are a lot smarter people betting the
halftime than in a normal situation. When you take decent sized bets – say
$10,000 to a number – using the pick money line pointspread for a halftime, I
believe, is the best theory.”

Sports betting action usually dictates change but pointspreads don’t always
move in tandem with money line shifts, and vice versa.

”It all depends,” said another bookmaker who also felt a bit squeamish
discussing internal oddsmaking deliberations and demanded anonymity. “If
wiseguys (informed bettors) are laying a side up, yeah, most of the time I will
move the pointspread. But if it’s square (unsophisticated) money that moving
the number, I’ll just leave it there because I don’t want to kill all the
action. Sometimes, if you leave it there, they’ll bet that up, too. But if
games are moving, especially in college, a point, a point and a half, two
points a crack in an afternoon, you’ve got to move the money line. With the
NFL, you can stay a little longer and take a hit.”

If there’s a player edge with money lines it’s probably in taking the odds with
small underdogs. Since NFL games are decided by 1 or 2 points only about a
combined seven percent of the time, some gamblers feel if you like the underdog
you might as well forget the points and take a plus on the money line.

In the end, money lines are just another option sports betting option.

MONEY LINE VERSUS POINTSPREAD

Pointspread

Money Line
Low

Range
High

Pick

-110

-110

 

1

-115
-105

-125
+105

 

1 ½

-120
Even

-135
+115

 

2

-125
+105

-145
+125

 

2 ½

-140
+120

-160
+140

 

3

-150
+130

-170
+150

 

3 ½

-160
+140

-180
+160

 

4

-170
+150

-200
+170

 

4 ½, 5,
and 5 ½

-180
+160

-240
+200

 

6

-200
+170

-260
+220

 

6 ½

-220
+180

-280
+230

 

7

-260
+220

-350
+280

 

7 ½

-300
+250

-400
+300

 

This article was written by Luken Karel for http://www.thegreek.com.


Sports Radio: Mark Lawrence, Brandon Lang, Scott Spreitzer, Bobby Ventura and Others


We get a lot of questions about sports handicapping radio
shows. Let’s give credit to Mark Lawrence, one of the pioneers in radio handicapping
with his “Against the Spread” radio show. Mark and Lenny Stevens, whom I was a
guest many times, are probably the two pioneers. Journeyman Mike Lett is another.

Now Scott Spreitzer, Brandon
Lang, and Bobby Ventura spend a lot of money doing infomercial appearances. Spreitzer and Lang (AKA Brandon
Lane
) both are solid broadcasters who bring
information and personality to the table, but Ventura
is “painful to listen to. It is radio at its worst,” reports Brian Gould of ScoresOddsPicks.com.

SportsByline with Ron Barr used
to have some of the SportsMemo handicappers on
satellite radio and was pretty useful.

Still, we use sports radio hosts who have great
overlapping information for the sports bettor. Norm Hitzges of The Ticket in
Dallas, the recovering Jody McDonald of WPEN ESPN Radio in Philadelphia, Billy Werndl off the “Too Much Show” in San Diego, Mike Francesa
and even the Mad Dog of WFAN in New York, Mitch Levy
of KJR in Seattle.

Others report they like Stoney &
Wojo, Howard Eskin of WIP in Philadelphia
(a favorite of Lines-Maker.com
staffer Rex DeStephano), the Dennis and Callahan Show
on WEEI in Boston,
Mike and Mike (Mike Goldberg and Mike Golic) of ESPN
Radio, Tony Rizzo of WKNR in Cleveland,
among many others.

Either way, nobody disputes the premier source of sports
betting experts is OffshoreInsiders.com