All posts by Joe Duffy

nba free pick for july 31; welcome back sports bettors

We are back. Massive sale on OffshoreInsiders.com in which every package of a week or longer is automatically doubled! We have a free NBA picks winner for July 31. 

NBA 

PORTLAND -2 Memphis

Portland is the favorite despite having an inferior record by 3.5 games. The Blazers are 29-37 SU, while Memphis is 32-33. This sets up one of our famed “use the oddsmaker’s knowledge against them” angles that is 695-574-21. 

GTBets is giving you a 100 percent signup bonus up to $500! 

NBA Picks Are Back From Top Sports Handicapper; July 31 2020 Free Play

Http://offshoreinsiders.com is giddy that baseball winning has returned following by NBA. Accordingly free sports betting picks from Joe Duffy. Duffy has a time-tested sports betting system that will not be negatively affected by the layoff. Hint, it’s a classic example of pro gamblers using oddsmakers knowledge directly against them. 

We bet the game at MyBookie here Https://record.webpartners.co/_HMpGcY-4ZyP50iyUy8DRTWNd7ZgqdRLk/1/ sportsbook/nba/

Please comment, like, subscribe. 

Oddsmakers Say No Football Season Possible, Dak Prescott to Colts, Tuberville Wins Senate Seat

Sportsbooks around the world are pulling down college football odds due to uncertainty surrounding the upcoming season. Spreads for marquee games, futures odds (CFP, conference, divisions) and season win totals have all been taken off the board for now. The bookies best chance to not lose to OffshoreInsiders.com seems to be realistic says the books.

Will start of FBS season be postponed until spring 2021
Yes +120
No -160

Prop bets for the Alabama Senate election featuring former Auburn head coach Tommy Tuberville and Dak Prescott’s next team are available as well.

Odds are courtesy of SportsBetting

2020 Alabama Senate Election winner
Doug Jones +150
Tommy Tuberville -200

Dak Prescott team in Week 1 of 2021 regular season
Indianapolis Colts +700
Chicago Bears +800
Minnesota Vikings +800
Los Angeles Chargers +800
Dallas Cowboys +900
Jacksonville Jaguars +900
Las Vegas Raiders +1000
New Orleans Saints +1000
New York Jets +1200
Pittsburgh Steelers +1200
Washington +1200
Carolina Panthers +1400
New England Patriots +1400
Tennessee Titans +1400
Detroit Lions +1600
Miami Dolphins +1600
Buffalo Bills +1800
Cincinnati Bengals +2000
Houston Texans +2000

 

Sportsbooks Say Biden/Harris Likely Winning Combo in 2020 Presidential Election

Kamela Harris is now the overwhelming favorite to get the Democratic nomination on the 2020 Presidential ticket. The former California US Senator is at -115. Joe Biden is now a whopping -165 to win the White House, with incumbent President Trump at +150. Odds are from SportsBetting

All odds based on $100 per bet. Hence +1000 would be the same as 10-1.

Vice President on the Democratic Election Ticket

3950    Kamala Harris            -115

3956    Susan Rice                  +350

3957    Tammy Duckworth     +350

3953    Val Demings               +900

3952    Elizabeth Warren        +1200

3955    Michelle Obama         +1600

3960    Keisha Lance Bottoms +2000

3965    Karen Bass                 +2500

3962    Lujan Grisham            +3000

3954    Stacey Abrams            +4000

3958    Hillary Clinton            +5000

3959    Barack Obama            +6600

3963    Tammy Baldwin          +6600

Tuesday, Nov 03, 2020

U.S. Politics

Odds to Win the Presidential Election

1954    Joe Biden                   -165

1951    Donald Trump            +150

1959    Hillary Clinton            +2000

1960    Michelle Obama         +3300

1958    Mike Pence                +4000

1967    Kanye West                +12500

1957    Elizabeth Warren        +15000

1964    Nikki Haley                 +15000

1965    Mark Cuban               +30000

U.S. Politics

Donald Trump Election Special

23903  To Lose Electoral College & Popular Vote                 -165

23902  To Win Electoral College, Lose Popular Vote            +210

23901  To Win Electoral College & Popular Vote                  +350

23904  To Lose Electoral College, Win Popular Vote            +2500

 

 

 

MLB Betting: Baseball Expert Previews NL MVP

Baseball expert Jordan Duffy, a fantasy MLB expert, previews the NL MVP in his debut article. Odds are at MyBookie and Bovada

With a 60-game season, ​many things become much more of a crapshoot. ​ ​The NL MVP was already going to be tricky to predict prior to COVID-19. Will an established, perennial all-star like Betts or Yelich win? Could Bellinger repeat his 2019? Or will a young phenom like Acuña or Soto rise above the competition?

With the small sample size of 60 games, what would normally be an ​insignificant ​hot/cold streak could be the difference between winning the MVP and not even being in the conversation.

My pick

Christian Yelich +700

I know what you are probably thinking: did you forget that Mookie Betts was traded to the Dodgers? No, I did not. ​Mookie Betts is the overwhelming favorite to win MVP after leaving Mike Trout’s shadow in the American League, but I decided to go with a bolder decision in Christian Yelich.

I went with Yelich as he is the superior offensive player, while Betts is more well-rounded. Although voters have become a lot better about considering every aspect of the game in recent years, defensive statistics are notoriously volatile and in a shortened season, voters will likely put a larger emphasis on offense.

There’s no question that Yelich is the real deal. Following his 2018 MVP campaign, Yelich put up another MVP caliber season in 2019 (and he likely would have repeated had a broken kneecap not cut his season short). His peripherals also have supported the results: 99th percentile for xwOBA and xSLG, and 98th percentile for xAVG and Exit Velocity, according to Statcast.

Honorable Mention: Mookie Betts (duh)

Big name ​to be avoid: Cody Bellinger

Cody Bellinger is coming off a huge year, ​which goes without saying considering he is the reigning MVP. Having just turned 25, he looks very appealing at first glance; however, his stats were heavily inflated by a very hot start.

Bellinger finished 2019 with 7.8 fWAR—tied with Yelich for the NL best—but 3.8 (~49%) of it came during his first 46 games. That was 1.0 fWAR ahead of Yelich, who ranked second at the time.

In his remaining 110 games, he played much more like the Cody Bellinger we had seen in previous years. Although still very good, it’s not MVP material. He put up 4.0 fWAR—which was good for 18th in the MLB and 9th in the NL in that timespan. He slashed .263/.373/.562 for a wRC+ of 136.

Those numbers closely reflect his career numbers prior to 2019: ​.263/.347/.522 and a wRC+ of 128.

Get the best picks this MLB season from Joe Duffy at OffshoreInsiders.com  

Complete odds:

Mookie Betts +285
Ronald Acuna Jr. +600
Christian Yelich +700
Juan Soto +800
Bryce Harper +1200
Cody Bellinger+1200
Fernando Tatís Jr. +1200
Javier Baez +1800
Ketel Marte +2000
Nolan Arenado +2000
Peter Alonso +2000
Kris Bryant +3000
Paul Goldschmidt +3000
Eugenio Suarez +3500
Jacob DeGrom +3500
Manny Machado +3500
Rhys Hoskins +4000
Max Scherzer +4500
Trevor Story +5000
Anthony Rizzo +6000
Andrew McCutchen +8000
Nicholas Castellanos +8000

Which Football Conference Will Be First to Postpone Season

It’s beginning to look like there will be no college football this season. Which major conference will be the first to drop the shoe? SportsBetting has these odds:

First FBS conference to postpone fall football
Pac-12 +150
Big 12 +250
ACC +300
Big Ten +400
SEC +500

Will any FBS game scheduled for 8/29/20 be cancelled or postponed?
Yes -500
No +300

Will FBS season be postponed until 2021 spring semester?
Yes -120
No -120

In the even there is a season, here are updated Heisman, CFP and below odds found here:

Fred Biletnikoff
Ja’Marr Chase +300
Devonta Smith +400
Rashod Bateman +500
Jaylen Waddle +600
Rondale Moore +700
Tylan Wallace +800
Chatarius Atwell +1000
George Pickens +1200
Justyn Ross +1200
Chris Olave +1500
Dazz Newsome +1600
Khalil Shakir +2000

Doak Walker
Chuba Hubbard +400
Travis Etienne +500
Najee Harris +600
Kenneth Gainwell +700
Max Borghi +800
Kylin Hill +900
CJ Verdell +1000
Javian Hawkins +1000
Journey Brown +1000
Pooka Williams +1000
Zamir White +1200
Trey Sanders +1500
Jaret Patterson +1800

Davey O’Brien
Justin Fields +250
Trevor Lawrence +250
Spencer Rattler +900
D’Eriq King +1000
Myles Brennan +1000
Sam Ehlinger +1000
Mac Jones +1200
Jamie Newman +1400
Sam Howell +1600
Adrian Martinez +1800
Bo Nix +1800
Kedon Slovis +1800
Sean Clifford +2500
Spencer Sanders +2500

Odds from SportsBetting Winning picks, vetted sportsbooks at OffshoreInsiders.com

 

Washington Redskins Next Name Revealed! You Can Bet It’s a Lock

Let’s not kid ourselves. It’s not a matter of if, but when and to what the Washington Redskins will change their name to. Odds are from SportsBetting and all odds based on $100 per bet. Hence +1000 would be the same as 10-1.

The Presidents seems like a logical favorite. Some media organizations have suggested Warriors, which is illogical considering Marquette changed their name from that because of the alleged negative connotation. Rule out the Jeffersons. Unless we are talking about George and Weezy, protesters have already targeted Thomas Jefferson statues, so that name is all but certain to be ruled out. No chance on Roosevelts either.

The Kings, in honor of Martin Luther King, is the pick at 5-1. The pressure from the NFL will be enormous. Pandering or not, that is the most likely choice and the official bet of OffshoreInsiders.com

Washington NFL Team Next Mascot Name
Presidents +300
Generals +400
Lincolns +400
Americans +500
Kings +500
Memorials +500
Capitols +600
Veterans +600
Jeffersons +700
Roosevelts +700
Monuments +800
Arlingtons +1000

History Sale Celebrates Long-Awaited Return of Sports Betting

Sports are back and the biggest sale in history from the greatest sports service is available to celebrate.

  • Purchase now as subscription will not begin until MLB back July 23-24, NBA to shortly follow
  • Unprecedented times=biggest sale in OffshoreInsiders.com history
  • Every weekly package or longer doubled until August 1
  • Weekly, monthly, 100 day, even year
  • Joe Duffy, Stevie Vincent, MasterLockLine, Bet it Trinity
  • Yes monthly=62 days
  • Don’t worry about expiration date on site
  • All packages updated manually by end of night
  • Current clients will have days added
  • However many days were left on your subscription on March 11 is how many days left upon return
  • Example, you had 20 days left, purchase weekly; you’ll have 34 days
  • New, existing, and previous clients—everyone included
  • Literally biggest sale ever, but with “new normal” we want you back…or with us for the first time

Yes, it’s as straightforward as that, but should any clarification be necessary, use contact form on the site. To get down on the offer Get the picks now

Empty Stadiums And Arenas Will Widen Gap Between Sharp and Square Betttors

Sports are coming back. I think. Well, I hope.

My handicapping is evidence informed validated with statistically meaningful proof. Most sports will conduct business on home fields, as opposed to the NBA and NHL, which will compete in bubble situations and hub cities. But the stadiums and arenas will be played absent of fans for the foreseeable future.

Indubitably, the definitive gambling issue is how will this affect many of our systems that are site explicit? On one hand, would could argue the absence of fans reduces HFA (home field advantage). Conversely, the unprecedented world situation should make the comfort of home, security of sleeping in one’s own bed, that much more considerable.

My educated opinion is there won’t be a big change in HFA. Most likely, there will be gross overreaction. Sites like Covers and Action Network will tell us statistically irrelevant minutia like the road team has covered seven of the first 10 games. Heck, on Twitter, I might too. I often like the I report, you decide method on my sports handicapping podcasts.

The citizenry is sure to pursue fool’s gold and ride early patterns. We will stay on course. Fortunately, our famed “math totals,” innovative principles that cross sports, are not site specific.

I am going to track patterns possibly shifting due to the uniqueness of the situation. Do not misinterpret that I will neglect the extraordinary circumstances. However, I am not going to induce knee-jerk amendments. Keep in mind, my advanced analytics measure oddsmaker over-adjustments and their reaction to the public outsmarting themselves. And that’s where my biggest edge will be.

From one of the greatest movies off all-time, It’s a Wonderful Life, Peter Bailey says, “Can’t you understand what’s happening here? Don’t you see what’s happening? Potter isn’t selling. Potter’s buying! And why? Because we’re panicky and he’s not. That’s why. He’s pickin’ up some bargains.”

There is a very good chance that will accurately describe my winnings in these exceptional circumstances.

The author, Joe Duffy is CEO of OffshoreInsiders.com and host of the popular sports betting YouTube channel. 

Sports Betting in the New Normal: Does Home Field/Home Court Advantage Still Exist

Post-Covid betting. HCA and HFA discussed. Indubitably, the definitive gambling issue is how will this affect many of our systems that are site explicit? On one hand, would could argue the absence of fans reduces HFA (home field advantage). Conversely, the unprecedented world situation should make the comfort of home, security of sleeping in one’s own bed, that much more considerable.
My educated opinion is there won’t be a big change in HFA. Most likely, there will be gross overreaction. Sites like Covers and Action Network will tell us statistically irrelevant minutia like the road team has covered seven of the first 10 games. Heck, on Twitter, I might too. I often like the I report, you decide method on my sports handicapping podcasts.
The citizenry is sure to pursue fool’s gold and ride early patterns. We will stay on course. Fortunately, our famed “math totals,” innovative principles that cross sports, are not site specific.