Free NBA Pick Against the Spread; Sweat Barometer Standings

Free NBA pick from the top basketball capper in history, Joe Duffy. 

MEMPHIS +3.5 New Orleans 

Going with teams off a spread loss versus an opponent off a spread win is 629-474-19 under specific situations that apply in this game. Overreaction is a big part of betting and applies here. Our official outlaw line is just +1. The outlaw line is what the line would be without square moves. Especially so close to a pick ‘em, 2.5-point difference is big. 

Top NBA teams to bet on based on sweat barometer.

Team       ATS Record                                           ATS margin
Oklahoma City 9-5+5.9
Cleveland8-5 +5.4

Notes: The Bucks have the fourth best ATS record in terms of winning percentage at 9-4 but by they have a negative ATS margin at -.5. The Kings are second in said category, but by +2.2 points per game, which puts them seventh. 

Top NBA teams to bet against based on sweat barometer.

Team       ATS Record                                           ATS margin
LA Clippers6-8-5.4
Golden State5-9-4.9

Notes: Miami has the worst record ATS at 3-11 but only -2.9 cover margin. Lakers are the second worst at 3-10 ATS, but -2.9. Some bettors interpret this as both teams being undervalued. 

Margin of cover is a long-time tool of original cappers used to measure the reliability of the often-deceptive ATS and OU records. It is much like margin of victory, except it measures margin relative to the point spread or OU. With over-under, “overs” are listed first. Some Johnny-Come-Lately handicappers call this the sweat barometer. 

💰💰💰Top expert pick is from Joe Duffy. A 4-0 college basketball sweep leads us to a winning day! It starts early this week! First two winners are up this week, Tuesday college football. Inspired by Billy Walters and the Vegas Computer Boys, Joe Duffy has been for decades the top data scientist in sports handicapping. NBA Wise Guy added. Get the picks now 

MyBookieDouble deposit up to $1,000 +$100K
BovadaGreat online casino with 3K welcome bonus!
GT Bets100% bonus on initial deposit, 50% on 2nd
Bet Now100% sign up bonus
BetOnlineHome of the opening line, has a $1,000 welcome bonus
Sports Betting #1 rated sportsbook for live betting. 1K signup bonus

Leave a Reply