Pro gamblers keep rolling. Joe Duffy’s Picks went 4-0 last night and thanks to pro gambler metrics now 37-18 football, college and NFL going back to preseason. A combination of pro systems, best simulators and models, contrarian intel, and outsourced picks from “organic” betting pros, this is what whales all over the world got last night at OffshoreInsiders.com
NFL
Major
MINNESOTA +7.5 Philadelphia
We have several overreaction angles relative to week 1 results, including one that is 67.5 percent, another is 163-110.
CFB
Major
NAVY +14.5 Memphis
Big conference road dogs in a game the oddsmakers say will be low scoring is 436-321-21.
MLB
Major
MILWAUKEE (HOUSER +102) Miami (Perez)
The model’s simulation average moneyline probability of 62.0% is substantially different from the consensus odds implied probability of 50.98.
Minnesota-White Sox OVER 9.5 (Maeda-Urena)
We have angles that compare total to season to date averages for pitcher, team, and also recent play for each. A combo angle in which all apply goes over at a rate of 56.8 percent with thousands in the sample size and it is up for 2023.
It is week 1 of NFL and the bets are up. Joe Duffy and the pro bettors nailed Detroit Thursday as Duffy improves to 18-9 since preseason. We are up toseven NFL for Sunday led by Wise Guy.2 Sunday NFL player props added at OffshoreInsiders.com
Week 1 NFL Free Pick
HOUSTON +9.5 Baltimore
Week 1 teams that missed playoff previous season versus opponent that made the playoffs is 85-56-2. Squares hate 9.5 but under this system is is 6-0 and at 9 or 9.5 it is 9-1. There is a bizarre fear of 9.5 because of 10 being a key number and people think it’s one of the worst numbers in sports, but covers in all situations at 54.5 percent all-time as opposed to 10 at just 50.5.
This is one of those that could easily become a premium bet as of my few sharps has Houston with nobody on Baltimore.
Joe Duffy’s Picks, already the best NFL handicapper ever, has added prop bets to the arsenal at OffshoreInsiders.com Here are free prop trends. ALL records are single game props.
Fantasy football QB props
Justin Fields under 16-9 in passing yards, under 16-6 passing attempts
Daniel Jones under 17-8 in passing yards, under 20-9 interceptions
Ryan Tannehill under 18-8 pass completions
Dak Prescott over 19-10 interceptions
Kenny Pickett under 9-3 interceptions, under 10-2 TD passes
Trevor Lawrence under 25-11 TD passes
Lamar Jackson under 18-6 TD passes
Geno Smith over 14-7 TD passes
Baker Mayfield under 16-8 TD passes
Brock Purdy over 6-1 TD passes
Best NFL Picks Week 1
Joe Duffy’s Picks We are up toseven NFL for Sunday led by Wise Guy.2 Sunday NFL player props added. Oh Joe Duffy is 28-12 this football season at OffshoreInsiders.com
Fantasy football rushing props
Nick Chubb over 21-9 rushing yards
Tua Tagovailoa under 15-5 rushing yards
Justin Fields over 17-8 rushing yards
Brian Robinson Jr. over 9-2 rushing yards
Joe Mixon under 17-7 rushing yards
Josh Jacobs over 22-10 rushing+receiving yards
Christian McCaffrey over 18-7 rushing+receiving yards
There will likely be more picks added but at press time, Joe Duffy’s Picks continues to humiliate the bookies. Oh all I am is 27-12 this football season. Saturday, Non-Conference Game of the Year among 5 Wise Guys, 2 Majors. First 4 NFL for Sunday led by Wise Guy all at OffshoreInsiders.com. Wise Guy plays from Joe Duffy are the single strongest bet in gambling.
This is one of those picks that could possibly be elevated to premium play, but not just yet. Only 37.5 points is expected to be scored in this game, making the 14.5 loom that much larger. I have an angle that says to go with a large underdog in a game anticipated to be low-scoring is 238-188-13.
Also, after an audit, we told you I am weighing some of my outsources a little heavier. When my “organic” trusted sources agree with my computer systems, the winning is insane and one of the few sharps who wins consistently in college football has my back here.
It’s not a premium play at least yet because the quoted system isn’t as good as other ones using different parameters, but the same philosophy. This is in part due to the fact the better versions of this angle have held up even better in recent years. Also, the fact it is an early public bet has kept it from the premium threshold. But stay tuned depending on further corroboration.
Thursday Wise Guy among two winning bets. Seven Saturday college bets also up! I am 15-7 this season already in football, 2-1 college football. Joe Duffy’s Picks are exclusively at OffshoreInsiders.com
Early season big favorites are a 60.2 percent proposition. We have contrarian indexes worldwide: offshore, Vegas, all US states where betting is rightfully legal, and still substantial “outlaw” intel from other states. This as a very strong corroborated contrarian bet worldwide. It is possible this game could be elevated to a premium bet. Check OffshoreInsiders.com for updates.
Joe Duffy is 12-4 in preseason football. A great weekend of college football and NFL begins with Friday night NFL winner at OffshoreInsiders.com
NFL free
NEW ENGLAND -2 Tennessee
Road teams in NFL preseason are 74-38, including 25-9 last five years games expected to be close by the oddsmakers and off a win of six or less. All road teams off cover are 42-19.
Grandmaster Handicapper Joe Duffy has 2 night MLB led by a Wise Guy.We haven’t had a ton of MLB Wise Guys this season, but our ROI 10.8 percent on them. Get it all at OffshoreInsiders.com
Free pick
INDIANAPOLIS -4.5 Philadelphia
Both of our contrarian indexes, one worldwide sportsbooks, the other has to do with super-square outlaw money, has this as a very strong corroborated contrarian bet worldwide. This is very close to a premium bet, but at press time just below the threshold. You may be getting a premium pick for free. We are mere 12-4 in preseason football.
Both Joe Duffy and LateInfo remain the same. Zero changes
Stevie Vincent will return to his roots and go from premium handicapper to free content
MasterLockLine will be dissolved after more than 40 years, though Biggest Play, Hottest Handicapper feature will be integrated into Joe Duffy’s Picks as “outsourced picks” a bit more
All MasterLockLine, Vincent, and Bet it Trinity have been or will get prorated refunds
Vincent and MasterLockLine final day is Sunday, August 20
Adjusting to rapid changes in the industry that have taken place since the Supreme Court lifted the draconian ban on gambling, OffshoreInsiders.com has announced restructuring limited to Stevie Vincent and the MasterLockLine. There are zero changes to Joe Duffy’s Picks and LateInfo.
Stevie Vincent Will Return as Free Content with Some Ala Carte Football Premium Picks
Before becoming a premium handicapper, Stevie Vincent was Executive Editor of the famed scorephone Tailgate Party. He will return to the that with more free content on JoeDuffy.net and @OffshoreInsider on all socials. However, he will likely have some ala carte picks at a low price. While our long-time clients are welcome too, we also desire for potential new clients to see how user friendly the system is. Our research indicates selling a pick at a low price will encourage that. These will be limited to select Perfect Plays and Named Plays from Stevie Vincent. Almost all Vincent content will be free just like the old days.
Vincent and Trinity active clients will get prorated refunds.
MasterlockLine Will Be Eliminated Though Top Picks Integrated Even More into Duffy Outsourced Picks
All MasterLockLine and Trinity active clients will get a prorated refund. Especially in football and basketball, the strongest bets on the MasterLockLine were often from the same sources as Duffy’s outscourced picks, which have increased in winning and frequency. Knowing there would overlapping was figured into this long-thought out decision and a final tipping point. Our audits of what is winning and working from a handicapping standpoint have Joe Duffy eyeing increasing MLB outsources picks, which will be some of the same the MasterLockLine has been crushing with this MLB season.
You Deserve an Explanation; What Factored into this Decision?
There were many factors involved in the restructuring, but they pretty much all fit under the umbrella of rolling with the industry chances. Since the historic aforementioned SCOTUS decision, every three and four-letter network and major newspaper has become our competition. Much like mom-and-pop hardware stores when Home Depot hit their town, it’s tough to compete against Fortune 500 companies.
While OffshoreInsiders.com remains strong financially, we will likely never match the revenue in the days before going up against high-profile networks, regardless of the fact only a few talking heads know crap about handicapping. Fortunately, the product has enabled us to maintain many loyal clients, but it’s the new regulars that has been substantially tougher to acquire.
Thus, the plan is a lot more free content to attract new eyes to our anchor services Duffy and LateInfo. There were other personal issues contributing to this conclusion. My youngest child is going away to college. Thus, my wife and I will soon do a lot more traveling. As our nest is emptying, this is the ideal time to streamline business “distractions” with said consolidation. I’m obsessed with handicapping and will be picking winners until I die. So, unless the guy upstairs has other plans for me, the actuary says I should have a good quarter century of winning picks left in me.
Thank you for the understanding. I believe I’ve laid it out an easy-to-understand explanation, but feel free to ask questions via the contactus form if there are lingering issues I did not address. I hope future and current clients will enjoy the increased free content.
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