Week 12 NFL Sharp Betting Report, 2 Free NBA Picks

It’s the famed sharp versus square report with data from top sportbooks such as Bovada, Caesars Palace, Hilton, MYBookie and other books offshore and in Vegas. We also have two NBA free picks!

Biggest public consensus in term of percentage of bets: Baltimore, Detroit, Seattle, New York Giants 

Most lopsided bets in term of percentage of money and biggest sportsbook liabilities: Detroit, Baltimore, Seattle

Sharp versus square metrics AKA pros versus Joes: Jacksonville 

NFL injuries for fantasy football and gambling picks:

  • 49ers will likely have the services of TE George Kittle, and WR Emmanuel Sanders and Deebo Samuel
  • Patriots QB Tom Brady will start, but WR Mohamed Sanu will be limited as he practiced very little this week
  • Seahawks DE Jadeveon Clowney is probable
  • Eagles WR Alshon Jeffery probable but Nelson Agholor doubtful, RB Jordan Howard is doubtful
    • Howard 525 rushing yards, 6 TDs rushing, 1 receiving 
    • Jeffrey 34 catches 353 yards
  • Redskins RB Adrian Peterson is probable 

NFL weather. 

High Precipitation

GamePrecip %
Dallas Cowboys at New England Patriots66%

Strong Winds

GameWind Speed
Miami Dolphins at Cleveland Browns15 mph
Oakland Raiders at New York Jets15 mph
Seattle Seahawks at Philadelphia Eagles15 mph
Denver Broncos at Buffalo Bills16 mph
Detroit Lions at Washington Redskins16 mph

Top expert pick on today’s card is from Joe Duffy! 13-3 overall from simply the best sports handicapper to ever walk this earth Joe Duffy! I am 15-7 NFL. Sunday NFL Game of the Year and Fox Sports Interconference Game of the Year on Dallas-New England is among four NFL Wise Guys and eight Majors! I mean there is a 72.9 percent angle going back to the 1980s in the Pokes-Pats. Two NBA winners added Get the picks now


Mavericks at Rockets

Houston -5 with o/u 232

  • Houston followed an eight-game win streak with consecutive losses
  • Favorites or pick said situation 36-31
  • Dallas won four straight but hitting road
  • Fade dogs of 5 or more with four or more game winning streaks is 342-244-18
    • 67.9 percent when team we are riding has two or more game losing streak

Pick: HOUSTON -5

Pelicans at Clippers

LA -12 with o/u 234

  • New Orleans won three straight but fading streaking road dogs of 7 or more is 321-237-9

Margin of cover is a long-time tool of original cappers used to measure the reliability of the often deceptive ATS and OU records. It is much like margin of victory, except it measures margin relative to the point spread or OU. With over-under, “overs” are listed first. Some Johnny-Come-Lately handicappers call this the sweat barometer. 

Top NFL teams in terms of MOC:

TeamATS RecordMargin of cover 
San Francisco5-4-19.2
New England7-3-07.0

Best teams to bet against in terms of MOC

TeamATS RecordMargin of cover
NY Giants3-7-0-4.8

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