Ravens vs. Eagles Free NFL Pick

Free winning pick from Joe Duffy, CEO of OffshoreInsiders.com

Ravens (-7.5)-Eagles

  • Baltimore is 4-1 SU including 2-0 road, Philly 1-3-1 SU, 0-1-1 home
  • Sets up anti-splits angle about fading road teams who have been better on road than home team has been at home is 142-108-11 (Eagles)
  • Eagles 1-4 ats -5.8 but sets up a great regression to the mean angle about betting on bad teams 194-116-13
  • Yes Jackson is one of the top road QBs, but you can’t bet retroactively and 7.5 points on the road is a ton
  • Eagles allowed to have about 6,000 fans
  • Admittedly our power ratings, two say the line is about right; another simulator likes Ravens and big road favorites have been good plays in recent years
  • Probably short of premium play


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