College football sharp report for week 6 college football heading into Friday night football games. Suffice to say, bettors adoring road favorites even more than usual this week. Even the games that fell short of our criterion were also road teams laying the lumber. 

Biggest public consensus in term of percentage of bets: Maryland, Memphis, Boise State, North Carolina

Most lopsided bets in term of percentage of money and biggest sportsbook liabilities: Air Force, Stanford, Memphis, Penn State, Maryland

Sharp versus square metrics AKA pros versus Joes: Stanford, Georgia State, Pittsburgh

Please keep in mind that these line moves include preseason lines posted by sportsbooks. It is a tool to measure overreaction.

Biggest line moves with opening odds followed by current odds: Penn State -11 now -28.5 to Purdue; Michigan opened -13 to Iowa but now just -3.5; Florida -6 to Auburn now +2.5; Miami -6 to Virginia Tech now -14.

Top expert pick on today’s card is from Joe Duffy with 15 college and NFL Wise Guys up Saturday-Monday and more coming. Big Ten East Total of the Year and NFC Divisional Total of the Year among them. 33-16 NFL since preseason is the Grandmaster. Get the picks now

Margin of cover is a long-time tool of original cappers used to measure the reliability of the often deceptive ATS and OU records. It is much like margin of victory, except it measures margin relative to the point spread or OU. With over-under, “overs” are listed first. Some Johnny-Come-Lately handicappers call this the sweat barometer. These are the best teams to bet on

 

Team	ATS Record	ATS Margin
Ohio State	4-1	20.9
Penn State	3-1	18.2
Wisconsin	3-1	17.5
UL Lafayette 5-0		14.6
SMU	5-0	14

These are the best teams to bet against year-to-date. MYBookie has up to a $1,000 bonus with initial deposit.

Team	ATS Record	ATS Margin
VA Tech	0-4	-20.5
Neveda	2-3	-17.1
Akron	0-5	-13.5
Bowling Green	1-3	-13.4
UMass	1-4	-11.4
Florida International	0-4	-11.4