Tag Archives: free NHL picks

Daily Sports Gambling Update: Baseball, Hockey, Tennis, Soccer

The Boston Bruins can punch their ticket to the Eastern Conference Finals with a win in Columbus on Monday night in Game 6, while the Blue Jackets look to force a Game 7 and are slight favorites to do so on the NHL Betting Lines.Read the full article: Bruins vs Blue Jackets 2019 Stanley Cup Playoffs Odds & Pick for Game 6

The San Jose Sharks can earn a spot in the Western Conference Finals on Monday night as they visit the Colorado Avalanche in Game 6 of their semifinal series. However, the Avs are slight favorites on the NHL Odds to force a Game 7.For the rest of the article: Sharks vs Avalanche 2019 Stanley Cup Playoffs Lines & Game 6 Prediction

The Mutua Madrid Open Round of 32 starts on Monday, May 6. Top matchups in the tournament take place between Dusan Lajovic and Laslo Djere, and Fabio Fognini and Kyle Edmund. Check out our tennis betting odds, analysis, and free picks for four of the top matches on Monday in the Mutua Madrid Open!Read the rest of the article here: Top Tennis Betting Picks for the Week – May 6th Edition

Liverpool vs Barcelona 2019 Champions League Odds & Game PreviewThe incomparable Lionel Messi and FC Barcelona will look to take care of business at home on Wednesday when they host a Liverpool side that will be without stars, Mohamed Salah and Robert Firmino when they square off in their UEFA Champions League semifinal showdown. Now, let’s find out which team is offering the best soccer betting value in this intriguing matchup of two of the world’s best soccer teams. For the full article: Liverpool vs Barcelona 2019 Champions League Odds & Game Preview

League-leading Manchester City will look to close out their 2019 Premier League season in style when they host Leicester City in a contest that has the look of a virtual lock from where I’m sitting. Now, with Leicester City looking to pull off the huge upset, let’s find out where the best value lies in this pairing when it goes down live from Etihad Stadium on Monday. The full article: Leicester City vs Manchester City 2019 Premier League Odds & Game Pick

The game of the night in Major League Baseball Monday is a matchup of division leaders as the Philadelphia Phillies visit the St. Louis Cardinals. The Cards are favored on the MLB Lines behind Miles Mikolas.The rest of the article here: Phillies vs Cardinals MLB Odds, Preview & Prediction 

Okay boxing betting fan, while this coming week’s trio of championship title fights might not be getting the same international recognition that this past weekend’s middleweight title fight between Canelo Alvarez and Daniel Jacobs did, make no mistake about it, you’re going to have three great chances to cash in on a trio of title fights that all have the look of thrilling affairs just waiting to happen. Now, let’s find out who’s in action and where the best betting value lies in all three title fights.The full article: Top Boxing Betting Picks of the Week – May 6th Edition

From now until the end of the current MLB season, top baseball matchups take place every week. Check out the MLB betting odds, analysis, and free picks for four of the best matchups in Major League Baseball this week! The rest of the article: Top MLB Betting Picks of the Week – May 6th Edition

Counter-Strike Blast Pro Series Madrid continues this week with big matches on Friday, May 10 and Saturday, May 11. On Friday, Ence takes on Navi while Astralis battles NIP. Check out our eSports betting odds, analysis, and picks for four of the top matches at Counter-Strike Blast Pro Series Madrid on Friday and Saturday!The full article: Top eSports Betting Picks of the Week – May 6th Edition

 

Daily Sports Gambling Update: Kentucky Derby, MLB, Soccer, Stanley Cup, Golf

Two of the best soccer clubs on planet Earth battle it out at Camp Nou on Wednesday when Messi leads Barcelona against Salah and Liverpool. Barcelona should win La Liga while Liverpool has a great chance of winning the Premier League. Who takes the first leg of this UEFA Champions League Semifinal clash? Check out UEFA Champions League betting odds, a preview, and predictions for Barcelona-Liverpool. For the full article: Barcelona vs Liverpool UEFA Champions League Game 1 Odds, Preview, and Predictions


The New York Islanders head to Raleigh, NC to battle the Carolina Hurricanes on Wednesday, May 1. The Islanders are desperate for a victory in the best-of-seven series after dropping the first two battles at home. Can NYI get back into the series, or will the Hurricanes take a 3-0 lead? Check out our Stanley Cup playoff odds, analysis, and a free pick for Hurricanes-Islanders Game 3! For the full article: Islanders vs Hurricanes Stanley Cup Playoffs Game 3 Odds, Preview, and Pick

Golfers head to Quail Hollow Club in Charlotte, NC this week for the 2019 PGA Wells Fargo Championship. Last year winner Jason Day offers second choice odds of +1000. Will Day make it back-to-back, or is there another favorite that we should consider? Check out the latest golf betting odds, analysis, and thoughts for the 2019 Wells Fargo Championship! Read the full article: 2019 Wells Fargo Championship Odds, Preview & Predictions

Young Philadelphia Phillies ace Aaron Nola was a Cy Young candidate last year and got a nice big extension this offseason. Perhaps Nola is putting too much pressure on himself as he has been rather inconsistent thus far. He’s heavily favored on Wednesday, though, on the MLB betting lines in an interleague matchup against the Detroit Tigers. The full article here: Tigers vs Phillies MLB Odds, Preview & Expert Prediction

The San Diego Padres have been a pleasant surprise this season, but they are likely to once again be without rookie sensation Fernando Tatis Jr. on Wednesday for the third game of their four-game set in Atlanta. The Braves are favored on the latest MLB odds. Read the rest of the article: How to Bet Padres vs Braves MLB Spread & Expert Prediction

The most important 5 weeks on the U.S. thoroughbred racing calendar starts on Saturday, May 4. The Kentucky Derby, the Preakness Stakes, and the Belmont Stakes, make up horse racing’s Triple Crown. Last year, Justify won the Triple Crown. Will a horse win it this year? Check out the latest information and Triple Crown odds on America’s most important 5 weeks in the thoroughbred industry. The full article here: 2019 Triple Crown Preview: Kentucky Derby, Preakness & Belmont

 
The problem for MLB betting enthusiasts – and those of us who write about it – when dealing with Tampa Bay Rays games is not knowing who the starting pitcher is going to be about 40 percent of the time. That’s because the Rays only really have three starters and they use an “opener” the other days. That looks to be the case on Wednesday, which will affect any MLB Lines against the Kansas City Royals. The full article: Rays vs Royals MLB Betting Lines & Game Analysis

Mike Trout and the Los Angeles Angels will look to tame highly-touted phenom Vladimir Guerrero Jr. and the visiting Toronto Blue Jays when the two AL World Series longshots square off in the middle game of their three-game set on Wednesday night. After recording a narrow, one-run win on Tuesday, let’s find out if Trout and company can extend their winning ways or whether the athletically-gifted ‘Vlad’ and the Jays are the pick to get it done on the road on Wednesday for the middle contest of their three-game series. Read the full article:Blue Jays vs Angels MLB Odds, Preview & Expert Pick

The Minnesota Twins will be looking to get back in the win column after having their four-game winning streak emphatically snapped on Tuesday night. Can the Twins hold it down at home or are the visiting Houston Astros the better pick despite being on the road? Let’s find out right now. For the full article: Astros vs Twins MLB Lines, Betting Analysis & Prediction

NHL Free Pick From Top Handicapper


Yes I won yet again in MLB, going 2-1. I am 28-16 NBA playoffs. NBA Wise Guy Friday. NL Central Game of the Month plus a Juicy Lucy go Friday. All are night games.

Previously referred as a Dandy Dog, a Juicy Lucy is either a moneyline underdog or runline favorite in which we get at least +140 juice. We changed the name to reflect it includes runline chalk.  Get the picks now

We have a free NHL playoff winner too from Joe Duffy’s Picks on:

SAN JOSE -130 Colorado

Go with playoff favorites to red-hot teams is 31-10 for an ROI of 28.1 percent.

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Sharp vs. Square Betting, WHIP, NHL Betting Myths

This is the latest in a series of a Godgepodge of sports betting strategy and other sports handicapping and gaming issues.  

Sharp versus Square FAQ

As clients know, we have had enormous success with sharp versus square plays. That means most of the sharp players are going one way and most of the sucker players the other way according to our offshore, Vegas and “outlaw” contacts.  We go with the sharp money.  Our article “Sharp Players Don’t Disappear, They Just Fade Away” explains why such data truly works. 

It was a question from a loyal client who made us aware we were a bit fallible when we said “money” rather than “players”. Sharp players are almost always high rollers, but they are greatly outnumbered by the square investor, who covers a wide profile ranging from a $5 player to the $5,000 a game degenerate.

It’s “one man, one vote” as far as we are concerned.  Contrarian information from a $10 four-team parlay player can be as valuable as, and in most cases arguably more valuable than that from a dime player.  Also parlay selections are tabulated the same way individual plays would be.

As enlightened above, parlay players are a contrarian kingpin’s best friend. 

Can’t Claim Any Myths in the NHL

We’ve made a lot of money over the years exposing myths in sports betting.  Many of the false convictions, as we point out, are examples of inductive rather than deductive reasoning.  However in the NHL playoffs, a hot goalie and quality special teams are the big X-factor.  The difference between the two elements is that overall not recent performance would be most important when handicapping power play and penalty killing.  But the common idea it true, nothing is better than a netminder who enters the postseason “in the zone.”

WHIP it Real Good Baseball Handicapper

We had written an article that many of you raved about as being enlightening on ERA versus WHIP in baseball handicapping. Add one of the sharpest minds in sports handicapping history, Stevie
Vincent of OffshoreInsiders.com to list of sharp players who believe WHIP is the most underutilized tool in handicapping.

Vincent, a veteran actually uses walks/hits per game as his official stat.  It’s the same statistic just calculated over a full game rather than by inning. Vincent was using it before WHIP became chic by the roto geeks. Hence the slight difference which is nothing more than semantics. 

Vincent in fact believes “picking baseball totals is now the easiest way to win in any type of gambling: horses, craps, poker, blackjack, you name it.” Vincent weighs walks/hits per game first with each starter, using last three starts, last seven starts, year to date both overall and home/away, and then he utilizes each starter’s career stats in the game day ballpark.  Like us, he prefers bestowing a pitcher’s cumulative batting average against to the opposing team’s current players much more than the more widely used pitcher’s career stats against that team.

“That way if an AL pitcher came from the NL and faced Gary Sheffield when he played for the Braves, Dodgers, Florida, San Diego and Milwaukee, those stats are factored in.”  As Vincent points out, when lesser handicappers would instead simply use a pitcher’s career stats against the Yankees, it may take into consideration players who are no longer on the Bronx Bombers.

He acknowledges that can be the case when he uses ballpark stats, but as he points out “that’s what I want to measure, if a certain park caters to a pitcher’s strengths or exploits his weaknesses.”

Vincent says otherwise the ballpark stats would in many ways simply overlap with a pitcher’s lifetime stats against an opponent. “Gamblers’ double jeopardy” he calls it. Vincent than says that bullpen must be considered, but reading the boxscore from the night before is mandatory in knowing the availability of relief pitchers for the next day. 

Joe Duffy’s premium plays are available exclusively at OffshoreInsiders.com. Get his exclusive news and notes from his own clipboard at JoeDuffy.Net home of the Handicapper’s Sampler rundown of top sports service plays.