Tag Archives: bet on NBA

Daily Sports Gambling Update: Basketball, Hockey, Baseball

Will Damian Lillard, C.J. McCollum and the suddenly dangerous Portland Trail Blazers make Charles Barkley’s prediction of winning the west come true? For the full article: 2019 NBA Playoffs Conference Finals Odds, Preview & Predictions

The Carolina Hurricanes have been no match for the Boston Bruins thus far in the NHL’s Eastern Conference Finals. Will that change in Game 3 on Tuesday night as the series shifts to Raleigh? The game is a pick’em on the NHL betting lines. The full article here: Bruins vs Hurricanes 2019 Stanley Cup Playoffs Odds & Game 3 Analysis

The Golden State Warriors probably were thrilled that they would be facing the Portland Trail Blazers in the Western Conference Finals instead of the Denver Nuggets. After all, the Warriors have won 26 of the last 34 meetings, both in the regular season and playoffs against the Trail Blazers. They are solid favorites on the NBA Playoffs odds for Tuesday’s Game 1 in Oakland. For the rest of the article: Blazers vs Warriors Western Conference Finals Odds & Pick for Game 1

After getting a much-needed victory in the series opener on Monday, the Seattle Mariners will look to double up on their AL West division rivals when they host the Oakland Athletics in Game 2 of a three-game set on Tuesday night. Now, let’s find out which team is offering the best value in this matchup. Read the rest of the article: Athletics vs Mariners MLB Odds, Game Preview & Expert Pick

The Chicago Cubs look to expand their lead atop the NL Central on Tuesday night when they open a series at the last-place Cincinnati Reds. The Cubbies are MLB betting favorites behind red-hot pitcher Kyle Hendricks. The full article: How to Bet Cubs vs Reds MLB Spread & Expert Prediction

The Los Angeles Dodgers will look to stay hot when they host the San Diego Padres in the opener of a three-game set on Tuesday night. With L.A. looking to extend its winning ways and the Padres looking to find the consistency that has eluded them all season long, let’s find out where the best value lies in this NL West battle. The full article here: Padres vs Dodgers MLB Lines, Betting Analysis & Prediction

The Minnesota Twins will be looking to bounce back from a loss in their series opener when they host the visiting Los Angeles Angels in the second game of a three-game set on Tuesday night. With L.A. hot and Minnesota looking to snap out of a modest skid, let’s find out which one of these AL playoff hopefuls is offering the best value in this affair. Read the rest of the article: How to Bet on Angels vs Twins MLB Spread & Game Preview

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Alert: night Wise Guy MLB added at 10:12 AM. We win again yesterday led by only Wise Guy on Phillies UNDER. 3:37 ET MLB winner and two night MLB led by a west coast Wise Guy!  Grandmaster Sports Handicapper Joe Duffy has both NBA sides, both totals for Thursday.  Get the picks now

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Daily Sports Gambling Update: Basketball, Baseball, Hockey

The Philadelphia 76ers host the Toronto Raptors in Game 6 on Thursday night with a lot at stake. Toronto has a 3-2 lead in the series. A Philadelphia loss and the 76ers go home for the rest of the playoffs. Check out NBA Playoff betting odds, analysis, and a free pick for Raptors-76ers Game 6! For the full article: Raptors vs 76ers NBA Playoffs Game 6 Odds, Preview & Prediction

The Portland Trail Blazers hope to even their best-of-seven series versus the Denver Nuggets on Thursday, May 9. Portland battles Denver at home down 2-3 in the series. Can the Trail Blazers pick it up enough to stave off elimination? Keep reading for NBA Playoff odds, analysis, and a free pick for Nuggets-Trail Blazers Game 6! Read the full article: Nuggets vs Trail Blazers NBA Playoffs Game 6 Lines, Analysis & Prediction

It’s the conclusion of an interleague series from Oakland on Thursday afternoon, meaning the Cincinnati Reds will again be adding the designated hitter in the AL park. However, the Athletics are favored on the MLB betting lines behind Chris Bassitt. For the full article: Reds vs Athletics MLB Odds, Preview & Prediction

The 2019 Stanley Cup Eastern Conference Finals and Western Conference Finals are set. In the Eastern Conference, the Boston Bruins battle the surprise Carolina Hurricanes. In the West, the St. Louis Blues takes on the San Jose Sharks. Check out updated Stanley Cup odds, previews of each series, and predictions! Read the rest of the article here: Updated 2019 Stanley Cup Odds, Conference Finals Preview & Predictions

For the first time this season, the Pittsburgh Pirates visit the NL Central rival St. Louis Cardinals, with Game 1 on Thursday night. Behind the inconsistent Michael Wacha, the Cards are MLB odds favorites in the opener. The full article: How to Bet Pirates vs Cardinals MLB Spread & Expert Pick

One of the most heated rivalries in the American League these days is when the Texas Rangers and Houston Astros meet – even though it seems one team is usually good that season and one isn’t. They open a set in Houston on Thursday night with the Astros solid favorites on the MLB betting lines. The rest of the article: Rangers vs Astros MLB Week 6 Lines & Game Analysis

 

Free NBA Picks from Top Handicapper

JDP has both NBA totals tonight and the strongest side plus two night MLB sides and four totals. With so many great systems we have won with together for years and many newly acquired ones, the future and present are even brighter than the unprecedented winning since 1988.  Get the picks now

MLB free pick

NY METS (SYNDERGAARD -1.5 +125) San Diego (Quantrill) at Bovada

Anti-splits runline bet has a whopping ROI of 21.3.

MLB injuries

  • Yan Gomes is probable with forearm injury
    • .267 with 2 HR, 10 RBI

Best sports bets

God’s Tid-Bets, Vol. 2

OMNI
Sportsbook

Omni Sportsbook offers
live odds and free game match-up reports
. They also give to new players
either a 20% bonus or a free sports pager. Customers of Omni in addition to the
sign up bonus, receive a 20% bonus for referrals and 20% of their losses back.

 

God’s Tid-Bets Vol. 2

Joe Duffy (OffshoreInsiders.com)

Here is our latest in a series: a Godgepodge of thoughts on sports gambling strategy.

North Carolina Demonstrates What We’ve Said

We so often talk about how gamblers use inductive thinking rather than deductive.  We are tired of hearing about handicapping guard play first and foremost.  North Carolina won the National Championship because of a dominating inside game.  Many teams have great guard play but few teams have a dominant paint presence. Vermont was this year’s small college darling because of Taylor Coppenrath the 6-foot-9 forward.

Sure you can win without dominant big men because there is not a plethora of such out there.  But the biggest disappointments every year also happen to be guard oriented teams.

From Bill Walton and Lou Alcindor to Danny Manning to Scott May and Larry Bird, dominant big men are the X-factor in college hoops.

Outlaw Lines

We often get questions about our outlaw line, which is a valuable handicapping tool.  We have a system that combines the Pinnacle, Olympic and Stardust opening lines, but is weighed based on which comes in first.
It is very important to draw the distinction between steam moves and the opening line when evaluating which casinos are sharpest.

Steam moves are now worthless out of Vegas because of low limits and limited sharp action.  However we still find the actual opening line from the Stardust very sharp.  So “live” lines from the Strip have no value, but the actual opening line does.  This is especially true in college basketball as the initial Vegas line is sharp.

Time Supersedes Number of Games

In both college basketball and the NBA, handicappers disproportionately reflect on recent games giving too little weight to overall performance to date.  It’s true to a lesser extent in football, but true nonetheless. College football and baseball is where we most amalgamate recent occurrence into winning.  Baseball it’s because over the endless season the peaks are valleys have a much longer shelf life, while our research and experience proves the most dramatic momentum swings and adjustments occur on the college gridiron. Depth is more of a factor and the surprises and disappointments are more pronounced.

That being said, when reasoning recent performance most of the public gambling sites go X-number of games back rather than what we’ve found to be the superior parameter, that being days back. For example going back five games in the NBA could be seven days for one team and perhaps 11 for the other.  Looking at a pitcher’s last three starts is not always comparing apples to apples if one guy is the No. 1 starter in a four man rotation and the other guy is the fifth guy in a rotation that often skips the fifth starter.  If for example because of injury one guy skipped a start or two, simply looking at the last three or five starts can be very deceptive.

In the NBA, we find recent performance is better defined by 10 days rather than five games. Baseball we go back seven days for teams and 30 days for pitchers.

Baseball stats

One of the articles that you the readers thanked us for the most as being extremely helpful was when we wrote about WHIP versus ERA in handicapping. WHIP (walks and hits per innings pitched) is too often ignored and balanced with ERA they each test the statistical reliability of the other.

Analogous is handicapping offense.  We have always said that baseball’s real Triple Crown would be on base percentage, slugging percentage and runs produced. When it comes to handicapping offense, there is no question that is handicapping’s Triple Crown.  Steve Mann a long-time baseball statistical guru always asserted that (on base percentage)* (slugging percentage) was the ultimate way to gauge offensive production.  We consider that Gospel from a handicapping standpoint.

Duffy’s plays are part of the Dream Team at OffshoreInsiders.com. He is perhaps the most published and respected author on sports gambling theory and has been featured as a regular guest as the handicapping expert on the Rick Ballou Show on Sporting News Radio, the Meat and Potatoes gambling show, Pro Fantasy Sports Internet radio and Grogan’s Fantasy Football show. His Wise Guy Plays available exclusively at OffshoreInsiders.com are widely respected as the biggest play in the handicapping abyss. We don’t have the marketing budget of Jim Feist or Wayne Root and his Winning Edge. We make up for it with hard work and winning.

 

Taylor Coppenrath