All posts by Joe Duffy

Sportsbook: Urban Meyer To NFL, McCarthy To Falcons

BetDSI has posted a few football props related to the futures of Urban Meyer, Mike McCarthy and Kareem Hunt.

Oddsmakers aren’t buying the talk that Meyer is finished coaching. They also list the Atlanta Falcons as the most likely head coaching destination for McCarthy.

BetDSI doesn’t expect the Washington Redskins to take a chance on Hunt, and the odds suggest that the embattled running back will be suspended for 11 games or more by the NFL.

Current odds from BetDSI

Will Urban Meyer be an NFL or college head coach before 9/1/20?

Yes -300

No +240

Mike McCarthy next head coach position (before 9/1/19)

Atlanta Falcons +200

Tampa Bay Buccaneers +300

Cleveland Browns +350

New York Jets +500

Jacksonville Jaguars +750

New York Giants +1000

Cincinnati Bengals +1000

Arizona Cardinals +1500

Carolina Panthers +2000

Miami Dolphins +2500

Baltimore Ravens +3500

Dallas Cowboys +5000

Will the Washington Redskins sign Kareem Hunt by 12/31/19?

Yes +1000

No -2000

Length of Kareem Hunt suspension by the NFL

5 games or fewer +400

6-10 games +150

11 games or more -200

 

Sharp Versus Square Betting Info Tuesday; Vegas Line Moves

What are the biggest line moves? Who is the public betting on? How about NBA betting and college basketball wagering pros versus Joes? We have it all. First the strongest public bets:

In the short-term, nights like last night have not been as commonplace. But the unprecedented domination has returned. 3-0 last night. I told you that I will not force picks on the super sellable MNF unless the metrics dictate. But Golden State OVER, New Orleans OVER, Washington lead a 3-0 sweep.  

Get four winning picks in the NBA for tonight. Three are sides, plus a total.  Get the picks now

NBA betting information for tonight:

Biggest public consensus in term of percentage of bets: none

Most lopsided bets in term of percentage of money and biggest sportsbook liabilities: Orlando

Sharp versus square metrics AKA pros versus Joes: San Antonio OVER, Dallas UNDER, Phoenix UNDER

Biggest line moves with opening odds followed by current odds: Utah opened -6 now -8.5 at Bovada

Now to college wagering:

Biggest public consensus in term of percentage of bets: Furman

Most lopsided bets in term of percentage of money and biggest sportsbook liabilities: Syracuse, Furman, Syracuse UNDER, Wofford OVER

Sharp versus square metrics AKA pros versus Joes: Syracuse at GTBets

Biggest line moves with opening odds followed by current odds: Radford opened -4.5 now -7

 

Monday NBA and College Basketball Wagering Info

Betting sharps are already unloading on MNF game on ESPN thanks to the Redskins-Eagles betting picks preview. But now to sharp betting preview for Monday’s NBA and college basketball.

Biggest public consensus in term of percentage of bets: Golden State, Houston OVER

Most lopsided bets in term of percentage of money and biggest sportsbook liabilities: Golden State, Brooklyn, Golden State OVER

Sharp versus square metrics AKA pros versus Joes: New Orleans OVER at GTBets

Biggest line moves with opening odds followed by current odds: none  

College super sharp intel is also up.

Biggest public consensus in term of percentage of bets: Pittsburgh

Most lopsided bets in term of percentage of money and biggest sportsbook liabilities: none

Sharp versus square metrics AKA pros versus Joes: Rutgers

Stevie Vincent wins yesterday, Nebraska as Big Ten Game of the Year plus a profit in pro football led to a 3-1 day overall. Philadelphia vs. Washington football side plus Eastern Conference Non-Divisional Game of the Year.  Get the picks now

Biggest line moves with opening odds followed by current odds: none

Best teams to bet on in terms of margin of cover (against the spread record followed by margin): Milwaukee 11-10 by 4.5, Denver 13-9 by 4.0, LA Clippers 14-9 by 3.9, Dallas 14-7 by 3.9

Best teams to bet against in terms of margin of cover (against the spread record followed by margin): Washington 9-14 by -6, Utah 11-13 by -5.7, Houston 9-13 by -3.9

Biggest over teams (over-under record followed by margin; number of OVERS listed first): San Antonio over 14-8-1 by 5.7, Sacramento 14-8 by 5.5, Milwaukee 15-7 by 5.4

Biggest under teams: (over-under record followed by margin; number of UNDERS listed first): Denver under 14-7 by -7 points per game, Oklahoma City 12-9 by -5.9, Lakers 15-7 by -5.2

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Redskins-Eagles Official MNF Betting Preview

The Washington Redskins are at the Philadelphia Eagles on Monday Night Football. Philadelphia is -6 scross the board, though juice is lowest at GTBets for the favorite and at Betonline for the underdog. The total ranges from 44.5 to 45.5.

The money is evenly divided at the offshore and Vegas sportsbooks, with 60 percent of bets on the Eagles, a fairly low percentage for favorites in that price range. Just 59 percent of bets and 70 percent of money on the over, the former also love considering the public’s love of better overs.

Injuries: Eagles RB Josh Adams will likely play. He has 291 yards rushing on 56 carries. But their CB Jalen Mills will miss his third straight game as is fellow CB Avonte Maddox. RB Darren Sproles is questionable and will be limited if he does play. Washington RB Adrian Peterson is officially listed as questionable, but should play. 

The Eagles are a horrid 3-8 against the spread, failing to cover by an average of 5.0 points per game, third worst mark in the league. The Redskins are 7-4, but by a slim .7 points per game “sweat barometer” or margin of cover. This game pits two of the biggest under teams in the NFL. The Skins go under at a 6-5 rate, but by an average of 4.2 points per game, making them the second biggest under team in the league using that metric. The Eagles are the No. 5 under team by 2.6 points per game, but also going under 7-4.

There is no motivation edge as this game is a virtual “must win” for each. Washington is averaging just 6.2 yards per pass to teams that normally allow a full yard more and of course now have backup QB Colt McCoy as starter Alex Smith is out for the year. Conversely, the Skins allow a generous 7.3 yards per pass, including 7.8 on the road.

Philadelphia’s defense allows teams normally getting 4.4 yards per carry to get .5 above their normal average. In fact, they are even worse at home allowing a stunning 5.4 yards per carry. The also allow teams to exceed yards per play by .4.

Biggest service plays is from MasterLockLine: Power of 620 sports services behind every pick goes 7-1 yesterday and more big service plays flowed in. No. 1 all-sports service since January 1, 2016 is based in San Jose, Costa Rica, universally respected for Blank Checks. 9-0 run with such bets including Blank Check NFL Game of the Year at NY Giants outright yesterday. Blank Check Monday Night Football Total of the Year Redskins vs. Eagles 

Handicapper out of Philadelphia is No. 1 overall in all sports combined since 2009. They are famed for their Stone Cold Locks. 9-0 this season (including one in NFLX) with picks involving their hometown Eagles. NFL Stone Cold MNF Lock of the Year on Redskins vs. Eagles side Get the picks now

Against the spread trends (all records ATS): Washington is 7-20 on MNF. Philadelphia is 1-7 on grass. Washington has covered 8-of-11 in Philadelphia.

Over-under trends: Philadelphia has gone under 8-2 off spread loss. Washington has gone under 7-1 after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing their last game.

Sportsbook Podcast: Today’s Pro Gambler Intel

http://offshoreinsiders.com In the short-term, nights like last night have not been as commonplace. But the unprecedented domination has returned. 3-0 last night. I told you that I will not force picks on the super sellable MNF unless the metrics dictate. But Golden State OVER, New Orleans OVER, Washington lead a 3-0 sweep.

Get four winning picks in the NBA for tonight. Three are sides, plus a total

Sportsbook Podcast: Today’s Pro Gambler Intel

http://offshoreinsiders.com In the short-term, nights like last night have not been as commonplace. But the unprecedented domination has returned. 3-0 last night. I told you that I will not force picks on the super sellable MNF unless the metrics dictate. But Golden State OVER, New Orleans OVER, Washington lead a 3-0 sweep.

Get four winning picks in the NBA for tonight. Three are sides, plus a total