Tag Archives: Super Bowl LIII

Pro Gamblers Sanctioned Rams-Patriots Super Bowl LIII Betting Scrutiny

The pro gambler sanctioned Super Bowl 53 betting sneak peek is here. The Los Angeles Rams encounter the New England Patriots. New England is -2.5 at Bovada and most sportsbooks, though up to -115 juice at some houses. The total ranges from 56.5 to 57. Betonline, home of the opening line debuted the odds at Rams -1 and 58.5.

A stunning 82 percent of bets and 84 in percentages terms of money handled is on Bill Belichick, Tom Brady, and the Patriots. Contrarian betting is weighted less than in previous years and decades. Still, most sharp gamblers favor being on the reverse side of public money. Sharps worship the opportunities to weaponize oddsmakers wisdom against them. However, said systems of indicators clash in Rams-Patriots. Defying line moves that have naught to do with injury newsflashes or anything directly to do with the game itself, is a remunerative approach. The Patriots are 13-5 SU and 11-7 ATS measured against the Rams superior 15-3 and 9-7 back wallet mark. When the team with the worse straight up mark is a playoff favorite, said teams historically are a good bet. 

Damn near every football master agrees that based purely on talent, the oddsmakers were correct. The Rams are the leading squad. But any rational intangible scrutiny, namely that Patriots have been there and won that, would support New England. Thus, the power ratings and matchups were outbalanced by the allure of an impressive playoff resume.

With such a substantial percentage of bets on New England, will it possibly get to -3? That is unlikely, though -2.5 and -130 may become commonplace. Sharps who already locked in on New England at a pick or +1 will prey on the Rams at +3, creating the ideal Bet Middler venture.

Both teams are well above normal offensively and below standard defensively. The Pats earn .3 more yards per play than their opponent allows typically compared to the Rams at .7 more. But on defense, New England will enable teams to exceed their regular yards per play by .2, Los Angeles by .3. Defensively the teams grade among the 12 worst in the NFL based on yards per play allowed. New England is 20th and LA 25th.

The author, Joe Duffy is CEO of OffshoreInsiders.com. He releases winners daily and is widely accepted as the top sports handicapper of all-time.