Tag Archives: sports betting analysis

College Football Futures Update: Week 1 Shake-Up


Week 1 of the college football season is almost in the books and we already have new betting favorites for both the College Football Playoff (CFP) Championship and the Heisman Trophy at BetOnLine college football

Texas fell to Ohio State yesterday, and Arch Manning didn’t exactly set the world ablaze in his much-anticipated start. The ripple effects are already hitting the futures boards.


Key Takeaways

CFP Championship

  1. Ohio State is now the favorite, moving past Texas, Georgia, and Penn State.
  2. Texas slips to fourth at 15/2.
  3. Alabama and Clemson saw their odds lengthen from 17/2 to 16/1 after losses.

Heisman Trophy

  1. John Mateer rockets from 22/1 to the favorite at 7/1.
  2. Arch Manning drops from favorite status to tied for 7th at 16/1.
  3. Thomas Castellanos makes a huge move from 100/1 to 25/1.

2025 CFP Championship Odds

TeamOddsAmerican Odds
Ohio State25/4+625
Georgia13/2+650
Penn State13/2+650
Texas15/2+750
LSU9/1+900
Notre Dame9/1+900
Alabama16/1+1600
Clemson16/1+1600
Oregon16/1+1600
Miami (FL)20/1+2000
Oklahoma28/1+2800
Florida33/1+3300
Michigan33/1+3300
Texas A&M33/1+3300
Auburn35/1+3500
Ole Miss35/1+3500
USC50/1+5000
Florida State66/1+6600
South Carolina66/1+6600
Georgia Tech75/1+7500
Tennessee75/1+7500
Louisville80/1+8000
SMU100/1+10000
Utah100/1+10000
Arizona State125/1+12500
Indiana125/1+12500
Texas Tech125/1+12500
Illinois150/1+15000
Missouri150/1+15000
TCU175/1+17500
Iowa200/1+20000
Iowa State200/1+20000
Washington200/1+20000
Nebraska250/1+25000
Baylor300/1+30000
Minnesota300/1+30000
Kansas400/1+40000
Arkansas500/1+50000
Michigan State500/1+50000
Pittsburgh500/1+50000
Tulane500/1+50000
Colorado750/1+75000
Duke750/1+75000
Kansas State750/1+75000
Field (All Other Teams)1000/1+100000

(Full board available — many programs sit at 1000/1 at BetOnline.)


2025 Heisman Trophy Odds

PlayerOddsAmerican Odds
John Mateer7/1+700
Garrett Nussmeier15/2+750
Gunner Stockton12/1+1200
LaNorris Sellers12/1+1200
Cade Klubnik14/1+1400
Jeremiah Smith14/1+1400
Arch Manning16/1+1600
Dante Moore16/1+1600
Jeremiyah Love16/1+1600
Carson Beck18/1+1800
Drew Allar18/1+1800
Jackson Arnold18/1+1800
Sam Leavitt20/1+2000
Devon Dampier22/1+2200
DJ Lagway22/1+2200
Thomas Castellanos25/1+2500
Austin Simmons33/1+3300
Bryce Underwood33/1+3300
Julian Sayin33/1+3300
Marcel Reed33/1+3300
Ty Simpson33/1+3300
Kevin Jennings35/1+3500
CJ Carr40/1+4000
Beau Pribula50/1+5000
Haynes King50/1+5000
Jalon Daniels50/1+5000
Ryan Williams50/1+5000
Miller Moss55/1+5500
Avery Johnson66/1+6600
Demond Williams Jr66/1+6600
Fernando Mendoza66/1+6600
Jayden Maiava66/1+6600
Josh Hoover66/1+6600
Dylan Raiola100/1+10000
Sawyer Robertson100/1+10000
Eli Holstein150/1+15000
Kyron Drones150/1+15000
Nico Iamaleava150/1+15000
Steve Angeli150/1+15000

Final Thoughts

The first weekend of the 2025 season already shows how quickly the futures markets can shift. Ohio State is firmly in the driver’s seat for the CFP crown, while John Mateer is now the frontrunner for the Heisman. Arch Manning, meanwhile, faces an uphill climb after his shaky debut.

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Week 2 College Football Betting Odds, Breakdowns Released

Week 2 of the 2024 college football season brings an array of intriguing matchups that are sure to capture the attention of bettors. As always, lines for games involving FBS teams versus FCS opponents will typically emerge later in the week, but several key games already have odds set. Here’s a look at the lines and some early thoughts on what to watch for from OffshoreInsiders.com

Friday, September 6, 2024

  • BYU at SMU (-10½): SMU is favored by double digits at home against BYU. This matchup could hinge on how well SMU’s explosive offense performs against a traditionally tough BYU defense.
  • Duke at Northwestern (-3): A narrow line here reflects the expected competitiveness of this game. Northwestern, playing at home, gets the slight edge, but Duke’s rising program under Coach Mike Elko could present a serious challenge.

Saturday, September 7, 2024

  • Georgia Tech (-3) at Syracuse: Georgia Tech is a slight road favorite against Syracuse. The Yellow Jackets’ improvement under Coach Brent Key is evident, but the Carrier Dome is always a tough venue for visiting teams. MYBookie is one of the best sportsbooks in the world! Check out the review of MyBookie
  • Kansas State (-10) at Tulane: Kansas State is favored by ten points in what could be a tricky road game against Tulane. The Green Wave have been known to pull off upsets, so this line might see movement as the week progresses.
  • Bowling Green at Penn State (-33): Penn State is heavily favored by 33 points against Bowling Green. This should be a straightforward win for the Nittany Lions, but the spread could test the resolve of bettors.
  • Troy at Memphis (-17): Memphis is expected to cover a 17-point spread at home against Troy. Memphis’ high-powered offense should give them the edge, but Troy’s defense could keep it closer than expected.
  • Pittsburgh at Cincinnati (-1): A virtual toss-up with Cincinnati favored by just a single point. This could be one of the closest and most exciting games of the week.
  • Akron at Rutgers (-23): Rutgers is favored to win comfortably at home against Akron. The Scarlet Knights will look to dominate early and cover the sizable spread.
  • Army at Florida Atlantic (-2½): Florida Atlantic is a slight favorite at home against Army, but the Black Knights’ triple-option offense could present challenges for FAU’s defense.
  • Texas (-7) at Michigan: This line opened with Texas as a 3-point favorite, but it’s already moved to -7. The Longhorns will be looking to prove themselves against a Michigan team that is always tough at home.
  • Arkansas at Oklahoma State (-7½): Oklahoma State is favored at home by just over a touchdown. Arkansas, however, has the potential to make this a close contest.
  • California at Auburn (-14): Auburn is a two-touchdown favorite against Cal. The Tigers’ SEC pedigree should see them through, but Cal’s defense could keep the margin in check.
  • Jacksonville State at Louisville (-28): Louisville is expected to win big against Jacksonville State. A 28-point spread reflects the disparity between these programs.
  • Temple at Navy (-13): Navy is a 13-point favorite at home against Temple. The Midshipmen’s option offense is tough to prepare for, which could make it difficult for Temple to stay within the spread.
  • Baylor at Utah (-15): Utah is favored by 15 points against Baylor in a matchup that could see defensive battles on both sides. Utah’s home-field advantage is significant in this one.
  • South Carolina at Kentucky (-9½): Kentucky is favored at home by just under ten points. South Carolina’s offense will need to step up to stay in this game.
  • Charlotte at North Carolina (-21½): North Carolina is heavily favored against Charlotte, with a spread of 21½ points. The Tar Heels’ potent offense should be too much for Charlotte to handle.
  • Northern Illinois at Notre Dame (-29½): Notre Dame is a near 30-point favorite at home against Northern Illinois. The Fighting Irish will aim to dominate early and put this game out of reach.
  • Eastern Michigan at Washington (-25): Washington is expected to cruise past Eastern Michigan with a 25-point spread in their favor.
  • Massachusetts at Toledo (-19½): Toledo is favored by nearly three touchdowns against UMass. The Rockets should be able to cover, but UMass could fight to keep it closer.
  • Iowa State at Iowa (-3): The battle for the Cy-Hawk Trophy is expected to be close, with Iowa favored by a field goal. This rivalry game often comes down to the wire.
  • Michigan State at Maryland (-10): Maryland is favored by ten points at home against Michigan State. The Terrapins’ offense will be key to covering this spread.
  • UTSA at Texas State (-2½): Texas State is a slight favorite at home against UTSA. This line reflects the anticipated tight nature of the contest.
  • Middle Tennessee State at Mississippi (-41½): Ole Miss is a massive 41½-point favorite against Middle Tennessee State. The Rebels should win comfortably, but covering this large spread could be a challenge.
  • Marshall at Virginia Tech (-17): Virginia Tech is favored by 17 points at home against Marshall. The Hokies’ defense will need to shine to cover this spread.
  • Central Michigan (-4) at Florida International: Central Michigan is a 4-point favorite on the road. This line suggests a closer game than one might expect.
  • East Carolina (-1) at Old Dominion: East Carolina is barely favored by a single point in what is expected to be a closely contested game.
  • South Alabama (-1½) at Ohio: South Alabama is slightly favored on the road, indicating a potential nail-biter in Ohio.
  • Sam Houston St at Central Florida (-23½): UCF is favored by more than three touchdowns against Sam Houston State. The Knights should cover, but Sam Houston State’s defense could keep it interesting.
  • South Florida at Alabama (-31): Alabama is heavily favored by 31 points at home against South Florida. The Crimson Tide should have no trouble, but the spread is sizable.
  • Buffalo at Missouri (-34): Missouri is a 34-point favorite at home against Buffalo. This line reflects the Tigers’ dominance.
  • Virginia at Wake Forest (-2): Wake Forest is a slight favorite in this ACC matchup, suggesting a potentially close contest.
  • Kansas (-5½) at Illinois: Kansas is favored by less than a touchdown on the road. The Jayhawks will need to perform well to cover this spread.
  • Georgia Southern (-2½) at Nevada: Georgia Southern is a narrow favorite on the road against Nevada. This could be a tough game to call.
  • San Jose State at Air Force (-6½): Air Force is favored by just under a touchdown at home against San Jose State. The Falcons’ unique offense will be key.
  • UAB (-12) at UL Monroe: UAB is a 12-point favorite on the road, which indicates confidence in their ability to handle UL Monroe.
  • Tulsa at Arkansas State (-7): Arkansas State is favored by a touchdown at home. This game could be closer than the line suggests.
  • UL Lafayette (-14½) at Kennesaw State: UL Lafayette is favored by two touchdowns plus a half-point against Kennesaw State. This line shows confidence in the Ragin’ Cajuns.
  • Western Michigan at Ohio State (-39): Ohio State is a 39-point favorite against Western Michigan. The Buckeyes should dominate, but covering nearly 40 points is a tall order.
  • Colorado at Nebraska (-7½): Nebraska is favored by more than a touchdown at home against Colorado. This rivalry game could be closer than the spread indicates.
  • Tennessee (-7½) at NC State: Tennessee is a slight favorite on a neutral field in Charlotte. This game has potential to be one of the weekend’s best matchups.
  • Houston at Oklahoma (-29½): Oklahoma is nearly a 30-point favorite at home against Houston. The Sooners should win big, but the spread is large.
  • Appalachian State at Clemson (-17): Clemson is favored by 17 points at home against Appalachian State. The Tigers should cover, but App State is known for putting up a fight.
  • Boise State at Oregon (-18): Oregon is an 18-point favorite at home against Boise State. The Ducks’ offense will be key to covering this spread.
  • Texas Tech at Washington State (-1): Washington State is favored by just a single point in what is expected to be a close game against Texas Tech.
  • Liberty (-22) at New Mexico State: Liberty is favored by 22 points on the road. The Flames should cover, but New Mexico State’s home field could factor in.
  • Oregon State (-4) at San Diego State: Oregon State is favored by 4 points on the road. The Beavers will need to play well to cover this spread.
  • Mississippi State at Arizona State (-4): Arizona State is favored by 4 points at home against Mississippi State. This could be one of the tighter games of the weekend.
  • Utah State at USC (-28): USC is favored by 28 points at home against Utah State. The Trojans should cover, but a blowout isn’t guaranteed.

Final Thoughts

As the week progresses, expect these lines to move as bettors weigh in with their wagers. Factors like injuries, weather conditions, and public perception will play a significant role in how these lines shift.

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