Week 11 NFL Winning Pick, Spread Standings Revealed

NFL winner for Sunday, November 20 from Grandmaster Sports Handicapper Joe Duffy. 

Edit: revised line and location, the bet still applies with a strong angle.

CLEVELAND +7.5 Buffalo

Underdogs versus a great and red-hot offense is 165-101-8.  

Best teams in NFL this year based on margin of cover:

Team       ATS Record                                           ATS margin
NY Jets6-3+7.1
Dallas 6-3+5.1

The Titans and the Giants have the best spread winning percentages at 7-2 but only covering by an average of 1.8 points per game and 3.6 respectively. The Chargers are 6-3 but have a -4.9 margin of cover.

Best teams to bet against based on said criterion.

Team       ATS Record                                           ATS margin
LA Rams 2-6-1-8.7
Green Bay4-6-5.8
LA Chargers6-3-4.9

Yes the Chargers have an impressive spread record but a horrible spread margin. Conversely, Jacksonville is 3-7 to the number, but has a +3.3 margin of cover. Many believe this means the Jags are undervalued, while LA Chargers would be overvalued. New Orleans is tied for the second worst spread record at 3-7 but by only a -2.3 margin. 

💰💰💰Top expert pick is from Joe Duffy.  4:25 ET Game of the Year is among nine NFL winners led by four Wise Guys! Joe Duffy is widely accepted as the top college and pro football handicapper in history, hands down. Get the picks now 

Margin of cover is a long-time tool of original cappers used to measure the reliability of the often deceptive ATS and OU records. It is much like margin of victory, except it measures margin relative to the point spread or OU. With over-under, “overs” are listed first. Some Johnny-Come-Lately handicappers call this the sweat barometer. 

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