Tag Archives: week 4 NFL picks

Gambler’s Preview Of Broncos vs. Jets Open Week 4 of NFL Odds

The Denver Broncos take on the New York Jets in a Thursday Night Football contest, ugly to fans, but gorgeous to bettors. Denver is 0-3 SU, but 2-1 to the number, going under 2-1. The Jets are 0-3 both SU and ATS, going over 2-1. They’ve lost all three games by double-digits. The Jets have the second worst margin of cover in the league at -10.3 points per game. Home teams not laying more than two-points are 74-61-2 ats if off three straight double-digit losses. That of course favors New York. The posted total has jumped around, but if it drops to 40.5, note that total of 40.5 or less have gone under 25-11 the last two seasons.

Brett Rypien becomes the third Bronco to start at QB this season. Denver is without Von Miller, Jurell Casey, Courtland Sutton, Phillip Lindsay and A.J. Bouye. The Jets are minus Le’Veon Bell, Breshard Perriman, and Denzel Mims.

Odds: New York is -1 and 41, pretty much straight across the board on both. It’s essentially back to where is started as New York was a P but -117 and 41 when it opened.

Public betting percentages: Though 56 percent of tickets written are on Denver, 70 percent of cash is on the Jets. A slight edge of 51 percent of bets on the over, but a whopping 90 percent of the cash is as well.

Power ratings: Power ratings have Denver -3 and 40.5 with a projected final of 21-17 in favor of the road team.

Computer simulations ATS and OU: One of the top commercial simulators has Denver winning 20-19 with Broncos covering 53 percent of the time and the under at 53 percent, though that projection is based on a total of 40. Another has the power rating of NYJ -3 and 37 with New York covering -1 at 55.3-42.7 rate. At 41 points, 61.2 percent of simulations go under to 35.2 going over.

Against the spread trends: Denver is 6-0 after getting less than 90 yards rushing their last game and 10-3 off loss of 14 or more points, also 10-3 on TNF. However, they are 8-23 after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game. New York 2-6 overall.

Over-under trends: Denver under 12-3 after allowing less than 90 yards rushing their last game,

Top expert pick on today’s card is from Joe Duffy. JDP is a solid 9-5 the last 14, including Astros in consecutive days as +140 and +120. Nobody has dominated any sport the way Joe Duffy has the NFL for decades. Duffy has a Thursday Night Football total to start a sensational week.  Get the picks now

Week 4 NFL Critical Betting Information, SU Picks, Parlays, OU, ATS Locks

Week 4 NFL critical betting and gambling information has been posted. Get moneyline straight up information, totals betting locks, parlay picks, and everything gamblers must know.

ATS bettors have a must-see article on who the strongest bets are is up.

Four teams that missed the postseason in 2018 – Buffalo, Detroit, Green Bay and San Francisco — are undefeated through the first three weeks of the 2019 season. It marks the fourth time that at least four teams have started the season undefeated through their first three games after missing the postseason the previous year since 1990 when the current playoff format was instituted, joining 2013, 2003 and 2002. Here’s a quick look at every Week 4 game alongside the latest NFL Odds. The Jets and 49ers are on the bye.

ATS detailed information below

Quick money can be made with parlay betting.

The Patriots have yet to be tested this season. They were 30-14 home winners over the Jets on Sunday. Tom Brady completed 28-of-42 passes for 306 yards and two touchdowns. Brady wasn’t sacked in the victory. He spread the wealth to seven different receivers including Josh Gordon, who led the way with 83 yards on six catches. The first of Brady’s two touchdowns came on a 25-yard play-action pass to Phillip Dorsett, who scampered into the end zone untouched. Later Brady connected with Julian Edelman, finding him all alone for a touchdown on third-and-goal.
Will Brady have Julian Edelman this week? He had a chest injury Sunday, although X-rays were negative. Should Edelman miss time, undrafted rookie Jakobi Meyers would handle slot duties—he lined up inside on 86.2 percent of his snaps against the Jets—with Josh Gordon and Phillip Dorsett continuing to work outside.

More winning parlay information below

Moneyline information are also great straight up picks for your office pool.

As we begin to look ahead to NFL Week 4, it is already becoming clear that there is a bit of a gap between the good teams and the bad. Sure, that has always been the case, but the NFL has also become known for its parity in recent years. That does not seem to be the case in the early going, though, as we already have some clear favorites separating themselves from the rest of the pack.
There is still a lot of football to come, though, so we should perhaps not get too carried away. We are going to be looking at several different odds for NFL Week 4, but let’s focus on SU picks for this one.

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Joe Duffy is in fire. Off another great week, going 18-6 in football including Thursday Night Total of the Year, SEC West Total of the Year. I am 26-12 NFL since preseason. Ten NFL Thursday through Monday, including Interconference Underdog of the Year and AFC Monday Night Game of the Year. We also have two college bets Thursday and Friday each and seven Saturday. Get the picks now   

Totals bettors have been raking in the sports betting dimes this season. Here is the over-under report.

The last couple of seasons have been a bit of a disaster for the Green Bay Packers, prompting the front office to make a change at the head coach position. Early results suggest that the Packers are heading in the right direction, but while they are 4-0 on the season, they have had their struggles on the offensive side of the football.
The Eagles have had similar issues, but they are in a tougher spot, having now lost back to back games to fall to 1-2. In 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two in Green Bay, it has been the UNDER that has hit.

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