Spurs vs. Grizzlies Pick

OffshoreInsiders.com Senior Sports Handicapper Matt Rivers has a winner Monday and it’s on the San Antonio Spurs (-1.5) at Memphis.

San Antonio skunked me right here in that last game as they lost by three when getting two and now trail the series 2-1 to Memphis. Is Greg Popovich’s team really going to fall behind 3-1 in the series? It’s possible as the Spurs are beatable but I just don’t see it happening in the end.

Manu Ginobili, Tim Duncan and Tony Parker are still extremely professional and still extremely capable. They are getting longer in the tooth and are a threesome that I have faded a bunch down the stretch but, in this spot in a must win game, how can I not believe they will pull it out?

Don’t get me wrong, Memphis is a very good team that will fight for everything. Zach Randolph is playing like an absolute superstar and other guys like Mike Conley, Jr. and Marc Gasol are no joke. The Grizzlies are playing at a high level, even without Rudy Gay, and it’s far from a fluke. But they are still a young squad that at some point will start to realize what they are up against. You rarely see a team make the playoffs as an eighth seed in the NBA and shock the one seed and there’s a reason for that. Talent is certainly one of the factors.  Say what you want the Spurs are still the superior basketball players and Pop’s boys have been there and done that which equals priceless experience.

This game should be tight throughout and hinge on a key play late. I can’t help but believe that the Spurs will be the team that makes that play down the stretch tonight. Oh and Zach, feel free to shoot another three in the final minute, I’m fine with that.

Top expert pick on this game: San Antonio

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Heat vs. Sixers Free Picks

OffshoreInsiders.com Senior Sports Handicapper Matt Rivers has an NBA winner Sunday is on the Miami Heat (-6) at Philadelphia.

Reasoning: It’s tough to lay half a dozen points on the road pretty much ever and that’s why I can’t make this a pay play in good conscience but the 76ers are done, absolutely done with a fork in them.

Miami has this thing wrapped up as Philadelphia just doesn’t have the horses. Doug Collins pretty much admitted that after the game two debacle and Lebron, Wade and Bosh are rested and confident and coming for the kill shot as they smell blood.

I don’t mind the 76ers and I have said that for a while. Iguodala, Holliday, Young, Brand, Williams and the boys from the City of Brotherly Love had a really nice season and are a building team that has a shot to do some good things in the future. But all hope has pretty much been snuffed out after playing very well in that last game and still falling in a non-cover

The Heat are not the perfect team and do have a few flaws at the point guard position and in the middle. Those deficiencies may come back to haunt them in the end but it’s not going to make a difference today as this thing is going to be an outclassing and probably a double digit Heat series clinching victory.

Top expert pick on this game: Miami from Matt Rivers

For more information: The 400,000* Thunder along with the 200,000* on the Phillies took care of business yet again. That’s now literally 35 winning days vs. 14 losing ones and the net profit is almost a gaudy 10 million*, that’s right 10 million. To put that in perspective my highest rated release is only a 500,000* and I rarely release more than two or three plays per day. What does that mean? It means that I pretty much win everything!

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Spurs-Grizzlies Free Pick

OffshoreInsiders.com Senior Sports Handicapper Matt Rivers has an NBA winner on the San Antonio Spurs (+2) at Memphis.

Reasoning: I love how hard this Memphis team is playing and do respect Zach Randolph and the Grizzlies overall. In fact I even had them in game two and cashed the ticket in a 200,000* play. But today I can’t help but grab whatever I can with what is still the far more experienced and superior overall squad in the Spurs.

I have been anti San Antonio for a lot of the season because I just felt they were not as great as their record indicated. The Spurs jumped out of the gate and pretty much never looked back but I still had no problem fading Greg Popovich’s team when the numbers were right. Here though as a dog in the playoffs is a bit to good to do anything but back Manu Ginobili, Tim Duncan, Tony Parker and the rest of the high powered Spurs.

The Grizzlies are a fun young team that are doing a ton without what seemed to be their leader in the injured Rudy Gay. These guys have overcome adversity and had a nice little season and then a great opening game outright in this series. But let’s face it the Spurs are still the elite squad on the court today and that game one did not have Ginobili playing, which clearly meant a ton.

I’m sure the Memphis fans will be out in full effect and the building will be loud but when push comes to shove it’s still not having to lay anything with the most professional team in sports in the Spurs and I’m just fine with that scenario.

Top expert pick on this game: San Antonio from Matt Rivers

For more information: A loser on the Hornets, certainly not the greatest call at all as they were outclassed. I am man enough to admit a loss, it happens to the best. Still an amazing 34 of 48 winning days and over 9 million* of profit.

A pair of winners today as I continue the sick winning ways with a 400,000* between Oklahoma City and Denver along with a 200,000* on the diamond involving the Phillies and Padres. 2-0? Heck yes! Click now to purchase at OffshoreInsiders.com

MLB Free Picks: Red Sox vs. Angels

OffshoreInsiders.com Senior Sports Handicapper Matt Rivers has a Major League Baseball winner for Friday is on the the Red Sox (+103) to Los Angeles Anaheim.

Jon Lester is an absolute superstar and the Red Sox are clearly better than the Angels. I have loved this southpaw for a while as he has the potential to win a Cy Young. Lester has beaten Cancer and won in high-pressurized spots including the final game of the World Series championship. This kid is a stud, plain and simple.

No doubt that Dan Haren has been on-fire this season and the Angels have been playing high quality ball of late, I get all of that. But to get Terry Francona’s 90 plus win team is too good to fully pass up today. The season has not exactly gone to plan thus far for the BoSox but don’t be fooled this team is still borderline great and with Lester on the mound they are great.

Haren is extremely due to get hit around and with all of the quality lefty bats the Sox have this could be that day. Boston’s lineup is awesome with Pedroia, Youkilis, Crawford, Gonzalez and on and on. These guys will click and they very well may do just that tonight.

The Angels have been hitting the ball and have had a nice start to the season but they are still not on the same level as their opponent tonight.

I’m really not all that worried about the Sox and the sluggish start. It’s just one of those poor runs that every team will go through. They just started the season like that which magnifies the situation that much more.

Lester plus the far superior team at about a pick constitutes a great value, period!

Top expert pick on this game: Boston Red Sox

For more information: The 400,000* on the Phillies yesterday won in shutout fashion and the 300,000* on the Pacers won for some and at the very worst pushed for others. That equals yet another victorious day of me destroying that Crookie.  The streak is now 34 winning days in 47 overall days and a beyond insane 9.8 million* of profit. By the way that’s with me calling Indiana yesterday a push for fairness sake as I do not inflate numbers, what you see is what you get, period.

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Heat vs. Sixers Free Picks

OffshoreInsiders.com Senior Sports Handicapper Matt Rivers has a free pick Thursday is on the Miami Heat (-4.5) to Philadelphia.

As I say often, laying points on the road is not the key to the mint but game two was very telling and even if the 76ers play hard and compete I’m hard pressed to believe they will stay within a handful by the end.

I played Philly plus the points in the first two games and looking back can say that I was fairly lucky to get one of them. Lebron, Wade and Bosh have really stepped up their game and appear to finally be having some fun out there. The regular season was a feeling out process and even though it at times appeared to be a disaster it still resulted in a phenomenal 58 victories.

Doug Collins made the statement after game two that the Heat are just the better team when they come to play. I like Collins and his candidness but I don’t think in any way shape or form that will help the Sixers, even back in the city of brotherly love. It’s almost a slap in the face to his franchise, even though he was being truthful and everybody knows it.

I do like this Philadelphia team and love how they improved greatly after the rough first month to the season. Iguodala, Williams, Holliday, Brand and the 76ers are all right and will fight in this thing but all right shouldn’t be enough after 48 minutes as the Heat flex their muscles once again in a win and a cover.

Top expert pick on this game: Miami

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Rays vs. White Sox Sports Picks

OffshoreInsiders.com Senior Sports Handicapper Matt Rivers has a baseball pick Tuesday and for the second straight day is on the Tampa Bay Rays (-102) to the White Sox.

Reasoning: I like John Danks and the White Sox are the definite superior lineup with the bigger bashers but Ozzie Guillen’s team has gone south in a hurry and until they are able to come back up for air I’ll fade them at this price.

Chicago was embarrassed at home by the Angels in that last series and did absolutely nothing last night against David Price. The confidence level is pretty low right now and Guillen is about to blow a gasket with the way his bullpen has been performing and the team as a whole.

Tampa Bay certainly isn’t the team they used to be with Crawford, Pena and the injured Longoria in the mix but give them credit as the last week has been much much better. Joe Maddon’s team has been winning games of late and Johnny Damon has been showing some signs of life coming through in the clutch. I don’t think the home squad is going to be much of anything in the end as they can’t compete anymore with the Yankees and Red Sox but right now at the Trop there is no reason why they can’t beat the struggling and ice cold ChiSox.

James Shields has some good stuff and it’s not like this plodding White Sox club can do much on the Tropicana Field turf with their style of play. There are pieces with Konerko, Dunn, Pierzynski and others but it hasn’t amounted to much ove the last little bit and I don’t see much changing today.

Danks should hold his own as the southpaw is pretty darn solid but I don’t see him getting that much support and the surging Rays should come out on top for the seventh time in the last eight games.

Top expert pick on this game: Tampa Bay from Matt Rivers

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MLB Free Picks: Tampa Bay Rays Over Chicago White Sox

OffshoreInsiders.com Senior Sports Handicapper Matt Rivers Monday is on the Tampa Bay Rays (-113) to the White Sox.

Reasoning: It was a rough last series for Ozzie Guillen’s White Sox against the Angels and in revenge today I’ll make a play on David Price and the somewhat improving Tampa Bay Rays.

I have been bashing Joe Maddon’s regressing squad for a while now and I am still not all that high on today’s home squad but all of a sudden Chicago has hit the skids and their bullpen is horrific.

Edwin Jackson just recently won fairly easily at US Cellular against David Price and it’s the second phenomenal Jackson outing against his former team when you include that wild no-hitter last season. So the guy does pitch very well against the Rays, I get it. But Jackson is still not the blue chip Cy Young type hurler that David Price can be and after losing that last matchup I can’t help but take my chances back at the Trop on Price and the at least improving Rays.

Johnny Damon has shown some signs of life and despite having a less that stellar offense with the departures of Carl Crawford and Carlos Pena and the injury to Evan Longoria I have a feeling that Tampa will get a very good pitching performance from Price and scratch across enough to get it done in the end.

The Sox are far from a confident bunch right now and Guillen exploding isn’t all that far off. Plus the “good guys” are not exactly a dome type team that can play some small ball on the fast turf and run the bases.

I expect both starters to look very good and the Rays to continue the recent Sox misery.

Top expert pick on this game: Tampa Bay from Matt Rivers

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Spurs vs. Grizzlies NBA Playoff Lock

OffshoreInsiders.com Senior Sports Handicapper Matt Rivers  has an NBA lock Sunday and it is on the San Antonio Spurs (-7) to Memphis.

Reasoning: It’s funny because I really do like Zach Randolph and the Grizzlies and have faded the Spurs a ton this season citing their age as a negative. I still believe both are true but I also don’t see it happening for the inexperienced visitors in this spot.

Rudy Gay is still injured and today should be a bit of a different beast for this Memphis team. It’s playoff time and I can see some jitters for the Grizzlies as they go up against a very seasoned team, with or without Manu Ginobili. Of course I hope Ginobili is able to go but I don’t think he will and I’m all right with that. Tim Duncan and Tony Parker have been there and done that and have enough in the tank right now to play at a world-class level. Throw in the likes of McDyess, Neal, Splitter, Jefferson, Blair and a few others and I just think this spot is going to be too much for the Grizz. In fact I can see the visitors be timid early and have that deer in headlights look as they fall behind in the vicinity of 32-15.

Don’t get me wrong, the series overall is not going to be a runaway four game sweep. San Antonio could have an issue or two with Conley, Randolph, Gasol and the rest of the talented 46 win Grizzlies. But game one in this particular spot is not the one that is conducive to a young Memphis team succeeding and overall this thing ends in a double-digit San Antonio victory.

Top expert pick on this game: San Antonio Spurs

For more information: Yup, that’s right, the only game I didn’t win was rained out. The 400,000* Braves minus 1 ½ runs in the first game plus 120 and the 300,000* on the 76ers once again buried that Crookie. It is truly just that easy. As I have been saying over and over and over again nothing at all changes today, nothing. Think about how large this sample has become, 30 winning days vs. 12 losing ones and a profit margin that is almost impossible to fathom!

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Hawks vs. Magic 2011 NBA Playoffs Preview

OffshoreInsiders.com Senior Sports Handicapper Matt Rivers has an NBA playoffs pick Saturday is on the Atlanta Hawks (+8.5) at Orlando.

Reasoning: I am not saying that Atlanta is really ready to fully compete as the last few months were not good for Larry Drew’s team but I’m also not fully buying this current Orlando team. The trades were not as successful as Otis Smith had hoped and Stan Van Gundy’s team has a lot of deficiencies and frankly too many to just lace them up and win going away. Certainly being in the Magic Kingdom is monstrous for Dwight Howard and the home squad and it should result in a victory but this thing is not going to get out of hand like the easy four game sweep a season ago.

The Hawks actually took three of the four meetings this season and even though Howard will dominate the paint Al Horford is a good enough matchup to disrupt Howard, do enough to hold his own and limit a ton of damage. Plus the Atlanta defense is the fourth best in the entire NBA in terms of defending the three point shot and we all know how the Magic will try and go small and bomb away with guys like Richardson, Arenas, Turkoglu and others.

Atlanta has scuffled at times and has regressed a bit. They have had mind scratching horrific 30 plus point blowout losses showing a lack of focus at times, which really isn’t very conducive to success when the chips are down. But I am not all in on this Magic team and still like the talent that the Hawks possess. Orlando has become one of the smaller teams in the league as it’s Howard and Brandon Bass down low and that’s about it, truly.

Joe Johnson, Josh Smith, Horford and Jamal Crawford have game. Kirk Hinrich has not exactly been the answer at the point but the guy is at least experienced and good enough. In the end I do believe we are going to see a competitive game that comes enough down the wire for the visitors to grab that cash.

Top expert pick on this game: Atlanta Hawks from Matt Rivers

For more information: Another million or so stars of profit are there for the taking tonight as I continue to prove that I am the best there is in the business. The big game last night was rained out which stinks but so be it. A trio of fire hot locks today including two on the diamond and one on the hardwoods. 400,000* Mets-Braves in whichever game involves DJ Carrasco plus a 300,000* 76ers-Heat and a 200,000* Marlins-Phillies. Feeling tremendous and you will be as well pretty soon! Matt Rivers picks

MLB Vegas Lines and Sports Predictions From Handicappers

OffshoreInsiders.com Senior Sports Handicapper Matt Rivers has a free pick in MLB on the Minnesota Twins (+122) to Tampa.

Reasoning: Tampa Bay is a bad baseball team right now and to not have to lay money with a far better Minnesota team is fine with me. And yes I know all about the recent wins including the Johnny Damon walk-off last night.

Yes the Rays won yesterday and the two games at Fenway Park but what the heck are the Red Sox right now? Daisuke is a total disgrace and taking those two games doesn’t impress me all that much. They have been better, I guess, but the talent level is still very low and very much lacking.

After losing Carl Crawford and Carlos Pena in the offseason and now without Evan Longoria the Tampa offense is fairly awful. Every team will have that one game where everything clicks so I do not believe that Joe Maddon’s Punch and Judy hitters have just all of a sudden found something. They are a bad bad offense right now and just cannot compare with Justin Morneau, Delmon Young, Michael Cuddyer and the Twins. Joe Mauer is on the DL which does hurt but it’s also not the end all as we saw with this team after losing Morneau. Plus I love teams off bad losses as they usually rebound and last night was the epitome of such.

I can’t say that I love the on again off again Nick Blackburn. The guy has had some quality moments but he has also had some lean times as well. In terms of upside and overall stuff Wade Davis may be on a higher level. The Tampa hurler had a very successful second half of the season last year and is good. But all in all he is not a guy that should be able to dominate the lefty bats of the Twinkies and to get Minnesota here, in some revenge, at this price is a must play in some way, shape or form.

I still do not think this Tampa Bay team is very good and I’m therefore just fine with fading them in a spot like this against the far better team.

Top expert pick on this game: Matt Rivers has Minnesota

For more information: It really is just that easy. 29 of 40 winning days now and a beyond amazing 8.4 million* of profit after another 2-0 Thursday sweep with a 300,000* on the Cardinals in blowout fashion along with the 200,000* Brewers in shutout fashion, 4-0. The biggest play I own, a 500,000*, and one of the most powerful plays in the entire industry is on display tonight. This thing is going to probably be wrapped up by the fourth inning and win in the end by 6-8 runs. My 1st 500,000* Run-Line Game of the Year! I am more times than not an underdog guy but there are those rare situations where a chalk sticks out like a sore thumb and becomes a must play laying that extra run. Today is just that.

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