Connecticut-Rutgers Preview

The Connecticut Huskies and the Rutgers Scarlet Knights will both be gunning for a victory on Saturday when they meet at Rutgers Stadium.
Oddsmakers currently have the Scarlet Knights listed as 1-point favorites versus the Huskies, while the game’s total is sitting at 44.
Connecticut fell 38-12 to North Carolina in Week 6, as 8-point underdogs. The 50 points made it OVER the posted total of 46.
Donald Brown racked up 159 yards rushing with a touchdown in the loss.
Mike Teel went 19-for-34 for 175 yards for Rutgers in its 13-10 loss to Cincinnati in Week 7.
Cincinnati couldn’t cover as 8-point home favorites as the game played under the 48.5-point total set by sportsbooks.
Current streak:
Rutgers has lost 2 straight games.
Team records:
Connecticut: 5-1 SU, 2-3 ATS
Rutgers: 1-5 SU, 2-3 ATS
Connecticut most recently:
When playing in October are 3-7
When playing on turf are 3-7
After outgaining opponent are 7-3
When playing within the conference are 6-4

Rutgers most recently:
When playing in October are 6-4
When playing on turf are 4-6
After being outgained are 5-5
When playing within the conference are 3-7

A few trends to consider:
Connecticut is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Connecticut is 5-0-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Rutgers
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Connecticut’s last 7 games on the road
Connecticut is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Rutgers
Rutgers is 15-5 SU in its last 20 games at home
Rutgers is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Connecticut
Rutgers is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
Rutgers is 0-4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Connecticut
Next up:
Connecticut home to Cincinnati, Saturday, October 25
Rutgers at Pittsburgh, Saturday, October 25

 

 

Memphis-East Carolina Preview

The Memphis Tigers and the East Carolina Pirates will both be trying to pick up a win on Saturday when they battle at Dowdy-Ficklen Stadium.
Oddsmakers currently have the Pirates listed as 8-point favorites versus the Tigers, while the game’s total is sitting at 56.
Memphis lost 35-28 to Louisville last time out, as 6.5-point road underdogs. The 63 points made it OVER the posted total of 56.
Arkelon Hall threw for 350 yards with two touchdowns, while also scoring two other TD’s in a losing effort.
Jonathan Williams rushed for 95 yards on 19 attempts with a score for East Carolina in its 35-20 loss to Virginia in Week 7.
Virginia covered as 4-point home underdogs as the teams played over the 41.5-point total listed by sportsbooks.
Current streak:
East Carolina has lost 3 straight games.
Team records:
Memphis: 3-4 SU, 2-3-1 ATS
East Carolina: 3-3 SU, 2-4 ATS
Memphis most recently:
When playing in October are 4-6
When playing on grass are 4-6
After outgaining opponent are 7-3
When playing within the conference are 7-3

East Carolina most recently:
When playing in October are 6-4
When playing on grass are 6-4
After being outgained are 6-4
When playing within the conference are 7-3

A few trends to consider:
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Memphis’s last 13 games on the road
Memphis is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Memphis is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against East Carolina
Memphis is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against East Carolina
East Carolina is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Memphis
East Carolina is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Memphis
The total has gone OVER in 6 of East Carolina’s last 7 games
East Carolina is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
Next up:
Memphis home to Southern Miss, Saturday, October 25
East Carolina at Central Florida, Sunday, November 2

 

Western Michigan-Central Michigan Preview

The Western Michigan Broncos and the Central Michigan Chippewas will both be gunning for a victory on Saturday when they meet at Kelly/Shorts Stadium.
Oddsmakers currently have the Broncos listed as 2-point favorites versus the Chippewas, while the game’s total is sitting at 57.
Tim Hiller’s 2-yard touchdown pass to Branden Ledbetter lifted Western Michigan to a 34-28 overtime win over Buffalo in Week 7.
Western Michigan won as a road pick ’em, as the teams played over the 54-point total set by oddsmakers.
Central Michigan improved to 4-2 on the season as they ran past Temple 24-14 in Week 7. Central Michigan covered the 7.5-point spread, but the 38 points went UNDER the posted total of 47.5.
Current streak:
Western Michigan has won 6 straight games.
Central Michigan has won 2 straight games.
Team records:
Western Michigan: 6-1 SU, 3-3 ATS
Central Michigan: 4-2 SU, 3-2 ATS
Western Michigan most recently:
When playing in October are 6-4
When playing on turf are 6-4
After outgaining opponent are 6-4
When playing within the conference are 6-4

Central Michigan most recently:
When playing in October are 9-1
When playing on turf are 8-2
After being outgained are 6-4
When playing within the conference are 9-1

A few trends to consider:
Western Michigan is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Western Michigan’s last 5 games on the road
Western Michigan is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Western Michigan is 4-1-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Central Michigan
Central Michigan is 12-2 SU in its last 14 games at home
Central Michigan is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Western Michigan
Central Michigan is 11-5 SU in its last 16 games
Central Michigan is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Western Michigan
Next up:
Western Michigan home to Eastern Michigan, Saturday, November 1
Central Michigan at Toledo, Saturday, October 25

 

Miami (Ohio)-Bowling Green Preview

The fans at Doyt Perry Stadium will be treated to a game between the Miami (Ohio) RedHawks and the Bowling Green Falcons when they take their seats on Saturday.
Oddsmakers currently have the Falcons listed as 9½-point favorites versus the RedHawks, while the game’s total is sitting at 51.
Miami (OH) was defeated 17-14 by Northern Illinois in Week 7, as 11-point road underdogs. The combined 31 points fell UNDER the day’s posted total of 42.
Bowling Green roared back with 23 points in the fourth quarter to come away with a 37-33 win over Akron in Week 7. Bowling Green covered the slight 1.5-point spread, while the combined 70 points sailed OVER the posted total of 52.5.
Current streak:
Miami (Ohio) has lost 3 straight games.
Team records:
Miami (Ohio): 1-5 SU, 2-3 ATS
Bowling Green: 3-3 SU, 4-2 ATS
Miami (Ohio) most recently:
When playing in October are 3-7
When playing on turf are 3-7
After being outgained are 5-5
When playing within the conference are 5-5

Bowling Green most recently:
When playing in October are 3-7
When playing on turf are 6-4
After outgaining opponent are 4-6
When playing within the conference are 7-3

A few trends to consider:
Miami (Ohio) is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing Bowling Green
Miami (Ohio) is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Bowling Green
Miami (Ohio) is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Bowling Green
Miami (Ohio) is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Bowling Green
Bowling Green is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Bowling Green’s last 9 games
Bowling Green is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Miami (Ohio)
Bowling Green is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
when playing at home against Miami (Ohio)
Next up:
Miami (Ohio) home to Kent State, Saturday, October 25
Bowling Green at Northern Illinois, Saturday, October 25

 

California-Arizonia Preview

The California Golden Bears and the Arizona Wildcats will both be trying to pick up a win on Saturday when they battle at Arizona Stadium.
Oddsmakers currently have the Golden Bears listed as 3-point favorites versus the Wildcats, while the game’s total is sitting at 52.
Nate Longshore was 17-for-28 for 198 yards with three touchdowns and one interception, as California defeated Arizona State 24-14 in Week 6.
Cal covered as 8-point home favorites as the game played under the 56.5-point total listed by sportsbooks.
Arizona was upset 24-23 by Stanford in Week 7 as a 7-point favorite. The game’s 47 points went UNDER the posted total of 53.
Nic Grigsby ran for 66 yards and a touchdown in a losing effort for Arizona.
Current streak:
California has won 2 straight games.
Team records:
California: 4-1 SU, 4-1 ATS
Arizona: 4-2 SU, 4-2 ATS
California most recently:
When playing in October are 5-5
When playing on grass are 3-7
After outgaining opponent are 6-4
When playing within the conference are 4-6

Arizona most recently:
When playing in October are 4-6
When playing on grass are 6-4
After being outgained are 7-3
When playing within the conference are 5-5

A few trends to consider:
California is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
California is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
California is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Arizona
California is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Arizona
Arizona is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Arizona is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Arizona is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games
Arizona is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games
Next up:
California home to UCLA, Saturday, October 25
Arizona home to Southern Cal, Saturday, October 25

 

Virginia Tech-Boston College Preview

The Virginia Tech Hokies and the Boston College Eagles will both be trying to pick up a win on Saturday when they battle at Alumni Stadium.
Oddsmakers currently have the Eagles listed as 3-point favorites versus the Hokies, while the game’s total is sitting at 41.
Virginia Tech jumped out to a 20-3 and cruised to a 27-13 victory over Western Kentucky in Week 6.
The Hokies failed to cover the 26.5-point spread, while the combined final score played UNDER the day’s posted total of 42.5.
Chris Crane’s touchdown run with 22 seconds remaining pushed Boston College past North Carolina State 38-31 in Week 6.
The Eagles just missed covering the 7.5-point spread, while the combined score played OVER the day’s posted total of 42.5.
Current streak:
Virginia Tech has won 5 straight games.
Boston College has won 3 straight games.
Team records:
Virginia Tech: 5-1 SU, 2-3
ATS
Boston College
: 4-1 SU, 2-2 ATS
Virginia Tech most recently:
When playing in October are 8-2
When playing on turf are 5-5
After outgaining opponent are 8-2
When playing within the conference are 9-1

Boston College most recently:
When playing in October are 9-1
When playing on turf are 8-2
After outgaining opponent are 6-4
When playing within the conference are 6-4

A few trends to consider:
Virginia Tech is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Virginia Tech is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games on the road
Virginia Tech is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
Virginia Tech is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Boston College
Boston College is 21-3 SU in its last 24 games at home
Boston College is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston College’s last 5 games when playing Virginia Tech
Boston College is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Virginia Tech
Next up:
Virginia Tech at Florida State, Saturday, October 25
Boston College at North Carolina, Saturday, October 25

 

 

LSU-South Carolina Preview

The LSU Tigers and the South Carolina Gamecocks will both be gunning for a victory on Saturday when they meet at Williams-Brice Stadium.
Oddsmakers currently have the Tigers listed as 3½-point favorites versus the Gamecocks, while the game’s total is sitting at 43.
LSU was defeated 51-21 by Florida in Week 7, as 6.5-point road underdogs. The 72 points sailed OVER the posted total of 46.5.
Jarrett Lee three two TD passes and was intercepted twice in the loss.
Stephen Garcia’s touchdown pass to Weslye Saunders with 7:08 remaining lifted South Carolina over Kentucky 24-17 in Week 7.
South Carolina won as 2.5-point road underdogs as the teams played over the 37.5-point total set by sportsbooks.
Current streak:
South Carolina has won 4 straight games.
Team records:
LSU: 4-1 SU, 1-3 ATS
South Carolina: 5-2 SU, 3-2-1 ATS
LSU most recently:
When playing in October are 7-3
When playing on grass are 7-3
After being outgained are 8-2
When playing within the conference are 7-3

South Carolina most recently:
When playing in October are 7-3
When playing on grass are 4-6
After outgaining opponent are 5-5
When playing within the conference are 4-6

A few trends to consider:
LSU is 22-3 SU in its last 25 games
LSU is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games on the road
South Carolina is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
South Carolina is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games at home
Next up:
LSU home to Georgia, Saturday, October 25
South Carolina home to Tennessee, Saturday, November 1

 

Missouri-Texas Preview

The Missouri Tigers and the Texas Longhorns will both be trying to pick up a win on Saturday when they battle at Memorial Stadium.
Oddsmakers currently have the Longhorns listed as 4½-point favorites versus the Tigers, while the game’s total is sitting at 65.
Missouri was clipped 28-23 by Oklahoma State in Week 7, as 14.5-point favorites. The 51 points fell UNDER the posted total of 77.
Chase Daniel threw for 390 yards with a TD, while getting intercepted three times in the loss.
Colt McCoy went 28-for-35 for 277 yards with a touchdown, as Texas upset Oklahoma 45-35 at the Cotton Bowl in Week 7.
Texas cashed as 7-point underdogs as the teams played over the 58.5-point total set by oddsmakers.
Current streak:
Texas has won 6 straight games.
Team records:
Missouri: 5-1 SU, 3-2 ATS
Texas: 6-0 SU, 6-0 ATS
Missouri most recently:
When playing in October are 6-4
When playing on grass are 5-5
After outgaining opponent are 8-2
When playing within the conference are 7-3

Texas most recently:
When playing in October are 9-1
When playing on grass are 9-1
After outgaining opponent are 7-3
When playing within the conference are 7-3

A few trends to consider:
Missouri is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Missouri’s last 8 games on the road
Missouri is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Missouri is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
Texas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Texas is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Texas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Texas is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Next up:
Missouri home to Colorado, Saturday, October 25
Texas home to Oklahoma State, Saturday, October 25

 

 

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CFB

BOSTON COLLEGE -2.5 Virginia Tech

This game illustrates why ratings are so much more accurate than rankings. Virginia Tech’s success is because they average 175 yards rushing per game, but a closer look shows that they get just 3.8 yards per carry against teams normally allowing 4.2. Now they face a BC team that holds teams to .8 yards per rush below their normal average.

Overall they allow 4.2 yards per play to teams normally getting 4.7. Tech is actually below average on offense and on defense. They are a paper Hokie. BC is above average on both sides of the ball.

Even the rankings tells us that Tech is not as good as their record. The Hokies are ranked 107th nationally in total offense, averaging 292.8 yards per game, their lowest average since 1987, when Virginia Tech averaged 261.7 yards per game in Beamer’s first season.

The Hokies’ defense, which was ranked third, first, and second the last three seasons, is now ranked 35th, allowing an average of 314.3 yards per game.

Now they have two starters suffering season-ending injuries the last two games – rover back Davon Morgan (torn anterior cruciate ligament) and tailback Kenny Lewis (ruptured Achilles’). Morgan and Lewis were also the Hokies’ primary kick returners. This is the youngest team Frank Beamer ever coached.

 

Oregon State-Washington Preview

The fans at Husky Stadium will be treated to a game between the Oregon State Beavers and the Washington Huskies when they take their seats on Saturday.
Oddsmakers currently have the Beavers listed as 16-point favorites versus the Huskies, while the game’s total is sitting at 60.
Lyle Moevao threw three touchdown passes in leading Oregon State to a 66-13 rout of Washington State in Week 7. Oregon State covered the 30.5-point spread, and the combined 79 points sailed OVER the posted total of 54.
Moevao completed 13-of-25 pass attempts for 203 yards, and ran for a TD in the win.
Washington was defeated 48-14 by Arizona in Week 6, as 24-point road underdogs. The 62 points made it OVER the posted total of 58.5.
Ronnie Fouch threw for 181 yards with a touchdown in the loss.
Current streak:
Washington has lost 5 straight games.
Team records:
Oregon State: 3-3 SU, 4-2 ATS
Washington: 0-5 SU, 1-4 ATS
Oregon State most recently:
When playing in October are 7-3
When playing on turf are 9-1
After outgaining opponent are 5-5
When playing within the conference are 8-2

Washington most recently:
When playing in October are 0-10
When playing on turf are 1-9
After being outgained are 0-10
When playing within the conference are 2-8

A few trends to consider:
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Oregon State’s last 5 games on the road
Oregon State is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Washington
Oregon State is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Oregon State is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Washington
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington’s last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington’s last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington’s last 5 games when playing Oregon State
Washington is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games at home
Next up:
Oregon State home to Arizona State, Saturday, November 1
Washington home to Notre Dame, Saturday, October 25

 

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