The odds to win the 2025 Super Bowl have been posted at Bovada Not surprisingly, the defending Super Bowl Champion and burgeoning dynasty, the Kansas City Chiefs are the favorites at +450, with the defending NFC Champs San Francisco next at +750. Fresh off a historic rookie season, Ohio State’s C.J. Stroud has the Houston Texans following closely behind at +850. At Joe Duffy’s Picks, we have Houston check marked as an overvalued team. Very few QBs not named Brady or Mahomes are able to follow up dream seasons successfully and fading Houston early in the season is likely going to be profitable. Of course, in making my premium picks at OffshoreInsiders.com many other factors will be taken into consideration at the time, but no doubt it will be difficult to get value on the Texans.

Speaking of the difficulty in repeating a dream season, last year’s shining example the Philadelphia Eagles offer great value at 12-1. With the nucleus of a team that lost by three-points in Super Bowl 57, they are grossly undervalued after last year’s skid in the postseason and playoff thrashing. Last off-season’s darling Detroit is +1300. Another once-chic Super Bowl pick Buffalo is a relative longshot at +1800. In stating the blatantly obvious, if signal caller Josh Allen ever improves his decision-making skills, the Bills will finally justify being among the Super Bowl favorites of years past. 

Super Bowl 59 Odds to Win

Kansas City Chiefs +450

San Francisco 49ers +750

Houston Texans +850

Baltimore Ravens +1200

Cincinnati Bengals +1200

Philadelphia Eagles +1200

Detroit Lions +1300

Dallas Cowboys +1500

Buffalo Bills +1800

Green Bay Packers +1800

Atlanta Falcons +2000

Los Angeles Rams +2500

New York Jets +2500

Miami Dolphins +3000

Pittsburgh Steelers +3300

Cleveland Browns +3500

Los Angeles Chargers +3500

Chicago Bears +4000

Jacksonville Jaguars +4500

Minnesota Vikings +5500

Indianapolis Colts +6000

Tampa Bay Buccaneers +6500

Seattle Seahawks +7000

Las Vegas Raiders +8000

Arizona Cardinals +8500

Denver Broncos +10000

New Orleans Saints +10000

New York Giants +12500

Washington Commanders +12500

New England Patriots +17500

Tennessee Titans +20000

Carolina Panthers +25000

We are also big fans of MYBookie which pays on time, every time and offers much lower juice than the books you see advertised on national TV. 

The Browns-Texans game was the first to open a few hours ago, and Cleveland came out as a 2-point favorite but the spread quickly moved to -2.5. Just a few minutes later, it was back to -2, and currently we’re down to -1.5 with the majority of the early wagering on Houston at SportsBetting

The Eagles-Bucs matchup was next and Philadelphia surfaced as a 2-point favorite with a total of 41.5. The spread has shifted to -2.5, currently, and with nothing but OVER money coming in, the game total has ballooned to 45.

The Packers-Cowboys contest was the third betting line to go up. Dallas was installed as a 7.5-point favorite, but the underdog bettors quickly pounced and moved that numbers to -7. The total went from 48.5 to 49.

Finally, the Rams-Lions (Stafford Bowl) popped on the board with Detroit set as a 2.5-point favorite. The spread has crossed over the key number and is now at -3.5. The game total was bet up quickly from 47 to 51, currently.

Below are the current Wild Card game lines that are available, as well as a Super Bowl odds update, which could adjust based on tonight’s result.

Browns (-2.5) at Texans 

Over/Under 43.5

(Note: Line opened -2, 47)

Eagles (-2.5) at Bucs

Over/Under 45

(Note: Line opened -2, 41.5)

Packers at Cowboys (-7)

Over/Under 49

(Note: Line opened -7.5, 48.5)

Rams at Lions (-3.5)

Over/Under 51

(Note: Line opened -2.5, 47)

Super Bowl LVIII

San Francisco 49ers +220

Baltimore Ravens +320

Dallas Cowboys +750

Buffalo Bills +800

Kansas City Chiefs +950

Miami Dolphins +1300

Philadelphia Eagles +1400

Detroit Lions +1600

Cleveland Browns +3300

Houston Texans +4500

Los Angeles Rams +5000

Green Bay Packers +7500

Tampa Bay Buccaneers +7500

Pittsburgh Steelers +10000

NFC

San Francisco 49ers -120

Dallas Cowboys +300

Philadelphia Eagles +700

Detroit Lions +800

Los Angeles Rams +2000

Tampa Bay Buccaneers +4000

Green Bay Packers +4500

As the year draws to a close, the excitement and anticipation surrounding NFL and college football is palpable. Fans are not only eagerly watching their favorite teams compete, but many are also participating in NFL and college bowl betting. The stakes are high, the competition is fierce, and the outcomes can be unpredictable. In this blog post, we will delve into the analysis of the biggest bets and splits in NFL and college bowl betting on December 23, 2023.

The Biggest Bets in Terms of Percentage of Wagers: Utah State

When it comes to the biggest bets in terms of percentage of wagers, Utah State is leading the pack. This means that a significant portion of the total bets placed are banking on Utah State. The team’s performance has evidently instilled confidence in bettors, with a substantial number of them placing their bets on Utah State. It’s interesting to see how these bets will play out as the competition progresses.

Biggest Bets Based on Percentage of Money: Las Vegas; Utah State Northwestern; Arkansas State OVER

On the other hand, when we look at the biggest bets based on the percentage of money, we see a different picture. The teams that have attracted the highest amount of money in bets are Las Vegas, Utah State Northwestern, and Arkansas State OVER. These teams have drawn the most financial backing, which could be indicative of a higher level of confidence from those placing larger bets. The unfolding of these bets will certainly add an extra layer of excitement to the games.

Biggest Splits: Teams with the Highest Percent of Cash Compared to Bets: Las Vegas, Duke UNDER

The biggest splits, i.e., the teams that have the highest percentage of cash compared to the number of bets, are Las Vegas and Duke UNDER. This means that while these teams may not have the most number of bets placed on them, the bets they do have are of a higher value. This could be a strategic move by bettors who believe in the potential of these teams. It also underscores the diversity and complexity of betting strategies in play.

In conclusion, NFL and college bowl betting present a dynamic and intriguing landscape. The betting patterns and strategies offer a unique perspective on the games and the teams. Whether you’re a seasoned bettor, a sports enthusiast, or a casual observer, there’s no denying that these insights add a layer of fascination to the NFL and college football season. As we move forward, it will be interesting to see how these bets and splits pan out and what they will reveal about the teams and the bettors.

Best Football Handicapper Picks for Today

A rare so far, bowl Wise Guy among six college football winners, three NFL in the midst of a crazy 113-76 NFL windfall. Seriously, who else has ever come close in their career to this? Seven NBA including a Wise Guy, plus an NFL prop added to a wonderful portfolio. All this at OffshoreInsiders.com

The Union Home Mortgage Gasparilla Bowl is always an exciting event, and the upcoming game between Georgia Tech and UCF is no exception. As the betting splits show, the Yellow Jackets are the underdogs, but they have a significant amount of support from bettors, with 54% of bets and 59% of money on their side. On the other hand, the majority of bets and cash are on the over, with 87% of bets favoring the over.

If you’re looking for an expert pick, Grandmaster Sports Handicapper Joe Duffy recommends taking GA Tech-UCF side. With a well over 60 percent win rate in NBA and 66 with Wise Guys, he has proved his expertise in the field. Lately, he has been on a roll with 9-2 with NBA Wise Guys, which includes two NBA Wise Guys and two Majors. If you’re interested in NBA props, you may check OffshoreInsiders.com, where you can find three NBA props.

It is also week 15 NFL betting with Vikings vs. Bengals, Steelers vs. Colts, and Broncos vs. Lions. It’s also  Georgia Southern vs. Ohio in the Myrtle Beach Bowl, Jacksonville State vs. Louisiana in the R+L Carriers New Orleans Bowl, Miami Ohio-Appalachian State in the Avocados From Mexico Cure Bowl, New Mexico State vs. Fresno State in Isleta New Mexico Bowl, California vs. Texas Tech in Radiance Technologies Independence Bowl. 

Here are betting splits. 

Saturday, December 16, 2023

🏈Biggest bets in terms of percentage of wagers: Broncos OVER; Jacksonville State, New Mexico State; Boise State UNDER, New Mexico State OVER

🏈Biggest bets based on percentage of money: Steelers; New Mexico State, Jacksonville State; Boise State UNDER, Ohio UNDER, Appalachian State UNDER

🏈Biggest splits. Teams listed have the highest percent of cash compared to bets: Bengals UNDER

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Last year’s Super Bowl opponents the Kansas City Chiefs and Philadelphia Eagles are virtual co-favorites to win Super Bowl LVIII. The Chiefs are +600 to repeat, while the Eagles are +650. Last year’s favorite Buffalo is next at +900 or 9-1 tied with the 49ers and their deep QB depth chart. 

My pick CINCINNATI +1200: Cincinnati overcame the predictable Super Bowl hangover from the previous season, winning eight straight to end the regular season. Clearly Joe Burrow has proven he is a big-time player in both college and the NFL. Ja’Marr Chase, Tee Higgins and Tyler Boyd give the franchise signal caller some serious weapons. They are strong enough on defense. Cincy wins in February. 

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Super Bowl 58 Winner Odds

Kansas City Chiefs+600 

Philadelphia Eagles+650 

Buffalo Bills+900 

San Francisco 49ers+900 

Cincinnati Bengals+1200 

Dallas Cowboys+1400 

New York Jets+1400 

Baltimore Ravens+2000 

Detroit Lions+2200 

Miami Dolphins+2200 

Jacksonville Jaguars+2500 

Los Angeles Chargers+2800 

Seattle Seahawks+3000 

Cleveland Browns+3500 

Denver Broncos+3500 

Minnesota Vikings+3500 

New Orleans Saints+3500 

Chicago Bears+5000 

Las Vegas Raiders+5000 

Pittsburgh Steelers+5000 

Los Angeles Rams+6000 

Carolina Panthers+6500 

Green Bay Packers+6500 

New England Patriots+6500 

New York Giants+6500 

Washington Commanders+6500 

Atlanta Falcons+7000 

Tennessee Titans+8000 

Indianapolis Colts+10000 

Tampa Bay Buccaneers+10000 

Houston Texans+15000 

Arizona Cardinals+2000

The scenes from Lambeau last night painted a picture that Aaron Rodgers could’ve played his last game as a member of the Green Bay Packers.

If Rodgers doesn’t retire, as some think he will, where might he end up next season?

SportsBetting  re-opened odds for Rodgers next team, if not the Packers. Additionally, the odds of him retiring have flipped from very likely to the underdog.

Updated odds for the Jets and Raiders next quarterbacks, as well as Derek Carr’s next club, are available below.

The Houston Texans cost themselves the No. 1 overall pick in this summer’s NFL Draft, so there are updated odds on who the Chicago Bears might select, or if they’ll trade out of the top spot.

Finally, this year’s Super Bowl odds are tighter than any we’ve seen in the last few years with four teams with better than 6-1 odds. You can find those, the conference odds and an early Super Bowl LVII spread below.

For NFL playoff winners, you must bet with the Grandmaster, Joe Duffy at OffshoreInsiders.com     

Will Aaron Rodgers announce retirement before Week 1 of next season?

Yes +170

No -250

Aaron Rodgers Next Team                    

Raiders             4-1

Colts                 5-1

Jets                  5-1

Panthers           7-1

Patriots            7-1

49ers                8-1

Saints               9-1

Commanders    9-1

Falcons             10-1

Buccaneers       12-1

Titans               14-1

Giants              33-1

Lions                33-1

Texans              33-1

Cardinals          50-1

Derek Carr Next Team              

Jets                  5-2

Colts                 3-1

Commanders    9-1

Packers             9-1

Saints               9-1

Bucs                 10-1

Panthers           10-1

Titans               10-1

Falcons             11-1

Patriots            16-1

Texans              16-1

Cardinals                      33-1

Jets Starting QB Week 1                        

Derek Carr                    3-1

Jimmy Garoppolo          4-1

Aaron Rodgers              5-1

Mike White                   5-1

Lamar Jackson              7-1

Zach Wilson                  10-1

Bryce Young                  16-1

CJ Stroud                      16-1

Will Levis                      16-1

Tom Brady                    20-1

Baker Mayfield             33-1

Joe Flacco                     50-1

Raiders Starting QB Week 1                  

Tom Brady                    3-1

Jimmy Garoppolo          4-1

Aaron Rodgers              6-1

Anthony Richardson      9-1

CJ Stroud                      10-1

Jarrett Stidham             10-1

Will Levis                      10-1

Bryce Young                  11-1

Lamar Jackson              12-1

Matt Ryan                    12-1

Baker Mayfield             14-1

Early Super Bowl Spread

AFC -3

NFC +3

Super Bowl LVII            

Kansas City Chiefs                     +340

Buffalo Bills                              +410

San Francisco 49ers                   +475

Philadelphia Eagles                   +550

Cincinnati Bengals                     +750

Dallas Cowboys                         +1400

Tampa Bay Buccaneers              +2000

Los Angeles Chargers                +2200

Minnesota Vikings                     +3300

Baltimore Ravens                      +4000

Jacksonville Jaguars                   +4000

Miami Dolphins                         +5000

New York Giants                       +6000

Seattle Seahawks                      +6600

AFC                  

Kansas City Chiefs                     +175

Buffalo Bills                              +210

Cincinnati Bengals                     +425

Los Angeles Chargers                +1000

Jacksonville Jaguars                   +1800

Baltimore Ravens                      +2000

Miami Dolphins                         +2500

NFC                  

San Francisco 49ers                   +165

Philadelphia Eagles                   +175

Dallas Cowboys                         +650

Tampa Bay Buccaneers              +900

Minnesota Vikings                     +1400

New York Giants                       +2800

Seattle Seahawks                      +2800

Will the Chicago Bears trade top pick?

Yes +200

No -300

No. 1 Overall Draft Pick

Will Anderson               +140

Bryce Young                  +150

Jalen Carter                  +550

CJ Stroud                      +600

Will Levis                      +1000

Turkey day college and NFL market report. My word, OffshoreInsiders.com has the strongest industry bets in every football game, plus Duffy with massive college basketball portfolio. 

🏈Biggest bets in terms of percentage of wagers: NY Giants, 

🏈Biggest bets based on percentage of money: Ole Miss

🏈Largest line moves, opener to current: Dallas -7 to -10; Ole Miss -5.5 to -1.5

🏈Biggest splits. Teams listed have a highest percent of cash compared to bets.

There is a belief that contrarian betting is one of the strongest tools of professional gamblers. The books win more often than lose and fading the public is what many sharps exploit as a weapon. Most contrarian handicapper love to fade based on percentage of bets, believing the squarest intel comes from the smallest wagers. Others believe percentage of money is the most effective tool, because they are rooting for the same bets as the always profitable sportsbooks. The above link shows the most successful professional gamblers have a sliding scale. 

The theory is to bet against the public. However, some use the splits and bet on the teams that have a significantly higher percentage of money than bets. 

[Table id=1 /] 

The Eagles and the Bills lost this past week, but one is still the Super Bowl favorite. 

SportsBetting  updates its Super Bowl, conference, and division odds daily. Yesterday, the Eagles were +350 favorites for the NFL’s 52^ndchampionship edition. Today, it’s back to the Bills, who outside of the last seven days had been the favorites since the day after Super Bowl LVI. 

The Chiefs, victors of three in a row with the MVP favorite putting on weekly quarterback clinics, remain stuck in the Super Bowl odds’ second spot.

What’s interesting when looking at the NFL division odds is that outside of the AFC East, all the favorites have better than -200 (or 1-2) odds, possibly making the second half of the season not as interesting as the first half. 

Buffalo is in third place in its division, yet still has -190 odds to take the AFC East. All division favorites have better than a 65% chance of becoming champs.

Here are the current odds and implied probabilities for each:

AFC East                       

Buffalo Bills                  -190   (65.5% chance Bills are division champs)

Miami Dolphins             +225

New York Jets               +1100

New England Patriots    +1600

AFC North                    

Baltimore Ravens          -500   (83.3% chance Ravens are division champs)

Cincinnati Bengals         +350

Cleveland Browns         +3300

Pittsburgh Steelers        +4000

AFC South                    

Tennessee Titans          -500   (83.3% chance Titans are division champs)

Jacksonville Jaguars       +600

Indianapolis Colts          +700

Houston Texans            +25000

AFC West                     

Kansas City Chiefs         -2000 (95.2% chance Chiefs are division champs)

Los Angeles Chargers    +700

Denver Broncos            +6600

Las Vegas Raiders          +10000

NFC East                       

Philadelphia Eagles       -350   (77.8% chance Eagles are division champs)

Dallas Cowboys             +450

New York Giants           +700

Commanders                +6600

NFC North                    

Minnesota Vikings         -5000 (98.0% chance Vikings are division champs)

Green Bay Packers        +1200

Detroit Lions                 +3300

Chicago Bears               +8000

NFC South                    

Tampa Bay Buccaneers  -400    (80.0% chance Bucs are division champs)

Atlanta Falcons             +500

New Orleans Saints       +900

Carolina Panthers          +2500

NFC West                     

San Francisco 49ers       -225    (69.2% chance 49ers are division champs)

Seattle Seahawks          +175

Arizona Cardinals          +4000

Los Angeles Rams          +4000

Super Bowl

Buffalo Bills                  +400

Kansas City Chiefs         +500

Philadelphia Eagles       +525

San Francisco 49ers       +750

Minnesota Vikings         +1100

Baltimore Ravens          +1200

Dallas Cowboys             +1400

Miami Dolphins             +1800

Tampa Bay Buccaneers  +1800

Cincinnati Bengals         +3300

Los Angeles Chargers    +4000

Tennessee Titans          +4000

Seattle Seahawks          +5000

New England Patriots    +6600

New York Giants           +6600

New York Jets               +6600

Green Bay Packers        +8000

Cleveland Browns         +10000

Los Angeles Rams          +10000

Commanders                +12500

Arizona Cardinals          +15000

Atlanta Falcons             +20000

Denver Broncos            +20000

Jacksonville Jaguars       +20000

New Orleans Saints       +20000

Indianapolis Colts          +25000

Las Vegas Raiders          +25000

Detroit Lions                 +40000

Carolina Panthers          +50000

Pittsburgh Steelers        +50000

Chicago Bears               +100000

Houston Texans            +200000

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