Tag Archives: winning NFL picks week 7

NFL Betting Primer Week 7

Everything bettors must know for NFL betting for Sunday, October 25.

Best teams to bet on according to margin of cover. Margin of cover is a long-time tool of original cappers used to measure the reliability of the often deceptive ATS and OU records. It is much like margin of victory, except it measures margin relative to the point spread or OU. With over-under, “overs” are listed first. Some Johnny-Come-Lately handicappers call this the sweat barometer.

Team ATS Record ATS margin
Miami 4-2 10.9
Pittsburgh 4-1 7.2
Arizona 4-2 6.7

Best teams to bet against in terms of margin of cover.

Team ATS Record ATS margin
NY Jets 0-6 -11.3
Dallas 0-6 -8.9
Jacksonville 2-4 -5.7

Best over teams based on average number of points they’ve gone over by

Team Over Record Over-Under margin
New Orleans 5-0 10.8
Dallas 4-2 10.7
Las Vegas 4-0-1 10.6
Tennessee 4-1 10.1

Best under teams based on average number of points they’ve gone under by

Team Under Record Over-Under margin
Arizona 6-0 -4.8
LA Rams 4-2 -4.1
NY Giants 5-2 -3.4

Sunday, 10 NFL winners led by Wise Guy from Joe Duffy’s Picks. Oh, last week Detroit wins as NFL GOY and yesterday Oklahoma UNDER as College Football Total of the Year.  Get the picks now

ATS Trends

  • Kansas City 13-2 all
  • Chargers 0-7 home favorites
  • Seattle 7-0 road favorites
  • Detroit 3-12 last 15

Over-Under trends

  • Pittsburgh under 36-8-2 road
  • Cleveland over 7-0 favorites


  • Cardinals superstar WR DeAndre Hopkins is questionable
    • 47 catches, 601 yards, 2 TDs
  • Jets WR Jamison Crowder is doubtful
    • Already 29 catches for 383 yards, 2 TDs
  • Saints WR Emmanuel Crowder out
    • 26 catches, 304 yards, 2 TDs
  • Buffalo is down to one true TD, Tyler Croft with has 6 catches
  • Rams WR Robert Woods is probable for Monday
  • Pats WR Julian Edelman questionable
    • 20 catches for 302 yards
  • Jets QB Sam Darnold is probable
    • Another shaky year with 3 TD and 4 INT
    • See above, likely to be without top WR

Top consensus plays in terms of percent of bets: Green Bay (69), Dallas (64), Seattle (64) as the usual public love of road favorites keeps rolling along.

Top consensus plays in terms of percent of money: Green Bay (97), Tennessee (88), Seattle (84)