Fantastic to be back in the saddle with Jeff Nadu doing football previews. The Big Man on Campus and I delve into Oregon vs. Utah in the Pac-12 Championship game. Utah is -6.5 with a total of 47.5 at 5 Dimes. It opened -6. Sixty-six percent of tickets and 75 percent of the money wagered so far is on the Utes, with 59 percent of wagers and 81 percent of cash on the under.
Joe Duffy is 27-11 NFL, 54-28 all football. It is rare when we have both a side and total on TNF but this week we have Cowboys vs. Bears side, total. Pac-12 total for Friday is up. Two Sunday NFL and a lot more coming at OffshoreInsiders.com
High volume based on advanced metrics from last game including rebounds, field goal percentage is 1778-1439-80.
WNBA, CFL NHL, horse racing, World Cup, EPL, added rotation games in college football and basketball, all prop bets, etc. are considered by too many a niche and many do not bet, all such records are kept separately.
Top expert pick on today’s card is from Joe Duffy. I am dominating every sport! 26-11 NFL, 53-28 in all football, 54-25 overall fresh off NBA sweep! MNF total continues domination. Four NBA led by two Wise Guys. Wise Guy plays from Joe Duffy are in near unanimity considered the strongest bet in sports wagering by bookmakers, pro gamblers, oddsmakers, and fellow handicappers alike. Get the picks now
Conference Championship odds are posted for 2019-2020 college football. LSU is a stunning -7 over Georgia in what is, as usual, the most intriguing and the only one with two national championship contenders. Bet odds now at MyBookie
NFL lookahead lines are posted for week 14 in the NFL at Betonline, home of the opening line. Sharps love using these as power lines in addition to exploiting them early. The thought in the power lines is that oddsmakers overreact to most recent outing and such power ratings exploit overlays. OffshoreInsiders.com is the place to go for winning bets.
Ohio State enters conference championship week as the favorites to win the 2020 college football national championship. The Bucks are +150. Not surprisingly, Alabama has dropped out of contention with no path to the playoffs after losing to Auburn (another LateInfo winner). All odds based on $100 per bet. Hence +1000 would be the same as 10-1. Odds are from Betonline, home of the opening line.
50003
Ohio State
150
50001
Clemson
250
50014
LSU
250
50004
Georgia
900
50020
Utah
1600
50006
Oklahoma
3300
50034
Baylor
10000
Many ask for the best book for added rotation games. With small college playoffs and college basketball here, the two best books for supplemental lines are 5 Dimes and Bet Now. Both are vetted and have obscure lines to exploit up early.
Free pick in both college football and NBA from Joe Duffy who is 44-20 in football. Saturday a stunning five Wise Guys including Auburn-Alabama and Saturday Late Night Game of the Year plus five Majors. Two NBA led by Wise Guy.Get the picks now
CFB
GEORGIA -28.5 GA Tech
Super rushing teams as big favorites are 364-260-15. That includes 60.9 percent winner this season.
NBA
HOUSTON -13.5 Atlanta
Fade unrested teams off OT game under specific circumstances that apply today is 235-165-7.
MYBookie has a promo in which if you bet on the MNF game, you get next week’s free. Also check out the forthcoming 12 days of giveaways. Sign up at MYBookie
Joe Duffy’s historic winning continued last night. Not to worry, MYBookie and Bovada lead the list of books that are paying clients in full, on-time, every time. Here is the sharp report. Yes, the usual road favorite heavy consensus with Boise State being among the most overwhelming of the year. Games include Friday and Saturday contests.
Biggest public consensus in term of percentage of bets: Boise State, Navy, Notre Dame, Baylor
Most lopsided bets in term of percentage of money and biggest sportsbook liabilities: Charlotte (high percentage, but low-volume), UAB, UL Monroe, BYU
Sharp versus square metrics AKA pros versus Joes: UL Monroe, Wake Forest
High Precipitation
Game
Precip chance
Florida Intl at Marshall
80%
Louisville at Kentucky
70%
New Mexico State at Liberty
59%
Middle Tenn St at Western Kentucky
72%
Wisconsin at Minnesota
66%
UTSA at Louisiana Tech
70%
Maryland at Michigan State
54%
Notre Dame at Stanford
57%
Fresno State at San Jose State
69%
Strong Winds
Game
Wind Speed
Wyoming at Air Force
25 mph
Rice at UTEP
17 mph
Wisconsin at Minnesota
17 mph
Miami Florida at Duke
21 mph
Baylor at Kansas
22 mph
Tulane at SMU
15 mph
Utah State at New Mexico
16 mph
UAB at North Texas
19 mph
Iowa State at Kansas State
26 mph
Oklahoma at Oklahoma State
15 mph
Fresno State at San Jose State
16 mph
Army at Hawaii
20 mph
Top expert pick is from Joe Duffy, on one of the best winning streaks in history. I am 42-16 in football. Friday Afternoon Total of the Year among seven Friday college football, two Wise Guys. Six NBA winners added. Sorry not sorry if you are not making a bleeping fortune this football season. I’m winning with or without you. Draw the line in the sand or keep your head in it? What’s your choice? Get the picks nowDone for the day with picks
Saturday a stunning five Wise Guys including Auburn-Alabama and Saturday Late Night Game of the Year plus five Majors.
Free pick from Joe Duffy’s Picks:
WEST VIRGINIA +13.5 tcu
Road underdogs off a game they dominated in total yards, yet lost are 162-123-8. Big road underdog in a game with a low total, thus big pup when points should be a premium are 415-306-24. When both apply in the same game, it wins 65.7 percent of the time.
The Buckeyes jumped LSU in the latest rankings, and the guys who set lines for a living apparently agree with the movement.
On Wednesday morning, SportsBetting posted spreads for eight potential CFP matchups.
Perhaps the most interesting angle in these odds is that Clemson, the third-ranked CFP team, is favored against both Ohio State and LSU. Also, an Alabama and LSU rematch is listed as a pick ’em.
These spreads reflect neutral field matchups in a College Football Playoff game. Current odds at bottom of page:
LSU vs. Ohio State (-3.5)
LSU vs. Clemson (-4.5)
LSU vs. Alabama (PK)
Ohio State vs. Clemson (-1)
Alabama vs. Ohio State (-3.5)
Georgia vs. Ohio State (-7.5)
Georgia vs. LSU (-3)
Georgia vs. Alabama (-3.5)
In the marquee college games this week, Alabama is holding steady as a 3.5-point favorite at Auburn. The spread moved to -4 initially after opening, but has been bet back down to -3.5.
Ohio State is currently a 9-point favorite at Michigan, despite failing to cover the spread against Penn State last Saturday. This week’s spread surfaced at -8.5 and quickly moved to -9. OffshoreInsiders.com is the place to go to beat SportsBetting lines
Understatement of the century is to say Joe Duffy is on fire. He has free picks plus the most critical weather report of the year for college football betting and NFL picks.
Free picks:
Ole Miss at Miss State
Road underdogs off a massive offensive game are 162-101-8 (Miss)
Short road underdogs favors Ole Miss, but exception when facing home teams with momentum
Going with home teams off dominant win is 598-425-28 (Miss State)
In game 6 or later if team is winless on the road versus team at least .500 at home, but not getting more than normal HFA of 3, road team is 307-232-9 (Miss)
Worse record overall 459-397-26
Pick: Ole Miss +3
Texas Tech at Texas
Home favorites of at least nine that lost at least 4-of-6 decent 346-282-11 (Texas)
Texas is allowing 8.2 yards per pass overall and at home, though Tech allowing 8.9 yards per pass teams normally getting 7.9
Good game for Texas’s Sam Ehlinger to come out of mini-slump
Despite three games below .500 SU Tech outscoring teams by more than 2 points per game as four of last five losses by three or less
The pick: Texas -9
Joe Duffy has a massive college football portfolio is up! Thanksgiving, we have Thursday Game of the Year Buffalo-Dallas, plus Bears-Lions side and Egg Bowl total. Friday, Friday Afternoon Total of the Year among seven Friday college football, two Wise Guys. Saturday a stunning five Wise Guys including Auburn-Alabama and Saturday Late Night Game of the Year plus five Majors.Get the picks now
Washington at Washington State
Road underdogs off a massive offensive game are 162-101-8 (Washington)
Washington won seven straight in series, all by double-digits
Huskies dominate at line of scrimmage
WSU must slow down RB Salvon Ahmed (Ock Med)
WSU quarterback Anthony Gordon throws for a ton of yards, but has 14 interceptions
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