All posts by Joe Duffy

Linesmaker NFL Betting Info Week 1

NFL preseason week 1 injuries and betting news and notes compiled in great part thanks to linked stories including NFL injuries on SportsBookIntel.com

Thursday, August 8

Ravens-Buccaneers

Baltimore Ravens tight end Ed Dickson will be out for approximately two weeks due to a slight hamstring tear. Dickson, who suffered the injury during Sunday’s practice, is the team’s No. 1 tight end after Dennis Pitta was lost for the season with a hip injury sustained during training camp. The 25-year-old Dickson caught 21 passes for 225 yards for Baltimore a year ago.

Source: Sports Network

Bengals-Falcons

Wide receiver A.J. Green will not make the trip for the Cincinnati Bengals’ preseason opener in Atlanta. He caught 97 passes last year with 11 TDs.

Friday, August 9

Cardinals-Packers

The Green Bay Packers may be forced to shuffle their renovated offensive line after starting left tackle Bryan Bulaga reportedly suffered a season-ending knee injury.

Source: Associated Press

Green Bay added depth at RB. Enter second-round draft pick Eddie Lacy of Alabama and fourth-round pick Johnathan Franklin of UCLA. They have shared reps with two returners from last season, Alex Green and James Starks. Two of their top three cornerbacks (Tramon Williams and Casey Hayward) remain sidelined.

Source: ESPN

http://youtu.be/mD_yX3cY1Jw

The Arizona Cardinals again were without their top two running backs as training camp resumed Monday following a day off for all the players.Rashard Mendenhall missed his third straight practice with patella tendinitis and Ryan Williams remained sidelined with a sore knee. Three other starters – guard Daryn Colledge (nerve irritation), inside linebacker Karlos Dansby (hamstring) and nose tackle Dan Williams (sprained ankle, knee) also missed another practice.  Those who sat out Monday’s practice could miss Friday’s opener as well.

“A bunch of those guys will be iffy for the ball game but they are getting better,” Arians said. “We’ll err on the side of caution.”

Asked how much the starters would play against the Packers, Arians said, “We’re shooting for 15 plays.” “We’ll see how it goes, how far one side of the ball or the other gets stuck going into the second quarter,” he said. “We’ll just see how it plays out, how we’re playing. There are so many young guys that need to be evaluated.”

Source: AP

Chiefs-Saints

Starter Marques Colston has yet to practice this camp. Joe Morgan, who appeared to have the lead for the No. 3 receiver spot, went down with an unspecified injury in a scrimmage Saturday.

Source: ESPN

Jets-Detroit

WR Santonio Holmes it out. They are very thin at RB as well.

Source: sports betting Twitter feed

Rams-Browns

RB Trent Richardson is questionable for the Rams.

Source: Many, will update as info comes in

Cowboys-Raiders

Tony Romo expects to make his preseason debut Friday against Oakland.

Source: ESPN Dallas

Broncos-49ers

Joel Dreessen, who led all of the Broncos’ tight ends last season with 863 snaps, or 75.5 percent of the offensive plays, likely will miss the entire preseason.

Source: ESPN

San Francisco 49ers linebacker Patrick Willis is out. The 28-year-old Willis, a six-time Pro Bowl choice and six-time Associated Press All-Pro selection in his six NFL seasons.

Source: ESPN

Sunday, August 11

Bills-Colts

The Indianapolis Colts are in the midst of a retooling project on the defensive side of the football. Thanks to a flurry of offseason free-agent signings, as well as one or two additions through the draft, the Colts could have at least six new starters when the regular season opens.

Source: Sports Xchange

WR Darius Hayward-Bay is out for Colts. He had 41 receptions for 606 yards.

Source: Rotoworld

Buccaneers-Jets

The competition between the two for the starting quarterback job remains tight, and coach Rex Ryan is not sure who will start the preseason opener at Detroit on Friday night. But Ryan added that both Mark Sanchez and Geno Smith will work with the first-team offense during the game.

Source: AP

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This is What Pro Gamblers Do! We Keep Winning and Winning

ONE DAY SALE: Get GodsTips monthly pass extended by five days if you buy today! With NFL here, the sales will be much fewer and further between. Today is a rare day to get five free days of the constant winner.

Joe Duffy Picks are now 48-30 underdog moneyline winners outnumbering the moneyline chalk losers 26-6. It was led by ESPN NL Game of the Year on underdog Atlanta and yet another Hall-of-Fame game winner on Dallas as part of a 4-0 sweep.  So sign up for the monthly pick pass now!

Here is the intel you get every day:

DALLAS +2.5 Miami

If this line goes to 3.5, I will upgrade to a Wise Guy. The oddsmakers knew Dallas would likely play Tony Romo and the starters minimally anyway, so the sharp money on Miami was withknowledge that they may be able to sneak in a solid middle.

Dallas has a large contingent of young players and rookies battling for playing time. So they will have some players with a regular season intensity. Having proven veterans play a couple series in the Hall-of-Game game is something I would fade, not bet on.

Miami has looked sloppy so far, no surprise with key players being offseason additions. Today is not the day they need to prove anything and they know it. We will ride the hungry young Pokes and fade the false line move.

MLB

Wise Guy

ATLANTA (WOOD +120) Philadelphia (Lee)

ESPN NL Game of the Year

Atlanta had won nine straight while Philadelphia has lost 12-of-13. Philadelphia has lost 4-of-5 with Cliff Lee. Last five games Atlanta has a slugging percentage of .569 to .380. Sit down for this one. In their last 10 games it is .497 to .299.

Philadelphia 0-7 to teams with a winning record, 2-8 with Lee as favorite of 150 or less.

Major

MILWAUKEE (LOHSE -118) Washington (Jordan)

This is a competitor consensus. If we have a lean one way and one of the few sports services or sources we respect has a big pick on a certain side, we pass along as a competitor consensus.

LA DODGERS (FIFE -122) Cubs (Villanueva)

Dodgers are 18-4 in their last 22 road games. They are 18-3 an NL team with an on base percentage .325 or worse. Cubs are 31-64 as a team to teams with a winning record.

The Cubs have lost 6-of-7 overall. Stephen Fife has ERA and WHIP of 2.17 and 1.14 last five starts. With Carlos Villanueva, Chicago has lost four straight starts. Last three starts his ERA and WHIP are 8.22 and 1.957. They are 1-8 in his last nine. In their last 10 games LA has a slugging percentage of .425 to .354 to Chicago.

Let the winning continue now at OffshoreInsiders.com

Another 3-0 Sweep From No. 1 Sports Service Since Scorephone Days of 1988

A nice 3-0 sweep with two underdogs is the beginning of promised delivered. We have already nailed three straight NBA picks, all Wise Guys. Now with so much data in, we know the best is yet to come in MLB. Example:

MLB

Major

SAN DIEGO (STULTS -121) Arizona (Cahill)

San Diego has won 5-of-7.  Trevor Cahill has a 7.94 ERA in his last four starts. His last three it is 8.64 with a 1.860 WHIP. In 13 starts Eric Stults has 1.151 WHIP. Last three starts his ERA and WHIP are 1.64 and 0.727.  In six starts to the Diamondbacks he has an ERA of 3.19 and a WHIP of 1.146.

Arizona is coming off quite the emotional series with LA, so this is a great spot for a letdown. San Diego (32-34) is 27-19 since its 5-15 start. They are 18-7 at home.

KANSAS CITY (MENDOZA +151) Tampa (Moore)

Matt Moore has hit the wall. After starting out 10-1 in his starts, the Rays have dropped his last two. He has been plastered for 14 runs, all but one earned, in just 13 IP in that period. His WHIP is an absurd 3.571 in those two starts.  Moore went 8-0 with a 2.18 ERA in his first 11 starts. He may be the leading regression to the mean pitcher in MLB right now.

Luis Mendoza is one of those pitchers who is better on the road with 3.03 ERA and 1.213 WHIP.  Last four starts his ERA is 2.04, giving up no unearned runs. For the last several years, we have always specified pitchers unless otherwise noted, but this game definitely screams of an overvalued hurler.

TORONTO (BUERHLE +121) Texas (Grimm)

This is a sharp versus square, which is when our Vegas, offshore, and outlaw contacts tell us the majority of sharp money is betting one team, the square money the other. We go with the smart money as contrarian betting is used by many professional gamblers.

Lock in long-term now to GodsTips. Get the picks now

Winningest Sports Handicapper Begins Unstoppable Tear Again

Yesterday, you were told, “There are so many stunning angles that make tonight one of the strongest cards of any in 2013.” Promises made, promises delivered goes 5-1 with Houston +163 winning, plus underdog Oakland as the MLB Game of the Month winning 10-2. Oh, we hit the only play Sunday, also Oakland as a Wise Guy, hence make us 6-1 the last two days.

In MLB we are 15-9 with Wise Guys but the biggest juice we laid on a loser was (-109). Along the way we have had winners of +132, +177, and the previously alluded to +163.

Here is an example of the kind of insight you get every day:

NBA

Wise Guy

MIAMI -7 Indiana

We will grant you, we have had many better NBA postseasons. However, that super bounce back angle continues to thrive in betting home faves in the playoffs off off a double-digit road loss is now 66-41 covering for you and me the last four.

Also, with the back to the wall, look for one of the most talented teams in history to respond in big fashion.

Major

Indiana-Miami UNDER 180.5

This is a competitor consensus. If we have a lean one way and one of the few sports services or sources we respect has a big pick on a certain side, we pass along as a competitor consensus.

MLB

Wise Guy

HOUSTON (BEDARD +163) LA Angels (Blanton)

Houston is sizzling, winning five in a row +10.5 units. LA has lost three straight and 5-of-7. The Halos are hitting just .239 with an OBP of .291 their last seven games. Erik Bedard has not exactly been Cy Young, but he has gone four straight starts giving up two runs or less, including unearned.

LA is 2-9 with fat Joe Blanton -8.8 units. This includes 1-4 at home -4 units and his ERA is 7.39 with a 2.143 WHIP in Anaheim. The Astros are 6-3 +8.9 unit in the series meetings this season.  Houston is +6.6 units on the road.  Cal is hitting .218 and scoring seven runs in losing the first three games of this series.

The Angels are 2-11 versus an opponent that is outscored by at least one run per game for -16.2 units. Last five games Houston has a slugging percentage .060 higher than the big chalks.

Houston 5-0 versus a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. Anaheim is 3-13 versus an opponent with a winning percentage of .400 or less.

OAKLAND (MILONE +105) Milwaukee (Estrada)

MLB Game of the Month

Oakland is a stunning 14-2 the last 16. Athletics are 21-5 in their last 26 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. Milwaukee is 7-23 overall and 0-11 as favorites of 150 or less.

Oakland has won three straight with Milone. Marco Estrada has a substantially worse numbers at home than on the road. While his road ERA is an okay 3.48, at home it is a rancid 7.18. His home WHIP is 1.56, which is .40 higher than on the road.

Major

MIAMI (KOEHLER +170) Philadelphia (Kendrick)

Kyle Kendrick is regressing to his mean. The journeyman got off to a fine start, but has a 1.824 WHIP in his last three starts. Miami has won three straight +4.3 units.  The Phils have dropped 3-of-4.

Going with a team winning percentage of .380 or less, underdogs of 125-175 off a win as an underdog to a divisional team

SEATTLE (SAUNDERS -113) White Sox (Danks)

Talk about compelling splits, the home team is 9-2 in Joe Saunders starts.  His home ERA and WHIP are 2.41 and 1.040. Compare this to his road numbers of 9.00 and 2.06.  Wowzy. He is allowing an OBP against of .265 at home, yet .422 on the road.

Seattle has a slugging percentage of .146 higher over the last five games and .113 their last 10 games.

Chicago has lost six in a row.

The top sports betting Twitter feed has so many packages for pro bettors to win with up now.

Another 5-0 Sweep From “America’s Greatest” Huge Sale Today

A great start to baseball season was followed by a rare bump in the road. But as clients know, our winning streaks always outnumber and outlast the losing streaks. Yesterday, what did we say? “The best baseball card of the season so far.” That was the promise made. The promise delivered was 5-0, with four Wise Guys.

To celebrate our domination, we will lower the GodsTips monthly pick pack to $319 Monday and Tuesday only. Get the picks now

Here is what pro gamblers got.

MLB

Wise Guy

PHILADELPHIA (PETTIBONE +132) Cincinnati (Bailey)

Talk about some serious splits: the home team is 7-1 in Homer Bailey’s starts. Well, his name is Homer. The Phillies are 4-1 with Jonathan Pettibone +3.4 units, but 3-0 at home +3.2. His home ERA is  2.45 with a sweet WHIP of 0.927.

Homer Bailey has a personal 0-3 record to the Phils. He has a team mark of 1-4 in Philly. The Phillies are 39-19 in the series including 20-7 at home.

ST. LOUIS (GAST -121) Milwaukee (Lohse)

The Redbirds are 26-12 the last 38. Milwaukee is 6-13 the last 19. The Brew Crew hitting .238 on the highway with an OBP of .293. Milwaukee is 2-6 with Kyle Lohse -4.8 units. Their last seven games Milwaukee has an OBP of just .285 to .346 for the Birds.

St. Louis is 13-6 in the series.

TAMPA (MOORE -110) Baltimore (Tillman)

Tampa is 8-0 with Matt Moore. Four of the wins were on the road. His overall ERA is 2.44 with a 1.125 WHIP. The road team is 6-2 in Chris Tillman’s starts. The road team is 6-4 in the series. In five starts to Baltimore, Matt Moore has a 2.05 ERA. Chris Tillman has a 1-4 personal mark to Tampa with an ERA of 5.06.

Tampa is 8-2 the last 10. Baltimore has flopped in four straight.

TEXAS (HOLLAND -117) Detroit (Fister)

In eight starts, Derek Holland has a fantastic 2.93 ERA and 1.066 WHIP. However, it is even more impressive considering five of his eight starts have been on the road. At home his numbers are 1.57 and 0.957.

Texas has played a road heavy schedule as only 18 of their 43 games have been at home.  On the road Detroit has a .254 batting average and a .317 OBP.  At home, Texas is .283 and .353.

Their last 10 games Texas has a slugging percentage of .107 higher than Detroit. The last five games it is .128 higher.

Major

CLEVELAND (MASTERSON -104) Seattle (Hernandez)

This is a sharp versus square, which is when our Vegas, offshore, and outlaw contacts tell us the majority of sharp money is betting one team, the square money the other. We go with the smart money as contrarian betting is used by many professional gamblers.

Literally 82.35 Percent Winners This Pro Baseball Season

For those on the fence about whether to lock into the spectacular sale in Stevie Vincent, this should make your decision easy, unless winning is secondary. Monday, May 13, 2013 is the final day!

Update: At 14-3 this season in pro baseball, a cool 82.35 percent winners, here is why Stevie Vincent is universally agreed upon as the top pitching expert in handicapping. Here are your recent samples.

May 12, it was one play:

PRO BASEBALL

>>>LEVEL 5 PLAY is on NY Yankees/Kansas City UNDER

Forensic team and pitching information on this game; last five appearances (minimum of three if pitcher has less than five starts): Kuroda 1.49 ERA, 0.88 WHIP, Santana 1.75 ERA, 1.08 WHIP

The 3-0 sweep of May 11:

PRO BASEBALL

>>>LEVEL 5 PLAY is on Colorado/St. Louis UNDER

Forensic team and pitching information on this game; last five appearances (minimum of three if pitcher has less than five starts): Chacin 2.56 ERA, 1.04 WHIP, Wainwright 2.45 ERA, 1.01 WHIP

>>>LEVEL 5 PLAY is on Los Angeles Angels/Chicago White Sox UNDER

Forensic team and pitching information on this game; last five appearances (minimum of three if pitcher has less than five starts): Williams 2.60 ERA, .92 WHIP, Quintana 2.83 ERA, 1.08 WHIP

PRO BASKETBALL

>>>LEVEL 5 PLAY is on Oklahoma City/Memphis UNDER

Forensic ATS information on this game: Oklahoma City under 17-3 after playing 2 consecutive games as a home favorite, under 10-2 to Southwest, Memphis under 12-2 after playing 2 consecutive road games, under 11-4 home

May 10, just one game:

PRO BASKETBALL

>>>LEVEL 3 PLAY is on MIAMI over Chicago

Forensic ATS information on this game: Chicago 7-23 in a home game where the total is between 180 and 189.5 points, 14-30 at home, 1-6 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game, Miami 20-6  road

May 9, was also a sweep:

PRO BASEBALL

>>>LEVEL 5 PLAY is on Philadelphia/Arizona UNDER

Forensic team and pitching information on this game; last five appearances (minimum of three if pitcher has less than five starts): Hamels 2.31 ERA, 0.94 WHIP, Corbin 1.59 ERA, 1.00 WHIP

>>>LEVEL 3 PLAY is on New York Yankees over Colorado

Forensic team and pitching information on this game; last five appearances (minimum of three if pitcher has less than five starts): Sabathia 3.41 ERA, 1.16 WHIP, Francis 9.00 ERA, 2.05 WHIP

May 8 was our last losing pick, but it was a winning day by hitting our only Level 5 and our only pro baseball pick:

PRO BASKETBALL

>>>LEVEL 4 PLAY is on CHICAGO over Miami

Forensic ATS information on this game: Chicago 20-3 as an underdog playing at least their third straight road game, 18-4 versus an opponent committing 14 or fewer turnovers,

PRO BASEBALL

>>>LEVEL 5 PLAY is on Pittsburgh/Seattle UNDER

IL Daytime Total of the Year

Forensic team and pitching information on this game; last five appearances (minimum of three if pitcher has less than five starts): Hernandez 1.23 ERA, 0.93 WHIP, Burnett 2.32 ERA, 1.03 WHIP

Offer expires at 9 ET, May 13, Monday night! Stevie Vincent, well on his way to another treasure trove of a baseball season, is offering his monthly pass for a full $100 off—just $699 for a very limited time. Of course dime players get a yearly package paid off almost every week, so for bigger players, it is a bargain basement at any price. Get the picks now

 

Kentucky Derby Morning Line 2013

The Kentucky Derby morning line is posted and so are the Kentucky Derby picks 2013 from one of the best handicappers in history, Joe Duffy anchor of OffshoreInsiders.com

Revolutionary, Goldencents, Verrazano, and Orb are among the favorites. Here is the Triple Crown of Thoroughbred Racing line.

Rot

Kentucky Derby

Moneyline

2

Oxbow

+1800

3

Revolutionary

+400

4

Golden Soul

+2700

5

Normandy Invasion

+600

6

Mylute

+1100

7

Giant Finish

+3500

8

Goldencents

+500

9

Overanalyze

+1200

10

Palace Malice

+2800

11

Lines of Battle

+2800

12

Itsmyluckyday

+700

13

Falling Sky

+3000

14

Verrazano

+650

15

Charming Kitten

+3000

16

Orb

+550

17

Will Take Charge

+2500

18

Frac Daddy

+2000

19

Java’s War

+1800

20

Vyjack

+3000

 

Single Best Run in Sports Betting History is In Progress

Here is a sample of what so many gamblers get every day, a few even reporting in recent days their bookmakers are cutting them off. This includes a newer client who said he’s been with his “local guy” 18 years without a glitch, but got cut off after 11 days of the Power of 620 sports services behind every selection, the MasterLockLine.

At 68-24 with many moneyline underdog winners it is officially the greatest run in sports betting history. Begin the rest of your betting life with endless winning. e

Special sale to celebrate Biblical tear by MasterLockline! Until Thursday night at 8 ET, get the monthly pass on the MasterLockLine extended to 45 days!

MasterLockLine locked and loaded menu for Wednesday, April 17, 2013

**Biggest Play**

Service out of Baltimore is No. 1 in college and NBA combined this season. They have hit 7-of-8 college regular and postseason and NBA games and totals of the year including NBA Game and Total of the Year both winning. They did not had a Parlay of the Year in college but do have the NBA Parlay of the Year on Toronto and OVER knowing that Atlanta was going to tank it resting for the playoffs long before the public was aware. That is why they are No. 1. They have strong info for tonight in their Road Warrior NBA Best Bet of the Month *****The premium pick is on Washington Wizards

Luther Wade is ranked No. 1 in all sports since the turn of the century. NBA Intangible Game of the Year goes tonight *****The premium pick is on Philadelphia 76ers

**Hottest Handicapper**

The No. 1 MLB service for 2013 is now +21.9 units already based on units won out of more than 620 sources monitored. Based on one-unit per bet, this is the best start ever for an MLB service through April 15 of any year. This goes back to 1982 based on units won, one unit per bet! By comparison, the No. 2 service is +12.4 units. Two sides and two totals in MLB *****The premium pick is on San Diego, White Sox, Texas UNDER, Atlanta Braves UNDER

Baseball service out of Detroit became the first service EVER to have three straight MLB seasons in which they won at least 40 units (one unit per bet) in 2006-08 and are the No. 1 all-time MLB service in units won. Their top plays are Mandated Plays. They are +3.9 units this year with all picks. Just one Mandated Bet tonight, only their fourth of the season. However, they do say there are about to start releasing more as the season goes on. *****The premium pick is on Washington Nationals