Tag Archives: Vegas insider

NFL Lock Pick Betting Breakdown Dolphins vs. Patriots Gambling Tips

The Miami Dolphins take on the New England Patriots week 1 of Sunday NFL betting. The Patriots begin the post-Tom Brady era. Cam Newton makes his debut for New England, while forever young Ryan Fitzpatrick tosses the pigskin for Miami.

Odds: New England is -6.5 -115 with a total of 43 at NFL live lines, latest odds at MyBookie. It opened Pats -7 and -115.

Public betting percentages: Though 52 percent of wagers are on New England, a stunning 65 percent of money on Dolphins. This strongly implies sharp money on the Fins and the public rarely backs underdogs, especially in this price range.

Power ratings: Massey Ratings has New England squeezing out a 24-16 win.

Computer simulations ATS: Our top programs are clashing as one has Miami covering 6.5 58.5-41.6 percent of the time. The other elite simulation has the Pats beating the bookies 58 percent of replications.

Computer simulations OU: One tells us the game goes over 52.9 percent to 44, the remaining games land on 43. The other elite simulator also has a mild 51 percent exceeding the number.

Against the spread trends: Miami is 7-17 on field turf, but 7-2 last nine to AFC. Pats are 1-6-1 on field turf. New England is 7-1 at home in the series as the home team is 13-3 head-to-head.

Over-under trends: Miami has gone over 6-1 underdogs.

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Monday NBA and College Basketball Wagering Info

Betting sharps are already unloading on MNF game on ESPN thanks to the Redskins-Eagles betting picks preview. But now to sharp betting preview for Monday’s NBA and college basketball.

Biggest public consensus in term of percentage of bets: Golden State, Houston OVER

Most lopsided bets in term of percentage of money and biggest sportsbook liabilities: Golden State, Brooklyn, Golden State OVER

Sharp versus square metrics AKA pros versus Joes: New Orleans OVER at GTBets

Biggest line moves with opening odds followed by current odds: none  

College super sharp intel is also up.

Biggest public consensus in term of percentage of bets: Pittsburgh

Most lopsided bets in term of percentage of money and biggest sportsbook liabilities: none

Sharp versus square metrics AKA pros versus Joes: Rutgers

Stevie Vincent wins yesterday, Nebraska as Big Ten Game of the Year plus a profit in pro football led to a 3-1 day overall. Philadelphia vs. Washington football side plus Eastern Conference Non-Divisional Game of the Year.  Get the picks now

Biggest line moves with opening odds followed by current odds: none

Best teams to bet on in terms of margin of cover (against the spread record followed by margin): Milwaukee 11-10 by 4.5, Denver 13-9 by 4.0, LA Clippers 14-9 by 3.9, Dallas 14-7 by 3.9

Best teams to bet against in terms of margin of cover (against the spread record followed by margin): Washington 9-14 by -6, Utah 11-13 by -5.7, Houston 9-13 by -3.9

Biggest over teams (over-under record followed by margin; number of OVERS listed first): San Antonio over 14-8-1 by 5.7, Sacramento 14-8 by 5.5, Milwaukee 15-7 by 5.4

Biggest under teams: (over-under record followed by margin; number of UNDERS listed first): Denver under 14-7 by -7 points per game, Oklahoma City 12-9 by -5.9, Lakers 15-7 by -5.2

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Free Pick Breakdown Nebraska-Miami Florida From Odds Shark Joe Duffy

SBR Megan and Joe Duffy preview Nebraska vs, Miami Florida

Stevie Vincent has a big Saturday. Get two winning picks and both are Level 5 collegiate gridiron gifts. The top angle in each game is 32-3. The big bet is the Inner Circle O/U of the Year. Get the picks now from the ultimate odds shark Stevie Vincent

VegasInsider Betting Info

We will update NFL injuries in the morning for fantasy football and
pointspread handicappers. For anyone who is ready to beat the sportsbooks
and who handicaps the NFL on their own we preesnet
the NFL betting information compiled by sports betting expert Joe Duffy
and Mike Godsey, the top NFL handicapper, each of GodsTips.com


The Cardinals win last week not only was another easy
winner as GodsTips NFL Game of the Year, but it snapped their three-game
straight up losing streak. Arizona
has lost 8-of-9 to the AFC, but their only win was in Week 4 to Pittsburgh.
That game was one of the few moneyline releases GodsTips has had this year, a
huge +270 winner.

Cincinnati is
10-3 outright in their last 13 to the NFC. Though they are 1-4 on the road this
season, the Bengals are 2-2 at home. For those who bet fourth quarter sides and
totals, note that surprisingly, the Cardinals lead the conference and are
second overall to New England with 85 fourth quarter

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Baltimore has
won four straight at home in the series by a combined 103-46. The Ravens though
enter with a three-game losing streak, putting up just seven points each of the last two weeks. Kyle
Boller gets the start for Baltimore
at QB as Steve McNair is out.

The founder of forensic
, Stevie Vincent has a Level 5 (his highest rated bet) on the
total and a Level 4 play on the side. Click now to


In one of the strangest stats in the NFL, the road team is
9-1 straight up and against the spread in the Panthers games. Green
has won 12-of-13 going back to the end of last


The Saints had their four-game winning streak snapped last
week losing at home to the St. Louis Rams. They are 1-5 their last six to the

Houston is off
a bye, but is 1-4 straight up following the week off. Houston
is 1-5 at home to the AFC. This is a Houston
defense that allowed just 80 yards
per game on the ground in their first four games, but 159.6 in their last five.


Kansas City
has won two straight road games and in fact the road team is 5-1 straight up in
their last six. The Colts have gone from thinking 16-0 to trying to stop a
two-game losing streak. However, the Colts are probably much better than their
record as their six wins are by an average of 17.4 and their two losses by 3.0.

Brody Croyle will likely get the
start at QB for the Chiefs this season. We will double check key injuries in
the morning at OffshoreInsiders.com


After a 1-3 start, the Chargers have squeezed out four
wins in their last five. Jacksonville
is expected to get back quarterback David Garrard. GodsTips, the premier NFL
service of all time, has the AFC Game of the Year on this game. Last week, the NFL Game of the Year won when Arizona
beat Detroit by 10. Detroit
though was GodsTips NFC Game of the Year on Sept. 23 when they beat the
Redskins. Continue the domination with the AFC Game of the Year. Click now to


Oakland is
17-56 straight up since going to the Super Bowl, the worst record in that span.
All-everything running back Adrian Peterson is out for Minnesota.
Minnesota is 1-7 their last eight
to the AFC. The only win though was this year to San Diego,
which just so happened to be GodsTips NFL Upset of the Year. GodsTips is the
anchor of OffshoreInsiders.com and
widely accepted as the top NFL sports service of all time.

In starting out 2-2, the Raiders averaged scoring 25.5
points per game. Since then, they’ve lost five straight averaging 11.2 points
per game.


The Giants must bounce back after their six-game winning
streak has snapped when Dallas beat
them by double digits at home. There is a clear-cut reason the Giants are
playing better. In five games since returning from an injury, Giants running
back Brandon Jacobs is averaging 103.8
, three times passing the century mark.

Detroit has
had a three-game winning streak at Arizona
snapped. Sharp players knew that was coming and cleaned the sportsbooks as it was the NFL Game of
the Year on the Cardinals from the top sports betting service in the world, GodsTips.com

Detroit has
won both meetings this century by a combined 25 points. Detroit
is 4-0 at home.


Tampa is off a
bye week, but they are only 6-12 straight up following a week off. Atlanta
won both games last year in the series by a combined 31-9. Tampa
still holds a 5-2 straight up edge in Hotlanta. Atlanta
enters with a two-game winning streak.


Miami is
winless in nine games, but five losses are by three points. The Fins though are
6-3 outright on the road to the other conference since 2003.


The 7-2 Steelers are on a three-game winning streak. Pittsburgh
is 17-2 all-time to the Jets. This includes postseason play. They’ve held the
Jets to an average of 5.6 points in the last seven meetings.


has alternated wins and losses in their last seven games, meaning they are
“due” for a win. For those who bet quarter lines, note that Dallas
far and away leads the NFL with 104 points in the third quarter, 34 more than
the No. 2 team Indianapolis.


St. Louis is
off their first win of the year. After averaging 11.3 points per game in their
fist seven games, they’ve averaged 28.5 the last two.

After a 2-0 start, the Niners
have lost seven in a row. The 49ers are 15-42 straight up going back to 2004.


Chicago has
won three straight road games. The road team is 5-0 in their last five games. Chicago
won both games last year (including postseason). Running back Shaun Alexander
is out for Seattle.


The undefeated Patriots are off a bye week. They have won
12 straight regular season games since last year. Guess who has the second
longest winning streak in the conference at four? It’s the Bills.

Don’t look for Buffalo
to win this one though. New England is on an 8-0 tear in
the series by a combined 232-76.

Marshall-Memphis Sports Betting Preview

The Marshall Thundering Herd and the Memphis Tigers will both be trying to
pick up a win on Tuesday when they battle at Liberty Bowl.

The top Online
has the Tigers listed as 3-point favorites versus the Thundering
Herd, while the game’s total is sitting at 60.

The Thunderding Herd were crushed 40-14 last week
by the Cincinnati Bearcats, as 24.5-point underdogs. The 54 points were a PUSH
against the posted total of 54.

Bernard Morris completed 20-of-30 pass attempts for 255 yards with two
touchdowns in a losing effort.

The Tigers got up early, and failed ot hold on in a 35-31 loss last time out. The Tigers failed
to cover the 6-point spread at home, while the 66 runs made it OVER the posted
total of 62.

Remember, a huge marketing conglomerate is spending tens of thousands of
dollars every week advertising their brands such as Jonathan Stone of Stone
Cold Locks, Bobby Ventura, Game Brokers, Tony Smith and others. They “borrow” the Level 5 plays from Stevie
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re-sell them for 10-20 or more times what OffshoreInsiders.com
charges. Vincent has his Conference USA
Eastern Division Game of the Year. Pay Jonathan Stone $500 or get it for $40 at

The Tigers had two rushing touchdowns, and Martin Hankins caught another in
the loss.

Current streak:
Marshall has lost 4 straight games.
Memphis has lost 2 straight games.

Team records:
Marshall: 0-4 SU, 1-2 ATS
Memphis: 1-3 SU, 1-1-1 ATS

Marshall most recently:
When playing in October are 6-4
When playing on turf are 4-6
After being outgained are 4-6
When playing within the conference are 4-6

Memphis most recently:
When playing in October are 4-6
When playing on turf are 2-8
After outgaining opponent are 5-5
When playing within the conference are 2-8

A few trends to consider:
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Marshall’s last 6 games on the road
Marshall is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games on the road
Marshall is 1-10-1 ATS in its last 12 games on the road
Marshall is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
Memphis is 2-12 SU in its last 14 games
Memphis is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games at home

Next up:
Marshall at Tulsa,
Saturday, October 13
Memphis home to Middle Tennessee,
Saturday, October 13