It is NBA All-Star weekend. As Joe Duffy is thriving in another winning season, at levels only he has ever achieved in NBA, let’s focus on the so-called sweat barometer in college basketball. It is the ATS standings of which teams have been the best to bet on and against.
Let’s start out with the top teams in the 2021-22 betting season. Though Middle Tennessee State and Jacksonville have the best ATS records in the country, each at 17-5 with MTSU also having a push, neither is in the top 5 in terms of ATS margin. In fact, Howard, despite a losing spread record at 9-10-1, has covered by an average of 4.7 points per game, higher than the two 17-5 squads. Howard has had a wild betting season, twice failing to cover by double-digits, yet four times covering by at least 24.5.
Team
ATS Record
ATS margin
Towson
18-8-1
5.8
Southern
16-7
5.7
Portland
17-8
5.2
Arizona
14-9-2
4.9
Maryland Eastern Shore
11-5-1
4.7
Howard
9-10-1
4.7
Middle Tennessee State
17-5-1
4.4
Now to the top teams to fade.
Team
ATS Record
ATS margin
Morgan State
4-12
-6.4
Oregon State
6-17-1
-5.6
Louisville
7-17-1
-5.6
Marshall
6-16-2
-5
Southern Mississippi
9-14
-4.8
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With one more NFL championship in the books, it’s time to look ahead to next season’s Super Bowl odds.
SportsBetting released title odds following Sunday’s game, and the two teams most perceive as the league’s best, now that Tom Brady has retired, top the list.
The Rams, who will be defending their title, come in third with +1000 odds while the Bengals are fourth on the board at +1200.
Two fabled NFC franchises, the Cowboys and Niners, round out the Top 5, respectively.
This odds will be updated throughout the offseason as the quarterbacks carousel (controversies) gets rolling at SportsBetting
The Rams vs. Bengals Super Bowl LVI gets underway after 6:30 ET. The current line at MyBookie has the Rams -4 with a total of 48.5. At Bovada the moneyline is -185, obviously with Los Angeles as the chalk. The openers at Betonline, the home of the opening line saw LA -3.5 and 49.5, laying -190 to win outright.
Currently 58 percent of bets and 74 percent of money is on the Rams to cover. Though the public generally prefers favorites, they often tend to bet underdogs in postseason. However, with “everyone” betting on the Super Bowl, the chalk is generally the public play.
Dichotomous splits are on the total with 66 percent of bets on the over, yet 68 percent of cash on the under. The moneyline sees 72 and 61 percent on the Rams. Sizzling and super talented NFL betting legend Joe Duffy has easily the strongest bet on the side, Stevie Vincent on the total, plus tons of prop bets at OffshoreInsiders.com
James Harden is headed to Philadelphia in exchange for Ben Simmons and a couple of first-round draft picks.
It’s a massive deadline day trade for both squads, and the swap has somewhat shifted the NBA Finals futures.
SportsBetting updated its title odds and Philadelphia has seen its championship chances slashed in half, if you want to gamble on sports or other things.
The 76ers had 14-1 odds before the trade, and now they are down to 7-1.
Brooklyn’s odds barely moved as they went from 4-1 to 5-1.
Golden State was the favorite yesterday and the Warriors remain in the driver’s seat following the trade.
Current NBA Championship odds can be seen at SportsBetting
Golden State Warriors 4-1
Brooklyn Nets 5-1
Phoenix Suns 5-1
Milwaukee Bucks 7-1
Philadelphia 76ers 7-1
Miami Heat 12-1
Utah Jazz 14-1
Los Angeles Lakers 22-1
Chicago Bulls 28-1
Memphis Grizzlies 28-1
Denver Nuggets 35-1
Boston Celtics 45-1
Cleveland Cavaliers 50-1
Dallas Mavericks 50-1
Atlanta Hawks 66-1
Los Angeles Clippers 66-1
Toronto Raptors 80-1
Charlotte Hornets 125-1
Minnesota Timberwolves 125-1
New York Knicks 200-1
New Orleans Pelicans 250-1
Portland Trail Blazers 300-1
Washington Wizards 300-1
San Antonio Spurs 400-1
Sacramento Kings 500-1
Indiana Pacers 1000-1
Oklahoma City Thunder 2500-1
Houston Rockets 3000-1
Detroit Pistons 4000-1
Orlando Magic 4000-1
Superstar capper Joe Duffy dominating NBA again at OffshoreInsiders.com
Super betting site OffshoreInsiders.com breaks down the best teams to bet on and against this season in college basketball.
College basketball margin of cover standings for 2021-22.
Team
ATS Record
ATS margin
Howard
7-5
9.7
Maryland Eastern Shore
7-2
9.3
Oakland
13-4
8.3
Wagner
7-4
7.4
LSU
14-4
6.7
Kennesaw State
7-5
6.7
Note that Auburn is tied for the best spread mark in the nation at 14-4 but by only 4.4 points per game. They demonstrate why so many sharps balance out record with margin of cover to measure if a team is truly over or underperforming.
Now the best teams to fade in terms of margin of cover at a vetted sportsbook like Bovada
Team
ATS Record
ATS margin
Idaho State
2-11
-8.4
Delaware State
3-8
-8
Morgan State
3-7
-7.6
IUPUI
4-11
-7.4
Texas San Antonio
5-9
-6.9
Marshall
3-10-2
-6.3
Nevada
4-10
-6.1
Margin of cover is a long-time tool of original cappers used to measure the reliability of the often deceptive ATS and OU records. It is much like margin of victory, except it measures margin relative to the point spread or OU. With over-under, “overs” are listed first. Some Johnny-Come-Lately handicappers call this the sweat barometer.
With Ben Roethlisberger expected to retire, it’s anybody’s guess who will be the next quarterback of the fabled Pittsburgh Steelers franchise.
Head coach Mike Tomlin said all options were on the table in regards to his starting QB in 2022. The obvious choice is Steelers longtime backup and occasional starter, Mason Rudolph, and the odds at SportsBetting have him tabbed as the favorite.
Russell Wilson and Aaron Rodgers are on the list of 18 players. Cam Newton has the worst odds on the board.
Speaking of Tomlin, he was tabbed with 7-1, or +700, odds to be the next head coach of the Las Vegas Raiders when odds were initially released Monday. But bets have flooded in on Tomlin and now he has the second-lowest odds at 3-1.
We’re still a few weeks away from Super Bowl LVI, but early odds for the game’s MVP are already available.
The Packers and Chiefs are favored to meet in the Super Bowl, so it only makes sense that the teams’ respective signal callers carry the lowest odds to take home the MVP honor.
SportsBetting has five quarterbacks listed at the top, then the first non-QB is Derrick Henry, who hasn’t played a snap in months.
Here are the latest Super Bowl MVP odds:
Additionally, below you will find updated regular season numbers for MVP, ROY, Coach of the Year and Comeback Player of the Year (close race).
When it comes to ATS margin, the Cleveland Cavaliers are the most dominant. The Ohio squad is 27-13-2 to the number, covering by an average of 7 points per game. Though Memphis has a similar record at 28-15, they are a distant second based on spread margin at 3.6 at sportsbooks like Bovada There is no clear-cut best team to fade, though Portland at -3.8 points per game and 15-25 ATS hold said distinction.
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Best ATS teams ranked by “sweat barometer” or margin of cover.
Team
ATS Record
ATS margin
Cleveland
27-13-2
7
Memphis
28-15
3.6
Golden State
23-15-2
3.2
Miami
24-17
3.1
It becomes a big drop-off at the point, with Spurs next at +2 points per game.
Best teams to fade:
Team
ATS Record
ATS margin
Portland
15-25
-3.8
Atlanta
15-25
-3.1
Lakers
17-25
-3
Detroit
19-21
-2.5
Brooklyn
15-24
-2.2
Top over teams:
Team
ATS Record
ATS margin
Charlotte
22-19-1
+4.3
LA Lakers
24-18
+3.3
Houston
25-18
+2.8
Utah
22-19
2.4
Top under teams:
Team
ATS Record
ATS margin
Golden State
13-25-2
-7.4
LA Clippers
18-24
-6.6
Oklahoma City
16-24
-5.9
Dallas
13-26-2
-5.6
Denver
19-20
-4
How does one exploit this intel? Joe Duffy has been a professional handicapper for decades. He wins at OffshoreInsiders.com
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