All posts by Joe Duffy

Everything Gamblers Must Know For Betting Monday Night Football Cleveland Browns vs. San Francisco 49ers

From John Price Sports Information Traders to Brandon Lange’s radio appearances, it’s tough to shift through who is good and who is not. How about the place that pro gamblers have entrusted with the longest radio sports betting broadcast in the world? Get score phone style Tailgate Party betting picks preview of Browns-Niners on Monday Night Football. 

Everything Gamblers Must Know For Betting Monday Night Football Cleveland Browns vs. San Francisco 49ers

From John Price Sports Information Traders to Brandon Lange’s radio appearances, it’s tough to shift through who is good and who is not. How about the place that pro gamblers have entrusted with the longest radio sports betting broadcast in the world? Get score phone style Tailgate Party betting picks preview of Browns-Niners on Monday Night Football. 

Week 6 Lookahead NFL Lines Posted

Lookahead lines for week 6 are posted at Betonline, the home of the opening line. Many sharps like these odds as power ratings to exploit lines over-adjusted because of the previous week’s results. Joe Duffy is having a spectacular football season. At press time, he is off 8-2 college football and is a stunning 33-17 NFL since preseason, winning since 1988 publically.

ROT.

TEAM

SPREAD

103

104

New York Giants

New England Patriots

13.5

-13.5

251

252

Carolina Panthers

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

0

0

253

254

Cincinnati Bengals

Baltimore Ravens

9.5

-9.5

255

256

Seattle Seahawks

Cleveland Browns

2.5

-2.5

257

258

Houston Texans

Kansas City Chiefs

8

-8

259

260

New Orleans Saints

Jacksonville Jaguars

1

-1

261

262

Philadelphia Eagles

Minnesota Vikings

2.5

-2.5

263

264

Washington Redskins

Miami Dolphins

-6

6

265

266

San Francisco 49ers

Los Angeles Rams

4

-4

267

268

Atlanta Falcons

Arizona Cardinals

-3

3

269

270

Dallas Cowboys

New York Jets

271

272

Tennessee Titans

Denver Broncos

0

0

273

274

Pittsburgh Steelers

Los Angeles Chargers

5.5

-5.5

275

276

Detroit Lions

Green Bay Packers

4.5

-4.5

Free NFL Pick Week 5 ATS

Yesterday, OffshoreInsiders.com offered a historic sale on Bet It Trinity and both Joe Duffy and MasterLockLine went 8-2!

NFL free pick:

MINNESOTA -5.5 NY Giants

Go with a team playing consecutive road games, team off a loss under specific circumstances that apply today is 329-243-10. Anti-splits angle in which we go with road team with much worse away winning percentage than the home team home winning percentage is 133-87-13.

Top expert pick on today’s card is from Joe Duffy. The Big Ten East Total of the Year on Ohio State completes a 7-2 day in football! It was 8-2 overall. I am 3-0 MLB last two days! Only like to bet a few games? Then check out our Wise Guys! You are either with us our subsidizing us. Those of you in the latter, thanks! 33-16 NFL since preseason is the Grandmaster. Four NFL Wise Guys plus eight Majors. NFC South Total of the Year among the winners.  Both four NFL Wise Guys and 12 winners in the same day are substantial! The intel I have on these games is sickening. Why have a lasted 32-plus years? Info like this

The Top Sports Handicapper 2019 and All-Time Does It Again

Advanced analytics and proprietary software doing thousands of manhours of work. That is Joe Duffy’s Picks. It was 7-2 yesterday and we are on a 32-year NFL winning streak. How are you doing betting on your own?

Were you on the outside looking in on this?

Wise Guy plays are your maximum play. Majors are .75 of Wise Guy plays. Game of the Year and Game of the Month plays still involve the same straight betting as above. While we believe all gamblers need only bet our plays we realize some pick and choose selections. Said distinction is for such ala carte players. All units won quoted on systems are based on one unit per bet.

Saturday

Wise Guy

Navy-Air Force UNDER 45

When a math total has a large enough difference to the posted total, we use the oddsmakers knowledge against them. Because we store each over and under differently in each sport, the over and under angles will have different records, but in reality one could combine them for an overall record. The under version goes under at a rate of 764-458-34. Comparing current total to previous totals angle results in an under of 379-252-15. When both apply, it goes under a stunning 143-70-4 for 67.1 percent.

Ohio State-Michigan State UNDER 49

Big Ten East Total of the Year

When a math total has a large enough difference to the posted total, we use the oddsmakers knowledge against them. Because we store each over and under differently in each sport, the over and under angles will have different records, but in reality one could combine them for an overall record. The under version goes under at a rate of 764-458-34. We have a subsystem that goes under 186-85-8.

Iowa-Michigan UNDER 47

Extra enhanced version of teams off great rushing games goes under 226-111,

Major

UTEP-UTSA UNDER 45.5

When a math total has a large enough difference to the posted total, we use the oddsmakers knowledge against them. Because we store each over and under differently in each sport, the over and under angles will have different records, but in reality one could combine them for an overall record. The under version goes under at a rate of 764-458-34.

Tulane-Army UNDER 45

Teams off a dominant rushing effort go under 444-265-23. The extra-enhanced version goes under 226-111. Another one that applies when at least one team is off a high scoring contest has gone under 80 percent in the history of our database.

Kent-Wisconsin UNDER 57.5

Teams off a dominant rushing effort go under 444-265-23

MISSOURI -24.5 Troy

Big favorites off bye 88-43-4. Great rushing teams as big favorites 329-243-15. When the two above are combined and is in games expected to be high scoring is 10-2 all-time for 83.3 percent.

LSU -27.5 Utah State

Big favorites off bye 88-43-4. Great rushing teams as big favorites 329-243-15. When the two above are combined and is in games expected to be high scoring is 10-2 all-time for 83.3 percent. Combining two momentum angles is 406-278.

FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL -26 Umass

Big favorites off bye 88-43-4. Great rushing teams as big favorites 329-243-15. When the two above are combined and is in games expected to be high scoring is 10-2 all-time for 83.3 percent

MLB

Major

HOUSTON (COLE -1.5 -150) Tampa (Snell)

Big favorites on runline are +104.41 under specific circumstances that apply today and yes very much including playoffs.

NFL Week 5 Super Sharp Betting Report, Sweat Barometer

Here is week five NFL sharp report, which includes the so-called sweat barometer. As usual, the public consensus biggest bets are dominated by road favorites, the road underdog Arizona is in the house. Please note, the line moves are from in the preseason when many sportsbooks had odds posted.

Biggest public consensus in term of percentage of bets: New England, Chicago, Arizona, Minnesota

Most lopsided bets in term of percentage of money and biggest sportsbook liabilities: New England, Arizona, Minnesota

Sharp versus square metrics AKA pros versus Joes: Denver, Atlanta

Biggest line moves with opening odds followed by current odds: Philadelphia opened -6.5 to the Jets but now -14; Pittsburgh -4 to Baltimore now +3.5; New Orleans -6 to Tampa now +5

Margin of cover is a long-time tool of original cappers used to measure the reliability of the often deceptive ATS and OU records. It is much like margin of victory, except it measures margin relative to the point spread or OU. With over-under, “overs” are listed first. Some Johnny-Come-Lately handicappers call this the sweat barometer.

Top expert pick on today’s card is from Joe Duffy. 33-17 NFL since preseason is the Grandmaster. Four NFL Wise Guys plus Major on Sunday. NFC South Total of the Year among the winners. Monday NFL winner too. Four NFL Wise Guys in the same day is substantial!  Get the picks now

These have been the best teams to bet on:

Team ATS Record Margin of Cover
San Francisco 2-1-0 12.7
New England 2-2-0 11.0
Tennessee 2-2-0 8.4
Kansas City 3-1-0 4.6
Carolina 2-2-0 4.5

These have been the best teams to bet against.

Team ATS Record Margin of Cover
Miami 0-4-0 -18.8
Cincinnati 2-2-0 -8.9
Washington 1-3-0 -6.9
Atlanta 1-3-0 -6.8
Arizona 2-2-0 -5.6
Denver 1-3-0 -4.6

Weather looks good and no major problems to worry about.

College Football Sharp Report Includes Sweat Barometer

College football sharp report for week 6 college football heading into Friday night football games. Suffice to say, bettors adoring road favorites even more than usual this week. Even the games that fell short of our criterion were also road teams laying the lumber. 

Biggest public consensus in term of percentage of bets: Maryland, Memphis, Boise State, North Carolina

Most lopsided bets in term of percentage of money and biggest sportsbook liabilities: Air Force, Stanford, Memphis, Penn State, Maryland

Sharp versus square metrics AKA pros versus Joes: Stanford, Georgia State, Pittsburgh

Please keep in mind that these line moves include preseason lines posted by sportsbooks. It is a tool to measure overreaction.

Biggest line moves with opening odds followed by current odds: Penn State -11 now -28.5 to Purdue; Michigan opened -13 to Iowa but now just -3.5; Florida -6 to Auburn now +2.5; Miami -6 to Virginia Tech now -14.

Top expert pick on today’s card is from Joe Duffy with 15 college and NFL Wise Guys up Saturday-Monday and more coming. Big Ten East Total of the Year and NFC Divisional Total of the Year among them. 33-16 NFL since preseason is the Grandmaster. Get the picks now

Margin of cover is a long-time tool of original cappers used to measure the reliability of the often deceptive ATS and OU records. It is much like margin of victory, except it measures margin relative to the point spread or OU. With over-under, “overs” are listed first. Some Johnny-Come-Lately handicappers call this the sweat barometer. These are the best teams to bet on

 

Team

ATS Record

ATS Margin

Ohio State

4-1

20.9

Penn State

3-1

18.2

Wisconsin

3-1

17.5

UL Lafayette 5-0

14.6

SMU

5-0

14

These are the best teams to bet against year-to-date. MYBookie has up to a $1,000 bonus with initial deposit.

Team

ATS Record

ATS Margin

VA Tech

0-4

-20.5

Neveda

2-3

-17.1

Akron

0-5

-13.5

Bowling Green

1-3

-13.4

UMass

1-4

-11.4

Florida International

0-4

-11.4

Free College Football Picks Week 6

Big weekend already up at OffshoreInsiders.com led by Joe Duffy, widely accepted as the top sports betting expert in history.

UCF at Cincinnati

  • Can’t manufacture emotion and Cincy hosting conference powerhouse on national TV
  • Cats only loss was to Ohio State
  • When both teams off large win margins goes under 177-121-8
  • UCF two weeks off heartbreaking loss to Pitt, tougher to get up for big games
  • Cincinnati 0-13 SU to ranked teams
  • UCF very aggressive DL line 4th in defensive havoc by FootballOutsiders, while Cincy OL 114th in sack rate
    • UCF big edge on DL
    • Ohio State’s DL humiliated Cincy

Pick: UCF -4 at Bet Now

New Mexico at San Jose St

  • New Mex first three games 70, 80, 104 points scored
    • Last week to Liberty 27
  • New Mexico allowing 6.8 yards per play teams normally getting 5.6
  • San Jose only home game in middle of three road games
  • Total opened 66, but now 64

Pick: OVER 64 at GTBets