NFL Picks: Thanksgiving Day Ravens-Steelers

The NFL Specialist is 6-3 NFL. We are a stunning 30-10 with named plays. Friday, college football Wise Guy, two Majors. Saturday, ESPN2 Total of the Year among six college football Wise Guys and four Majors. At press time, we have a substantial NFL card about ready, just waiting on one database update. Get it all at    

BALTIMORE +4.5 Pittsburgh

First of all, let me refute claims that home field advantage is out the window. Home teams are better both SU and ATS in 2020 than they were last year. Though we agree HFA is about two-points this year rather than three, we have an undefeated team against a team that is 6-4 SU. When we have an inferior road team based on SU record yet not a large underdogthe road team is 147-83-7 ATS. We have a similar angle that has to do with difference in wins, yet spread implies they are much more evenly matched it 165-107-7. Baltimore has lost two straight and obviously Pittsburgh has won 10 in a row. However, when teams are in opposite streaks, going with colder team is 75-44-2 under specific situations. It’s 58-28 for 67.4 percent when the net difference is 12 or better (Pittsburgh +10, Baltimore -2 game streak). Road teams in revenge under specific situations is 315-256-12. 

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