Tag Archives: free Football picks

Free College Football Picks

Three college football free picks from Grandmaster Sports Handicapper Joe Duffy. College Football Total of the Year continues historic run. We have NFL Wise Guy as well. As long as you have a package that includes Monday you can access all week’s picks. Get the picks now

Maryland at Minnesota

  • Maryland lost 4-of-5 after starting out 2-0 and briefly entering rankings with 63-20 rout of Syracuse
  • Minnesota a soft 7-0 SU, but most impressive win at Purdue by TD
    •  Seven-point win over South Dakota State and three-point wins against Fresno State and Georgia Southern
    • Only outscoring teams by 15 points per game
  • At 7-0 face burden of high expectations
  • Minnesota has won its past three games by a combined 113-31
  • Minnesota in statement mode
  • Maryland QB Tyrrell Pigrome has flashes, just makes mistakes
    • Josh Jackson could be back this week
  • Maryland starting young players on defense but baptism by fire

Pick: MARYLAND +17

Notre Dame at Michigan

  • Teams off dominant rushing effort a great under play at 450-270-23 (applies to ND)
  • Short road underdogs 643-477-29 (Notre Dame)
  • But if teams ranked 9th or better are underdogs to a team with at least two losses, the favorite is 73-53-6 for 58.6 (Michigan)
  • Michigan won four straight at home in series
  • Michigan lost to two toughest foes Wisconsin and Penn State by TD or more
  • Michigan holds teams to 1.4 yards per rush, 1 yards per pass, and 1.2 yards per play below their normal average
  • Offense just above average
  • Irish good on both sides of ball especially offense where get 1.1 more yards per rush, 1.2 yards per pass, 1.2 yards per play above normal average
  • Don’t like fact it dropped was 2.5
  • Irish off bye and on break, so no classes
  • Early 81 percent of bets on Irish, 86 percent of money

The pick: UNDER 51.5

Washington State at Oregon (-14,64)

  • Away dog off cover as home favorites are 217-139-11 (Washington State)
  • 14 point or more favorites in quadruple revenge are 34-25-1 (Oregon)
  • Math angle says over 856-622-28
  • Only Oregon’s Justin Herbert and Ohio State’s Justin Fields have over 20 touchdowns passes and just one interception this season
  • Oregon loaded on defense and six guys have led them in tackles in seven games
  • Washington State averaging 42.7 points per game teams normally allowing 31.2 on 7.7 yards per play teams normally permitting 6.4
  • WSU terrible on defense allowing 8.3 yards per pass to teams averaging 7.1 and 6.4 yards per play to 5.5
  • Oregon gets 8.1 yards per pass to squads generally permitting 7.2

The pick: OVER 64

The picks above were bet at Bovada college football odds and/or MyBookie

Miami Ohio vs. Iowa College Football Expert Picks

Miami Ohio vs. Iowa Saturday night betting tips sees Iowa laying -22 and a total of 47 at MyBookie Iowa opened -21.5 and the total was 50. Suffice to say, the bookies will be rooting for the underdog as 70 percent of bets and a whopping 91 percent of money are on Iowa. The under is 64 and 92 percent respectively.

Iowa returns four starters from a defense that limited the opposition to just 17.8 points per game last season (14th). Defensive lineman A.J. Epenesa is one of the best pass rushers in the country after recording an impressive 10.5 sacks, 16.5 tackles for loss and four forced fumbles. Linebacker Djimon Colbert had 52 tackles as a freshman while safety Geno Stone heads up the secondary after recording four interceptions and three pass deflections last season.

Full detail below

Miami Ohio 8-1 overall, yet 1-7 outside conference to the number. Iowa has covered five straight outside conference.

Joe Duffy is 9-4 in football. Get five college football winners for Saturday to go to 13-4. We are way ahead in EPL thanks to Crystal Palace +880 last week. Six MLB winners as sharps are still winning in MLB. Get the picks now

Georgia Tech vs. Clemson Betting Tips with @JeffNadu

Jeff Nadu‘s popular Big Man on Campus show returns and Joe Duffy is honored to discuss Georgia Tech vs. Clemson. Clemson is up to a 36.5 point favorite and 59.5 at MyBookie The game opened at -33 and 59.5. Somewhat low percentages for betting on the favorite as 55 percent of tickets and 65 percent of money on the Tigers. However, with substantial favorites, the percentages do tail off.

I am 5-1 in football including Miami U. Six college football winners, all are regular rotation games. As long as you have a package that includes Monday you can access all week’s pick Get the picks now

Free Picks, Betting Notes, Analysis, Pro Bettors Bullet Points Opening Week NFL 2018

Sports betting headquarters OffshoreInsiders.com and DuffyGifts.com the place to go for gifts for all occasions from MyThirtyOne Gifts brings you very important and critical gambling info for week 1 of NFL betting. Included is a free pick from Grandmaster Handicapper Joe Duffy.

Duffy is 18-6 NFL and get four winners (at least) including a Wise Guy for opening NFL Sunday at OffshoreInsiders.com

Titans vs. Dolphins

  • Dolphins WR DeVante Parker is doubtful
    • 57 catches last year
  • MarQueis Gray, very good blocking TD, is out for Miami
  • Titans WR Rishard Matthews will likely be on rep count, but will play
    • 53 receptions for 795 yards and 4 TDs
  • The Dolphins are 42-18 SU in their last 60 games at home in September.
  • In Ryan Tannehill and Adam Gase’s only season together in 2016, the Dolphins went 6-1 SU in Tannehill home starts and averaged 27 points per game.
  • Marcus Mariota has a 69.1 QB rating on the road in 2017 with 11 interceptions and just five TD passes.
  • The Dolphins averaged 11.7 more points at home in 2017 than on the road.
  • The Titans are 9-21 ATS in their last 30 games on the road.
  • The Dolphins are 11-6-2 ATS in their last 19 games as a home underdog.
  • The total has gone OVER in eight of the Dolphins’ last 11 games. (Avg combined score: 48.09)
  • The Titans are 3-7 SU in their last 10 games on the road against the Dolphins.
  • The total has gone UNDER in 11 of the Titans’ last 13 games on the road against the Dolphins.

Redskins vs. Cardinals

  • Skins starting RB Derrius Guice is out for year and FA Adrian Peterson gets start
  • The Redskins are 9-2 SU in their last 11 games against the Cardinals.
  • The visiting team is 0-6 SU in the last six games in this matchup.
  • The Cardinals are 14-6 SU in their last 20 games in September.
  • The Cardinals are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games in the late afternoon.
  • The total has gone UNDER in 14 of the Cardinals’ last 20 games at home. (Avg combined score: 42.75)
  • The Redskins are 0-5 SU and ATS in their last five games in Week 1
  • Washington had a lot of preseason injuries, but come in healthy

Cowboys vs. Panthers

  • Panthers WR Curtis Samuel is out
    • Last year’s second round pick had 15 catches before season-ending injury in game 10
  • Carolina large public bet
  • The Cowboys are 14-4-1 ATS in their last 19 September road games.
  • Dallas ranked 3rd in net yards per play on the road last season. Carolina ranked 30th in net yards per play at home.
  • The Cowboys are 5-1 SU in their last six games against the Panthers.
  • The total has gone OVER in six of the Panthers’ last eight games. (Avg combined score: 52.5)
  • The Panthers are 7-3 SU and ATS in their last 10 games.
  • The total has gone UNDER in eight of the Cowboys’ last nine games. (Avg combined score: 36.33)
  • The Cowboys are 6-1 SU and 5-1-1 ATS in their last seven games on the road
  • Both teams banged up on OL

Vetted sportsbooks: MYBookie | Intertops |Betonline SportsBettingBovadaGTBets |BetDSI

Seahawks vs. Broncos

  • The Seahawks are 3-16 ATS in their last 19 September road games.
  • The Broncos are 40-12 SU in their last 52 games at home.
  • The Broncos are 8-1 SU and 7-1-1 ATS in their last nine games in September.
  • The Seahawks are 4-13 ATS in their last 17 games in the late afternoon.
  • The total has gone UNDER in five of the Seahawks’ last six games on the road. (Avg combined score: 36.5)
  • Seattle allowed the second-fewest points per game on the road last season (17.2)
  • Denver all-time top week 1 NFL teams at 38-19-1
  • High altitude not only helps them at home, but also get more prepared for regular season
  • Divisional games where wind in single-digits and a total of 44 or lower has gone over 615-499-21
  • Seattle QB Russell Wilson 14-5-1 underdogs covering by 6.8 points per game
  • Seattle’s defense in transition with Kam Chanellor and Richard Sherman

Free pick: SEATTLE OVER 42.5

Steelers vs. Browns

  • Steelers star RB Le’Veon Bell is doubtful as contract holdout
    • 1291 yards rushing last year
  • Browns NFL’s biggest upgrade at QB with Tyrod Taylor making start
  • Potential star WR Josh Gordon will be on a “pitch count” after missing a lot of camp time for personal and hamstring injuries
  • The Steelers are 10-0 SU in their last 10 games vs divisional opponents.
  • The Browns averaged a league-low 12.3 points per game at home last season.
  • The Browns are 3-14 ATS in their last 17 games at home.
  • The Browns are 0-17 SU in their last 17 games. (Avg losing margin: 10.53)
  • The total has gone UNDER in eight of the Steelers’ last 11 games against the Browns. (Avg combined score: 41.0)
  • The Steelers are 14-3 SU in their last 17 games on the road against the Browns.
  • The total has gone UNDER in 11 of the Browns’ last 13 games at home. (Avg combined score: 36.69)
  • The total has gone UNDER in seven of the Steelers’ last eight games on the road. (Avg combined score: 37.63)
  • Winds are expected to exceed 10 mph
    • When total is 50 or less and wins speed is 10 mph or higher, games have gone under 403-324-8

https://youtu.be/1m5UF9odh-8

49ers vs. Vikings

  • Vikings RB Dalvin Cook is “back to normal” but had two preseason carries since season-ending injury
    • Look for Latavius Murray and Mike Boone to get extra carries early in season
  • Jimmy Garoppolo’s teams are averaging 28.3 points per game with him as starter
    • Faces No. 1 scoring defense from last year
  • San Francisco without suspended star LB Reuben Foster because of injury
  • Minnesota very thinned by injuries on OL
  • The Vikings are 15-5 ATS in their last 20 games at home.
  • The Vikings allowed 13.8 points per game at home last season — second-best in the NFL.
  • The 49ers went 5-0 SU and 4-1 ATS with Jimmy Garoppolo as their starter last season, averaging 28.8 points per game.
  • The total has gone UNDER in five of the 49ers’ last six games against the Vikings. (Avg combined score: 33.17)
  • The 49ers are 0-5 SU in their last five games on the road against the Vikings. (Avg losing margin: 14.6)
  • The Vikings led the league in net yards per play at home last season.
  • The 49ers are 1-8 ATS in their last nine games on the road against the Vikings.
  • Jimmy Garoppolo went on a date with an adult film actress during the offseason.
  • The Vikings are 6-0 SU in their last six games at home. (Avg winning margin: 13.83)
  • The 49ers are 7-2 ATS in their last nine games on the road
  • Vikings HC Mike Zimmer top covering coach in the NFL at 43-21 including 23-9 at home
  • Minnesota’s Kirk Cousins is 0-3 with a 71.7 passer rating and two touchdowns to five interceptions in Week 1. Only Jets backup Josh McCown (0-8) has a worse rating in season-openers among active quarterbacks (minimum 100 attempts).

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Bengals vs. Colts

  • Colts QB Andrew Luck makes first regular season appearance since 2016
  • Colts RB Marlon Mack is questionable
    • 93 carries for 358 yards rushing last year, plus 225 yards receiving and a TD
  • Bengals star LB Vontaze Burfict is questionable
  • The Colts are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 games in Week 1.
  • The Colts ranked last in net yards per play at home last season.
  • Andy Dalton’s QB rating was 19 points higher in road games last season compared with home games.
  • The total has gone UNDER in the Colts’ last eight games. (Avg combined score: 34.88)
  • The Bengals are 0-8 SU in their last eight games on the road against the Colts. (Avg losing margin: 17.5)
  • The total has gone UNDER in the Bengals’ last five games on the road against the Colts.
  • The Colts are 6-1 SU and 5-2 ATS in their last seven games as home favorites.
  • The Bengals are 4-14 SU in their last 18 games as underdog.

Buccaneers vs. Saints

  • Tampa starting QB Jameis Winston suspended
    • Journeyman Ryan Fitzpatrick gets start
  • Saints QB Drew Brees with 48 career passing TDs to Tampa, most against any opponent
  • New Orleans big public bet
  • New Orleans averaged the most points per game at home last season with 30.2. The Bucs allowed the most points per game on the road last season with 29.2.
  • The Saints are 8-0 SU in their last eight games at home. (Avg winning margin: 10.25).
  • In two games vs the Bucs last season, Alvin Kamara had 280 total yards and 3 TDs.
  • The Saints are 6-0 SU and 5-1 ATS in their last six games vs their division at home.
  • The Saints ranked 1st in net yards per play last season. Tampa Bay ranked 26th in net yards per play on the road.
  • The total has gone OVER in four of the Saints’ last five games at home. (Avg combined score: 52.0)
  • The total has gone OVER in seven of the Buccaneers’ last nine games on the road. (Avg combined score: 51.67)
  • The Buccaneers are 0-7 SU in their last seven games as road underdogs.
  • The Buccaneers are 1-4 ATS in their last five games as a double-digit underdog.
  • Saints biggest favorites in week 1 but biggest faves in opening week 12-22 against the spread since 1993
  • All week 1 underdogs of eight or more since 1995 are 38-19
  • Bucs Ryan Fitzpatrick worst NFL underdog at 28-41

Chiefs vs. Chargers

  • Chargers ageing future Hall-of-Famer Antonio Gates is probably
    • Off career-low 316 yards, 30 catches
    • Hunter Henry, who had 45 catches for 579 yards last year out
  • KC QB Patrick Mahomes makes his second career start
    • First QB since 2008 a QB with 5 or less starts took over for an offense that was Top 5 previous season
  • The Chiefs are 8-0 SU in their last eight games against the Chargers. (Avg winning margin: 12.38)
  • In two games vs KC last season, Philip Rivers had 1 TD and 6 INTs with a 42.9 QB rating.
  • The Chiefs ranked 1st overall in net yards per play on the road last season.
  • The Chiefs are 16-1 SU in their last 17 games vs divisional opponents.
  • The Chiefs are 12-2 ATS in their last 14 divisional road games.
  • The Chargers are 4-16 SU in their last 20 divisional games.
  • The Chiefs are 19-7 ATS in their last 26 games vs divisional opponents.
  • The Chiefs are 7-2 ATS in their last nine games against the Chargers.
  • The total has gone UNDER in six of the Chiefs’ last eight games against the Chargers. (Avg combined score: 39.88)
  • The Chargers are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games.
  • The total has gone UNDER in the Chargers’ last six games. (Avg combined score: 35.0)
  • The Chiefs are 7-3 SU and 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games on the road in September
  • Chiefs HC Andy Reid is 30-19 with more than a week to prepare
  • Chargers QB Philip Rivers 0-8 to Chiefs DC Bob Sutton with 13 INTs to 6 TDs

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Texans vs. Patriots

  • DeShaun Watson returns at QB for Texans
    • With him: 35.7 points per game; without him: 13 points per game
  • At home last season including the playoffs, Tom Brady threw 23 TDs and just 2 INTs.
  • The Texans are 0-7 SU in their last seven games against the Patriots. (Avg losing margin: 16.14)
  • The Patriots are 19-8-3 ATS in their last 30 regular-season home games.
  • The Patriots ranked second in points per game last season with 28.9. The Texans allowed the most points per game last season with 27.2.
  • The total has gone OVER in eight of the Texans’ last 10 games against the Patriots. (Avg combined score: 52.0)
  • The Patriots are 20-0 SU in their last 20 games against AFC South teams.
  • The Patriots are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games.
  • The Texans are 0-7 SU in their last seven games on the road. (Avg losing margin: 13.86)
  • When the line moves against Tom Brady, the Pats are 58-36-5
  • Super Bowl losers are 6-13 SU and 4-15 against the spread in week 1, but Pats 2-0 and 1-1 respectively
  • Pats star WR Julian Edelman is suspended
    • 425 career receptions

Jaguars v. Giants

  • Odell Beckham Jr. is back. Manning averages almost 50 more passing yards per game with him in lineup
  • This is just the second time since 2007 that the Giants are a home dog in September (last was 2013 vs Denver).
  • The Giants ranked 29th in net yards per play last season. The Jags ranked 4th.
  • The Giants allowed the second-most points per game at home last season (26.1)
  • The Giants are 1-6 SU and 1-5-1 ATS in their last seven games in Week 1.
  • The Jaguars are 3-0 ATS in their last three games against the Giants.
  • The total has gone UNDER in nine of the Giants’ last 12 games at home. (Avg combined score: 37.75)
  • The total has gone UNDER in seven of the Jaguars’ last nine games in the early afternoon.
  • The Jaguars are 1-5 ATS in their last six games vs NFC opponents.
  • Jags starting DE Dante Fowler is suspended
  • First time Jacksonville is road favorites since 2008
  • Jags OL is rebuilt and many believe Giants secondary matches up well with Jags wideout

Bills vs. Ravens

  • Ravens biggest public bet
  • Biggest under consensus as well
  • The Ravens are 7-3 SU and ATS in their last 10 games in Week 1.
    • John Harbaugh takes preseason more seriously than most coaches
  • Ravens 15-5 against the spread off bye or week 1 compared to 62-70-8 playing meaningful games in back-to-back weeks
  • The Ravens are 9-2 SU in their last 11 games as home favorites.
  • The Bills are 1-6 SU and 2-5 ATS in their last seven games as underdog.
  • The total has gone UNDER in six of the Bills’ last seven games against the Ravens. (Avg combined score: 34.57)
  • The Bills are 0-4 SU in their last four games on the road against the Ravens. (Avg losing margin: 8.75)
  • Nathan Peterman threw five interceptions in a game last season and was heavily ridiculed by internet users.
  • The favored team is 11-3 SU in the last 14 games in this matchup.
  • The Bills are 3-8 SU in their last 11 games on the road
  • Winds 12-15 mph expected

Bears vs. Packers

  • The Bears went 0-3 SU in divisional road games last season, losing by an average of 14.6 points.
  • Packers Aaron Rodgers has a 27-17-1 ATS record in prime-time regular-season games
    • League best 35-18 to division AGAINST THE SPREAD
    • 41-18 at home
  • The Bears are 3-12 ATS in their last 15 games against the Packers.
  • The Bears are 1-8 SU in their last nine games against the Packers.
  • Mitchell Trubisky had a 68.9 QB rating on the road in 2017.
  • The total has gone OVER in seven of the Bears’ last nine games against the Packers. (Avg combined score: 50.0)
  • The Packers are 7-0 SU and 6-1 ATS in their last seven games as home favorites.
  • The Packers allowed 7.6 fewer points per game at home last season compared with on the road.
  • The Packers are 25-7-1 SU in their last 33 games against their division at home.
  • The Bears are 0-9 SU in their last nine games vs divisional opponents. (Avg losing margin: 10.11)
  • The Bears are 1-10 SU and 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games in September.
  • The total has gone UNDER in four of the Bears’ last five games on the road. (Avg combined score: 33.8)
  • Very underrated RB Aaron Jones is suspended for Pack
    • Averaged 5.5 yards per rush last season

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