Galleries

Updated Power 5 Odds

The Big 12 is perceived to be so feeble that the oddsmakers still have Oklahoma listed as the conference favorite despite two early-season losses.

Undefeated Oklahoma State is a close second on the board while Texas and Iowa State are third and fourth, respectively.

For the two major conferences waiting to play, USC is listed as the early frontrunner for the Pac-12 title and Ohio State is the odds-on favorite in the Big Ten.

SportsBetting  a licensed sportsbook in Colorado, has the latest odds for all of the Power 5 conferences, which you can find below.

ACC Odds –

Clemson: 1-5
Notre Dame: 5-1
Miami: 8-1
North Carolina: 10-1
Virginia Tech: 18-1
Pittsburgh: 33-1
Virginia: 40-1
Louisville: 75-1
NC State: 100-1
Wake Forest: 125-1
Boston College: 150-1
Florida State: 200-1
Duke: 250-1
Georgia Tech: 250-1
Syracuse: 250-1

Big 12 Odds –

Oklahoma: 2-1
Oklahoma State: 3-2
Texas: 3-1
Iowa State: 7-2
TCU: 9-1
Baylor: 14-1
West Virginia: 16-1
Kansas State: 18-1
Texas Tech: 150-1
Kansas: 750-1

Big Ten Odds –

Ohio State: 2-3
Wisconsin: 8-1
Penn State: 11-1
Michigan: 12-1
Minnesota: 28-1
Iowa: 35-1
Northwestern: 45-1
Nebraska: 45-1
Indiana: 75-1
Michigan State: 130-1
Purdue: 140-1
Illinois: 500-1
Maryland: 500-1
Rutgers: 1500-1

SEC Odds –

Alabama: 1-2
Florida: 5-2
Georgia: 3-1
Tennessee: 20-1
Auburn: 25-1
Texas A&M: 25-1
LSU: 33-1
Mississippi State: 33-1
Kentucky: 66-1
Ole Miss: 150-1
Arkansas: 250-1
South Carolina: 250-1
Missouri: 500-1
Vanderbilt: 750-1

Pac-12 Odds –

USC: 3-2
Oregon: 2-1
Washington: 6-1
Arizona State: 9-1
California: 9-1
Utah: 9-1
Stanford: 12-1
UCLA: 12-1
Washington State: 33-1
Arizona: 100-1
Colorado: 100-1
Oregon State: 100-1

Get the winners at OffshoreInsiders.com

Free Pick Vikings-Texans Week 4

Big weekend up at OffshoreInsiders.com Joe Duffy has a free pick on:

MINNESOTA +3.5 Houston

This is the first time Houston is favorite this season. Fading favorites that have usually been in underdogs role is 153-93-12 including 18-4 the last 22.  That being said, they’ve played KC, Baltimore, and Pittsburgh. Go with the much more disappointing defense based on delta points allowed is 331-244-14. Delta points allowed is how many points they allowed relative to the oddsmakers posted team total or implied total based on the odds and spread.

Winless teams that blew at least an eight point lead the previous week are 49-24-1. Vikings led 24-12 last week against Titans.

Fading terrible teams (based on winning percentage) as favorites are 153-108-8. Vikings distraction as Titans players tested positive? If anything, just something to rally around. One simulator has Minnesota covering 52 percent, as a three-point win projected. Another has Minnesota covering 57.3 percent of time. Another power ratings has Minnesota -1.5 and projected to win by two.  We bet at GTBets

 

 

Gambler’s Preview Of Broncos vs. Jets Open Week 4 of NFL Odds

The Denver Broncos take on the New York Jets in a Thursday Night Football contest, ugly to fans, but gorgeous to bettors. Denver is 0-3 SU, but 2-1 to the number, going under 2-1. The Jets are 0-3 both SU and ATS, going over 2-1. They’ve lost all three games by double-digits. The Jets have the second worst margin of cover in the league at -10.3 points per game. Home teams not laying more than two-points are 74-61-2 ats if off three straight double-digit losses. That of course favors New York. The posted total has jumped around, but if it drops to 40.5, note that total of 40.5 or less have gone under 25-11 the last two seasons.

Brett Rypien becomes the third Bronco to start at QB this season. Denver is without Von Miller, Jurell Casey, Courtland Sutton, Phillip Lindsay and A.J. Bouye. The Jets are minus Le’Veon Bell, Breshard Perriman, and Denzel Mims.

Odds: New York is -1 and 41, pretty much straight across the board on both. It’s essentially back to where is started as New York was a P but -117 and 41 when it opened.

Public betting percentages: Though 56 percent of tickets written are on Denver, 70 percent of cash is on the Jets. A slight edge of 51 percent of bets on the over, but a whopping 90 percent of the cash is as well.

Power ratings: Power ratings have Denver -3 and 40.5 with a projected final of 21-17 in favor of the road team.

Computer simulations ATS and OU: One of the top commercial simulators has Denver winning 20-19 with Broncos covering 53 percent of the time and the under at 53 percent, though that projection is based on a total of 40. Another has the power rating of NYJ -3 and 37 with New York covering -1 at 55.3-42.7 rate. At 41 points, 61.2 percent of simulations go under to 35.2 going over.

Against the spread trends: Denver is 6-0 after getting less than 90 yards rushing their last game and 10-3 off loss of 14 or more points, also 10-3 on TNF. However, they are 8-23 after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game. New York 2-6 overall.

Over-under trends: Denver under 12-3 after allowing less than 90 yards rushing their last game,

Top expert pick on today’s card is from Joe Duffy. JDP is a solid 9-5 the last 14, including Astros in consecutive days as +140 and +120. Nobody has dominated any sport the way Joe Duffy has the NFL for decades. Duffy has a Thursday Night Football total to start a sensational week.  Get the picks now

Week 4 Betting Props; Which Starting QB Will Be Benched?

Storylines continue to be abundant in the NFL following three weeks of action. Joe Duffy of OffshoreInsiders.com working on a big week of football.

As usual, oddsmakers have turned some of those talking points into wagers. People can bet on a number of props such as who will be the next quarterback benched, when Jalen Hurts will make his first start (if at all), Mitchell Trubisky’s future, 0-3 teams qualifying for the playoffs and much more.

Odds from SportsBetting are subject to change and your readers can view real-time numbers via the link below.

Week 4 NFL Props:

Next QB benched (non-injury related)

Sam Darnold       3-1    (+300)

Ryan Fitzpatrick  4-1   (+400)

Justin Herbert    5-1    (+500)

Dwayne Haskins    6-1 (+600)

Daniel Jones      6-1     (+600)

Gardner Minshew         8-1     (+800)

Kirk Cousins      10-1   (+1000)

Nick Foles          12-1   (+1200)

Teddy Bridgewater 12-1         (+1200)

Baker Mayfield              14-1   (+1400)

Philip Rivers      16-1   (+1600)

Cam Newton     33-1   (+3300)

Which week will Jalen Hurts make first start?

Weeks 4-7      +400

Weeks 8-11    +250

Weeks 12-14  +225

Weeks 15-17  +150

Will Carson Wentz be benched during regular season? (non-injury related)

Yes  +200

No   -300

Will Mitchell Trubisky start another game? (non-injury related)

Yes  +250

No   -400

Will Mitchell Trubisky start for any team during 2021 season?

Yes  +200

No   -300

Will Tyrod Taylor start another game? (non-injury related)

Yes  +110

No   -150

Will any 0-3 team qualify for playoffs?

Yes  +450

No   -750

Will the Eagles make the playoffs?

Yes  +300

No   -500

Will the Texans make the playoffs?

Yes  +550

No   -1000

Will the Vikings make the playoffs?

Yes  +600

No   -1200

Which team will win a game first?

Jets       -300

Giants  +200

Will Jets and Broncos have new coach in Week 1 of 2021 season?

Yes  +100

No   -140

Will the Chiefs go 16-0?

Yes  +900

No   -2000

Pro Gambler’s Breakdown of Chiefs vs. Ravens

Week 3 of NFL betting concludes with arguably the biggest game of the season as the Kansas City Chiefs take on the Baltimore Ravens. The possible AFC Championship Game preview sees both teams 2-0 SU. Each team has split their totals going over and under once. KC is 1-1 to the number, Baltimore 2-0. Baltimore is topping the oddsmakers by a league leading 17.2 points per game. Only Green Bay is beating the bookies by an average of more than double-digits, though of course every other teams, sans tonight’s foes, have played three games.

Teams with a 15 or better margin of cover average for the year are 100-124-8, including 88-116-7 if not a home underdog. This of course would say to fade Baltimore and bet on KC.

Odds: Baltimore is either -3 with juice in the -119 or -120 range or -3.5 with juice at even money at books like WagerWeb. The total is as low as 54.5, but as high as 55.5. The game opened at -1.5 and 52. Some consider opening line when all bookies have one, AKA “widely available” opening line. Many love world opener for power lines and other purposes.

Public betting percentages: 58 percent of bets and 64% of money is on Kansas City. On one hand, the public loves favorites, but they do tend to jump on high-quality underdogs, so the fact they love the defending Super Bowl champs as puppies is not a surprise.

Power ratings: The Ravens should be -3.5 with a total of 50. They are projected to win 27-24.

Computer simulations ATS: One of our top projection models did 10,000 simulations and found Baltimore winning 29-24 with the Ravens covering -3 at 52 percent of the time and the game going under 55 percent. Even with the pushes, the model represents only a mild lean to the Ravens, but with the added juice at -3, it is essentially a wash. At +3.5, the other elite model has KC covering 55.1-44.9, but only 46.6-44.9 at +3, with about nine percent pushing. At 54.5, 54.9 percent of simulations go over.

Against the spread trends: Kansas City 7-0 after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game, 4-0-1 MNF, 9-1 away dog. Baltimore is 9-1 to AFC.

Over-under trends: Kansas City over 15-5 underdogs, but under 35-16 after allowing more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.

Top expert pick on today’s card is from TGO. Stevie Vincent is back, back in the offshore groove. Or Vegas or your home state groove. Today only Stevie Vincent four free days with weekly pick pack. At 5-2 football the last two days, TGO has Pro Football Monday Night Game of the Year. Bet 6-9 times your normal amount!  Get the picks now

NFL Week 4 Opening Lines Released; Sharps Use as Part of Power Ratings

Week 4 NFL odds. Some consider opening line when all bookies have one, AKA “widely available” opening line. Many love world opener for power lines and other purposes. A common belief among sharps is that oddsmakers adjust to the fact the public always overreacts to previous week’s results. At Joe Duffy’s Picks, these are power ratings, adjusted for injuries. Bet these at MyBookie, latest odds.

Thurs SP/RL
8:25 PM
101 Broncos -2 (-112)
102 Jets +2 (-108)
Sun SP/RL
1:05 PM
251 Colts -2 (-110)
252 Bears +2 (-111)
1:05 PM
253 Saints -5½ (-117)
254 Lions +5½ (-103)
1:05 PM
255 Cardinals -5 (-113)
256 Panthers +5 (-107)
1:05 PM
257 Jaguars +3 (-123)
258 Bengals -3 (+104)
1:05 PM
259 Browns +5½ (-109)
260 Cowboys -5½ (-111)
1:05 PM
261 Vikings +3 (+115)
262 Texans -3 (-137)
1:05 PM
263 Seahawks -7 (+101)
264 Dolphins +7 (-121)
1:05 PM
265 Chargers +5 (-106)
266 Buccaneers -5 (-114)
1:05 PM
267 Steelers +2 (-114)
268 Titans -2 (-106)
1:05 PM
269 Ravens -13 (-102)
270 WA Football Team +13 (-119)
4:10 PM
271 Giants +10 (-121)
272 Rams -10 (+101)
4:30 PM
273 Patriots +7 (-111)
274 Chiefs -7 (-109)
4:30 PM
275 Bills -2 (-111)
276 Raiders +2 (-108)
8:25 PM
277 Eagles
278 49ers
Mon SP/RL
8:20 PM
279 Falcons +6 (-111)
280 Packers -6 (-109)

 

Free Winning Picks Cowboys-Seahawks Betting Picks Preview

The Seattle Seahawks take on the Dallas Cowboys in Seattle. Dallas is 1-1 SU, but 0-2 ats, splitting their two totals. Seattle is 2-0 SU and ATS, going over both games. Seattle is third in the NFL in over margin, going over by an average of 16.8 points per game.

Dallas is fresh off a stunning come from behind win against Atlanta. Dogs of 4.5 or more off a comeback win in which they trailed by at least 17 points are go-against of 18-8 including 12-4 since 2006. This says to fade Dallas and go with Seattle. However, anti-splits angle in which we go with road team with much worse away winning percentage than the home team home winning percentage is 185-129-8. One may point out that Dallas has played just two games. Overreaction is enormous early in year, so this angle is 73-43 for 62.9 percent in first four weeks or more accurately, weeks 3 and 4.

When a team, in this case Seattle, is coming off consecutive games in which at least 60 points were scored, and the current total is 57 or higher, it goes over 15-4-1 all-time. It applies here.

Odds: Seattle is -5 and a total of 57. It opened Seattle -3, -116 and 56.

Public betting percentages: Though 55 percent of bets on Seattle, 84 percent of money on Dallas. 79 percent of bets and 94 percent of money on over.

Power ratings: The best power ratings anywhere, say that Seattle should be laying -2.5 with a total of 52 and project Seattle to win 27-24,

Computer simulations ATS: One of our top projection models did 10,000 simulations and found Dallas covering about 52 percent of the time, going under 67 percent with 30-26 final in favor of the Hawks. Another has Dallas covering 56.6 percent of the time at 4.5. The same percentage applies at 5 except the probability of a push goes up to two percent. It has the game under 53.6 percent of the time. Their power line is Seattle -3 and 55.

Against the spread trends: Dallas 10-3 after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game. Seattle 3-7 at home.

Over-under trends: Dallas over 13-3 off spread loss. Seattle over 12-5 off SU win.

Top expert pick on today’s card is from Joe Duffy. 10 NFL Sunday, season-high four Wise Guys, plus Monday Night Football winner. All this and more at OffshoreInsiders.com with new much more mobile friendly website.

Our official free pick is DALLAS +5 at NFL live lines.

Sportsbook Releases Odds on First Coaches Fired in Each Power Conference

As you enjoy the new website at OffshoreInsiders.com and its mobile friendliness, we present prop odds. With three of the Power 5 conferences in action this weekend, oddsmakers took a look around the college football landscape and wondered which coaches might be on the hot seat.

Below you will find odds for the first head coach fired in the ACC, Big Ten, Big 12 and SEC. Odds do not take into account a coach resigning or retiring.

Odds from SportsBetting are subject to change and your readers can view real-time numbers via the link below.

Head Coach odds:

First ACC head coach fired

Dino Babers  3-2

Dave Doeren  2-1

Pat Narduzzi  6-1

Justin Fuente  6-1

Manny Diaz  10-1

Mike Norvell  10-1

David Cutcliffe  12-1

Mack Brown  14-1

Geoff Collins  16-1

Jeff Hafley  20-1

Scott Satterfield  20-1

Dave Clawson  20-1

Bronco Mendenhall  25-1

Brian Kelly  33-1

Dabo Swinney  100-1

First Big 12 head coach fired

Tom Herman  3-2

Matt Wells  3-2

Neal Brown  3-1

Les Miles  6-1

Chris Klieman  8-1

Gary Patterson  10-1

Mike Gundy  10-1

Matt Campbell  14-1

Dave Aranda  20-1

Lincoln Riley  28-1

First Big Ten head coach fired

Lovie Smith  2-1

Scott Frost  3-2

Jim Harbaugh  5-1

Pat Fitzgerald  5-1

Tom Allen  8-1

Jeff Brohm  9-1

Kirk Ferentz  12-1

Mike Locksley  14-1

Paul Chryst  20-1

PJ Fleck +2500

Mel Tucker  33-1

Greg Schiano  50-1

James Franklin  50-1

Ryan Day  100-1

First SEC head coach fired

Will Muschamp  2-1

Derek Mason  2-1

Jeremy Pruitt  3-1

Gus Malzahn  5-1

Sam Pittman  8-1

Lane Kiffin  10-1

Mike Leach  10-1

Jimbo Fisher  14-1

Eli Drinkwitz  20-1

Mark Stoops  20-1

Kirby Smart  33-1

Dan Mullen  33-1

Ed Orgeron  50-1

Nick Saban  100-1

Follow us on social media: YouTubeFacebookPeriscopeVKOKTwitterInstagram (new and hot), Pinterest.

TNF Betting Preview Jaguars vs. Dolphins

The Miami Dolphins take on the Jacksonville Jaguars as week 3 NFL betting begins. Miami is 0-2 SU, 1-1 ATS, going over 1-1. The Jags are 1-1 SU, covering both games and both went over the total. The Jags games have gone over by an average of 10.9 points per game.

Odds: Jacksonville is -3 but very low juice, in fact +105 at some books, The total is 48 at MyBookie. Last week, it opened at -1.5 and 44.

Public betting percentages: The Jags have 69 percent of bets and a stunning 90 percent of cash on them. The over is favored by 69 and 90 percent respectively.

Power ratings: The top power ratings have Jags -4.5 and 48.5 with Jacksonville projected to win 27-22.

Computer simulations ATS: One of our top projection models did 10,000 simulations and found Miami covering the field goal 49 percent of the time, a mild plurality because of the expected pushes on the key number. 55 percent of their simulations go over and their predicted final score is Jacksonville coming out on top 27-25. The other widely respected model has Miami covering 56.4 percent to 35.6 for Jacksonville, with a ton of pushes. They have 56.6 percent of simulations going under 48, with 40.9 exceeding the total. They have Jacksonville winning by two with 45 points scored.

Against the spread trends: Miami 7-2 off loss, 16-37 after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game. Jacksonville is 8-2 after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.

Over-under trends: Miami has gone under 8-2 on Thursdays but over 6 straight off loss. Jacksonville has gone under 9-4 home.

Injuries: Jaguars WR DJ Clark, who has seven catches in two games for 109 yards and a touchdown in questionable. Weather is not expected to be a big factor, though at 87 degrees, depth could be a factor. Winds will be at 12 mph.

JDP is 13-7 last 20 in football. Thursday Night College Football Total of the Year, NFL Thursday, plus NBA. If you have never gotten a sports service pick or been burned by fly-by-night scammers, today is your day to purchase and begin the rest of your gambling life with betting’s most exclusive country club.  Get the picks now at check out the much more mobile friendly experience at top NFL handicapper site.

College Football Free Pick Week 3 Army-Cincinnati

Joe Duffy already has a big portfolio up for the weekend. Thursday Night College Football Total of the Year, NFL Thursday, four Saturday football and a lot more coming at OffshoreInsiders.com

ARMY +14 Cincinnati

Angle that has to do with big underdogs in games not expected to be high scoring is 276-178-20. One of our top projection models did 10,000 simulations and found Army covering 67 percent of the time, losing by just six points. Another simulator has Army covering 58.3-40 with rest falling on 14, projected as 11 points better. Another has power line at Cincinnati -6.5.

Army with good speed at RB with Buchanan, Robinson, McCoy. This is Army’s toughest opponent of season, so they can put all their focus on this game. Dogs of 10.5 or more off consecutive 20 point or more wins are 85-61-1 if not playing at home. Favors Army.

I bet at NFL live lines, latest odds