Handicapper’s Sampler For Wednesday

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gives you the highest rated plays from the highest rated handicappers in their
highest rated sports. We search our database of more than 620 handicappers from
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service behind every selections is hitting better than
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Your top sports service plays wins again
yesterday.  It’s now 10-1 the last three
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POWERFUL is the only way to describe having
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This is your top sports service report for Wednesday, April 05, 2006

·       
EXCLUSIVE:  Kongpop Sukhibomrong, head of the
famed Pan-Asian Syndicate which dominated Asian and European soccer for years
has over the last two months taken over the North American sports scene. They
gave you Seattle in the NBA Sunday
and swept baseball with San Diego
and the Mets in baseball on Monday.   Tuesday
it was the Braves-over.  Get two baseball winners from the Pan-Asian
Syndicate for Wednesday and an NBA

·       
Bill Tanner is the No. 1 college and NBA
handicapper combined since 1995. Stats are out of 620 services monitored,
rankings based on total net units won based on ONE unit per play. He’s from the
basketball crazed state of Indiana
and his Platinum Plays in hoops hit around 62 percent.  He also hits above 60 percent in college
football with “Plats”.    He has another plat today

·       
Luther Wade is 5-0 already in MLB including Cleveland,
Florida
& the over yesterday.  Luther
Wade has two Wednesday MLB dogs

Purchase now at http://www.alliancehandicapping.com/premium.html

Alliancehandicapping.com (http://www.alliancehandicapping.com/)
is proud to be featured daily on the Handicapper’s Sampler (http://www.joeduffy.net/blog/todays_top_sports_service_information/)

We search our database of more than 620 handicappers from
the Internet, scorephones, television, 800 number late telephone services, 900
number handicappers, tip sheets and other sources and give you their top plays
more times than not at a fraction of the cost. REDUCED PRICES FOR ALL PLAYERS:
Today’s full menu is $12, a week $75,  and monthly $200.

Free winner: Silk
City
Sports has Portland-under
in the NBA

 

Wednesday, April 5,
2006

America’s
greatest sports service the Dream Team
at Godspicks.com  has
five plays for Wednesday highlighted by two NBA Wise Guy plays and a MLB Wise Guy.  Today is the last day: Don’t fret college
coming to an end, because the news is getting better: Check out our phenomenal
offer for baseball season
, every play, every day, and
every
sport for $7.29 per day.

The ENTIRE card is just $17 at www.godspicks.com.  We now
take virtually every credit card, PayPal and eCheck.
 
     

Wise Guy plays from Godspicks are widely accepted by high
rollers, bookmakers, linesmakers, and fellow handicappers as the biggest play
in the handicapping abyss. This is just fact.

Remember the second you buy a sports service play, you
will know if they did their homework. If they researched the games, they will
be happy to show it off in the analysis. America’s
greatest sports service the Dream Team at Godspicks.com gives you winners like
this every day.

Wednesday Godspicks

Wednesday, April 05, 2006

Last day: Don’t fret college coming to an end, because the
news is getting better: Check out our phenomenal offer for
baseball season
, every play, every day, and every
sport for $7.29 per day.

America’s
greatest sports service the Dream Team
at Godspicks.com has five plays for Wednesday, two Majors and a three NBA and
MLB Wise Guy plays. Wise Guy plays from Godspicks are widely accepted by high
rollers, bookmakers, linesmakers, and fellow handicappers as the biggest play
in the handicapping abyss. This is just fact.

The ENTIRE card is just $17 at www.godspicks.com.  We now
take virtually every credit card, PayPal and eCheck.
 
    

MLB

Detroit-Kansas City
UNDER 9

KC has a very weak line-up and we don’t expect much from
them. Both Bonderman and Mays are pitchers who are
capable of better than they showed late last year, so against weak bats and an
inflated total, we look for both underachievers to seize the opportunity
against weaker bats.

In 18 starts to Detroit,
Joe Mays has a 1.124 WHIP and an ERA of 3.11. 
We expect six runs or less.

God’s Tid-Bets, Vol. 18


Click Here For The Wall Street Journal

God’s Tid-Bets, Vol. 18

Joe Duffy (JoeDuffy.net)

This is the latest in a series of a Godgepodge of sports betting strategy and other sports handicapping and gaming issues.

Professor Wolfers’ Response

Our previous article “Bad Conclusions about Fixing Need to Get Fixed” took to task University of Pennsylvania professor Justin Wolfers’ contention about college basketball games having a shocking number of games involving point shaving.  Here on the Duffy Factor, we let the guests have the last word, so here is the good professor’s:

Thanks for sending me your article.  I must admit that I’m a bit puzzled by some of your criticisms – some are obviously fair, and some seem to me to be off the mark.  I’m not sure if you have read the underlying research paper, but if you do go and read it carefully, I think you will get a stronger sense of precisely what the argument is, and hence which of your criticisms are more and less valid. 

Specifically, the evidence about whether long favorites cover, is less relevant than the asymmetry – just covering versus just failing to cover.  And your interesting discussion about strong favorites being overbet is also explicitly discussed in the paper. The argument is essentially that if it is simply an artifact of the Duke’s of the world being overbet (thereby making 14 point favorites 16 point favorites), then one should expect 16 point favorites to win less often than one might expect for a team this heavily favorite. Figure 4 in the paper suggests that this isn’t true.

Professor Wolfers original paper: Point Shaving

Easier to be the Hunter than the Hunted

Our Wise Guy winner on Florida over George Mason in the 2006 Final 4 is far from the only example, but certainly as high profile as any, of a theory we’ve ridden for years. Teams that have the glass slipper for a variety of reasons will fall prey to the law of diminishing return and in fact reach a point of negative return.

When a team (or in baseball a pitcher as well) is playing above their head, chances are they will return to their level, but their value will be much higher on the betting line. Furthermore, they face the burden of high expectations.

Ironic, we just spoke of the University of Pennsylvania, because in 1979 they opened our eyes to this.  Once a team goes from dark horse to contender, we red flag them as possible go-against teams, pending other factors.

In college sports, a team that enters the Top 25 either for the first time ever or the first time in decades is the epitome of such team. The mid major college team that pulls off a few upsets in pre conference play (remember Gary Trent) is another commonplace occurrence.  Perhaps the archetype is the several-times-a-year-example of a MLB pitcher who comes out of nowhere to look like the second coming of Cy Young in his first four or five starts.

Handicappers should never forget the adage, “It’s easier to get to the top than to stay on top”.  

It’s Right for Some Stats to be Left Behind

In 2005, Cleveland was 42-20 on the road to right-handed starters but 8-12 to lefthanders. So they obviously were better against right handers. 

Or then again, no. At home they were .500 to righties and five games above to southpaws. The Cubs were much better on the road to lefties in 2005, but at home, significantly more successful to right handers. Washington was the exact same way.

In fact the number of teams that statistically were much better on the road to one type of pitcher and just the opposite at home greatly outnumbers those teams that showed a clear tendency both at home and on the road.

My point is that one of the most overrated stats in baseball handicapping is lefty/righty stats. First of all, most teams will face left handed starters roughly 38-52 times a year.  So with such an unbalanced number anyway, stats can get distorted and many other factors including random chance enter the equation when explaining right/left fluctuation.

By no means are we suggesting such stats should be ignored.  Lord knows there are many managers in the Hall-of-Fame that are so-called “situational” managers.  But then again that’s what they do—adjust to the situation and counteract any imbalance that existed in the starting line-up.

If for example one handicaps that the Cubs are much better against left-handed pitching and the team they are facing is starting a left-hander, what happens if the top three relief pitchers on the team they are facing happen to be right handed pitchers? Those stats go out the window in a tie game late once the other team goes to the bullpen and can make mid-course corrections.  In fact, the stats can then go polar opposite.

Randy Johnson has been facing top-heavy right handed line-ups his entire career. Here’s a secret: he mows them down too.  Need I say more?  Unless a team or pitcher both home and away has demonstrated beyond doubt to be significantly better to righties or lefties, let the handicapper beware.

Even if a true angle is uncovered, it’s the job of the “situation manager” to adjust.  We use such numbers, but do so with caution. It’s the “right” thing to do.

 

JoeDuffy.net has become the ultimate source for daily free gaming news and notes both daily and advanced, top sports service plays and more.  America’s greatest sports service is OffshoreInsiders.com.

Wednesday News and Notes

Wednesday, April 5, 2006

America’s
greatest sports service the Dream Team
at Godspicks.com has
five plays for Wednesday highlighted by two NBA Wise Guy plays and a MLB Wise Guy. Today is the last day: Don’t fret college
coming to an end, because the news is getting better: Check out our phenomenal
offer for baseball season
, every play, every day, and
every
sport for $7.29 per day.

The ENTIRE card is just $17 at www.godspicks.com. We now
take virtually every credit card, PayPal and eCheck.

MLB

·       
St. Louis
is 1-5 to Brett Myers

·       
The Mets are 8-3 to John Patterson

·       
Cleveland
is 1-4 to Jose Contreras whose ERA is 1.83 against the Indians

·       
Detroit
is 5-13 to Joe Mays whose ERA is 2.87 in his career to them

·       
Seth McClung has a personal and team 3-0 record
to Baltimore with a 2.33 ERA

NBA

·       
Boston
has gone over 14-2 this year if playing their sixth game or less over the last
14 days

·       
Orlando
is 8-23 to the Central Division the last two years

·       
Orlando
is 13-2 this year as home favorites of
six or less

·       
NY has gone over 21-7 if playing their sixth
game or less over the last 14 days

·       
Cleveland
has gone under 12-0 this year if they had 11 or fewer steals in their previous
two games

·       
San Antonio
has gone under 22-4 the last two years home favorites 6’-9 points

·       
The Clippers are 18-4 the last two years
revenging a double digit road loss

·       
Portland
is 2-9 their last 11

Tuesday News, Notes, Trends

Tuesday, April 04, 2006

 

It’s
our first two MLB Wise Guy plays of the year (both night), plus two NBA Wise
Guy plays. That’s in addition to five
MLB and NBA Major
plays. Nine night winners are up now for Tuesday. The ENTIRE card is just $17 at www.godspicks.com.
We now take virtually every
credit card, PayPal and
eCheck.

The single greatest sports service in world history Godspicks closes out another great,
great season in college hoops the same way we did last year—the same way we
closed out college football and that was with a sweep on the championship
game. Florida
and the over comes in but the
big story is our baseball. We have only
two days left on our phenomenal offer: Don’t fret college coming to an end,
because the news is getting better: Check out our phenomenal offer for
baseball season
, every play, every day, and every
sport for $7.29 per day.

NBA

Knicks-Wizards

Washington Times

The Wizards
(37-35) began the trip with a quality win in Utah. And after an ugly loss
against the playoff-bound Los Angeles Clippers, they notched back-to-back wins
at Golden State and Sacramento. Washington then fell short at Houston when
Antawn Jamison missed a 3-pointer in the final seconds. In the final game of
the trip, the Wizards scored 39 points in the third quarter against San Antonio—the
most any team has scored against the defending champions in a quarter this
year. They lost the game, but it’s showed why the Wizards—once thought out of
the playoff race—seem headed to the postseason for the second straight year.
Which is exactly why Wizards coach Eddie Jordan does not want his team to get
too comfortable. Tonight, they play host to the abomination of a basketball
team that is the New York Knicks (19-53), and then it’s right back on the road
for two more games. the Wizards hope to see backup center Brendan Haywood back
in the lineup today. Haywood has missed the last three games with lower back
spasms. Haywood said yesterday he could have played Saturday had it been
absolutely necessary. Jordan said yesterday Haywood would be a game-time
decision tonight against the Knicks. Asked whether he is keeping his eyes on
the playoff race—the Wizards have a half-game lead over sixth-place Milwaukee—Jordan
said he is concerned with only the Wizards’ next opponent.

Celtics-Raptors

Scorephone.com

Boston, which
is 4 ½ games behind the Philadelphia
76ers for the eighth and final playoff spot, has lost seven of its last 10
games, including Saturday’s 100-94 loss to the Chicago Bulls. The Celtics are
2-5 over their last seven road games and 10-27 away from TD Banknorth
Garden this season. Meanwhile, the Raptors have dropped four in a row and are
0-3 on their current four-game homestand. Toronto
just suffered a 120-113 double-overtime loss to the New Orleans/Oklahoma City
Hornets at home. Morris Peterson had 27 points, nine rebounds and six assists,
while Charlie Villanueva added 25 points and a career-high 18 rebounds for the
Raptors, losers of five of six. The Raptors are 14-23 at the Air Canada Centre
this season. Tuesday’s meeting is the fourth and final matchup of the season
between Boston and Toronto.
The Celtics are 2-1 this season versus Toronto
and have won eight of the last 10 meetings. Boston
has dropped two of three, five of seven and nine of its last 14 trips to Toronto.

MLB

·       
Matt Morris has a personal 5-1 mark to San
Diego

·       
Roy Halladay has a 5-1
team record to Minnesota

·       
Mike Mussina has
a personal 14-7 mark to Oakland

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Tuesday Godspicks

Tuesday, April 04,
2006

It’s
our first two MLB Wise Guy plays of the year (both night), plus two NBA Wise
Guy plays.  That’s in addition to five
MLB and NBA Major plays
.  Nine night winners are up now for Tuesday. The ENTIRE card is just $17 at www.godspicks.com.  We now
take virtually every credit card, PayPal and eCheck.
 
    

The single greatest sports service in world history Godspicks
closes out another great, great season in college hoops the same way we did
last year—the same way we closed out college football and that was with a sweep
on the championship game.  Florida
and the over comes in but the big story is our
baseball.  We have only two days left on
our phenomenal offer: Don’t fret college coming to an end, because the news is getting
better: Check out our phenomenal
offer for baseball season
, every play, every day, and
every
sport for $7.29 per day.

NBA

Sacramento-Dallas UNDER 193’

Sacramento has
turned it up defensively since getting Ron Artest.  Dallas
is turning it up defensively as the postseason approaches. They’ve made it no
secret tying up the “loose ends” on defense is their top priority.

In last month’s meeting at Sacramento,
Dallas stud Dirk Nowitzki had 24
points but needed 25 shots to reach that total. That’s the sort of output the
Kings can live with from the MVP candidate.

Early Handicapper’s Sampler For Tuesday

Tuesday, April 04,
2006

The world’s greatest sports service does what we seemingly
is just accepted: we sweep Florida
and the over to close out yet another phenomenal season. But that is expected
and standard income for Godspicks clients.

Big story: America’s
greatest sports service the Dream Team
at Godspicks.com  has
our first two MLB Wise Guy plays of the year among nine NBA and MLB plays all
backed with the insight you get nowhere else. Remember the second you buy a sports service play, you will
know if they did their homework. If they researched the games, they will be
happy to show it off in the analysis.
America’s greatest sports service the Dream
Team at Godspicks.com gives you winners like this every day.

It’s a 9-0 Wednesday including four Wise Guys. The ENTIRE card is just $17 at www.godspicks.com.  We now take virtually every credit card,
PayPal and eCheck.
 
    

Don’t
fret college coming to an end, because the news is getting better: Check out
our phenomenal offer for
baseball season
, every play, every day,
and every sport for $7.29 per day.

Don’t forget our three-day pass for $45 or our four-day
package at a huge discount of $55.  You can always pre-buy our plays.  That way the plays are emailed to you the
split second we are done or you can just use your password which is activated
all day. Joe Duffy is the first and only person to earn the title of Master Handicapper. The Wise Guy moves
originate here.

You can begin the rest of your gambling life with a
three-day pass for $45 or four-days for $55. Wise Guy plays from Godspicks are
widely considered to be the biggest play in the handicapping abyss. Remember
you can buy even the daily plays in advance. 
They will then be sent to you the split second that they are released.
Did you notice how so many expensive sports services have the same plays hours
after we release ours?  Get your plays
where they get theirs and eliminate the middle man at www.godspicks.com?

Joe Duffy you will find is the most published author in
the world in sports gambling strategy. We are not a website frankly for de jour
gamblers who search for a handicapper who is the flavor of the month.  We are exclusively
for sharp players
who bet on a daily basis and want to win a lot more than
they lose.

Monday Handiapper’s Sampler

JoeDuffy.net has researched the best sportsbooks for you and we choose the ones we use and think you should use for line shopping. BetUs has the best reload and sign up bonus UP TO 50 percent—and they pay on time.

Sports-Handicapper.com
just keeps winning.  Every period you can
come up with, weeks, months or years, Sports-Handicapper.com
is better than 60-65 percent. Even the proprietors of Sports-Handicapper.com
are shocked at how accurate having the power of 620 sports services behind every
selection has been. 

Sweep, sweep, sweep.  Sports-Handicapper.com sweeps the board
again yesterday going 2-0.

This is your Sports-Handicapper for Monday,
April 03, 2006

·       
Sports-Handicapper.com EXCLUSIVE:  Kongpop Sukhibomrong, head of the famed Asian Syndicate which
dominated Asian and European soccer for years has over the last two months
taken over the North American sports scene. They gave you Seattle
in the NBA yesterday.  Get two baseball winners from the Asian
Syndicate

·       
Castlegate Sports is
the only sports
service to be ranked Top 10 in both college and pro basketball
when ROI is
backtracked to 1996! Their “major” plays are at 58-plus percent in more than
1,000 documented plays.  They have their NCAA Tournament Game of the Year.  They’ve hit their NIT and NCAA Tournament
Game of the Year plays 15-of-18 and 26-of-31.

·       
Staff Purchase Play, this is when Sports-Handicapper.com
pays a major sports service to release a major play before the sports
service itself does. They’ve now hit 12 straight on Sports-Handicapper.com
including the Nets here yesterday. Sports service out of the west has their 100 unit play on the UCLA-Florida
total.
They’ve hit 59-of-72 CBB 100 unit plays.

 

Sports-Handicapper.com gives you the highest rated plays
from the highest rated handicappers in their highest rated sports. We search
our database of more than 620 handicappers from the Internet, scorephones,
television, 800 number late telephone services, 900 number handicappers, tip sheets
and other sources and give you their top plays more times than not at a
fraction of the cost. REDUCED PRICES FOR ALL PLAYERS: Today’s full menu is $12,
3 day is $33, a week $75 
and
long term as little as $4.10 per day at
Sports-Handicapper.com. 

Free play: NY YANKEES from Silk City

Covers’ Experts (click here
for today’s menu)
are on a short list of other handicappers that we
respect.

Monday, April 3, 2006

Another phenomenal college season winds up just like it
did last year and just like the college football championship game did: a side
and total sweep.  True our 21-11 college
Wise Guy performance is below our lifetime performance but better than an overwhelming
majority. 

The sweet part is baseball is here and we have two MLB dogs to go with the UCLA-Florida side and
total.
At least one of the baseball dog winners in on
national TV.
The ENTIRE card is just $17 at www.godspicks.com.  We now
take virtually every credit card, PayPal and eCheck.
 
    

Don’t
fret college coming to an end, because the news is getting better: Check out
our phenomenal offer for
baseball season
, every play, every day,
and every sport for $7.29 per day.

Don’t forget our three-day pass for $45 or our four-day
package at a huge discount of $55.  You can always pre-buy our plays.  That way the plays are emailed to you the
split second we are done or you can just use your password which is activated
all day. Joe Duffy is the first and only person to earn the title of Master Handicapper. The Wise Guy moves
originate here.

You can begin the rest of your gambling life with a
three-day pass for $45 or four-days for $55. Wise Guy plays from Godspicks are
widely considered to be the biggest play in the handicapping abyss. Remember
you can buy even the daily plays in advance. 
They will then be sent to you the split second that they are released.
Did you notice how so many expensive sports services have the same plays hours
after we release ours?  Get your plays
where they get theirs and eliminate the middle man at www.godspicks.com?

Joe Duffy you will find is the most published author in
the world in sports gambling strategy. We are not a website frankly for de jour
gamblers who search for a handicapper who is the flavor of the month.  We are exclusively
for sharp players
who bet on a daily basis and want to win a lot more than
they lose.

Opening Day in One Sport; Traditional Closing Sweep In Another

Monday, April 3, 2006

Another phenomenal college season winds up just like it
did last year and just like the college football championship game did: a side
and total sweep.  True our 21-11 college
Wise Guy performance is below our lifetime performance but better than an
overwhelming majority. 

The sweet part is baseball is here and we have two MLB dogs to go with the UCLA-Florida side and
total.
At least one of the baseball dog winners in on
national TV.
The ENTIRE card is just $17 at www.godspicks.com.  We now
take virtually every credit card, PayPal and eCheck.
 
    

Don’t
fret college coming to an end, because the news is getting better: Check out
our phenomenal offer for
baseball season
, every play, every day,
and every sport for $7.29 per day.

MLB

LAA (COLON140) Seattle (Moyer)

The road teams is 29-15 when
these teams meet. Seattle has lost
7-of-8 at home to Bartolo Colon.  He is 4-1 on Opening Day and is 6-1 with a 1.99 ERA in seven
appearances at Safeco Field.

Anaheim is
certainly the better team offensively as well.

Sunday Godspicks



Sunday, April 02, 2006

White hot!  The NBA Western Conference Game of the Year goes Sunday
among two more Wise Guy plays, plus it’s our first baseball winner of months of
easy money.  The ENTIRE card is
just $17 at www.godspicks.com.  We now
take virtually every credit card, PayPal and eCheck.
 
    

We go 4-2 Saturday winning in both college and the NBA. Don’t
fret college coming to an end, because the news is getting better: Check out our phenomenal offer for
baseball season
, every play, every day,
and every sport for $7.29 per day.

Start out by going 2-0 with NBA Wise Guy plays on Sunday,
plus the Opening Day baseball side Cleveland-White
Sox.
 Wise Guy plays from Godspicks
are widely accepted by high rollers, bookmakers, linesmakers, and fellow
handicappers as the biggest play in the handicapping abyss. This is just fact.

NBA

SEATTLE -11’ Portland

Going with favorites with a losing record, revenging a
loss in which they gave up 100 or more points is 241-155. 

Portland is
horrible.  Over their last five games
they’ve been outscored by 14.8 ppg. For the year they are outscored by 13.5 ppg
on the road and it’s getting worse.  Over
Portland’s last 20 games, they are
outscored by 12 ppg including 17 on the road.