Category Archives: Sports Betting News

Get sports betting information and updates to beat the sportsbooks including sports handicapping information and how to beat the Vegas line. While beating the NFL lines and the NCAA college football odds is the specialty of GodsTips, we also have information on sports service plays on the MasterLockLine and beating the over/under Vegas betting line is the domain of Stevie Vincent.

What to Expect For the Rest of February NCAA Betting

Here is a sample crib sheet of news, notes, trends and
tendencies that OffshoreInsiders.com handicappers
use.

Arizona, Not a Wise Bet?

Nic Wise is Arizona’s
only true point guard and will likely not be back for the Pac-10 Tournament,
perhaps even the NCAA Tournament. This is a huge loss and the Wildcats will toil
against good pressure defenses. Those who best halftime lines, look for Arizona
to struggle late in games with no depth at point guard.

However, should Zona struggle as
expected then get Wise back earlier than anticipated, we will ride them,
knowing their game will return.

Oregon State, Ride Them

Okay, let’s explain our successful dichotomous spread team
theory again. We discount 98 percent of
trends, but this has proven to be the exception to the rule. In short, if a
team has a great SU record but horrid ATS record or visa versa, you ride for
that to continue as it is the sign of which teams are most under or overvalued.

Oregon State
has a rallying cry. They have used reports from an “unnamed coach” being quoted
as saying OSU quit on the season. They will be
getting a lot of points, in their remaining contests, in arguably the toughest
conference. Because they are a rare substandard team in the Pac-10, Beavers
bettors will benefit from sandwich games, letdown games, and look-ahead
contests. They should be a good spread time from here on out.

Carolina, Vulnerable ATS

It’s not likely North Carolina
is going to sneak up on any team or oddsmaker. But
now they have several key injuries: star Ty Lawson
remains sidelined, Marcus Ginyard is playing wounded
on both feet, Deon Thompson is less than 100 percent and one of their best
bench players, Bobby Frasor is out for the year.

“Chemistry” is one buzzword we actually welcome and
subscribe to the theory. Keep in mind that the Tar Heels have already had three
overtime games in the ACC and three games decided by two or fewer points in
their first 10 conference games.

Yes, they have depth, but not only is that being tested
but Carolina has had to change
lineups often. While other teams are gelling this time of the year, Carolina
is making adjustments.

Be Leery of Betting on Kansas State

The Wildcats have been one of the great surprises in the
nation under first year coach Frank Martin. But they’ve gone from hunter to the
hunted. Also, they have their biggest tests coming up at home to Texas
on Feb. 26 followed by a huge rematch against a Kansas
team they recently conquered. However, the rematch is at Allen Fieldhouse. We think K States Vegas betting value has
reached its peak.

The author, Joe Duffy, is CEO of OffshoreInsiders.com.
It’s approaching conference tournament time. From the mid-majors to the “BCS”
conferences, nobody picks more winners than Dream Team at GodsTips, the anchor
of OffshoreInsiders.com


Latest Presidential Betting Odds

Hillary Clinton, Barack Obama, John McCain and Rudolph
Giuliani respectively are the current favorites to win the US
Presidential election according to one of the European sportsbooks Ladbrokes.

Hillary Clinton is the slight favorite at 5/4, followed
closely by Obama at 2/1, John McCain at 4/1 and Giuliani at 8/1. Surging
Republican Mike Huckabee is 12/1, potential
third-party candidate Michael Bloomberg is 16/1, and Mitt Romney at 20/1.

Pro-choice when it comes to betting online candidate Ron
Paul is at 66/1. Also-rans include “two-Americas” John Edwards and Fred
Thompson each at 100/1. Disgraced potential Green Party candidate Cynthia
McKinney does not even show up on the radar screen.

Our preferred online casino is NewBodog but
they currently do not have updated POTUS odds. Republican
voters proved sports
betting expert
Joe Duffy correct when he correctly stated, “A comeback by
the Arizona Senator would surprise few Presidential historians,” when we
previously previewed the potential Republican
and Democratic
nominees.

Regardless of the nominee, Democrats are heavily favored
to take the White House at 2/5 while the GOP is 7/4. This is quite surprising
considering the Democratic controlled Congress has approval ratings double
digits below the Republican President George Bush.

OffshoreInsiders.com will continue
to update political odds and previews.


Brady, Moss and Company Overwhelming Chalks to Win Super Bowl XLII

It was only a question of by how much. The 16-0 New
England Patriots are the overwhelming favorites to win the 2008 Super Bowl.
Bill Belichick, Tom Brady, Randy Moss and company are probative -139 favorites
to win Super Bowl XLII.

The defending Super Bowl champion Indianapolis Colts are
next at +550. While we could find no credible NFL or sports betting expert who
believes anyone other than New England should be the
favorite, several agree they are far from a lock.

“If Marvin Harrison can get even 80-percent healthy, the
Colts will be a very live dog.” says Cy McCormick of MasterLockLine.com

The Dallas Cowboys are next at +685, though it is unknown
at this time if Jessica Simpson will attend any games in her pink Tony Romo jersey. Green Bay,
in Brett Favre’s sixth annual “might be his last
hurrah” checks in at +950.

Two years ago, Pittsburgh
became the first team road wild card squad in win the Super Bowl. The Jaguars
are +1900 to do the same. Ironically, they open up in Pittsburgh,
but the Steele City
boys get no respect at +5000.

Mike Godsey, the top NFL betting expert at GodsTips.com, believes the Chargers are
without question the best dark horse at +2004. “They no longer have the worst
postseason coach in NFL history (Marty Schottenheimer) and the fact Norv Turner underused LaDainian Tomlinson early in the year
may make Norv look like a mad genius”.

Godsey adds, “Ala Jake Delhomme, Philip Rivers can be
feast or famine, but he can carry a team when he’s on.”

Rounding out the AFC, the Tennessee Titans are very long
shots at +11250. The NFC teams that oddsmakers give little chance to are the Seattle
Seahawks at +4243, Tampa Bay Buccaneers +7500, the other Manning, Eli and the
New York Giants at +7000 and the Washington Redskins at +6613.

Stevie Vincent of BetOnSports360.com,
add that “If a riverboat gambler likes riding the hot hand, he may want to take
a long look at Washington” a team
that played much better when Todd Collins took over at quarterback.

The author Joe Duffy is CEO of sports handicapping website OffshoreInsiders.com


Central Michigan-Purdue Betting Preview

Central Michigan takes on Purdue in
the Motor City
bowl. The Boilermakers are an eight-point favorite with a total of 71.5-72, so
shop around at our vetted sportsbooks.

Taken from our sports betting
previews
from articles around the Internet, Purdue players have expressed
how they want to go out on a high note after losing their final three regular
season games including to rival Indiana (a GodsTips.com
Wise Guy winner for sports bettors.

This is a rare bowl rematch as Purdue crushed the
Chippewas 45-22 back on Sept. 23.

The Bowl
previews
told you that offensively, this is one of the more evenly matched
statistical battles. Purdue gets just .4 more first downs per game but CMU gets
27.4 more yards per game on .4 more yards per play. The Boilermakers get 22.2
more yards per game in the air. The biggest edge is on rushing yards per
attempt where the Chippewas get .9 more. While Central accumulates .2 more
passing yards per attempt, it’s Purdue earning .3 more passing yards per
reception.

Purdue’s defensive superiority is across the board, but
not by dominating margins. They allow 3.4 fewer first downs per game on 64.7
fewer total yards. They also allow .8 less yards per play. The biggest upper
hand is with pass defense, allowing 1.7 less passing yards per attempt and 1.3 less
passing yards per reception and a passing percentage against of 7.9 better than
CMU allows. In turnovers and rushing yards per attempt the teams are nearly
even.

CMU went 7-2 straight up down the stretch and 5-3-1 against the spread during that
span. They also exceeded the total in seven of their last eight. Purdue went
3-6 against the spread to close out the regular season, including three
straight losses outright.

 


Bowl Breakdowns, Part 3

This is Part-3 where the Center of the Handicapping
Universe Joe Duffy’s GodsTips.com breaks down the statistical comparisons of
the bowl games. This report entails games of Dec. 28-Dec. 29.

Michigan State-Boston College

To say the least, these two teams are closely matched
statistically on both sides of the ball. BC does get 3.3 more first downs per
game but they are dead even in yards per play. Michigan
State
gets 93.5 more rushing yards
per game but Boston College
accrues 103.8 more passing yards. It’s a net edge of 10.3 for the Eagles.

However, the Spartans do get .9 more rushing yards per
attempt and .8 more passing yards per reception.

Boston College allows19.9 fewer total yards per game on .7
less yards per play and 66 fewer rushing yards per game. However, MSU allows 46.1 fewer passing yards per game. In the key
areas of yards per play, BC has the upper hand in rushing yards per attempt
allowed of 1.6, passing yards per attempt of .6 and passing yards per reception
of .9. Even the turnover ratio is close with Mich State
having a net edge of two.

TCU-Houston

It’s Houston
as the mathematically superior team on the offensive side of the ball, but TCU on defense. Houston
gets 3.7 more first downs per game, 124.8 more yards, 1.4
more yards per play. This is on 1.3 more rushing yards per attempt, 1.8 more
passing yards per attempt and 1.2 more passing yards per reception. The Cougars
also complete 9.5 more percent of the passes.

The only exception to Houston
winning every offensive and TCU every defensive matchup
is Houston allowing 2.6 less
percent pass completions on defense. Other than that, the Horned Frogs are
allowing 46.6 fewer total yards per game, on 1.1 less yards per play. The
biggest edge is in yards per catch allowed at 3.6.

Maryland-Oregon State

Oregon State
has slight total yards advantages on both sides of the ball, but not so much in
all the yards per rush/pass/play categories. OSU has a 20.3 yards per game upper hand on
offense. However the Terps get a slight .2 yards per play edge. Maryland
gets 1.8 more passing yards per attempt and 1.3 more passing yards per
reception. The Terrapins also complete 8.8 more percent of the passes.

Oregon State
allows 42.9 less yards per game and .8 less yards per play. Maryland
though does allow 18.8 fewer passing yards. The Beavers allow 1.8 fewer rushing
yards per attempt, but Maryland
allows .2 less passing yards per attempt and 1.9 less passing yards per
reception. Oregon State
allows 7.4 less percent of their opponents passes to
be completed. Maryland has a
turnover ratio advantage of six.

Central Florida-Mississippi State

Central Florida has accrued 121.3
more total yards per game on 1.4 more yards per play. UCF
gets 1.6 more rushing yards per attempt and 1.6 more passing yards per attempt
as well as 1.3 more passing yards per reception. The Golden Eagles complete 7.2
more percent of their passes.

Mississippi State
has the advantage in more defensive categories though. They allow 66.1 less
passing yards, though Central Florida allows 27.9 less
rushing yards. The biggest edge is in turnover ratio where UCF
is 10 better.

Penn
State-Texas A&M

The teams could not be closer offensively with A&M
getting a measly 3.8 more yards per game but they are dead even in yards per
play and close in ever other category.

Penn State
sweeps the defense, allowing 109.4 less yards per game on 1.3 less yards per
play. The Nittany Lions allow 1.5 less rushing yards per attempt and 1.3
passing yards per attempt.

The Aggies have a turnover ratio
of seven better.

OffshoreInsiders.com
is offering complete bowl packages for Joe Duffy’s GodsTips for $149, Stevie
Vincent’s BetOnSports360 for $199 or both for $299. Both handicappers give
detailed analysis on every pick. Sign up now at OffshoreInsiders.com


Bowl Breakdowns, Part 2

This is Part-2 where the Center of the Handicapping
Universe Joe Duffy’s GodsTips.com breaks down the statistical comparisons of
the bowl games. This report entails games of Dec. 23-Dec. 27.

East Carolina-Boise State

Boise is much
better on both sides of the ball. They get 4.9 more first downs per game on
98.6 total yards per game and .7 more yards per play. East Carolina
holds their own in ball control though as the teams are dead even in rushing
yards per attempt. Boise gets 1.5 more passing yards per attempt but their
passing yards per reception is actually less than many may think, getting a
minimal .5 more than the Pirates.

The Broncos actually have slightly better margins of
advantage on the defensive side of the ball. The Boise
boys allow 5.7 fewer first downs per game, 107.7 fewer yards on .8 less yards
per play allowed. The superiority is pretty consistent though as they allow .4
less rushing yards per attempt and 1.1 less passing yards per attempt. However,
ECU allows .2 fewer passing yards per reception. Boise
has a commanding advantage in pass completion percentage allowing 10.2 less.
Before you conclude the stats say Boise
should be an even bigger chalk, note ECU protects the ball much better with a
turnover ratio 10 better than BSU.

Central Michigan-Purdue

Offensively, this is one of the more evenly matched
statistical battles. Purdue gets just .4 more first downs per game but CMU gets
27.4 more yards per game on .4 more yards per play. The Boilermakers get 22.2
more yards per game in the air. The biggest edge is on rushing yards per
attempt where the Chippewas get .9 more. While Central accumulates .2 more
passing yards per attempt, it’s Purdue earning .3 more passing yards per
reception.

Purdue’s defensive superiority is across the board, but
not by dominating margins. They allow 3.4 fewer first downs per game on 64.7
fewer total yards. They also allow .8 less yards per play. The biggest upper
hand is with pass defense, allowing 1.7 less passing yards per attempt and 1.3
less passing yards per reception and a passing percentage against of 7.9 better
than CMU allows. In turnovers and rushing yards per attempt the teams are
nearly even.

Texas-Arizona State

Texas is
slightly better overall offensively, but Arizona
State
is better in the air. The Longhorns
amass 52 more yards per game on .8 more yards per play. Texas
has the smash mouth upper hand by a significant 1.5 more yards per rush.
However it’s ASU that accrues .4 more passing yards
per attempt and .7 more passing yards per reception.

Contrary to the stereotype of the Pac-10, the Sun Devils
allow 3.3 fewer first downs per game, 35.9 fewer yards and .2 less yards per
play. Texas though allows 7.8
fewer yards per rush. The Longhorns get the edge in rushing yards per attempt
allowed by .6, but ASU allows 1.0 passing yards per
attempt but Texas .4 less passing
yards per reception allowed.

ASU has significant superiority
on passing percentage allowed by 10.1 and turnover ratio by 10.

OffshoreInsiders.com
is offering complete bowl packages for Joe Duffy’s GodsTips for $149, Stevie
Vincent’s BetOnSports360 for $199 or both for $399. Both handicappers give
detailed analysis on every pick. Sign up now at OffshoreInsiders.com


2007 College Bowl Previews, Part 1

This is Part-1 where the Center of the Handicapping
Universe Joe Duffy’s GodsTips.com breaks down the statistical comparisons of
the bowl games. This report entails games of Dec. 20-22.

Navy-Utah

The big underdogs Midshipmen have the numbers on the
offensive side of the ball. They get 4.8 more first downs per game, 81.8 total
yards and 1.1 more yards per play. However while Navy gets 187.8 more rushing
yards per game, Utah passes for
106.1 more.

Navy gets 1.7 more rushing yards per attempt and 2.8 more
passing yards per attempt. Surprising to many, the Naval
Academy
also gets 6.1 more passing
yards per reception.

The Utes come back and have the edge in most defensive
stats. They allow 6.2 fewer first downs per game, 118.4 fewer yards on 1.6 less
yards per play. They allow 3.1 less passing yards per attempt and they have a
monster advantage in passing percentage allowing 18.7 less. The Utes have the
upper hand in turnover ratio by 11.

Florida Atlantic-Memphis

Memphis has
slight edges on the offensive side of the ball, but by only 34.3 yards per game and .2 yards per play. However, showing
how close they are mathematically on offense, FAU
gets .5 more passing yards per reception.

Likewise Florida Atlantic gets the nod defensively, but
not by much. They allow 22.4 less total yards per game and .6 less yards per
play. The biggest edge by either team is on turnover ratio where Florida
Atlantic has a superiority of 13.

Southern
Miss-Cincinnati

The Bearcats have the numbers on offense getting 64.2 more
yards on .7 more yards per play. However, the Eagles get 18.4 more rushing
yards per game. Cincy gets 1.9 more passing yards per
reception.

Defensively it’s very close. They are 1.4 yards per game allowed apart
with Southern Mississippi getting the nominal win. But
the Bearcats actually give up .3 fewer yards per play. While Cincinnati is
better against the run by 42.8
yards
per game and a full yard per carry, Southern Miss
is superior by 44.2 passing yards per game, though it’s Cincy
allowing .1 less passing yards per attempt and .6 less per catch. As is the
case with many statistically evenly matched squads, where the big advantage
lies is in the turnover margin category. Give that to Cincinnati
by a significant margin of 21.

Nevada Reno-New Mexico

Nevada has a
substantial lead in every significant offensive category except completion
percentage in which New Mexico
gets the edge by 4.8. Nevada gets
130.8 more total yards per game, 1.6 more yards per play. The edge is across
the board 1.5 rushing yards per attempt, 2.2 passing yards per attempt and a
very efficient 5.2 more passing yards per reception. Nevada
also gets 6.2 more first downs per game.

New Mexico
has the better statistical defense, but by slightly smaller margins. They allow
72.3 fewer total yards on 1.0 less yards per play. Talk about consistent, New
Mexico allows 1.0 less rushing yards per attempt and 1.0 less passing yards per
attempt.

UCLA-BYU

The Cougars are a cut above on each side of the ball,
especially on offense. BYU gets 125 more total yards
per game, led by 8.0 more first downs and 1.1 more yards per play. They also
get 1.6 more passing yards per attempt and complete a commanding 11.3 more
percent of their pass attempts.

The teams are dead even defensively on the ever important
yards per play category, though BYU allows 39.5 less
total yards per game. All in all, the teams are extremely close in the major
handicapping defensive comparisons.

OffshoreInsiders.com is
offering complete bowl packages for Joe Duffy’s GodsTips for $149, Stevie
Vincent’s BetOnSports360 for $199 or both for $399. Both handicappers give
detailed analysis on every pick. Sign up now at OffshoreInsiders.com


Conference Championship Bettors Preview

From the standpoint of the sports better, the staff of OffshoreInsiders.com
breaks down some key statistical comparisons for the conference championship
games.

MAC

Central Michigan-Miami Ohio

The Chippewas have the upper hand in most offensive
categories, but the RedHawks have the statistical
advantage defensively.

CMU amasses 78.9 more total yards per game on .7 more
yards per play. One of the more prominent areas is in rushing yards per attempt
where Central has the edge by 1.1. Miami Ohio
though relies much more on the big play. Despite completing 11.2 percent less
of their passes, the RedHawks get 1.7 more passing
yards per reception.

On defense, it’s Miami
with a superiority of 94.3 fewer yards allowed per game on .8 less yards per
play. They also allow a completion percentage of 7.2 less.

Conference USA

Tulsa-Central Florida

It’s yet another contest where one team has a fairly
significant edge on offense, while the other gets the numbers their way on defense.
Offensively, Tulsa has a yards per game pre-eminence if 124.9 total yards per game.
But it’s because of 181.4 yards
per game passing difference as UCF rushes for 56.5
more yards per game. The Golden Hurricanes do average 1.2 more yards per play,
a telling statistic say most top gamblers.

However, likewise UCF accrues .5
more yards per rush, but Tulsa 2.3
more yards per pass and 3.6 more yards per catch.

The Golden Knights allow 102.1 fewer yards on .9 less
yards per play allowed. Perhaps the biggest numerical disparity is in turnover
ratio. Tulsa is -7, but UCF +5, a
net advantage of 12 for Central.

ACC

Virginia Tech-Boston College

Although BC has an edge of 105.5 more total yards per
game, Tech rushes for 27.8 extra yards. The Eagles get 7.6 more first downs per
game. In the ever important yards per play category, it’s Boston
College
getting .7 more. Tech
though has a pretty significant numerical dominance of 1.1 more yards per
catch.

On defense, the check marks favor V Tech by 48.7 total
yards per game and .4 yards
per play. BC though allows 20.6 fewer rushing yards on a few half-yard less per
attempt. The Hokies have a huge turnover margin upper hand by 10.

SEC

Tennessee-LSU

Numerically, the Tigers are better on both sides of the
ball. LSU gets 44.8 more yards per game, though the Vols accumulate 27.8 more passing yards. The biggest
discrepancy is in passing yards per reception where LSU
gets 2.0 more. With Tennessee
completing 7.3 higher percent of the passes, the overall offensive upper hand
for LSU is fairly nominal.

Defensively LSU permits 121.8
fewer yards on 1.2 less yards per play. Tennessee
is less vulnerable to the big play, allowing 1.3 fewer passing yards per
attempt. LSU has a turnover ratio better by 12.

Big 12

Oklahoma-Missouri

These two teams are fairly close on paper. In fact, while Mizzou gets 49.8 more yards per game, Oklahoma
accumulates .3 more yards per play. Oklahoma
has the edge in both rushing yards per attempt and passing yards per attempt by
.2 and 1.4 respectively and they also get 2.4 more passing yards per reception.

Also the Sooners have slight edges in most defensive
categories including yards per game of 56.2 and .4 fewer yards per play
allowed. Yet the Tigers allow .1 less passing yards per attempt and .4 less
passing yards per reception.

By popular request, OffshoreInsiders.com
brought back the college and NFL football-only packages through the Super Bowl
for both Joe Duffy’s GodsTips and Stevie Vincent. Get the rest of the season
beginning now just in time for Green Bay-Dallas and the conference championship
games. Get it at OffshoreInsiders.com


NFL Injuries For November 25

The top handicapping experts of OffshoreInsiders.com
give you NFL injuries for fantasy football
players and sports bettors.

Titans-Bengals

Tennessee
starting defensive tackle Albert Haynesworth is a game
time decision.

Raiders-Chiefs

Chiefs running back Larry Johnson
is out. Of course his back-up Priest Holmes retired.

Seahawks-Rams

The Seahawks wide receiver D.J.
Hackett is very probable. Running back Shaun Alexander is out again. Quarterback
Matt Hasselbeck missed practice early in the week, but will likely play with
bruised ribs.

Vikings-Giants

Will superstar Adrian Peterson make his return for Minnesota?
Not likely tells Cy McCormick of the online betting
syndicate MasterLockLine.com. Peterson is very doubtful.

Reports say the Giants wide receiver Plaxico Burress’
ankle has gotten worse and will be limited. The huge story is long-time scorephone
sports handicapping expert Sean Michaels is the No. 1 football handicapper this
year. The NFL Game of the Year goes from him on the Vikings-Giants game. He’s
selling it for $50, but the MasterLockLine has it for just $16 part of a
package of top sports service plays. Click now to purchase

Bills-Jaguars

Buffalo star
running back Marshawn Lynch is out.

Saints-Panthers

The Saints running back Reggie Bush most likely gets the
start but a final decision will be made during warm-ups. Panthers quarterback
Vinny Testaverde was added to the injury list after his back tightened up. His
status will also be determined after warm-ups. Stiff David Carr is available.

Ravens-Chargers

The Ravens are without starting quarterback Steve McNair
and tight end Todd Heap. Cornerback Chris McAlister is a game time decision.

Browns-Texans

The founder of forensic handicapping Stevie Vincent is on a
17-9 NFL run and he’s 11-2 all-time with Vegas Insider plays. That 84.6 percent
record goes on the line with the over/under bet in this game. Mastering over/under has been Stevie’s gift. He has four plays and the top angle in each
of his four games is a combined 36-2 and he always tells you what the angles
are. Click now to purchase

Broncos-Bears

Denver has
some serious issues at running back. Running back Travis Henry is out and Selvin Young is a game time decision.

Patriots-Eagles

Eagles signal caller Donovan McNabb it out. A.J. Feeley
gets the start. The top sports service on the planet, GodsTips has a rare total
on this game. They are also the hottest sports service going a shocking 50-24
with Wise Guy plays, many were moneyline dogs. Click now to purchase

Redskins-Buccaneers

Wide receiver James Thrash it out for the Skins.


Early Season NBA Betting Crib Sheet

As is the case in all sports, everyone and their sister
are doing NBA season previews. This is very much true even with those in the
handicapping industry. From a spread bettor’s standpoint, these forecasts can
have little value.

As we point out similar examples in every sport, San
Antonio
could have the best record in the NBA and Atlanta
could have the worst. Yet it’s still
conceivable that the Hawks could have a better spread record.

Being right about projected divisional standings assures
little in spread betting. Just imagine
the gambling bloodbath when such predictions are wrong.

This year’s NFL is an aberration where the two of the
three teams widely considered being the best in the NFL before the year
started—Indianapolis and New
England
—also have great spread records. How quickly we forget the
Chargers were among the big three preseason favorites, though we know they will
be heard from. But let us get back to the NBA.

Elite handicappers look for fluid tendencies rather than
handicapping an entire season before it starts. This is a big reason why we
minimize futures bets and even playoff series bets, to eliminate the danger of
being even subconsciously biased in our day to day soothsaying.

At OffshoreInsiders.com,
we compile pages of notes for our betting “cheat sheets” on every
team, updated daily. So here are some highlights of early tendencies we are
looking for in our every day NBA handicapping:

Golden State: “Predictably Unpredictable”

One of our many Golden Rules of sports handicapping is
that square players avoid erratic teams, sharp players love them. In short, the
angle is that we bet against such teams the hotter and bigger favorite they are
and wager on them the colder and bigger underdog they become.

Yes, professional gamblers know there are many situations
to go with horrible, slumping teams and go against elite teams during their
winning streak. Why will the Warriors be a team squares hate and sharpies love?

Well, yet another Golden Rule that has made you and us a
fortune this college football season: it’s easier to be the hunter than the
hunted. Golden State
enters the year as a chic team fresh off a 16-5 straight up run to close out
the regular season, followed by the historic upset of Dallas.

Golden State
is a high flying, up-tempo team that lives off the three-point shot. Last year
they led the league in three-point attempts and their average went up after the
Jan. 16 trade in which they acquired Stephen Jackson and Al Harrington.

Riding the hot hand, they shot the three-pointer even more
in the playoffs, averaging a stunning 31 attempts per game in the post-season
compared to 23.4 attempts before the aforesaid trade. This is even more
significant because defenses tighten and the pace slows in the postseason.

This formula means they will look like a lottery team one
night and a championship contender the next night. Perhaps it’s the Golden
(State) Rule. Watch them drive 90 percent of gamblers nuts, yet be “Golden”
going both for and against for wiseguy gamblers, depending on the situation.

Grizzlies Built to Improve as the Year Goes
On

Memphis had
the worst record in the NBA last year, but they have a fresh coach, new GM, and
a plethora of new to the job players.

And we do mean “new”. Their coach Mark Iavaroni has his
first head coaching job. Other than Damon Stoudamire, the average player has
less than three years NBA experience. They will be better in January and
February than in November. Best of all, their early season struggles will lower
their value with the offshore and Vegas sportsbooks just in time for them to
improve.

Look for us to ride them as huge underdogs after their
first 15-20 games of abysmal play. We eye them as one of the top dichotomous
ATS and SU squads. Again, the script and
a successful evergreen one at that: we discount 98 percent of trends, but this
has proven to be the exception to the rule. If a team has a great SU record but
horrid ATS record or visa versa, we bet for that to continue as it is the sign
of which teams are most under or overvalued.

Mavericks an Early Season “Over” Team

Dallas coach
Avery Johnson transformed the Mavericks from a shoot and let God sort them out
team to a squad that thought defense first, second and third. The result was
one of the great postseason failures in sports history.

Johnson learned that having Dirk Nowitzki thinking defense
foremost is the equivalent of trying to make Peyton Manning or Tom Brady a
thousand yard rusher.

Not only will Dallas
correct that blunder, but the focus this offseason was improving their
weakness: their offense against the zone. New assistant coach Paul Westphal was
hired to do just that, among other things focusing on execution rather than
trying to outsmart their opponent with new fangled looks. This is a wise move
considering Dallas has the
offensive weapons. Look for point guard Devin Harris to be among the most
improved players in the league offensively.

Nets Will Come Out of the Gates Quickly

The Nets point guard and leader Jason Kidd is what a point
guard should be. He makes players better
and brings into play his weapons. He has a lot more to work with this year.
Jamaal Magloire, Sean Williams and Malik Allen have been added, Josh Boone is
rapidly improving and Nenad Krstic is back from injury.

The team has gelled in camp and in the preseason. Buoyed
by all this, we look for the Nets to look like world beaters early on.

The author, Joe Duffy is CEO of OffshoreInsiders.com
and a handicapper for GodsTips, exclusively on that site. Check out
the full-season, weekly, monthly and other winning packages for sports bettors
at OffshoreInsiders.com