Tag Archives: college football best bets

Friday College Football Winning Picks For Parlays and More

Joe Duffy rolls along baby.  I am 18-7 college football.  Friday college football side. Saturday 11 college football winners led by two Wise Guys. BONUS: Added Rotation Game of the Year in college football as well.  Sunday, NFL Wise Guy gets us started!  Get the picks now

Marshall at FAU

  • Marshall 1-5 with nation’s 9th worst -8.8
  • Marshall 5-1 SU in series including 31-7 last year
    • No real edge either way to favorites revenging blowout loss
    • Slight edge to Marshall as dogs 3.5 or more won by 24 or more previous meeting 348-309-11
  • Both teams love to use TEs extensively
    • Total dropped 65 to 59.5
  • Third of Marshall’s roster from Florida
  • Doc Holliday 12-3 in Florida or versus Florida teams
  • Marshall true freshman Broc Thompson had a breakout performance against Old Dominion with 91 yards on six catches
  • Marshall’s defense improving after big adjustments to new DC Brad Lambert
  • When team’s defense off a contest in which they allowed 150 or more yards below season average, next game goes UNDER 446-366-15 (Marshall)

Pick: UNDER 59.5

Pittsburgh at Syracuse

  • Cuse 3-3 SU but includes wins over Liberty and Holy Cross
  • Pitt only losses to Virginia and Penn State
  • Two wins as an underdog plus lost at PSU by only seven
  • Pitt’s Maurice Ffrench and Taysir Mack top WR twosome in nation with 91 catches
  • Pitt’s secondary best under Narduzzi
  • Panthers redshirt sophomore safety Paris Ford will miss the first half with suspension
  • Pitt’s run defense sensational allowing 2.9 yards per rush versus an opponent normally getting 4.0 and defense allows 4.3 yards per play teams normally getting 5.5

Pick: UNDER 52

Ohio St at Northwestern

  • Side premium
  • Ohio State 5-1 +18 points per game, second in country
  • Northwestern UNDER 4-1 by -11.4 points per game, 5th best under team in nation
  • Road favorites of 26 or more with total of 52 or less are 18-8 (Ohio State)
  • Northwestern holds opposing offenses to .7 yards per rush, 1.6 yards per pass below normal average
  • Ohio State holds teams to 1.3 yards per rush, 2.3 yards per pass, and 1.7 yards per play below normal average
  • Northwestern offense gets 4.3 passing yards per attempt teams normally allowing 6.5 and 3.9 yards per play teams normally getting 5.2
  • Ohio State averages 10.8 yards per point, fourth best in nation

Pick: Ohio State UNDER 49.5

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UNLV at Fresno St

  • Total premium
  • UNLV won 34-10 at Vanderbilt as 16 point underdog off four straight losses of 16 or more
  • Dogs off win as an underdog of 7.5 or more are 54-42 (UNLV)
  • Fresno State 1 TD in five third quarters
  • UNLV starting QB Armani Rogers cleared but will not start
    • 2 TDs and 3 INT
    • Kenyon Oblad gets start
    • Oblad 739 yards, 5 TDs, 3 INT
  • UNLV soph RB sophomore running back Chad Magyar averaging 5.0 yards per carry after missing first four games
  • Opened just 13.5 now 16

The pick: UNLV +16

College Football Picks; Pros vs. Joes, Biggest Line Moves, Who Sportsbooks Are Rooting For

We will have an NBA report later this morning. Here is betting information for the today’s college football: injuries, line moves, sharp bets, more.

Top sports service bet. Off yet another all-sports sweep last night, we are 748-593 in all sports since August of 2017! How about football? 47-19 and that is fresh of another outrageous preseason! Last night was our first Wise Guy of NBA. Charlotte laying 2 wins by 32. But keep betting on your own. Somebody has the keep the bookies in business.

Let’s move on to Saturday. It is five Wise Guys and five Majors in college football. All we do is exceed promises.  Get the picks now

Please note that an NBA Wise Guy is likely going to be added to Joe Duffy’s Picks, but waiting for all intel to know for certain.

Biggest public consensus in term of percentage of bets: Utah State, Army, Buffalo, Kentucky, Central Florida.

Most lopsided bets in term of percentage of money and biggest sportsbook liabilities: Old Dominion, Central Florida, Charlotte

Sharp versus square metrics AKA pros versus Joes: Old Dominion, New Mexico State, San Diego State, Charlotte.

Biggest line moves with opening odds followed by current odds: Army opened at -12.5 now -7.5, Marshall -2.5 to +2.5, Georgia Southern -14.5 to -9.5, Arkansas -3.5 to -7.