Black Lives Matter

I was raised to judge people by content of character and never by the color of one’s skin. When my son and I attended a peaceful protest, I’m not saying I agreed with everything written on every sign. I’d love to spend a few hours on Charlamagne tha God and talk some things out. But when it comes to George Floyd, Ahmaud Arbery, and Christian Cooper, there are no gray areas about the grave injustices done.

Most importantly, after seeing and hearing comments from African Americans, it became apparent that many believe white guys are apathetic, or worse yet, may even approve of what happened to the above. I hope I was able to take a petite stride towards dispelling that myth by showing my support. Most importantly, a photo-op or a hashtag is dandy, but if that’s all you have, then you are part of the problem.

I have always deemed education is the greatest equalizer in an imperfect world. I completed my fourth year as a volunteer at my hometown’s STAR House, where I help at-risk children with their homework. More times than not, it’s been four times a week, I’ve given my time. Because of Covid, the ending of the year was of course abrupt, but I have every intention of returning for I hope decades to come. In their impact report, you can see where I was quoted if you scroll down a few pages. Also, just a page or so down, I am given a brief feature in their newsletter. I’ve contributed money as well. I do practice what I preach and always will as health permits.

I have looked inward to examine if I am guilty of sub-consciously judging somebody by the color of their skin. I can recall moments going back to my childhood where I’m culpable of not having spoken up louder to deplorable things I heard people say.

I concur with 82nd Attorney General of the United States that we are a “nation of cowards” when it comes to talking about race. I think we need to listen more and shout less but I’m not sure we are any closer to having that honest discussion.

But I will continue to listen, preach, and practice equality.

Joe Duffy

CEO OffshoreInsiders.com

 

 

Sports Betting on Jon Jones Next Fight, Conor McGregor Next Foe

Odds are courtesy SportsBetting

Will Jon Jones fight in UFC in 2020?
Yes +140
No -180

Jon Jones next fight
MMA -400
Boxing +250

Which will happen first for Jon Jones?
MMA or boxing match -200
Arrest +150

Additionally, there are odds available for Conor McGregor’s next opponent:

Kamaru Usman +250
Jorge Masvidal +300
Anderson Silva +400
Tony Ferguson +600
Khabib Nurmagomedov +600
Nate Diaz +700
Justin Gaethje +700
Floyd Mayweather +2000

 

Sportsbooks: MLB Likely to Be Played; Trump’s Chances of Winning White House on Rise

Will there be an MLB season? SportsBetting says yes. Bettors have odds of yes -300 and no at +200. The line opened at -500 and was wisely bet down.

Despite bipartisan criticism of President Trump’s handling of the nationwide protests and riots, he is still likely to take the White House according to Bovada.

Donald Trump and the Republican Party have seized the momentum with five months left to go before the 2020 US Presidential Election. Trump is the –120 favorite at press time to retain the presidency, and his Republicans are now –125 to be the winning party; they were tied with the Democrats in May.

Sports handicapper Joe Duffy, CEO of OffshoreInsiders.com believes the combination of Trump’s handling of the Covid and George Floyd crisis and the Dem’s surprising nomination of Biden, make the Democrats the favorites.

“Had Bernie Sanders or Elizabeth Warren gotten the nomination, Trump wins in a landslide,” but he adds, “Biden is the most centrist Democratic nominee since JFK. He should be -140.”

Bet on politics at Bovada and get a free 50% bonus. This election is still pretty much a toss-up according to those odds; however, the Margin of Victory futures suggest an even deeper lean towards the incumbent. Of all the potential margins on odds board, the Republicans winning by 101-149 electoral votes is the favorite at +600, followed by a 60-99 margin at +750. Tied for third at +800 are the Dems winning by the same two margins. The optics may not look good for Trump and the Republicans, but the current situation is at least somewhat reminiscent of 1968, when protests/riots swept across America.

While that year’s popular vote was very close, Hubert H. Humphrey and the fractured Democratic Party lost by 110 electoral votes to the GOP, with Richard Nixon running a “law and order” platform courting conservatives in the South. Get your politics odds at Bovada today.

 

 

Odds on Tiger Woods and Phil Mickelson Partners for The Match III

We wanted to let you know that an online sportsbook we represent is offering odds on which current and former NBA players might be partnered with Tiger Woods and Phil Mickelson in “The Match III.”

Odds are courtesy of SportsBetting

Who will partner with Tiger Woods?
Michael Jordan -150
Tony Romo +275
Peyton Manning +300
Jerry Rice +850
Charles Barkley +1200
Larry Fitzgerald +2500
Kid Rock +4000
Donald Trump +25000

Who will partner with Phil Mickelson?
Steph Curry -150
Tom Brady +300
Steve Young +400
Aaron Rodgers +500
Drew Brees +700
Aaron Judge +800
Reggie Bush +1200
Barack Obama +8000

The Match III odds
Team Tiger -150
Team Phil +110

The Match III average viewers
Over 5 million
Under 5 million

 

German Bundesliga Updated Odds

German Bundesliga odds. Bet at Bovada When American sports return, OffshoreInsiders.com remains the place to go.

  Wednesday SP/RL TOTAL ML
12:30 PM
20249 Hertha BSC +1½ (-103) 3½ (EV) 807
20249 RB Leipzig -1½ (-112) 3½ (-115) -301
20249 Hertha BSC/RB Leipzig Draw 479
2:30 PM
20247 FSV Mainz 05 +½ (-139) 2½ (-116) 227
20247 Union Berlin -½ (+124) 2½ (+101) 127
20247 FSV Mainz 05/Union Berlin Draw 250
2:30 PM
20247 Paderborn +½ (-109) 2½ (-130) 283
20247 FC Augsburg -½ (-106) 2½ (+115) -102
20247 Paderborn/FC Augsburg Draw 279
2:30 PM
20248 FC Koln PK (+102) 3 (-123) 177
20249 Hoffenheim PK (-117) 3 (+108) 151
20249 FC Koln/Hoffenheim Draw 265
2:30 PM
20249 Schalke 04 PK (-106) 2½ (+103) 174
20249 Fortuna Dusseldorf PK (-109) 2½ (-118) 170
20249 Schalke 04/Fortuna Dusseldorf Draw 237
  Friday, 29th May 2020 SP/RL TOTAL ML
2:30 PM
20253 Bayer Leverkusen
20253 SC Freiburg
20253 Bayer Leverkusen/SC Freiburg Draw
  Saturday, 30th May 2020 SP/RL TOTAL ML
9:30 AM
20250 Hoffenheim
20251 FSV Mainz 05
20251 Hoffenheim/FSV Mainz 05 Draw
9:30 AM
20251 FC Augsburg
20251 Hertha BSC
20251 FC Augsburg/Hertha BSC Draw
9:30 AM
20252 Werder Bremen
20252 Schalke 04
20252 Werder Bremen/Schalke 04 Draw
9:30 AM
20254 Eintracht Frankfurt
20254 Wolfsburg
20254 Eintracht Frankfurt/Wolfsburg Draw
12:30 PM
20253 Fortuna Dusseldorf
20253 Bayern Munich
20253 Fortuna Dusseldorf/Bayern Munich Draw
  Sunday, 31st May 2020 SP/RL TOTAL ML
9:30 AM
20252 Union Berlin
20252 Monchengladbach
20252 Union Berlin/Monchengladbach Draw
12:00 PM
20252 Borussia Dortmund
20253 Paderborn
20253 Borussia Dortmund/Paderborn Draw
  Monday, 1st June 2020 SP/RL TOTAL ML
2:30 PM
20251 RB Leipzig
20251 FC Koln
20251 RB Leipzig/FC Koln Draw

 

UFC Fight Night, UFC 250 Odds Updated

UFC Fight Night and UFC 250 odds are set. Bet at MyBookie  Joe Duffy will have outsourced picks at OffshoreInsiders.com  and hopes for baseball season returning in early July.

Saturday, 30th May 2020 ML
UFC Fight Night (Time to be announced)
11:00 PM  .
24201 Gilbert Burns 155
24202 Tyron Woodley -175
UFC Fight Night (Time to be announced)
11:00 PM  .
24205 Hannah Cifers 330
24206 Mackenzie Dern -410
UFC Fight Night (Time to be announced)
11:00 PM  .
24209 Augusto Sakai -120
24210 Blagoy Ivanov EV
UFC Fight Night (Time to be announced)
11:00 PM  .
24213 Klidson Abreu 110
24214 Jamahal Hill -130
Saturday, 6th June 2020 ML
UFC 250 (Time and Location TBA)
11:00 PM
24101 Felicia Spencer 450
24102 Amanda Nunes -600
UFC 250 (Time and Location TBA)
11:00 PM
24105 Raphael Assuncao 125
24106 Cody Garbrandt -145
UFC 250 (Time and Location TBA)
11:00 PM
24109 Devin Clark 185
24110 Alonzo Menifield -225
UFC 250 (Time and Location TBA)
11:00 PM
24113 Gerald Meerschaert 105
24114 Ian Heinisch -125
UFC 250 (Time and Location TBA)
11:00 PM
24117 Jussier Formiga 120
24118 Alex Perez -140
UFC 250 (Time and Location TBA)
11:00 PM
24121 Maki Pitolo 155
24122 Charles Byrd -175

 

Francis Ngannou vs. Jon Jones and Other UFC Odds Posted

According to the odds, Jon Jones will find himself in unfamiliar territory if he ever faces off with Francis Ngannou. 

SportsBetting made Ngannou a -150 favorite over Jones in a heavyweight bout. Bones is listed as a +130 underdog at SportsBetting  

Ngannou vs. Jones
Francis Ngannou -150
Jon Jones +130

Ngannou is also listed as a favorite, even a smaller favorite, in a hypothetical match against the retired Daniel Cormier. 

Ngannou vs. Cormier
Francis Ngannou -140
Daniel Cormier +120

Additionally, the sportsbook put up a few Conor McGregor related prop bets, including his next opponent and odds for a Floyd Mayweather rematch.

Conor McGregor next opponent
Nate Diaz +250
Khabib Nurmagomedov +300
Justin Gaethje +450
Tony Ferguson +500
Dustin Poirier +650
Jorge Masvidal +600

McGregor vs. Mayweather II (Must be boxing match. Fight must occur before Jan. 1, 2021)
Conor McGregor +800
Floyd Mayweather -2000

Gaethje vs. McGregor
Justin Gaethje +125
Conor McGregor -145

Gaethje vs. Nurmagomedov
Justin Gaethje +200
Khabib Nurmagomedov -235

Finally, these are the location odds for UFC 250.

UFC 250 location
Nevada -125
Florida +150
Arizona +800
Georgia +1200
Fight Island +2000

UFC Odds Saturday Night; Joe Duffy With Picks

UFC Saturday night odds. Bet at Bovada

Joe Duffy has three winners led by a large underdog. It’s only $11 at OffshoreInsiders.com

UFC on ESPN+
6:05 PM  
24087 Rodrigo Nascimento 1½ (-130) -110
24088 Don Tale Mayes 1½ (+110) -110
UFC on ESPN+
6:35 PM  
24079 Cortney Casey 2½ (-460) -152
24080 Mara Romero Borella 2½ (+365) 132
UFC on ESPN+
7:05 PM  
24083 Darren Elkins 2½ (-185) -127
24084 Nate Landwehr 2½ (+160) 107
UFC on ESPN+
8:05 PM  
24071 Anthony Hernandez 2½ (-200) -110
24072 Kevin Holland 2½ (+170) -110
UFC on ESPN+
8:35 PM  
24091 Matt Brown 1½ (-135) 132
24092 Miguel Baeza 1½ (+115) -152
UFC on ESPN+
9:10 PM  
24067 Song Yadong 2½ (-135) -185
24068 Marlon Vera 2½ (+115) 160
UFC on ESPN+
9:40 PM  
24063 Eryk Anders 2½ (-200) 127
24064 Krzysztof Jotko 2½ (+170) -147
UFC on ESPN+
10:10 PM  
24059 Edson Barboza 2½ (-175) -135
24060 Dan Ige 2½ (+155) 115
UFC on ESPN+
10:40 PM  
24055 Claudia Gadelha 2½ (-355) -220
24056 Angela Hill 2½ (+295) 180
UFC on ESPN+
11:10 PM  
24051 Alistair Overeem 1½ (-150) 125
24052 Walt Harris 1½ (+130) -145
UFC Fight Night (Time to be announced)
3:00 AM  
24201 Gilbert Burns 135
24202 Tyron Woodley -155
UFC Fight Night (Time to be announced)
3:00 AM  
24205 Hannah Cifers 260
24206 Mackenzie Dern -320
UFC Fight Night (Time to be announced)
3:00 AM  
24209 Augusto Sakai 105
24210 Blagoy Ivanov -125
UFC Fight Night (Time to be announced)
3:00 AM  
24213 Klidson Abreu 155
24214 Jamahal Hill -175

 

Delta Points Scored/Allowed a Major Part of Handicapping’s Holy Grail

Breaking news: delta point margins are a handicapper’s lesser-known weapon, particularly when it comes to forecasting totals. And now the self-evident question, what are delta points? It’s the implied number of points a team will score and allow based on the point spread. Using rounded numbers for streamlining, let’s state a team is favorite by 10 points and the posted total is 30. This means the implied projected points scored by the favorite is 20 and implied points allowed would be 10.

If they scored 27 points, they’d have a plus-7 delta points scored. When applied as season-to-date averages, we can measure overachieving and underachieving offenses and defenses and yet again, use the oddsmakers wisdom against them.

Not shockingly—here we go again—teams regress to the mean. Heavily overachieving offenses are usually good wagers for an under, underachieving offenses a good antes for the over.

Of course, this is especially true when corroborated by both units on both teams or at least when equally compelling numbers aren’t conflicting.

Let’s talk college football for instance. Teams that have a delta points scored of seven or better go under 1083-913-48, a nice 54.3 percent. When their opponent also has a DPS of +6, it goes under nearly 60 percent at 192-131-9.

Sure enough, disappointing offenses incline to be good over plays. A team with a delta points scored of -14 or less goes over 161-135-5-5 for 54.4.

Underachieving defenses? Teams that allow an average of at least 9.5 points per game more than the oddsmakers expected go under 544-460-15. Great defenses…of course go over. Defenses allowing at least 12 fewer points per game than expected go over 243-205-8 for 54.2 percent.

This is another hypothesis that crosses sports. It should as it’s based on a primordial, but ingenious truth. Oddsmakers are not wrong often. That’s bad news for the square player. But delta points scored/allowed essentially disarms them. What the oddsmakers tell us can and will be used against them.

Want delta points and every other sharp edge to be on your side every sports season? Joe Duffy’s premium bets have been winning publicly since June 1, 1988 on the scorephones. Get them now at OffshoreInsiders.com, which is also home to vetted sportsbooks.

 

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