Tag Archives: NBA handicapping

Daily Sports Gambling Update: Basketball, Baseball, Hockey

The Philadelphia 76ers host the Toronto Raptors in Game 6 on Thursday night with a lot at stake. Toronto has a 3-2 lead in the series. A Philadelphia loss and the 76ers go home for the rest of the playoffs. Check out NBA Playoff betting odds, analysis, and a free pick for Raptors-76ers Game 6! For the full article: Raptors vs 76ers NBA Playoffs Game 6 Odds, Preview & Prediction

The Portland Trail Blazers hope to even their best-of-seven series versus the Denver Nuggets on Thursday, May 9. Portland battles Denver at home down 2-3 in the series. Can the Trail Blazers pick it up enough to stave off elimination? Keep reading for NBA Playoff odds, analysis, and a free pick for Nuggets-Trail Blazers Game 6! Read the full article: Nuggets vs Trail Blazers NBA Playoffs Game 6 Lines, Analysis & Prediction

It’s the conclusion of an interleague series from Oakland on Thursday afternoon, meaning the Cincinnati Reds will again be adding the designated hitter in the AL park. However, the Athletics are favored on the MLB betting lines behind Chris Bassitt. For the full article: Reds vs Athletics MLB Odds, Preview & Prediction

The 2019 Stanley Cup Eastern Conference Finals and Western Conference Finals are set. In the Eastern Conference, the Boston Bruins battle the surprise Carolina Hurricanes. In the West, the St. Louis Blues takes on the San Jose Sharks. Check out updated Stanley Cup odds, previews of each series, and predictions! Read the rest of the article here: Updated 2019 Stanley Cup Odds, Conference Finals Preview & Predictions

For the first time this season, the Pittsburgh Pirates visit the NL Central rival St. Louis Cardinals, with Game 1 on Thursday night. Behind the inconsistent Michael Wacha, the Cards are MLB odds favorites in the opener. The full article: How to Bet Pirates vs Cardinals MLB Spread & Expert Pick

One of the most heated rivalries in the American League these days is when the Texas Rangers and Houston Astros meet – even though it seems one team is usually good that season and one isn’t. They open a set in Houston on Thursday night with the Astros solid favorites on the MLB betting lines. The rest of the article: Rangers vs Astros MLB Week 6 Lines & Game Analysis


Daily Sports Gambling Update: MLB and NBA

Even before the new season begins, we generally have an idea of which teams in the MLB are going to be leading the way on the path to the playoffs. While the favorites have made a habit of blazing the trail ahead, we always see a couple of teams come out of nowhere and make a run that is more than a little unexpected. While those runs may not translate to success in the postseason, it is always cool to see a dark horse emerge from the pack and make things very interesting. For the full article: Padres vs Braves MLB Week 5 Betting Lines & Expert Pick

Whenever you see a good team get off to a slow start, the general feeling is that it’s probably going to be nothing more than a minor blip that no-one will remember at the end of the season. The longer that poor start continues, though, the more difficult it becomes to imagine that good team finding a way out of the hole that they have dug for themselves. Read the full article: Athletics vs Red Sox MLB Odds & Prediction for Monday Night

The Seattle Mariners will look to take care of business at home to tame the red-hot Chicago Cubs when they host their NL counterparts in the opener of a two-game Inter-League set on Tuesday. Now, let’s find out whether the M’s are the pick to hold it down at home or whether Chicago is a better pick despite being on the road. The rest of the article here: Cubs vs Mariners MLB Betting Odds, Preview & Predictions

After bouncing back from their humbling sweep over the weekend by beating the rival Los Angeles Dodgers 3-2 on Monday, the San Francisco Giants will look to put on a repeat performance when they host L.A. in Game 2 of their three-game series on Tuesday. Now, let’s find out if Frisco is the pick in this one or whether the Dodgers are looking good despite being on the road. The full article: LA Dodgers vs SF Giants MLB Lines, Expert Analysis & Pick 

The New York Yankees will look to extend their winning ways when they hit the road to take on an Arizona Diamondbacks team that will be looking to snap its modest losing streak when the two teams square off in the opener of a two-game Inter-league set on Tuesday night. Now, let’s find out which one of these teams is offering the best value in this matchup. Read the rest of the article: Yankees vs Diamondbacks MLB Odds, Game Preview & Pick

The Houston Rockets take on the Golden State Warriors in Game 2 of their Western Conference Semifinal series on Tuesday, April 30. Will the Warriors go up 2 games to 0? Or, will the Rockets manage a victory in Oracle Arena? Check out NBA Playoffs betting odds, analysis, and free pick for Warriors-Rockets Game 2! For the full article: Warriors vs Rockets NBA Playoffs Game 2 Odds, Preview & Prediction

After a tough Game 1, the Portland Trail Blazers look to even their Western Conference Semifinal series with the Denver Nuggets on Wednesday, April 30. Will the Nuggets go up 2-0? Or, will Portland head home for Game 3 with the series tied? See below for NBA Playoffs betting odds, analysis, and a free pick for Nuggets-Trail Blazers Game 2! The rest of the article: Nuggets vs Trail Blazers NBA Playoffs Game 2 Odds, Preview & Prediction

The Eastern Conference top-seeded Milwaukee Bucks looked dominant in their first-round sweep of the Detroit Pistons. However, they got a major wake-up call in a Game 1 semifinal loss to the Boston Celtics. The Bucks are favored on the NBA betting lines to even things up Tuesday night. Read the full article: Celtics vs Bucks 2019 NBA Playoffs Odds & Game 2 Prediction


MLB Free Handicapping Pick

JDP has three NBA winners led by a Wise Guy. Wise Guy plays from Joe Duffy are in near unanimity considered the strongest bet in sports wagering by bookmakers, pro gamblers, oddsmakers, and fellow handicappers alike.  

Get five world-famous MLB totals and a side. That’s nine winners in all. Our totals angles are based on the same basic and proven concept that can be adjusted for all sports, especially pro.  Get the picks now

Free winning pick for April 30 in MLB is on:

BOSTON (PORCELLO -1.5 +115) Oakland (Brooks)

Bad favorites off a win, both runline and moneyline is +147.03 on moneyline. Ice cold pitchers bounce back as big favorites at +122.53, but in both cases the ROI is better on the runline. Thus, we will bet -1.5. When both apply in the same game, the ROI is a stunning +37.4!

NBA sharp action including games not played today: Milwaukee, Portland, Denver UNDER

MLB sharp action for Tuesday: Cleveland

Top betting picks today

Early Season NBA Betting Crib Sheet

As is the case in all sports, everyone and their sister
are doing NBA season previews. This is very much true even with those in the
handicapping industry. From a spread bettor’s standpoint, these forecasts can
have little value.

As we point out similar examples in every sport, San
could have the best record in the NBA and Atlanta
could have the worst. Yet it’s still
conceivable that the Hawks could have a better spread record.

Being right about projected divisional standings assures
little in spread betting. Just imagine
the gambling bloodbath when such predictions are wrong.

This year’s NFL is an aberration where the two of the
three teams widely considered being the best in the NFL before the year
started—Indianapolis and New
—also have great spread records. How quickly we forget the
Chargers were among the big three preseason favorites, though we know they will
be heard from. But let us get back to the NBA.

Elite handicappers look for fluid tendencies rather than
handicapping an entire season before it starts. This is a big reason why we
minimize futures bets and even playoff series bets, to eliminate the danger of
being even subconsciously biased in our day to day soothsaying.

At OffshoreInsiders.com,
we compile pages of notes for our betting “cheat sheets” on every
team, updated daily. So here are some highlights of early tendencies we are
looking for in our every day NBA handicapping:

Golden State: “Predictably Unpredictable”

One of our many Golden Rules of sports handicapping is
that square players avoid erratic teams, sharp players love them. In short, the
angle is that we bet against such teams the hotter and bigger favorite they are
and wager on them the colder and bigger underdog they become.

Yes, professional gamblers know there are many situations
to go with horrible, slumping teams and go against elite teams during their
winning streak. Why will the Warriors be a team squares hate and sharpies love?

Well, yet another Golden Rule that has made you and us a
fortune this college football season: it’s easier to be the hunter than the
hunted. Golden State
enters the year as a chic team fresh off a 16-5 straight up run to close out
the regular season, followed by the historic upset of Dallas.

Golden State
is a high flying, up-tempo team that lives off the three-point shot. Last year
they led the league in three-point attempts and their average went up after the
Jan. 16 trade in which they acquired Stephen Jackson and Al Harrington.

Riding the hot hand, they shot the three-pointer even more
in the playoffs, averaging a stunning 31 attempts per game in the post-season
compared to 23.4 attempts before the aforesaid trade. This is even more
significant because defenses tighten and the pace slows in the postseason.

This formula means they will look like a lottery team one
night and a championship contender the next night. Perhaps it’s the Golden
(State) Rule. Watch them drive 90 percent of gamblers nuts, yet be “Golden”
going both for and against for wiseguy gamblers, depending on the situation.

Grizzlies Built to Improve as the Year Goes

Memphis had
the worst record in the NBA last year, but they have a fresh coach, new GM, and
a plethora of new to the job players.

And we do mean “new”. Their coach Mark Iavaroni has his
first head coaching job. Other than Damon Stoudamire, the average player has
less than three years NBA experience. They will be better in January and
February than in November. Best of all, their early season struggles will lower
their value with the offshore and Vegas sportsbooks just in time for them to

Look for us to ride them as huge underdogs after their
first 15-20 games of abysmal play. We eye them as one of the top dichotomous
ATS and SU squads. Again, the script and
a successful evergreen one at that: we discount 98 percent of trends, but this
has proven to be the exception to the rule. If a team has a great SU record but
horrid ATS record or visa versa, we bet for that to continue as it is the sign
of which teams are most under or overvalued.

Mavericks an Early Season “Over” Team

Dallas coach
Avery Johnson transformed the Mavericks from a shoot and let God sort them out
team to a squad that thought defense first, second and third. The result was
one of the great postseason failures in sports history.

Johnson learned that having Dirk Nowitzki thinking defense
foremost is the equivalent of trying to make Peyton Manning or Tom Brady a
thousand yard rusher.

Not only will Dallas
correct that blunder, but the focus this offseason was improving their
weakness: their offense against the zone. New assistant coach Paul Westphal was
hired to do just that, among other things focusing on execution rather than
trying to outsmart their opponent with new fangled looks. This is a wise move
considering Dallas has the
offensive weapons. Look for point guard Devin Harris to be among the most
improved players in the league offensively.

Nets Will Come Out of the Gates Quickly

The Nets point guard and leader Jason Kidd is what a point
guard should be. He makes players better
and brings into play his weapons. He has a lot more to work with this year.
Jamaal Magloire, Sean Williams and Malik Allen have been added, Josh Boone is
rapidly improving and Nenad Krstic is back from injury.

The team has gelled in camp and in the preseason. Buoyed
by all this, we look for the Nets to look like world beaters early on.

The author, Joe Duffy is CEO of OffshoreInsiders.com
and a handicapper for GodsTips, exclusively on that site. Check out
the full-season, weekly, monthly and other winning packages for sports bettors
at OffshoreInsiders.com