Your Grandmaster Joe Duffy had another UNDER lose in OT, but there are sharp reasons why we suck it up. Still a nice 31-19 with hoops lately and all has been right in 2021. Four winners, three NBA and one college. Get the picks now
NBA free winning pick on…
ORLANDO +8 Golden State
Orlando is ice-cold both SU and ATS. Golden State has been solid both SU and ATS, much more so at home. Squares see that and pounce on Golden Showers. Road underdogs under .500 on ATS losing streak versus an unrested team on pointspread winning streak are 926-679-30. Sharp bettors know we win ugly with regression to the mean. I bet at Bovada
Sixers, our only Wise Guy hits last night. I am 29-17 lately. Four NBA tonight led by Wise Guy. Wise Guy plays from Joe Duffy are the single strongest bet in gambling. Get the picks now
Free winning pick is…
TORONTO -5 Washington
Fade big home dogs if not off a low scoring game nor with a substantial amount of rest and neither team has an extreme winning percentage is 496-332-24. Road favorites or small underdogs on a massive high scoring streak is 373-237-12. Road favorites that shoot substantially more three-pointers than league average are 1336-1082-54. Go against teams off a close win but dominated at free throw line are 411-288-14.
One of our top projection models did 10,000 simulations and found them covering at a rate of 62 percent. Another top model has our side covering 58.6 percent. MasseyRatings has spread at -7.5 with Toronto winning by eight. I bet at Bovada
Off yet another winning performance, Joe Duffy’s Picks is 27-14. Hop on the massive sale on 100-day pick pack. Five NBA winners led by a Wise Guy. I told you last week this was the early stages of an all-time great run. This a golden era for pro bettors as normalcy returns just as the proliferation of US-based books has created the greatest sharp vs. square dichotomy since the late 80s/early 90s. Get the picks now
NBA free pick is…
Orlando-Portland UNDER 220
Many of our systems involve exploiting counterintuitive point spreads or totals. Sundry massive syndicates have similar betting formulas, but a half-point difference in the parameters, not to mention slight variances in sportsbooks current line can be a difference between when their system is triggered and ours is not or vice versa. Hence, sometimes a super system is steamed into at a worse line.
This is the case here and as such, chasing steam conflicts with power and computer ratings and other metrics, it is not a premium bet, but still strong enough to release as a free one.
Total based on recent form and current total goes under 1637-1120-74. I bet at GTBets.
The Grandmaster Joe Duffy is 24-11 lately in basketball and barely getting started. Four NBA (added late steam), plus a college basketball winner! Get the picks now
Free NBA pick is on:
HOUSTON -1.5 Charlotte
Road favorites that shoot substantially more three-pointers than league average are 1333-1082-54. Away favorites off loss under specific situations that apply in this game are 834-664-23. A subsystem raises the winning percentage to 56 percent at 793-622-22. When all apply, it is 322-239 going back to 2000!
Our second best simulator has Houston covering 57.5 percent. Decent contrarian favoring Houston. I bet at Bovada
Joe Duffy wins yet again. 16-7 the last 23 including another winning night last night. Five NBA winners led by Wise Guy. We have a side in which our two top simulators agree with fantastic computer systems, all pointing to the same side. We have added a college basketball side for night action too. Data engineer Joe Duffy is the top computer-oriented capper in the world. Get the picks now
Away favorites or small dogs on great scoring run are 367-236-12. When said teams shoot a high percentage of three-point shots entering the game, it is 1328-1081. When both apply, it hits ate 64.3 percent.
Milwaukee is a double-digit fave on the road despite being 4-6 SU on the road against a team that is 7-5 SU at home. Take what the oddsmakers are telling us and use it against them. Anti-splits angle in which we go with road team with much worse away winning percentage than the home team home winning percentage is 526-393-22.
Joe Duffy’s Picks off another winning night, a half-point loss notwithstanding. At 14-6 we are just getting started. I have a 3-0 day today thanks to meticulous routine and criterion that is behind every pick. Get the picks now
Free
UTAH -8 Atlanta
Away favorites or small underdogs on a massive scoring streak are 366-236-12 for 60.8. Rest dynamics generally benefit the home team. When a team has more rest, about 66 percent of the time, it is the home team. However, when the road team is more rested, it nullifies the normal home court advantage and creates an off line to the tune of 387-306-9.
Best NBA over teams in terms of margin
Team
OU Record (overs-under)
OU margin
Brooklyn
17-6
+8.4
Denver
15-5
+6.5
Indiana
13-8-1
+5
Milwaukee
13-8
+4.9
From OffshoreInsiders.com
Best NBA over teams in terms of margin
Team
OU Record (overs-under)
OU margin
New York
7-16
-7.3
LA Lakers
6-16
-7.2
Atlanta
6-15
-6.5
From OffshoreInsiders.com
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Typical beginning to a sensational run. JDP is 10-4 the last 14. Six NBA led by three Wise Guys. This includes one of the sides where the Venn diagram overlaps a lot, but also plenty of independent corroboration. Yes, totals continue to be JDP’s domain as well. Continue the winning. Get the picks now
Free
SAN ANTONIO -8 Minnesota
Minnesota won by eight as a four-point dog last time out. But NBA is probably the No. 1 revenge sport. Big favorites in same season revenge of blowout loss are 836-694-41. But that includes 59.9 percent since 2013 at 257-172-11.
It makes perfect sense. In the NBA, motivation is a factor and it is very easy to overlook an inferior team in the drudge of a schedule. But not if they whupped you last time. Both teams without big man, Wolves no Karl-Anthony Towns and Spurs without LaMarcus Aldridge. Yeah, not happy San Antonio minus Rudy Gay and his 11 points per game. Minnesota’s D’Angelo Russell is questionable, some reports say doubtful. He averages 19.9 points per game. Wolves won’t have enough firepower.
Joe Duffy is a decent 6-3 the last two days. A very big portfolio is in store with four NBA winners led by a Wise Guy. Wise Guy plays from Joe Duffy area the single strongest bet in gambling. This is the scary good intel that goes into every pick, every day at Joe Duffy’s Picks. Tonight, we demonstrate how to use the oddsmakers’ knowledge against them with counterintuitive lines. Get the picks now
Free
Utah-Detroit UNDER 218
Math total based on each team’s last 10 games goes under 372-234-21. Part of my success is exploiting counterintuitive lines and totals. Admittedly, this one steamed into the parameters and we rarely make a premium bet chasing steam. So it is a free bet.
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