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NBA Free Pick and Sharp Betting Info

Possibly more once all NBA lines posted! Working a 9-5 run the last two days, Joe Duffy’s Picks has four NBA totals on overnight report. Grandmaster Sports Handicapper Joe Duffy will likely have more once all databases update.  Get the picks now

Toronto-Detroit

  • When road team is rested and home team playing back-to-back, road team 935-841-30 as long as they don’t have more than three days rest
    • Including 363-304 if favorite
    • 55.8 percent off win
  • Free pick: Toronto -4.5 at Bovada

New York-LA Clippers

  • Deandre Jordan missed last three games, but practiced Saturday for Knicks is questionable
  • 11.1 points per game, 13.5 rebounds, 1.1 blocks
  • Knicks will without key reserve Mario Hezonja
    • 7.6 points per game, 3.7 rebounds   

Orlando-Cleveland

  • Cavs Kevin love rested Saturday, but expected to play Sunday
    • 18.6 points per game, 10.7 rebounds, 2.1 assists
  • Cleveland thinned in frontcourt and playing back-to-back
    • Ante Zizic questionable with concussion
    • 7.1 points per game, 5.2 rebounds

Betonline, home of the opening line has a 50 percent deposit bonus up to $1,000.

Minnesota-Washington

  • Minnesota’s Luol Deng questionable
    • Tea leaves lean to doubtful
  • Though Robert Covington recalled from g-league, still not ready to return
  • Road favorites or small underdogs on a massive scoring streak are 554-422-13 (wolves as small dog)
  • An angle that says when home team has been a big over team, they regress and go under 487-360

Biggest public consensus in term of percentage of bets: Portland

Most lopsided bets in term of percentage of money and biggest sportsbook liabilities: Houston

Sharp versus square metrics AKA pros versus Joes: New York, Detroit

Biggest line moves with opening odds followed by current odds: Oklahoma City opened -11.5, now -9.5

Free College Basketball Betting Pick

Grandmaster Sports Handicapper Joe Duffy has three college basketball winners led by one of the great systems in sports. Five NBA led by Wise Guy. Yes, our incredible NBA over system in brief, very brief skid. No worries. Proven systems hold up time and time again.  Get the picks now

Joe Duffy has a free winning pick on:

OKLAHOMA STATE +14.5 Texas Tech

Many regression to the mean angles. One has to do with going with a team that is much worse based on against the spread margin, AKA “sweat barometer.” This one is 944-768. When they are also terrible road teams playing on the road, it is 260-187 for 58.2 percent. Another regression angle is specifically in conference play 289-203.

Again, all these angles are consistent with everything we know. The public hates betting on terrible teams, especially on the road. Hence, lines are bloated.

MYBookie has a $1,000 sign up bonus, but hurry and get it before March Madness. Great sportsbook, but I am not sure how long it will last.

 

Pro Gamblers News and Notes For NBA Betting Friday Night

Joe Duffy off a perfect 3-0 sweep of Wise Guys, get five winners for Friday, four NBA and a college basketball winner.  Get the picks now

Washington-Charlotte

  • Two under .500 teams playing with at least seven days combined rest over 52-24-2
  • Bismark Biyombo game-time decision for Hornets
    • 4.8 rebounds and 1.1 blocks

New Orleans-Indiana

  • Darius Miller doubtful for Pels
    • 8 points per game, 1.8 assists, 1.8 rebounds
  • Indiana starting center Myles Turner is game-time decision
    • 13.5 points per game, 7 rebounds
    • Check on status throughout day
    • Tea leaves say he will play but line will drop if not
  • Pels Anthony Davis expected to play about 25 minutes 

Bovada has a sensational $250 sign-up bonus if you act now

Chicago-Orlando

  • Two under .500 teams playing with at least seven days combined rest over 52-24-2

San Antonio-Toronto

  • Two cumulative over teams are a decent under play
    • When teams have combined to go over by 355 cumulative or more points on season, a 54.2 percent UNDER play
  • Toronto: home favorites six or more in same season revenge of 8 point or more loss 728-604-34
  • Spurs should get Derrick White back
    • 19 games in 2019 White has averaged 14.6 points on 57.5 percent shooting, 4.3 rebounds, 3.8 assists and 1.0 steal across 30.4 minutes
  • LaMarcus Aldridge probable with illness, but could be slowed down

Did you hear about MyBookie and their $1,000 sign-up bonus for sports betting?

Minnesota-New York

  • Two under .500 teams playing with at least seven days combined rest over 52-24-2
  • Gorgui Dieng out for Minnesota
    • 5.6 points per game, 4.1 rebounds
  • Wolves Tyus Jones expected to return
    • Very good defensive player has not played since Jan. 15
    • Total may drop a point if he’s able to play
  • Wolves defensive specialist Robert Covington is likely out
  • Knicks biggest sharp move as of 12:11 ET
  • Knicks also biggest line move, opening at +6 down to +4.5

Detroit-Atlanta

  • Two under .500 teams playing with at least seven days combined rest over 52-24-2
  • Kevin Huerter doubtful
    • Great outside thread averaging 9.3 points per game

LA Clippers-Memphis

  • Grizzlies Joakim Noah probable with heel injury
    • 5.3 points per game, 4.7 boards
  • Key because  Jonas Valanciunas is likely out for Grizz
    • 13.1 points per game, 7.3 rebounds
  • Grizzlies Kyle Anderson is out
    • 8 points per game, 5.8 rebounds, 3 assists for the forward
  • Clippers Wilson Chandler remains out
    • 6.7 points per game, 4.7 rebounds

Denver-Dallas

  • Denver’s Trey Lyles out
    • 9.2 points per game, 4.1 rebounds is 18.6 minutes
  • Denver a strong sharp move
  • Denver biggest sportsbook liability

Utah-Oklahoma City

  • OKC’s Markieff Morris likely to make his debut
    • Averages 11.5 points per game and 5.1 rebounds per game
  • Thunder’s Dennis Schroder expected to return after missing two games before break
    • 15.7 points per game, 4.1 assists
  • OKC biggest public consensus bet

Odds on Next San Francisco Giants Manager Set

Following the news that Bruce Bochy will retire at the end of the 2019 season, BetDSI (Twitter: @BetDSI) has posted odds on who will replace him as manager of the San Francisco Giants.

Matt Williams and Eric Chavez are the two favorites while Mike Matheny, Omar Vizquel and Ron Wotus all carry 5/1 odds or less. Jose Canseco and Pete Rose have the longest odds at 100/1. 

You can find the full list below.

San Francisco Giants Manager on Opening Day 2020

Matt Williams +200

Eric Chavez +250

Mike Matheny +350

Omar Vizquel +500

Ron Wotus +500

Sandy Alomar +750

Carlos Beltran +800

Dusty Baker +1000

Will Clark +1000

Joe Girardi +1500

Buck Showalter +1500

Barry Bonds +2000

Gary Pettis +2000

Lloyd McClendon +2000

Dave Stewart +2000

Chili Davis +2000

Eric Byrnes +5000

Randy Johnson +5000

Mark McGwire +7500

Rickey Henderson +10000

Buster Posey (player-manager) +10000

Tony La Russa +20000

Brian Kenny +20000

Mike Krukow +20000

Duane Kuiper +20000

Jon Miller +50000

Jose Canseco +100000

Pete Rose +100000

 

Which NBA Will Make and Miss Playoffs? Offshore Odds Have IT

With two days remaining in the NBA All-Star break, BetDSI (Twitter: @BetDSI) has posted a host of props and odds surrounding what will transpire for the remainder of the regular season.

Will Russell Westbrook average a triple-double for the third straight year? How long will James Harden’s streak stretch? Will the Lakers make the playoffs? Will Carmelo Anthony play again this season? Will another head coach be fired? Those are just a few of the interesting props you can find below. 

Current odds:

Will Russell Westbrook average a triple-double for the 2018-19 regular season?

Yes -900

No +550

Nikola Jokic assists average for the 2018-19 regular season

Over 7.8 (-115)

Under 7.8 (-115)

(Nikola Jokic is averaging 7.7 assists this season, the most for a center since Wilt Chamberlain, who averaged 7.8 assists in 1966-67 and 8.6 in 1967-68)

Will Carmelo Anthony play in the NBA again during 2018-19 regular season?

Yes +130

No -165

When will James Harden’s streak of consecutive 30-point games end?

Over 39.5 games (+120)

Under 39.5 games (-150)

James Harden scoring average for the 2018-19 regular season

Over 37.1 (+150)

Under 37.1 (-180)

(Michael Jordan’s highest PPG average was 37.09 during the 1986-87 regular season)

Will James Harden win the NBA MVP award?

Yes -250

No +190

NBA MVP Odds

James Harden -250

Giannis Antetokounmpo +350

Stephen Curry +1200

Joel Embiid +1400

LeBron James +1400

Kawhi Leonard +1600

Paul George +1800

Anthony Davis +2000

Kevin Durant +2000

Nikola Jokic +4000

Russell Westbrook +4000

Next head coach fired during 2018-19 season

Igor Kokoskov +150

Scott Brooks +200

Jim Boylen +300

Luke Walton +400

J.B. Bickerstaff +1000

Alvin Gentry +1500

Larry Drew +2000

Ryan Saunders +2500

David Fizdale +3000

Dave Joerger +3000

Steve Clifford +3000

Lloyd Pierce +3000

Kenny Atkinson +3000

James Borrego +3500

Terry Stotts +4000

Michael Malone +4000

Mike D’Antoni +4000

Dwane Casey +4000

Brett Brown +5000

Doc Rivers +5000

Nate McMillan +5000

Brad Stevens +7000

Quin Snyder +8000

Billy Donovan +8000

Erik Spoelstra +9000

Nick Nurse +10000

Mike Budenholzer +10000

Rick Carlisle +10000

Steve Kerr +30000

Gregg Popovich +30000

Will the Los Angeles Lakers make the 2018-19 NBA Playoffs?

Yes +240

No -390

Will the Brooklyn Nets make the 2018-19 NBA Playoffs?

Yes -760

No +380

Will the Charlotte Hornets make the 2018-19 NBA Playoffs?

Yes -140

No +100

Will the Detroit Pistons make the 2018-19 NBA Playoffs?

Yes -285

No +185

Will the Miami Heat make the 2018-19 NBA Playoffs?

Yes +185

No -285

Will the Orlando Magic make the 2018-19 NBA Playoffs?

Yes -120

No -120

Will the Washington Wizards make the 2018-19 NBA Playoffs?

Yes +475

No -1100

Will the Los Angeles Clippers make the 2018-19 NBA Playoffs?

Yes -190

No +130

Will the Sacramento Kings make the 2018-19 NBA Playoffs?

Yes +820

No -5400

Will the San Antonio Spurs make the 2018-19 NBA Playoffs?

Yes -1900

No +600

Will the Minnesota Timberwolves make the 2018-19 NBA Playoffs?

Yes +730

No -3300

Will any NBA team record 60 or more victories during 2018-19 regular season?

Yes -250

No +200

(The last time at least one NBA failed to reach 60 was the 2000-01 regular season)

2018-19 NBA Finals Odds

Golden State Warriors -250

Field (Any other team) +190

2018-19 NBA Finals Odds

Golden State Warriors -250

Toronto Raptors +900

Milwaukee Bucks +900

Boston Celtics +1000

Philadelphia 76ers +1000

Houston Rockets +1200

Los Angeles Lakers +2500

Oklahoma City Thunder +2500

Denver Nuggets +2800

San Antonio Spurs +5500

Utah Jazz +6000

Portland Trailblazers +7400

Charlotte Hornets +9000

Minnesota Timberwolves +10000

Detroit Pistons +10000

Los Angeles Clippers +12400

Indiana Pacers +12500

Brooklyn Nets +12500

New Orleans Pelicans +15000

Washington Wizards +15000

Dallas Mavericks +15000

Sacramento Kings +15000

Miami Heat +15000

Orlando Magic +20000

Memphis Grizzlies +30000

Atlanta Hawks +200000

Phoenix Suns +300000

Cleveland Cavaliers +400000

New York Knicks +400000

Chicago Bulls +400000

 

2019 World Series Favorites Posted at Top Online Sportsbook

Once Bryce Harper and Manny Machado’s destinations are determined, odds to win the 2019 World Series will shift. Currently, there is a three-way tie for favorites among Boston Red Sox, Houston Astros, and New York Yankees are each 6-1, with the LA Dodgers next at 7-1. All odds based on $100 per bet. Hence +1000 would be the same as 10-1 and come from Bovada.

There is literally no dispute that the top MLB handicapper is Joe Duffy of OffshoreInsiders.com

  • Boston Red Sox+600
  • Houston Astros+600
  • New York Yankees+600
  • Los Angeles Dodgers+700
  • Chicago Cubs+1100
  • Milwaukee Brewers+1200
  • Philadelphia Phillies+1200
  • Atlanta Braves+1400
  • Cleveland Indians+1400
  • Louis Cardinals+1400
  • Washington Nationals+1600
  • Colorado Rockies+1800
  • New York Mets+2200
  • Oakland Athletics+2500
  • Tampa Bay Rays+3500
  • Arizona Diamondbacks+5000
  • Chicago White Sox+5000
  • Los Angeles Angels+5000
  • Minnesota Twins+6000
  • Seattle Mariners+6000
  • Cincinnati Reds+7000
  • Pittsburgh Pirates+7000
  • Toronto Blue Jays+9000
  • San Diego Padres+10000
  • San Francisco Giants+10000
  • Texas Rangers+20000
  • Detroit Tigers+25000
  • Kansas City Royals+25000
  • Miami Marlins+35000
  • Baltimore Orioles+60000

 

Gambling Secret Revealed: Zig, While Others Zag

The capacity and willingness to think outside the box—counter-intuitive logic—is imperative in sports betting. Zig while the other gamblers zag. It is distinct from contrarian betting, which acknowledges the masses are asses, applying betting data to fade the public.

The intuitive approach is to bet on the hotter and better team. Said method is in part why the public adores risking on favorites. Again, one of the most underlying precepts of sports betting: the line is not a prediction on the outcome of the game. It’s a spread or over-under set based on getting equal action on each side. Thus, bookies inflate numbers when rolling the dice with quality teams playing well.  

Winning gamblers recognize there is a substantial opportunity in wagering with undervalued struggling or bottom rung squads. Here is an example for demonstrative purposes:

Team A is playing at home and is in a streak that is at least nine games better than the road team. The means any combo of team A consecutive wins (six for example) and Team B losses (three to demonstrate) is at least nine. Furthermore, A’s season winning percentage is at least .200 points better.

There is no debate that most gamblers would much more eagerly bet Team A. I added that the inferior team is not a road favorite to weed out outliers like injury, expected to rest key players, etc. As of this writing, the inferior, and the much colder road team is 352-291-8 for a solid 54.7 percent. When odds sharks add other factors, such as rest, margins, etc. many sub-systems are well into the upper 50 and 60 percentile or above.

The stock market adage of sell when others are buying and buy when others are selling is true in betting. The demand bettors make is investing in superior and hotter squads. Such action causes serious rising prices. Bookmakers take advantage of conventional thinkers because that’s what most gamblers are.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=abkzAPVYoTU

I assert it regularly. One of the fundamental principles of gambling is never, ever make a bet based on what is most natural to root for. While JoeyBagadonuts is always going to hit 47-49 percent betting on superior teams and overs, sharps thank him for creating distorted lines and ample windows of opportunity.

The author, Grandmaster Sports Handicapper Joe Duffy has been a full-time gambler and handicapper since 1988. He is CEO and anchor of OffshoreInsiders.com, the top sports handicapper site on earth.

Joe Duffy’s Picks, Another Smooth 7-2 Night

Advanced analytics is flawless. It eliminated biases and computer software ensures I never miss a great situation. You went 7-2 last night. If not, don’t focus in the money you’ve blown by being on the outside looking in. Focus on how much you will make for years to come. Begin the rest of your gambling life today with Joe Duffy’s Picks at OffshoreInsiders.com

Wise Guy plays are your maximum play. Majors are .75 of Wise Guy plays. Game of the Year and Game of the Month plays still involve the same straight betting as above. While we believe all gamblers need only bet our plays we realize some pick and choose selections. Said distinction is for such ala carte players. All units won quoted on systems are based on one unit per bet.

CBB

Major

MARYLAND +2 Nebraska

High volume based on advanced metrics from last game including rebounds, field goal percentage is 1693-1351-78.

CONNECTICUT +3.5 Temple

High volume based on advanced metrics from last game including rebounds, field goal percentage is 1693-1351-78.

COLORADO +6 ucla

High volume based on advanced metrics from last game including rebounds, field goal percentage is 1693-1351-78.

GA SOUTHERN +0 UL Lafayette

High volume based on advanced metrics from last game including rebounds, field goal percentage is 1693-1351-78.

NBA

Major

Houston-Sacramento OVER 233.5

When a math total has a large enough difference to the posted total, we use the oddsmakers knowledge against them. Because we store each over and under differently in each sport, the over and under angles will have different records, but in reality one could combine them for an overall record. The over version goes over at a rate of 1078-802-58.

Golden State-San Antonio OVER 232.5

When a math total has a large enough difference to the posted total, we use the oddsmakers knowledge against them. Because we store each over and under differently in each sport, the over and under angles will have different records, but in reality one could combine them for an overall record. The over version goes over at a rate of 1078-802-58.

NEW ORLEANS -1 Chicago

Road teams playing a bad team and in a bad stretch of defensive efforts are undervalued 102-52-0.

HOUSTON -2.5 Sacramento

Road favorites or small underdogs on a massive high scoring streak are 546-422-14. Fade home underdogs off consecutive win as an underdog.

BROOKLYN -3.5 Denver

Home favorite or small underdog despite significantly inferior record is 302-212-5.

Cross Sports Super Bowl Wagers, NBA Futures Props Lakers and More

Cross-Sport Super Bowl Prop from BetDSI

NBA

Which will be higher?

James Harden streak of games with 30 or more points +140

Yardage of longest touchdown in Super Bowl LIII -180

https://youtu.be/DytXEDEpovE

Which will be higher?

LeBron James total games missed (starting 12/25/18) -115

Super Bowl LIII highest scoring quarter total points -115

Which will be higher on 2/3/19?

Russell Westbrook total points, rebounds, assists +100

Rob Gronkowski receiving yards -130

Which will be higher on 2/3/19?

Kyrie Irving total points -115

Jared Goff pass completions -115

Which will be higher on 2/3/19?

Paul George made 3-point field goals -120

Rob Gronkowski receptions -110

Which will be higher on 2/3/19?

Thunder total points vs. Celtics -150

Todd Gurley rushing + receiving yards +120

Which will be higher on 2/3/19?

Celtics total points vs. Thunder -220

Brandin Cooks receiving yards +160

Which will be higher on 2/3/19?

Thunder and Celtics combined points +110

B. Cooks, R. Woods, J. Edelman combined receiving yards -140

Which will be higher on 2/3/19?

Kawhi Leonard points -130

James White rushing yards +100

College Basketball

Which will be higher?

Zion Williamson total points and rebounds on 2/2/19 -140

Total Brady pass completions on 2/3/19 +110

Which will be higher?

Zion Williamson, RJ Barrett, Cam Reddish total points on 2/2/19 -115

Rams and Patriots total points on 2/3/19 -115

Will Anthony Davis be traded before the February 7 trade deadline (2019)

Yes +120

No -150

If Anthony Davis is not traded by deadline, will he play for Pelicans again during 2018-19 regular season?

Yes -300

No +240

If New York Knicks win No. 1 pick in the NBA lottery, will they trade it before the 2019 Draft?

Yes -150

No +120

Will Lonzo Ball be on Lakers’ roster on October 1, 2019?

Yes +200

No -260

Will Kyle Kuzma be on Lakers’ roster on October 1, 2019?

Yes +240

No -300

Will Brandon Ingram be on Lakers’ roster on October 1, 2019?

Yes +150

No -200

Will Josh Hart be on Lakers’ roster on October 1, 2019?

Yes +120

No -150

 

Anthony Davis’s Most Likely Destination Revealed By Betting Odds

With recent news indicating that Anthony Davis will not sign a contract extension with the Pelicans, BetDSI is offering props on the possibility of him being traded and which team will land the coveted All-Star. 

Odds are posted for if he’ll be dealt, which roster he’ll be on post-NBA trade deadline and which team he’ll play for next season.

Current odds at BetDSI

Will Anthony Davis be traded before the February 7 trade deadline (2019)

Yes +120

No -150

Anthony Davis team on February 8, 2019

New Orleans Pelicans -150

Los Angeles Lakers +150

Boston Celtics +200

New York Knicks +400

Philadelphia 76ers +500

Portland Trail Blazers +1000

Toronto Raptors +1500

Houston Rockets +1500

Los Angeles Clippers +2000

Brooklyn Nets +3000

Oklahoma City Thunder +3000

Field (Any Other Team) +500

Anthony Davis team on October 1, 2019

Boston Celtics +150

Los Angeles Lakers +200

New York Knicks +500

New Orleans Pelicans +750

Brooklyn Nets +1000

Philadelphia 76ers +1000

Portland Trail Blazers +1000

Los Angeles Clippers +1500

Houston Rockets +2000

Oklahoma City Thunder +3000

Toronto Raptors +3000

Field (Any Other Team) +500