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Massive Weekend of Football—Locked and Loaded at OffshoreInsiders.com

The stage is set for one of the biggest football weekends of the year, and Joe Duffy’s Picks has you covered. Decades of experience, advanced data, and battle-tested systems are all pointing to another profitable run.

Thursday: The first Named Play of the season—Non-Divisional Thursday Night OU of the Year—backed by a jaw-dropping system that’s 57-15-1.

Friday: A powerful side and total to keep the momentum rolling.

Saturday: The action explodes with the highly anticipated Texas–Ohio State side, plus 3 Wise Guys led by the Non-Divisional Saturday Night OU of the Year—part of 8 winners in all.

When Joe Duffy’s Picks posts a Named Play, it’s the closest thing to a lock you’ll find in sports betting.

Access is simple: As long as your package covers Monday, you get the entire week’s card. Choose a 7-Day Pick Packor longer—or go with the Football-Only Weekly Package.

Joe Duffy’s Picks—where data, decades of expertise, and proven systems make every weekend a winning one at OffshoreInsiders.com

Free Pick from Joe Duffy:
South Florida +5.5 vs. Boise State
Week 1 non-conference home underdogs or small favorites in qualifying situations are an outstanding 80-50-1.

Odds to Win NFC Conference


NFC Conference Winner Odds: Breaking Down the 2025 Futures Market

The NFC race is shaping up to be one of the most competitive in recent years, with several legitimate contenders and a few dark horses worth watching. Below are the current odds to win the NFC, along with some analysis of the top favorites and potential sleepers.

If you’re ready to place a wager, you can check out the latest odds and bet at MyBookie, one of the most trusted sportsbooks online. For expert picks and betting strategy, visit OffshoreInsiders.com, where Grandmaster Sports Handicapper Joe Duffy shares decades of winning insight.


NFC Conference Winner Odds

  • Philadelphia Eagles +330
  • Detroit Lions +490
  • San Francisco 49ers +810
  • Washington Commanders +910
  • Green Bay Packers +980
  • Los Angeles Rams +990
  • Minnesota Vikings +1350
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers +1400
  • Chicago Bears +1750
  • Dallas Cowboys +2200
  • Arizona Cardinals +2500
  • Atlanta Falcons +3000
  • Seattle Seahawks +3000
  • Carolina Panthers +5200
  • New York Giants +10000
  • New Orleans Saints +12000

Favorites: The Big Three

Philadelphia Eagles (+330)
The Eagles are once again the betting favorite to take the NFC crown. With an elite roster on both sides of the ball, they’re viewed as the most complete team in the conference. The biggest factor is whether their offensive line and defensive front can stay healthy throughout the season.

Detroit Lions (+490)
Detroit has gone from a lovable underdog to a legitimate contender. Dan Campbell’s team has a strong offensive identity, and the Lions’ secondary upgrades make them a well-rounded threat. At +490, oddsmakers believe they’re no longer a “cute pick” but a serious Super Bowl challenger.

San Francisco 49ers (+810)
The Niners come in as the third choice, which could present value. With Kyle Shanahan’s scheme and a stacked defense, San Francisco is always in the mix. Health at quarterback and along the offensive line is the key variable.


Contenders With Value

Washington Commanders (+910)
Perhaps the most surprising team near the top. Washington has improved in the trenches, and oddsmakers clearly like their potential. Bettors should keep an eye on whether they can truly keep pace with NFC heavyweights.

Green Bay Packers (+980)
The Jordan Love era showed plenty of promise. At just under 10-to-1, the Packers offer sneaky value if their young roster continues to develop and take steps forward.

Los Angeles Rams (+990)
The Rams surprised many last season by reloading faster than expected. As long as Matthew Stafford and Cooper Kupp are healthy, plus Aaron Donald anchoring the defense, they’re always dangerous.


Mid-Tier Sleepers

Minnesota Vikings (+1350) and Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+1400) both offer potential upside for bettors willing to gamble on less obvious paths. Each has talent on offense, but their defenses will determine whether they can hang with the top NFC powers.

Chicago Bears (+1750) are perhaps the biggest wild card. If their quarterback development takes the leap many expect, Chicago could smash expectations.


Long Shots Worth a Look

  • Dallas Cowboys (+2200): Rarely this far down the board, but questions around their depth push them to “value” territory.
  • Atlanta Falcons (+3000): A new offensive system and emerging young talent make them a live underdog.
  • Seattle Seahawks (+3000): A team with a strong home-field edge and plenty of upside at skill positions.

True Dark Horses

  • Carolina Panthers (+5200) are rebuilding but have intriguing long-term potential.
  • New York Giants (+10000) and New Orleans Saints (+12000) are extreme long shots, needing nearly perfect seasons to sniff the NFC title game.

Final Thoughts

The NFC futures market offers a blend of heavy favorites, dangerous contenders, and intriguing long shots. The Eaglesand Lions are rightly at the top, but value bettors may gravitate toward teams like the 49ers at +810 or the Packers at +980.

If you’re looking for true upside plays, the Falcons and Seahawks at 30-to-1 could be worth a sprinkle.

👉 Bet these odds now at MyBookie
👉 Get expert winning picks daily at OffshoreInsiders.com


Notre Dame, Ohio State, Michigan, Tennessee And Other CFB QB Battle Odds

With around two weeks left before the 2025 college football season is fully underway, there are plenty of position competitions still ongoing.

Of course, the most important position is typically at quarterback, so let’s take a look at the six major, ongoing QB battles and who is favored to win each.

Odds are courtesy of SportsBetting 

Notre Dame Week 1 Starting QB

Kenny Minchey             -120

CJ Carr                          -120

Ohio State Week 1 Starting QB

Julian Sayin                   -500

Lincoln Kienholz            +300     

Oregon Week 1 Starting QB

Dante Moore                -1000

Austin Novosad             +550

Michigan Week 1 Starting QB

Bryce Underwood         -500

Mikey Keene                 +300

Jake Garcia                   +800

Jadyn Davis                   +1500

Tennessee Week 1 Starting QB

Joey Aguilar                  -200

Jake Merklinger             +150

Missouri Week 1 Starting QB

Sam Horn                      -130

Beau Pribula                 -110

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Projected Stats For Every NFL Staring QB 2025 Fantasy Football

From Betonline, here is your fantasy football primer, with projected stats for every clearly established NFL starting QB, 

These teams don’t have any QB stats yet:

  • Cleveland Browns
    • Indianapolis Colts
    • New Orleans Saints
    • New York Giants
QuarterbackPassing YdsTD PassesInterceptionsRushing YdsRushing TDs
Aaron Rodgers3250.523.59.5  
Baker Mayfield3800.530.513.5  
Bo Nix3500.524.510.5  
Brock Purdy3850.524.511.5  
Bryce Young3150.518.511.5  
Caleb Williams3550.522.59.5  
Cam Ward3200.519.512.5  
CJ Stroud3800.521.510.5  
Dak Prescott3850.526.511.5  
Drake Maye3250.520.512.5  
Geno Smith3600.520.510.5  
Jalen Hurts3200.520.59.5600.512.5
Jared Goff3900.528.511.5  
Jayden Daniels3500.524.59.5700.55.5
J.J. McCarthy3650.524.513.5  
Joe Burrow4250.533.510.5  
Jordan Love3600.525.511.5  
Josh Allen3750.527.59.5500.510.5
Justin Fields2650.515.510.5725.55.5
Justin Herbert3700.522.58.5  
Kyler Murray3400.520.510.5475.54.5
Lamar Jackson3500.528.57.5775.54.5
Matthew Stafford3750.523.59.5  
Michael Penix3350.518.512.5  
Patrick Mahomes4000.527.510.5  
Sam Darnold3450.520.513.5  
Trevor Lawrence3700.522.512.5  
Tua Tagovailoa3500.523.511.5  

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NBA Futures Odds 2026: 3 Teams In; 3 Out From Last Year’s Playoffs

The oddsmakers at SportsBetting.ag have opened up lines for every NBA team to make the playoffs next year.

Here’s a list of the teams favored to make the playoffs this year that were not in the playoffs last year:

  1. Atlanta Hawks
  2. Philadelphia 76ers
  3. San Antonio Spurs

Here’s a list of the teams favored to miss the playoffs this year that made the playoffs last year:

  1. Indiana Pacers
  2. Memphis Grizzlies
  3. Miami Heat

The chart below shows each team’s yes (odds) and no (odds) to make the playoffs in addition to the percentage for each team to make the playoffs according to the odds.

TeamYesNoPercentage
Atlanta Hawks-650+42586.7%
Boston Celtics-290+23074.4%
Brooklyn Nets+3000-500000.2%
Charlotte Hornets+1600-40002.4%
Chicago Bulls+400-60014.3%
Cleveland Cavaliers-10000+200099.0%
Dallas Mavericks+100-13043.5%
Denver Nuggets-2000+100095.2%
Detroit Pistons-400+30080.0%
Golden State Warriors-295+23574.7%
Houston Rockets-3000+140096.8%
Indiana Pacers+100-13043.5%
Los Angeles Clippers-400+30080.0%
Los Angeles Lakers-500+35083.3%
Memphis Grizzlies+135-16537.7%
Miami Heat+160-20033.3%
Milwaukee Bucks-260+20072.2%
Minnesota Timberwolves-700+45087.5%
New Orleans Pelicans+700-14006.7%
New York Knicks-4000+160097.6%
Oklahoma City Thunder-50000+300099.8%
Orlando Magic-2000+100095.2%
Philadelphia 76ers-280+22073.7%
Phoenix Suns+550-90010.0%
Portland Trail Blazers+650-12007.7%
Sacramento Kings+300-40020.0%
San Antonio Spurs-140+11058.3%
Toronto Raptors+145-17536.4%
Utah Jazz+3000-500000.2%
Washington Wizards+3000-500000.2%

Bet at SportsBetting

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No Caitlin Clark Means Little Interest in Betting Women’s NCAA Tournament

One bookmaker says there aren’t nearly as many people betting on NCAA Women’s Basketball this year compared to last year.

“It’s been night and day in terms of tickets and volume…we aren’t writing as many bets and we aren’t taking as much money,” SportsBetting Trading Director Robert Cooper said. “We definitely miss Caitlin Clark and the attention she brought to the sport.”

Cooper said that the women’s basketball handle (total money wagered) is “about half of what it was last year.”

Iowa was a No. 1 seed in last year’s tourney, but the Hawkeyes 

SportsBetting has odds for both the women’s and men’s NCAA tournaments, which you can find below.

Here are a few notable nuggets when comparing the two sets of numbers:

NCAAW more spread out at the top with six teams with better than 10/1 odds while NCAAM only have four teams better than 10/1 odds.

That said, the dropoff from the top tier is much more pronounced in NCAAW as after Top 6 the next-best teams have 33/1 odds while 10 NCAAM teams have better than 33/1 odds.

Half of the 68 NCAAW teams have 500/1 odds or worse while 24 of the NCAAM teams are 500/1 or worse.

2025 NCAA Women’s

2025 NCAA Men’s

#1 South Carolina 5/2   (+250)

#1 Duke 7/2   (+350)

#2 UConn 3/1

#1 Florida4/1

#1 UCLA 5/1

#1 Auburn 9/2   (+450)

#1 Texas 6/1

#1 Houston 13/2 (+650)

#1 USC 7/1

#2 Michigan State 18/1

#3 Notre Dame 8/1

#2 Alabama 18/1

#2 NC State 33/1

#2 Tennessee 22/1

#2 Duke 33/1

#2 St John’s 22/1

#2 TCU 33/1

#3 Texas Tech 25/1

#3 LSU 40/1

#3 Iowa State 28/1

#3 North Carolina 150/1

#4 Arizona 35/1

#4 Baylor 150/1

#3 Wisconsin 45/1

#4 Ohio State 150/1

#4 Maryland 45/1

#4 Kentucky 150/1

#8 Gonzaga 45/1

#5 Ole Miss 150/1

#3 Kentucky 55/1

#5 Kansas St 150/1

#4 Texas A&M 60/1

#4 Maryland 175/1

#5 Clemson 66/1

#5 Tennessee 175/1

#6 Missouri 66/1

#3 Oklahoma State 175/1

#4 Purdue 75/1

#5 Alabama 200/1

#7 Kansas 75/1

#6 Florida St 200/1

#8 UConn 75/1

#6 West Virginia 200/1

#6 Illinois 80/1

#7 Vanderbilt 200/1

#5 Michigan 100/1

#7 Oklahoma State 200/1

#5 Memphis 100/1

#8 California 200/1

#6 Ole Miss 100/1

#6 Michigan 250/1

#6 BYU 100/1

#6 Iowa 250/1

#7 Saint Mary’s 100/1

#7 Michigan State 250/1

#7 UCLA 100/1

#7 Louisville 250/1

#8 Louisville 100/1

#8 Utah 250/1

#9 Creighton 100/1

#8 Richmond 300/1

#10 Arkansas 100/1

#16 William & Mary 400/1

#7 Marquette 125/1

#8 Illinois 500/1

#5 Oregon 175/1

#9 Georgia Tech 500/1

#8 Mississippi State 200/1

#9 Indiana 500/1

#9 Georgia 200/1

#9 Creighton 500/1

#9 Baylor 250/1

#9 Mississippi State 500/1

#10 New Mexico 250/1

#10 Harvard 500/1

#11 San Diego State 250/1

#10 Oregon 500/1

#11 North Carolina 250/1

#10 Nebraska 500/1

#11 VCU 250/1

#10 South Dakota St 500/1

#11 Drake 250/1

#11 George Mason 500/1

#9 Oklahoma 300/1

#11 Murray State 500/1

#12 UC San Diego 300/1

#11 Columbia 500/1

#12 Colorado State 300/1

#11 Washington 500/1

#10 Vanderbilt 500/1

#11 Iowa State 500/1

#10 Utah State 500/1

#11 Princeton 500/1

#11 Texas 500/1

#12 Ball State 500/1

#13 Akron 500/1

#12 Green Bay 500/1

#13 Grand Canyon 500/1

#12 South Florida 500/1

#11 Xavier 1000/1

#12 Fairfield 500/1

#12 Liberty 1000/1

#13 Grand Canyon 500/1

#12 McNeese1000/1

#13 Norfolk State 500/1

#13 Yale 1000/1

#13 Montana State 500/1

#13 High Point 1000/1

#13 Liberty 500/1

#14 Lipscomb 1000/1

#14 San Diego State 500/1

#14 Montana 1000/1

#14 Oregon State 500/1

#14 Troy 1000/1

#14 SF Austin 500/1

#14 UNC Wilmington 1000/1

#14 FGCU 500/1

#15 Bryant 1000/1

#15 Vermont 500/1

#15 Robert Morris 1000/1

#15 Lehigh 500/1

#15 Wofford 1000/1

#15 Fair Dickinson 500/1

#15 Omaha 1000/1

#15 Arkansas State 500/1

#16 Alabama State1000/1

 #16 UC San Diego500/1

#16 St Francis PA1000/1

#16 Southern 500/1

#16 American1000/1

#16 High Point 500/1

#16 Mount St Marys 1000/1

#16 Tennessee Tech 500/1

#16 Norfolk State 1000/1

#16 UNCG 500/1

#16 SIUE 1000/1

For winning bets, it’s OffshoreInsiders.com

2025 College Basketball Conference Tournament Betting Odds and Analysis

With March Madness on the horizon, conference tournaments offer bettors the first real taste of high-stakes postseason college basketball. The odds are out for several mid-major conference tournaments, and we break down the favorites, sleepers, and long shots.


ASUN Conference Tournament

  • Favorite: Lipscomb (4/7, -175) enters as the clear frontrunner, dominating conference play.
  • Top Challenger: North Alabama (5/2, +250) has the firepower to challenge if Lipscomb stumbles.
  • Sleeper Pick: Florida Gulf Coast (10/1) has enough experience to surprise in a short tournament format.
  • Long Shot: Central Arkansas (250/1) has an uphill battle but would provide an astronomical payout.

Keywords: ASUN, Lipscomb, North Alabama, Florida Gulf Coast, Central Arkansas, college basketball, betting odds


Big South Conference Tournament

  • Favorite: High Point (2/5, -250) is heavily favored, expected to cruise through the tournament.
  • Contenders: Radford (7/1) and Winthrop (15/2, +750) could pose threats if they get hot.
  • Long Shot: South Carolina Upstate (200/1) has been inconsistent but could make noise with a Cinderella run.

Keywords: Big South, High Point, Radford, Winthrop, South Carolina Upstate, college basketball, betting odds


CAA Conference Tournament

  • Tight Battle: UNC Wilmington (2/1) and Charleston (7/2, +350) lead a competitive field.
  • Best Value Bet: Towson (15/4, +375) has the defense and experience to make a push.
  • Long Shots to Watch: Northeastern and Delaware (both 33/1) have underperformed but could make things interesting.

Keywords: CAA, UNC Wilmington, Charleston, Towson, Delaware, Northeastern, college basketball, betting odds


Horizon League Tournament

  • Three-Way Race: Robert Morris (5/2, +250), Milwaukee (11/4, +275), and Cleveland State (13/4, +325) are in a close battle.
  • Best Underdog: Purdue Fort Wayne (5/1) could be a dark horse.
  • Ultimate Cinderella: IUPUI (250/1) has struggled all season but could shock the field with a deep run.

Keywords: Horizon League, Robert Morris, Milwaukee, Cleveland State, Purdue Fort Wayne, IUPUI, college basketball, betting odds


OVC Conference Tournament

  • Top Pick: Southeast Missouri State (8/5, +160) is the team to beat.
  • Challenger: SIU Edwardsville (2/1) will look to knock off the top seed.
  • Best Value Bet: Little Rock (16/5, +320) has been playing well down the stretch.

Keywords: OVC, Southeast Missouri State, SIU Edwardsville, Little Rock, college basketball, betting odds


Patriot League Tournament

  • Favorite: Bucknell (11/10, +110) leads the way.
  • Biggest Threat: American University (5/2, +250) has the tools to challenge.
  • Long Shot: Holy Cross (150/1) would provide a massive payout for bettors seeking a miracle.

Keywords: Patriot League, Bucknell, American University, Holy Cross, college basketball, betting odds


Summit League Tournament

  • Best Bet: South Dakota State (11/5, +220) and North Dakota State (12/5, +240) are in a tight race.
  • Dark Horse: St. Thomas-Minnesota (11/4, +275) is a team to watch.
  • Ultimate Underdog: Oral Roberts (200/1) will need a historic run.

Keywords: Summit League, South Dakota State, North Dakota State, St. Thomas-Minnesota, Oral Roberts, college basketball, betting odds


Sun Belt Conference Tournament

  • Front-Runners: Arkansas State (7/4, +175) and South Alabama (5/2, +250) are the teams to beat.
  • Sleeper Team: James Madison (3/1) has been strong in conference play.
  • Heavy Long Shots: Louisiana, Old Dominion, Southern Miss, and UL Monroe (all 250/1) need a miracle.

Keywords: Sun Belt, Arkansas State, South Alabama, James Madison, Louisiana, college basketball, betting odds


West Coast Conference (WCC) Tournament

  • Top Dog: Gonzaga (2/3, -150) remains the favorite as usual.
  • Main Challenger: Saint Mary’s (11/10, +110) could give Gonzaga a fight.
  • Best Long Shot: Santa Clara (14/1) has the potential to upset.

Keywords: WCC, Gonzaga, Saint Mary’s, Santa Clara, college basketball, betting odds


Final Thoughts

Conference tournaments provide excellent betting opportunities, especially for those looking to cash in on long shots or value bets. While favorites like Lipscomb, High Point, and Gonzaga appear strong, history has shown that upsets are a staple of March basketball. Keep an eye on trends, injuries, and team momentum as tournament play unfolds.

Keywords: college basketball, conference tournaments, March Madness, betting odds, sleeper picks, underdogs, favorites

Mr. March, Joe Duffy, will have all the betting picks winners at OffshoreInsiders.com He is the best handicapper in history. 

Free NBA Betting Pick From Best NBA Handicapper

Free NBA pick from Joe Duffy.

SAN ANTONIO -11.5 Charlotte

When a line appears counterintuitive to the points per game margins to date, go with the message the oddsmakers are sending and bet on the seemingly contradictory team is 896-610-31.

🔥 NBA Betting Trends for Friday! 🔥 From OffshoreInsiders.com 🏀💰

🔹 OKC ⚡️
📊 488-373-11 ATS before All-Star break vs. teams without extreme rest
📊 82-39 ATS if not off OT but led by 3+ points after 1Q

🔹 Sixers 🔵🔴
📊 161-113-4 ATS in regular season vs. teams off a game with ≤48 rebounds

Top expert pick is from Joe Duffy. 🏀 Grandmaster has 4️⃣ NBA winning bets + college basketball! 🔥 Yes, the famed 🤯 counterintuitive line in the NBA and when teams are off great 🛡️ defensive performances—one in college hoops! 🎯💰All at OffshoreInsiders.com

TNF NFL Niners-Seahawks Betting Angles

San Francisco (-3.5, 49.5)-Seattle betting angles

Opened -5, 46.5

61% of bets, 71% of money on SFN

69% of bets, 68% of cash on OVER

Power ratings:

SportsLine: San Francisco wins 26-24

Oddstrader: San Francisco 27-21 (good edge to Niners)

BetQL: San Francisco 27-23

Massey: San Francisco 26-23

Betting pros: San Francisco -2.8, 47.3 with UNDER covering 56%, Seattle 52%

Action Network: San Francisco -3, 47.5 (lean UNDER)

Systems:

Road teams that had at least one fumble last game versus opponent that had 11 or fewer third down attempts are 567-439-20. (SFN)

Trends:

Seattle 10-1 on a short week and off a game of two or fewer interceptions is 10-1

Free pick from Joe Duffy:

UTEP +19.5 Western Kentucky

Western Kentucky blew a 13-point fourth quarter lead last game. Teams that blew at least an 11-point fourth quarter lead is 101-72-3. Sportsline has us covering 58% of simulations, winning 40-17. 

Top expert pick is from Joe Duffy: 🔥 Okay pros! 🎯 Breaking News: AFC West Weeknight Game of the Year kicks off another NFL winning week! 🏈Named plays from Joe Duffy are as close to a true lock in gambling as it gets! 🔒🎲 That continued yesterday with the first of MLB postseason Mets as NL Playoff Day Game of the Year part of a 2-0 sweep. ⚾🏆🎉⚾ MLB side at 6:08 ET plus MLB player prop. 🏈 College Football side added. Frankly, “named plays” are almost automatic! 🎯🔥💰 Get it all at OffshoreInsiders.com

TNF Buccaneers vs. Falcons Pro Bettors Preview

The official betting preview of pro gamblers for Tampa Bay vs. Atlanta from Grandmaster Sports Handicapper Joe Duffy. 

  • 3 Thursday night sides: NFL and 2 CFB
  • Friday CFB total 
  • Saturday: CFB Total of the Year among 4 Wise Guys, plus 8 Majors
  • Named play among 8 Sunday NFL, 3 are Wise Guy bets! We added early morning London winner.

Joe Duffy’s Picks at OffshoreInsiders.com

Tampa-Atlanta (-1.5,44)

Opened: Atlanta -3, 44

75% of bets, 86% of money on Tampa

80% of bets, 75% of handle on OVER 

Free winning bet:

Tampa-Atlanta UNDER 44

Medium range total, both teams off a win, one as a favorite one as a dog, both off a cover, goes under 62-33-4. As we will admit, this traded system is somewhat backfitted and less dominant the last three years, not a premium play. However, one of the top sharps, one who is having a good season again, has this bet. 

Systems:

Thursday favorites after week 4 under specific situations that apply in this game are 129-73-3 (Atlanta)

Tampa just second road game, but they are 1-0, while Atlanta is 1-2 at home SU. Anti-splits angle about fading road teams with a significantly better road winning percentage than home team’s home winning percentage is 116-68-8 (Atlanta)

First half of the season underdogs off less than a TD are 234-148-7 under specific situations that apply in this game (Tampa)

Go against home teams in a short week if they averaged less than 45.8 yards per punt in the last series meeting is 24-6 (Tampa)

Go against conference teams off a high-scoring home game if not with extreme rest is 612-483-27 (Atlanta)

Since 2024 first or only series meeting with a total of 44 or less goes UNDER 481-362-17 includind113-81-3 if divisional (UNDER)

Primetime games under 78-49-1 last 3 seasons (8-7 this year)

  • Public loves overs, so books need unders says it’s not coincidental 

Trends

Tampa 9-1 ATS road, Atlanta 0-3 ATS home this year and 3-10 favorites last 2 years

Curt Cousins 8-3 primetime, Baker Mayfield 3-8, but Atlanta 3-9 under the lights 

Cousins under 9-1 last 10, Mayfield under 13-2 in primetime 

Tampa 10-3 as dogs last 2 years, including 8-1 road underdogs 

Ron Tolbert is the head ref and unders 43-26 with him

Notes:

Tampa with the third highest blitz rate in the NFL this season but Cousins most TDs against the blitz since 2018 at 68

Atlanta without C Drew Dalman, starting LB Troy Anderson

Tampa without S Antoine Winfield; #3 and #4 WRs Jalen McMillan and Trey Palmer 

Prop bets

Cade Otton (TB) over 28.5 receiving yards

Integrated more into offense and Tampa’s WR depth thinned, so safety valve, especially in a short week, where tougher to throw in more wrinkles. New OC Liam Coen has Mayfield throwing quicker and shorter passes 

Rachaad White (TB) OVER 9.5 carries 

He is averaging 10.3 this season and is bigger than teammate Bucky Irving, so on a short week, should get a 60-40 or better split on carries

Power ratings:

Massey: Tampa 23-20 (TB ATS and money)

OddsTrader: Atlanta 22-19 (lean UNDER)

Sportsline: Atlanta 24-23

BetQL: Atlanta 23-21

StatSharp: 22-22 tie

Action: Atlanta -2, 44

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