Despite a 1-3 record, Kentucky is still one of the National Championship favorites, according to the odds.
With nearly two weeks of play in the books, SportsBetting has opened adjusted odds for the NCAA Men’s college basketball title.
Gonzaga is now a clear-cut favorite at the top of the odds board at 3-1. The Zags and Baylor (6-1) are the only two teams with single-digit odds.
Kentucky has fallen to 16-1 after opening the season with 10-1 odds to win it all.
Duke and Virginia, both handed home upsets already this year, have seen their odds drop from 32-1 and 26-1, respectively.
Iowa squares off with North Carolina tomorrow, and despite the disparity in the teams’ rankings, the Tar Heels have the same championship odds as the Hawkeyes.
Here are the biggest risers and fallers in terms of the odds, and complete title odds for the 2020-21 season are below.
Odds are courtesy of Colorado-based sportsbook SportsBetting
Notable Risers
Gonzaga 9-1 to 3-1
Baylor 12-1 to 6-1
Marquette 100-1 to 47-1
NC State 150-1 to 47-1
Notable Fallers
Villanova 8-1 to 13-1
Kentucky 10-1 to 16-1
Duke 15-1 to 32-1
Virginia 15-1 to 26-1
Florida State 28-1 to 80-1
Oregon 28-1 to 70-1
Michigan 33-1 to 110-1
Arizona State 40-1 to 80-1
Florida 40-1 to 80-1
Arizona 50-1 to 125-1
UConn 50-1 to 150-1
UCLA 50-1 to 150-1
National Championship Odds
Gonzaga 3-1
Baylor 6-1
Villanova 13-1
Kentucky 16-1
Michigan State 16-1
Iowa 21-1
Kansas 21-1
North Carolina 21-1
West Virginia 21-1
Illinois 24-1
Virginia 26-1
Texas Tech 26-1
Tennessee 26-1
Texas 26-1
Duke 32-1
Wisconsin 32-1
Indiana 32-1
Creighton 40-1
Louisville 40-1
Houston 47-1
Ohio State 47-1
Marquette 47-1
NC State 47-1
Purdue 65-1
Arkansas 65-1
LSU 65-1
Richmond 65-1
Rutgers 65-1
Oregon 70-1
Florida 70-1
Maryland 70-1
Florida State 80-1
Arizona State 80-1
Alabama 80-1
Oklahoma 90-1
Michigan 110-1
Stanford 110-1
Colorado 110-1
Memphis 110-1
Miami 110-1
SMU 110-1
St. Louis 110-1
Xavier 110-1
Virginia Tech 110-1
Arizona 125-1
Connecticut 150-1
UCLA 150-1
San Diego State 150-1
Seton Hall 150-1
USC 150-1
Syracuse 150-1
Utah 150-1
Davidson 150-1
Notre Dame 175-1
Penn State 175-1
Butler 200-1
BYU 200-1
Dayton 200-1
Ole Miss 200-1
Western Kentucky 200-1
Cincinnati 200-1
South Carolina 200-1
St. Mary’s CA 200-1
Texas A&M 200-1
Minnesota 200-1
VCU 200-1
Georgia 200-1
Providence 200-1
Galleries
College Basketball Free Play MACtion
Joe Duffy with a massive weekend of football up at OffshoreInsiders.com The Grandmaster is 3-0 in football this week.
Free pick:
TOLEDO -2 Eastern Michigan at Bovada
One of our top projection models did 10,000 simulations and found them covering at a rate 69 percent. Toledo balanced with four guys averaging double-figures. Fifth game for Toledo, just second for Eastern Michigan and teams with at least least four games under their belt playing teams with a max of one game cover about 56 percent of the time.
Critical Betting College Football Notes for December 5
Saturday, MAC East Game of the Year and Fox Saturday Night Game of the Year as we are 30-11 with named plays. 13 winners led by six Wise Guys. Then Sunday, it’s the NFL. NFL Totals Twosome of the Year among 10 winners. Three are Wise Guys. All at OffshoreInsiders.com
- The turbo-charged version of short road underdogs that you have heard about on VSIN points this weekend to Bowling Green, UCLA, Ball State, Florida Atlantic, Nebraska, Memphis, Western Kentucky
- Michigan OVER 10-0-1 coming off a home game where they scored less than 27 points
- Texas RB Keaontay Ingram is transferring
- Gave depth with 250 rushing yards
- Purdue QB Aidan O’Connell is done for year
- 64.7 percent of his pass attempts for 921 yards, 11 TDs, 2 INT
- Jack Plummer takes over as QB
- LSU will start T.J. Finley at QB
- Biggest consensus bets in terms of percent of bets: Alabama 93, Florida 91
- Far and away the two biggest public plays
- Biggest line moves: Hawaii opened -6.5 now +2 to San Jose State, Oklahoma opened -13.5 now -21.5 to Oklahoma, Wisconsin -10 to -14 to Indiana, Colorado -3.5 to -7.5 to Arizona
- Best teams based on margin of cover AKA sweat barometer. ATS record followed by ATS margin: Coastal Carolina 7-1-1 +16.2, BYU 6-2-1 +12, Indiana 6-0 +11.6
- Best teams to bet against based on margin of cover AKA sweat barometer. ATS record followed by ATS margin: Kansas 0-8 -13.4, Penn State 1-5 -12.3, Michigan 1-5 -11.5, Florida State 2-6 -11.1
- Another angle from Joe Duffy’s database. Big away favorites in triple revenge are 63-25. Favors Colorado, Texas A&M, Tulsa
Bet every prop, play, and parlay at Bovada I can personally vouch you will get paid on time, every time. Great sign-up and reload bonuses
Free College Basketball Pick
Joe Duffy’s Picks: Talent lifts us up where we belong. A nice 8-3 recent run. Both college football sides up Thursday as we have acquired many new angles recently and the best keeps getting better. Three college basketball sides. First is at 3 ET and note CBB and CFB at 6 ET!
Free
BOSTON COLLEGE +6 Florida at Bovada
Florida is struggling try to play up-tempo and gave Army way too many open looks in their opener. Boston College is a good shooting team and will make UF pay unless the Gators somehow become infinitely more organized on defense in back-to-back games. Talk about baptism by fire, BC has been competitive in all their games, beating URI, and losing to Villanova and St. John’s by a combined 13 points. Mike White is not a good game coach and he has not figured out how to get his athletes to play solid rotation D. That will cost them against the great guard play of BC led by Wynston Tabbs. Massey says it should be a -4.5 line.
Free College Basketball Pick
Joe Duffy is 5-3 for week, nailing only Wise Guy UIC. NFL total is up. We have added two night college basketball sides for a 3-0 sweep. Get the picks now
COLLEGE BASKETBALL
TARLETON STATE +26.5 Texas A&M
I worked with a journeyman handicapper on the score phones who would bend over backwards to manufacture so-called “intangibles” into his picks. And boy did he reach. But tonight one falls right on our lap–a legitimate intangible.
One of our Golden Rules of betting is that we cannot manufacture emotion. Tarleton State makes their Division I debut, that is against a fellow DI foe. This is their Final 4. Of course they want to keep it competitive and will have a big emotional edge. Not that they need an extra carrot, but they can really around the homecoming of their head coach Billy Gillispie. Though I don’t buy too much into the fact one coach does not want to embarrass the other, A&M’s coach is Buzz Williams, a good friend of Billy and I highly doubt he wants to humiliate Tarleton State on such a big day for the program.
State has some new talent and will have an element of surprise. MasseyRatings has this a 23-point game. So does KenPom. Not shockingly, the public is betting on the chalk, making it a decent contrarian bet. Another Golden Rule is knowing the public loves certainty and hates uncertainty. They are terrified to bet on the box of chocolates, which is why Tarleton State is getting extra points.
College basketball Friday night free pick
Joe Duffy free pick bet.
UNC GREENBORO -3.5 Arkansas Little Rock bet at Bovada
- ALR does not protect ball well and UNCCG will make them pay
- Isiaih Miller will have a field day with steal and scoring on transition
- Little Rock sloppy and barely beat Prairie View A&M without Cam Mack
- Our top-rated simulator program has UNCGB covering 71 percent of time.
Free NCAAB Pick: San Diego State vs. UCLA
After months of research, we spent a lot of money getting the best computer simulations, power ratings, and models. Six winners, three Wise Guys, the first two at 1:30 and 2 ET! We have two games covering at least 2/3 of our top simulator. The Wise Guy has other strong models backing it up. The other bet is also a very good contrarian and other models have them as slight leans, but none contradicting these bets. Get the picks now
SAN DIEGO STATE +3 UCLA
- Malachi Flynn gone, but CS Northridge transfer Terrell Gomez will open court
- Big chance to beat a Power 5 team
- One of our top projection models did 10,000 simulations and found SD State covering 67 percent
- Winning 72-66
- Another top model has our side covering 55.8 percent almost dead even with State slightly better
- Yes UCLA has 5 starters back, but theory those teams get out of gate quicker is false
- MasseyRatings has San Diego State by 5
- KenPom Aztecs winning by one
NFL Picks: Thanksgiving Day Ravens-Steelers
The NFL Specialist is 6-3 NFL. We are a stunning 30-10 with named plays. Friday, college football Wise Guy, two Majors. Saturday, ESPN2 Total of the Year among six college football Wise Guys and four Majors. At press time, we have a substantial NFL card about ready, just waiting on one database update. Get it all at OffshoreInsiders.com
BALTIMORE +4.5 Pittsburgh
First of all, let me refute claims that home field advantage is out the window. Home teams are better both SU and ATS in 2020 than they were last year. Though we agree HFA is about two-points this year rather than three, we have an undefeated team against a team that is 6-4 SU. When we have an inferior road team based on SU record yet not a large underdog, the road team is 147-83-7 ATS. We have a similar angle that has to do with difference in wins, yet spread implies they are much more evenly matched it 165-107-7. Baltimore has lost two straight and obviously Pittsburgh has won 10 in a row. However, when teams are in opposite streaks, going with colder team is 75-44-2 under specific situations. It’s 58-28 for 67.4 percent when the net difference is 12 or better (Pittsburgh +10, Baltimore -2 game streak). Road teams in revenge under specific situations is 315-256-12.
College Basketball Odds to win Each Conference 2020
There’s no telling what team records and schedules will look like at the end of this college basketball season, but we hope every conference can crown a champion when it’s all said and done. OffshoreInsiders.com is the place to go for daily winners, but here are some odds for all the major conferences.
Below, you will find odds to win each of these NCAA Division I Men’s college basketball conferences:
- ACC
- Big 12
- Big East
- Big Ten
- Pac-12
- SEC
- AAC
- A-10
- Mountain West
- WCC
In terms of the National Championship picture, Gonzaga leads the pack at 9-1, but it’s crowded at the top as eight teams have better than 20-1 odds.
Odds are provided bySportsBetting, a licensed sportsbook in Colorado.
ACC
Duke 2-1
Virginia 5-2
Florida State 5-1
North Carolina 5-1
Louisville 12-1
Miami Florida 16-1
Georgia Tech 25-1
Syracuse 25-1
NC State 50-1
Notre Dame 50-1
Clemson 66-1
Virginia Tech 66-1
Boston College 100-1
Pittsburgh 100-1
Wake Forest 100-1
Big 12
Kansas 3-2
Baylor 7-4
Texas Tech 5-1
West Virginia 6-1
Texas 8-1
Oklahoma 20-1
Iowa State 50-1
Kansas State 100-1
TCU 100-1
Big East
Villanova 2-3
Creighton 7-2
Connecticut 5-1
Providence 10-1
Marquette 16-1
Xavier 28-1
Butler 50-1
St. Johns 50-1
Georgetown 100-1
DePaul 250-1
Big Ten
Iowa 5-2
Wisconsin 5-2
Illinois 4-1
Michigan State 4-1
Ohio State 12-1
Michigan 14-1
Indiana 16-1
Purdue 25-1
Maryland 50-1
Minnesota 80-1
Penn State 80-1
Nebraska 100-1
Northwestern 100-1
Pac-12
Arizona State 5-2
UCLA 3-1
Oregon 7-2
Stanford 5-1
Arizona 12-1
Colorado 12-1
USC 12-1
Utah 25-1
Washington 25-1
California 100-1
Oregon State 100-1
Washington State 100-1
SEC
Kentucky 3-2
Tennessee 3-1
LSU 6-1
Florida 8-1
Alabama 12-1
Arkansas 12-1
Auburn 20-1
South Carolina 20-1
Mississippi 40-1
Missouri 50-1
Georgia 100-1
Mississippi State 100-1
Texas A&M 100-1
Vanderbilt 100-1
AAC
Houston 1-1
Memphis 3-1
SMU 5-1
Cincinnati 10-1
Tulsa 10-1
Wichita State 12-1
South Florida 16-1
Central Florida 33-1
East Carolina 50-1
Temple 50-1
Tulane 100-1
A-10
Dayton 2-1
Saint Louis 5-2
Richmond 3-1
Davidson 10-1
Duquesne 10-1
St. Bonaventure 12-1
Rhode Island 25-1
Va Commonwealth 25-1
Massachusetts 33-1
George Mason 50-1
George Washington 66-1
La Salle 80-1
Fordham 100-1
St. Josephs 100-1
Mountain West
San Diego State 3-2
Utah State 2-1
Boise State 3-1
UNLV 8-1
Colorado State 12-1
Nevada 20-1
New Mexico 33-1
Fresno State 50-1
Wyoming 66-1
Air Force 100-1
San Jose State 100-1
WCC
Gonzaga 1-10
BYU 5-1
Saint Mary’s 20-1
San Francisco 20-1
Pepperdine 25-1
Santa Clara 50-1
Pacific 80-1
Loyola Marymount 100-1
San Diego 300-1
Portland 500-1
NBA Win Totals Updated
The Bucks haven’t taken their foot off the gas in either of the last two regular seasons, and the oddsmakers don’t expect them to when the next one kicks off in a month.
SportsBetting has set over/under season victory totals for the 2020-21 NBA regular season, and the Bucks once again sit atop the list, this time with a projected total of 51.
The two L.A. teams have second- and third-highest totals on the board. The Knicks, Pistons and Cavaliers have the lowest projected notches in the win column.
Odds are provided bySportsBetting, a licensed sportsbook in Colorado.
Milwaukee Bucks
O/U 51
Los Angeles Lakers
O/U 47.5
Brooklyn Nets
O/U 46.5
Los Angeles Clippers
O/U 46
Boston Celtics
O/U 45.5
Denver Nuggets
O/U 44.5
Miami Heat
O/U 44
Dallas Mavericks
O/U 43.5
Philadelphia 76ers
O/U 43.5
Toronto Raptors
O/U 43
Utah Jazz
O/U 41
Golden State Warriors
O/U 40
Indiana Pacers
O/U 39.5
Portland Trail Blazers
O/U 39
Houston Rockets
O/U 38
Phoenix Suns
O/U 37.5
New Orleans Pelicans
O/U 34.5
Memphis Grizzlies
O/U 32.5
Atlanta Hawks
O/U 31.5
Orlando Magic
O/U 31
Oklahoma City Thunder
O/U 30
San Antonio Spurs
O/U 29.5
Washington Wizards
O/U 28.5
Chicago Bulls
O/U 28
Sacramento Kings
O/U 28
Minnesota Timberwolves
O/U 27.5
Charlotte Hornets
O/U 24
New York Knicks
O/U 22.5
Detroit Pistons
O/U 22
Cleveland Cavaliers
O/U 21.5