Free Winning Picks Cowboys-Seahawks Betting Picks Preview

The Seattle Seahawks take on the Dallas Cowboys in Seattle. Dallas is 1-1 SU, but 0-2 ats, splitting their two totals. Seattle is 2-0 SU and ATS, going over both games. Seattle is third in the NFL in over margin, going over by an average of 16.8 points per game.

Dallas is fresh off a stunning come from behind win against Atlanta. Dogs of 4.5 or more off a comeback win in which they trailed by at least 17 points are go-against of 18-8 including 12-4 since 2006. This says to fade Dallas and go with Seattle. However, anti-splits angle in which we go with road team with much worse away winning percentage than the home team home winning percentage is 185-129-8. One may point out that Dallas has played just two games. Overreaction is enormous early in year, so this angle is 73-43 for 62.9 percent in first four weeks or more accurately, weeks 3 and 4.

When a team, in this case Seattle, is coming off consecutive games in which at least 60 points were scored, and the current total is 57 or higher, it goes over 15-4-1 all-time. It applies here.

Odds: Seattle is -5 and a total of 57. It opened Seattle -3, -116 and 56.

Public betting percentages: Though 55 percent of bets on Seattle, 84 percent of money on Dallas. 79 percent of bets and 94 percent of money on over.

Power ratings: The best power ratings anywhere, say that Seattle should be laying -2.5 with a total of 52 and project Seattle to win 27-24,

Computer simulations ATS: One of our top projection models did 10,000 simulations and found Dallas covering about 52 percent of the time, going under 67 percent with 30-26 final in favor of the Hawks. Another has Dallas covering 56.6 percent of the time at 4.5. The same percentage applies at 5 except the probability of a push goes up to two percent. It has the game under 53.6 percent of the time. Their power line is Seattle -3 and 55.

Against the spread trends: Dallas 10-3 after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game. Seattle 3-7 at home.

Over-under trends: Dallas over 13-3 off spread loss. Seattle over 12-5 off SU win.

Top expert pick on today’s card is from Joe Duffy. 10 NFL Sunday, season-high four Wise Guys, plus Monday Night Football winner. All this and more at with new much more mobile friendly website.

Our official free pick is DALLAS +5 at NFL live lines.

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