Joe Duffy’s Picks is off a winning day, including 2-1 NFL, a powerhouse Saturday is here—2 college football sides, backed by the proven systems we’ve been cashing together for years. Add in 7 NFL winners, and this card is stacked for profit. When the Grandmaster loads up, you don’t want to miss it! OffshoreInsiders.com
Free pick:
Hawaii-Stanford UNDER 50.5
We have an angle that says when winds are above 13 mph, games go under at a 706-527-37 rate. Wind speed is definitely the single most important factor when it comes to handicapping weather. Follow us on all socials at @OffshoreInsider as I will have early week weather reports as well as before gametime.
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Taking Michigan State +9.5 is a solid bet for several reasons.
First, the large point spread combined with a low total in a conference game is a historically profitable angle, with a record of 437-321-23. This trend indicates that when the oddsmakers expect a low-scoring game, getting nearly double-digit points is a significant edge for the underdog with our free football pick.
Recent Performance: Michigan State’s recent win against Florida Atlantic (16-10) shows they can compete in low-scoring games. Their defense held strong, which is crucial when betting on an underdog with a large spread.
Maryland’s Inconsistency: While Maryland had an impressive win against UConn, their performance can be inconsistent. Betting on Michigan State takes advantage of potential variability in Maryland’s play.
Historical Trends: Historically, Michigan State has performed well against the spread in similar situations. This trend, combined with the large point spread, increases the likelihood of them covering.
Motivation and Rivalry: Conference games often bring out the best in teams due to the rivalry and stakes involved. Michigan State will be highly motivated to perform well against a conference opponent.
Betting Market: The betting market often overvalues favorites, especially in conference games. This can create value on the underdog side, making Michigan State +9.5 an attractive bet.
🔥 Joe Duffy is off to a 16-10 start in college football bets and wrapped up the NFL preseason at 12-7! 🏈💪
🎯 Full-Time Handicapper & Pro Bettor Since 1988 📅 🚨 Thursday & Friday NFL Sides Up! Plus Friday night college football side! 🎉 Saturday is staggering with FIVE Wise Guy bets and a stunning 14 majors on the college gridiron! 🏈🔥
🔥 The Top NFL Capper in History, by Far! 🔥⭐️ Sunday: NFL Best Bet of the Week among five Wise Guys and four Majors🔒 Wise Guys from Joe Duffy = The strongest bet in gambling! 🏅 Best Bet of the Week backed by a 44-1 system. 📊 The most statistically significant betting angle in gambling history has a loaded portfolio at OffshoreInsiders.com
Massive 1-day sale on Bet it Trinity 3-day, normally $132, just $89 today. Strongest side and total by any capper on Eastern Conference Finals is right here as I have both side and total led by Wise Guy. NHL sidefrom Joe Duffy, anchor of OffshoreInsiders.com
MLB
Kansas City-White Sox OVER 9 (Greinke-Kopech)
The official outlaw line is 9.5. Our outlaw line is what the line would be without public perception or square line moves. The White Sox average total this season is 8.4, while it is 8.8 for Kansas City. In Zach Greinke’s starts, it is 8.8 and in Michael Kopech’s it’s 9. This total opened at our outlaw line and some 9.5s are still hanging, yet one can now shop around for over 9 with little or no extra juice.
We have an angle that says when a total is high compared to both teams and both pitchers average total, use that knowledge against them and it goes over 2365-1776-156. This includes 58.7 percent this season at 80-57-5, and 11.6 ROI. The squares dropping the total makes it stronger. The Sox have a .463 slugging percentage last seven games and .313 batting average last five. Greinke has a 7.71 road ERA and a .341 OBP against. Kopech has allowed six earned runs in his last two starts totaling just 10 2/3 IP.
It ain’t bragging if it’s true! I am 32-15 in football off another complete sweep of named plays. I am simply so far and away the top football handicapper in the world, almost no pro bettors will bet without my wisdom. NFL and college football winners for Thursday. Friday, get a college football total. Saturday, AAC Total of the Year and Big 10 Cross-Divisional Total of the Year among three Wise Guy among 11 football winners. Sunday, the Mr. NFL responds with five NFL Wise Guys and three Majors.Get the picks now
AKRON +14.5 Bowling Green
College football handicapping is arguably the sport slightly different than some of the other US ATS sports. Most of my best systems would fall under the umbrella of counterintuitive, but this is one of several in college football that are more intuitive. Basically it says to take big points in games the oddsmakers tell us points will be tough to come by.
Big road underdogs in games expected to be low-scoring are 479-352. Power ratings have this a 9.8 point game, thus at 3.8 percent edge. My top simulator has Akron covering 62 percent of the time.
After months of research, we spent a lot of money getting the best computer simulations, power ratings, and models. Six winners, three Wise Guys, the first two at 1:30 and 2 ET! We have two games covering at least 2/3 of our top simulator. The Wise Guy has other strong models backing it up. The other bet is also a very good contrarian and other models have them as slight leans, but none contradicting these bets. Get the picks now
SAN DIEGO STATE +3 UCLA
Malachi Flynn gone, but CS Northridge transfer Terrell Gomez will open court
Big chance to beat a Power 5 team
One of our top projection models did 10,000 simulations and found SD State covering 67 percent
Winning 72-66
Another top model has our side covering 55.8 percent almost dead even with State slightly better
Yes UCLA has 5 starters back, but theory those teams get out of gate quicker is false
Added rotation college basketball winner. 5 Dimes is our preferred bookie for added games.
Key NBA injuries:
Jimmy Butler, MIA vs ORL, questionable
Bam Adebayo, MIA vs ORL, probable
Tony Snell, DET vs CLE , questionable
Derrick Rose, DET vs CLE, probable
Contrarian and consensus intel:
Biggest public consensus in term of percentage of bets: Miami Heat, Dallas
Most lopsided bets in term of percentage of money and biggest sportsbook liabilities: Minnesota Timberwolves
Sharp versus square metrics AKA pros versus Joes: Detroit Pistons
Biggest line moves with opening odds followed by current odds: none in NBA or college basketball
Free pick from Grandmaster Sports Handicapper Joe Duffy.
ARKANSAS PINE-BLUFF +15 Texas Southern
Horrible road teams on the road is 1727-1514-67. Underdogs in a stretch of low-scoring games are 555-438-18. When both apply, it is 195-131-7.
Top expert pick on today’s card is from Joe Duffy. Grandmaster Sports Handicapper Joe Duffy has a named play, a 64 percent proposition in the history of betting since JD made his debut on the free scorephones in 1988 as lead handicapper for the Amazing Cadillac Club. Western Conference Game of the Month among two NBA. Plus that “high volume” super system in college basketball is on a roll, producing a college basketball side. Get the picks now
High volume based on advanced metrics from last game including rebounds, field goal percentage is 1788-1450-80.
Top expert pick on today’s card is from Joe Duffy. I am 63-36 in football and 34-17 NFL, 83-50 in all sports. Simply put, I am the best handicapper in the world and it’s not close, nor has it been for many years. Three NBA winners led by Wise Guy. What are you buying with all the money we’ve won you? Keep winning at OffshoreInsiders.com
Joe Duffy is off to a 2-0 start this week with all picks. Saturday, SEC West Total of the Year among four college football Wise Guys and seven Majors. I am 17-9 in NFL including our only moneyline, a 160 winner! Sunday, 10 NFL plus Monday Night Football.Get the picks now
Your Grandmaster Joe Duffy has these free winning picks.
NFL
Steelers at 49ers
Pittsburgh is 0-2 and off loss as a favorite, which sets up an early season overreaction angle that is 107-74-7 (Pittsburgh)
Undefeated versus winless angle says go with undefeated Niners at 57-38-3 but 5-10 since Oct 13, 2013
Mason Rudolph gets first start of NFL career
San Francisco DE Nick Bosa still slowed by ankle injury but should play
Niners QB Jimmy Garoppolo playing very well after missing 13 games last season
Steelers big trade got Minkah Fitzpatrick from Fins
Expected to start
Niners with second largest margin of cover so far, covering by an average of 20 points per game
Teams covering by an average of at least 18.5 points per game are a go-against of 70-51-4 for 57.9 percent
Pittsburgh second worst at -15.2 points per game
Road teams with -12 or worse ats margin are 113-78 (Steelers)
Air Force takes on Boise State Friday night and the top football handicapper Joe Duffy has the spread winner. Boise State is down to -8 with a total of 55. They opened up at -9.5 and 54. Underdog Air Force is getting 52 percent of bets and 76 percent of money on them. Though 55 percent of bets are on the over, the same 55 percentile of money is on the under.
Joe Duffy has Friday night college football total at sports betting picks headquarters.
Unranked teams to Top 5 on bowl era 121-90 (Vanderbilt)
Vandy run-heavy with Ke’Shawn Vaughn
1244 yards on 7.9 yards per carry
Vandy WR Kalija Lipscomb was second-team All-SEC
UGA RB De’Andre Swift
UGA loaded on defense and huge two-deep front seven
UGA is the fifth most lopsided bet based on percentage of tickets at 91 percent and most lopsided on money at 87 percent
63 percent of bets on over, yet 82 percent of money on under
General belief is go with money if there is a large discrepancy with total number of bets hence UNDER would be sharp
The pick: Vanderbilt +22
7:30PM ET–Missouri at Wyoming
Missouri -17.5 with o/u 55.5
Stadium is 7220 feet above sea level
Missouri QB Kelly Bryant Clemson transfer and TE Albert Okwuegbunam (O-cooey-boon-um) both returing after a lot of time off
The pick: Wyoming +17.5
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