All posts by Joe Duffy

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Saturday Sharp Report, Plus Top UNDER and Top OVER Teams in CFB

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Joe Duffy’s Picks: I am 18-7 college football. We count “added rotation games” separately, so that does not include our Added Rotation Weeknight Total of the Year on ETSU going way under last night. Ten college football winners led by MAC Total of the Year. PS, I have an 11th winner, the Added Rotation Game of the Year.  Get the picks now

Biggest public consensus in term of percentage of bets: San Diego State, UAB, Houston, Florida International, Oklahoma State

Most lopsided bets in term of percentage of money and biggest sportsbook liabilities: Florida International, Rice, Houston, Alabama

Sharp versus square metrics AKA pros versus Joes: Akron, Georgia State, Ball State, Oregon State

These are the top over teams this season:

TeamOver RecordOVER Margin
Charlotte6-0-015.2
LSU5-1-012.8
Wash State3-3-011.8
Louisville3-3-010.3
S Methodist6-0-010.2

Top under teams so far this season:

TeamOver RecordUNDER Margin
Liberty0-5-0-28.0
Toledo2-4-0-14.4
Oregon1-5-0-13.2
Iowa1-4-1-11.8
Northwestern1-4-0-11.4
San Diego St1-5-0-10.6
NC State1-5-0-10.4

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Sports & Recreation

Saturday College Football Weather and Sharp Rundown

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Everything bettors must know about today’s portfolio. Weather is becoming more of a sports handicapping factor than ever. Get critical weather plus who is the public betting on? The sharp report in football betting from the sharpest sharp there is Joe Duffy OffshoreInsiders.com. How hot is the Grandmaster? 

I am 19-8 college football. We count “added rotation games” separately, so that does not include our Added Rotation Weeknight Total of the Year on ETSU going way under last night. Ten college football winners led by MAC Total of the Year. PS, I have an 11th winner, the Added Rotation Game of the Year.  Get the picks now at OffshoreInsiders.com  

Sports & Recreation

Saturday College Football Weather and Sharp Rundown

Leave a comment

Everything bettors must know about today’s portfolio. Weather is becoming more of a sports handicapping factor than ever. Get critical weather plus who is the public betting on? The sharp report in football betting from the sharpest sharp there is Joe Duffy OffshoreInsiders.com. How hot is the Grandmaster? 

I am 19-8 college football. We count “added rotation games” separately, so that does not include our Added Rotation Weeknight Total of the Year on ETSU going way under last night. Ten college football winners led by MAC Total of the Year. PS, I have an 11th winner, the Added Rotation Game of the Year.  Get the picks now at OffshoreInsiders.com  

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Friday College Football Winning Picks For Parlays and More

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Joe Duffy rolls along baby.  I am 18-7 college football.  Friday college football side. Saturday 11 college football winners led by two Wise Guys. BONUS: Added Rotation Game of the Year in college football as well.  Sunday, NFL Wise Guy gets us started!  Get the picks now

Marshall at FAU

  • Marshall 1-5 with nation’s 9th worst -8.8
  • Marshall 5-1 SU in series including 31-7 last year
    • No real edge either way to favorites revenging blowout loss
    • Slight edge to Marshall as dogs 3.5 or more won by 24 or more previous meeting 348-309-11
  • Both teams love to use TEs extensively
    • Total dropped 65 to 59.5
  • Third of Marshall’s roster from Florida
  • Doc Holliday 12-3 in Florida or versus Florida teams
  • Marshall true freshman Broc Thompson had a breakout performance against Old Dominion with 91 yards on six catches
  • Marshall’s defense improving after big adjustments to new DC Brad Lambert
  • When team’s defense off a contest in which they allowed 150 or more yards below season average, next game goes UNDER 446-366-15 (Marshall)

Pick: UNDER 59.5

Pittsburgh at Syracuse

  • Cuse 3-3 SU but includes wins over Liberty and Holy Cross
  • Pitt only losses to Virginia and Penn State
  • Two wins as an underdog plus lost at PSU by only seven
  • Pitt’s Maurice Ffrench and Taysir Mack top WR twosome in nation with 91 catches
  • Pitt’s secondary best under Narduzzi
  • Panthers redshirt sophomore safety Paris Ford will miss the first half with suspension
  • Pitt’s run defense sensational allowing 2.9 yards per rush versus an opponent normally getting 4.0 and defense allows 4.3 yards per play teams normally getting 5.5

Pick: UNDER 52

Ohio St at Northwestern

  • Side premium
  • Ohio State 5-1 +18 points per game, second in country
  • Northwestern UNDER 4-1 by -11.4 points per game, 5th best under team in nation
  • Road favorites of 26 or more with total of 52 or less are 18-8 (Ohio State)
  • Northwestern holds opposing offenses to .7 yards per rush, 1.6 yards per pass below normal average
  • Ohio State holds teams to 1.3 yards per rush, 2.3 yards per pass, and 1.7 yards per play below normal average
  • Northwestern offense gets 4.3 passing yards per attempt teams normally allowing 6.5 and 3.9 yards per play teams normally getting 5.2
  • Ohio State averages 10.8 yards per point, fourth best in nation

Pick: Ohio State UNDER 49.5

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UNLV at Fresno St

  • Total premium
  • UNLV won 34-10 at Vanderbilt as 16 point underdog off four straight losses of 16 or more
  • Dogs off win as an underdog of 7.5 or more are 54-42 (UNLV)
  • Fresno State 1 TD in five third quarters
  • UNLV starting QB Armani Rogers cleared but will not start
    • 2 TDs and 3 INT
    • Kenyon Oblad gets start
    • Oblad 739 yards, 5 TDs, 3 INT
  • UNLV soph RB sophomore running back Chad Magyar averaging 5.0 yards per carry after missing first four games
  • Opened just 13.5 now 16

The pick: UNLV +16

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Boise State vs. BYU College Football Winning ATS Breakdown With @JeffNadu

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Most agree Jeff Nadu is the top betting expert in analyzing personnel matchups, while Joe Duffy is the top expert in advanced analytics in betting.

The two break down Boise State vs. Brigham Young against the spread. Boise State is -6 and 120 at Bovada with a total of 47 after opening up at -6.5 and 48. A staggering 87 percent of bets and 67 percent of cash are on Boise State. An even more stunning 79 percent of tickets and 99 percent of money are on the under.

JDP is 48-28 since preseason on NFL. I already nailed easy TNF Total of Year. Now it’s the TNF Game of the Year on Chiefs-Broncos. I am 18-7 college football. Friday college football side. Saturday 11 college football winners led by two Wise Guys. BONUS: Added Rotation Game of the Year in college football as well. Sunday, NFL Wise Guy gets us started! Get the picks now

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West Virginia vs. Oklahoma Betting Preview With @JeffNadu

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Superstar Jeff Nadu is the top college basketball expert in the world, but also damn knowledgable about college gridiron. Today he breaks down the WVU-Oklahoma football contest with Joe Duffy, the top technical handicapper in history.

Oklahoma is now a whopping -34 with a total of 64.5 at Bovada but shop around as it can be found as high as 65.5. The spread debuted at -34 and 65.

The is a gap between percentage of bets and money. While 56 percent of wagers are on WVU, 78 percent of money is on Oklahoma. Many sharps say to side with the money when this happens. But who do the top experts day to bet on?

Who does Joe Duffy love this week? JDP is 48-28 since preseason on NFL. I already nailed easy TNF Total of Year. Now it’s the TNF Game of the Year on Chiefs-Broncos. I am 18-7 college football. Friday college football side. Saturday 11 college football winners led by two Wise Guys. BONUS: Added Rotation Game of the Year in college football as well. Sunday, NFL Wise Guy gets us started! Get the picks now