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Sports Betting Notes Super Bowl LIV Chiefs vs. 49ers

Top betting and sportsbook site OffshoreInsiders.com has betting news and notes for Super Bowl LIV. 

Niners vs. Chiefs

82 percent of bets, 84 percent of money on OVER

52 percent of bets, 52 percent of money on Kansas City 

Teams that won at least 9-of-10 SU yet not laying at least a FG are a go-against 48-23 including 2-1 in Super Bowl (San Francisco) 

Super Bowl teams with lower winning percentage but not big dog are 11-1 (KC)

Fade better rushing team late in season and playoffs is 86-52-2 (favors KC) 

In the playoffs, fade drastically improved teams from previous year is 30-15

San Francisco gets 7.9 yards per pass teams normally allowing 6.8

KC passes for 7.9 yards per pass teams normally allowing 6.9

Niners hold teams to .8 yards per play below normal average, KC .2 below

Tevin Coleman RB questionable 

137 rushing attempts for 544 yards, 6 TDs, 180 yards receiving 

ATS trends:

KC 8-0 ats explosion

OU trends:

San Francisco over 9-3

Teaser:

KC 38-1 on ten-point teaser when averaging 27 or more previous three games

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NBA Injuries, College Basketball Betting Inside Info and Free Pick

College basketball betting notes, plus NBA injuries from OffshoreInsiders.com

Wisconsin at Purdue 

Totals of 116 or less go over 360-291-10 rate 

However total has climbed as high at 116.5 at MYBookie after opening at 111 at Betonline

After averaging 7.3 points in his first nine games of the season, sophomore forward Trevion Williams is averaging 14.8 over his past 10 games for Boilermakers 

Purdue struggling on defensive boards

Purdue’s struggles mean they may up the pace 

Marquette at Butler 

Marquette 14th in offensive efficiency, but Butler 16th on defense 

Marquette very good from perimeter, but Butler outstanding defending 3

Warriors 187th in second-chance points, while Butler 12th in allowing points off offensive rebounds 

But Marquette third on defensive rebounding second chance points, while Marquette middle of road crashing offensive boards

Not much scoring unless both teams light it up

Butler 335th in pace of 353 teams 

Northern Kentucky at Wright St 

Wright State 229th in field goal percentage while NKU solid #113 on defense 

NKU 31st in converting turnovers into points 

Wright State vulnerable defensively inside, but NKU does not have offense to exploit that 

Northern Kentucky slow-down game, ranked 295th in pace

The pick: UNDER 

Jimmy Butler, MIA vs LAC, questionable 
Jayson Tatum, BOS @ ORL, questionable

Andre Drummond, DET vs MEM, probable 
Trae Young, ATL @ OKC, questionable 
Jaylen Brown, BOS @ ORL, questionable 

Kendrick Nunn, MIA vs LAC, questionable 
Michael Porter Jr., DEN @ NO, questionable

Patrick Beverley, LAC @ MIA, questionable 
Bruce Brown, DET vs MEM, questionable 
Gary Harris, DEN @ NO, questionable 
Wesley Matthews, MIL @ CHR, probable
Lauri Markkanen, CHI vs SAC, probable 
Steven Adams, OKC vs ATL, questionable 

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Critical NBA Injuries For Betting and Fantasy Sports, Free Sports Pick ATS

Academy Awards, Vegas live dealer, Super Bowl odds and props, the Royal Rumble and so much more up now at  5 Dimes

Washington-Cleveland

Cleveland third worst margin of cover at -2 and 19-24

Washington over by 4.5 points per game, tied for third highest in league and over 26-17

Lakers-Brooklyn 

Nets have dropped four straight games and 11 of their past 13. 

Off Philly, Milwaukee, Sixers then at Detroit and New York on back to back 

Lakers in middle of five game road trip 

Dallas-Portland 

Mavericks second best ats team based on margin of cover at +3.5 at 22-19 ats 

Portland second worst at -2.5 and 16-27 ats tied for worst

When a road team has a net ats margin of 6 or better on game 42 or later, superior road team is 24-16 for 60 percent including 9-1 if team we are betting on is off loss

Dallas over 26-17 by league leading 5.4 points per game 

Tennessee Martin-Eastern Illinois

Tennessee Martin 5-10 ats -4.3

Eastern Illinois, though 6-10 is +3.3 margin of cover 

Regression to mean 967-794-29

UT Martin ranked 113th in offensive efficiency, while EIU is 203rd in defensive efficiency 

Eastern Illinois very inconsistent this season 

Pick: Tennessee Martin +8.5

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NBA injuries

Kyrie Irving, BKN vs LAL, probable 

CJ McCollum, POR vs DAL, questionable        

Hassan Whiteside, POR vs DAL, probable      

DeAndre Jordan, BKN vs LAL, questionable 

Critical NBA Injuries For Fantasy Sports and Gambling

OffshoreInsiders.com NBA injuries. The Grandmaster has a big Wednesday portfolio with eight NBA winners led by Interconference Game of the Month. Two Wise Guys in all. Joe Duffy’s exclusive proprietary information continues to lap the industry. Get the picks now

NBA injuries for Wednesday, January 22, 2020

Zion Williamson NO vs SAN Probable 

Anthony Davis LAL at NY Probable 

Kawhi Leonard LAC at ATL Out

Jimmy Butler   MIA vs WAS Probable 

Paul George    LAC at ATL Out

Andre Drummond DET vs SAC Questionable 

Derrick Favors NO vs SAN Probable   

Gary Harris DEN at HOU Questionable 

Duncan Robinson MIA vs WAS Questionable 

Kemba Walker BOS vs MEM Will play

Reggie Jackson DET vs SAC Will play

Marvin Bagley SAC at DET Out

Trae Young ATL vs LAC Questionable 

Jaylen Brown  BOS vs MEM Out

Marcus Morris NY vs LAL Questionable 

Lauri Markkanen CHI vs MIN Probable 

Steven Adams OKC at ORL Questionable 

Glenn Robinson III GS vs UTA Probable

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Free pick:

MINNESOTA -1 Chicago

Road favorites off loss under specific circumstances that apply today are 777-617-23. A subsystem takes it to 56.4 percent over nearly 1,300 games. Road favorites despite inferior record is 212-176-4. 

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Zion Williamson Betting Props, Spurs-Pelicans Side, Total

Joe Duffy has the total, Stevie Vincent the side for San Antonio vs. New Orleans at OffshoreInsiders.com    

The long-awaited regular season debut for Zion Williamson is finally here. 

The Pelicans will take on San Antonio at home Wednesday night on ESPN, and SportsBetting has created some cool prop bets based around Zion’s performance. 

The oddsmakers expect the first field goal of his career to be a dunk, and they’ve set the over/under for his dunk total at 1.5. 

Zion’s projected point and rebound totals are low as Alvin Gentry said that his rookie will come off the bench and play limited minutes. You can find the full list of Zion prop bets below and here at SportsBetting  

Will Zion Williamson’s first FG be a dunk?

Yes -150

No +110

Total dunks by Zion Williamson

Over 1.5 

Under 1.5 

Total points by Zion Williamson

Over 9.5

Under 9.5

Total rebounds by Zion Williamson

Over 5.5

Under 5.5

Total minutes played by Zion Williamson

Over 15.5

Under 15.5

The latest NBA Finals odds have the Bucks with the lowest odds (3/1) to win the championship. Milwaukee has been a co-favorite with the Lakers previously this season, but never the sole favorite. 

Free Winning College Basketball Pick

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CBB

DUKE -18 Miami Florida

Squares love to talk “revenge” as in betting on the team revenging a loss is a good think. We sharps can test theories. Fact is fading teams in same season revenge under specific circumstances that apply today is 196-145-5. Bounceback angle for quality teams off a loss is 153-120-3. Incredibly, it’s only the second time both applied in the same game but is 1-0 as on February 10 of 2015 Kansas crushed Texas Tech 73-51 laying -10.5.

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First Wave of Super Bowl 54 Props Released Niners-Chiefs

The first of the Super Bowl props have been released by 5 Dimes, vetted sportsbook and home of the high roller. 

San Francisco 49ers vs Kansas City Chiefs – Super Bowl LIV – Propositions – Hard Rock Stadium – Miami Gardens, FL

Sun 2/2                      115 SF scores first                   +100                             

6:30PM                      116 KC scores first                  -120                              

Sun 2/2                      117 SF scores last                   -105                              

6:30PM                      118 KC scores last                   -115                              

Sun 2/2                      135 Game goes to overtime               +975                             

6:30PM                      136 No overtime                     -1475                           

Sun 2/2                      139 First score a TD                -175                              

6:30PM                      140 First score not a TD                      +155                             

Sun 2/2                      351 SF wins coin toss              -101                              

6:30PM                      352 KC wins coin toss             -101                              

Sun 2/2                      353 Coin toss lands tails                     -101                              

6:30PM                      354 Coin toss lands heads                  -101                              

Sun 2/2                      357 Player to call coin toss is correct             -101                              

6:30PM                      358 Player to call coin toss is wrong              -101                              

San Francisco 49ers win first half & San Francisco 49ers win in regulation

Sun 2/2                      2001 SF HT & SF FT                 +238                             

6:30PM                      2002 Any other result             -278                              

San Francisco 49ers win first half & Kansas City Chiefs win in regulation

Sun 2/2                      2003 SF HT & KC FT                 +590                             

6:30PM                      2004 Any other result             -880                              

San Francisco 49ers win first half & game goes to overtime

Sun 2/2                      2005 SF HT & goes OT            +2500                           

6:30PM                      2006 Any other result             -4000                           

Game tied at half & San Francisco 49ers win in regulation

Sun 2/2                      2007 Tied at Half & SF FT        +1850                           

6:30PM                      2008 Any other result             -2850                           

Game tied at half & game goes to overtime

Sun 2/2                      2009 Tied at Half & goes OT   +4500                           

6:30PM                      2010 Any other result             -8000                           

Game tied at half & Kansas City Chiefs win in regulation

Sun 2/2                      2011 Tied at Half & KC FT       +1850                           

6:30PM                      2012 Any other result             -2850                           

Kansas City Chiefs win first half & game goes to overtime

Sun 2/2                      2013 KC HT & goes OT            +2500                           

6:30PM                      2014 Any other result             -4000                           

Kansas City Chiefs win first half & San Francisco 49ers win in regulation

Sun 2/2                      2015 KC HT & SF FT                 +705                             

6:30PM                      2016 Any other result             -1105                           

Kansas City Chiefs win first half & Kansas City Chiefs win in regulation

Sun 2/2                      2017 KC HT & KC FT                +169                             

6:30PM                      2018 Any other result             -212                              

Sun 2/2                      2019 SF wins 1st half & wins game                +205                              

6:30PM                      2020 Any other result                                    -245                               

Sun 2/2                      2021 SF wins 1st half & loses game               +584                             

6:30PM                      2022 Any other result                                    -867                               

Sun 2/2                      2023 1st half a tie & SF wins game                 +1525                           

6:30PM                      2024 Any other result                                    -2350                             

Sun 2/2                      2025 1st half a tie & KC wins game                +1547                           

6:30PM                      2026 Any other result                                     -2393                           

Sun 2/2                      2027 KC wins 1st half & wins game                +158                             

6:30PM                      2028 Any other result                                    -190                               

Sun 2/2                      2029 KC wins 1st half & loses game               +650                             

6:30PM                      2030 Any other result                                     -1000

Best Super Bowl bets from the top handicappers at OffshoreInsiders.com  

Free Premium NBA Pick For Martin Luther King Holiday 2020

MLK Day 2020 happens to produce the strongest portfolio of the season. With a full-slate, that’s not really a big shock. With so many winners, today’s free pick is a premium pick from Joe Duffy of OffshoreInsiders.com    

ORLANDO -4.5 Charlotte

Road favorites in losing streak under specific circumstances that apply today are 251-153-11. Another about road favorites off a loss is 707-547-22.

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Super Bowl XLIX Odds: Chiefs Slight Favorites, Very High Total

Kansas City is a scant favorite over San Francisco in Super Bowl LIV, and some think this spread could flip. 

“Despite the AFC being the perceived superior conference this season, you can’t ignore how balanced this 49ers team really is,” said SportsBetting lines manager Robert Cooper. “It’s not out of the question that over the next two weeks we could see this line reverse where San Francisco is favored.”

The online sportsbook set the Super Bowl initial line at Chiefs -1.5 with an over/under of 52.5. 

Before the 49ers-Packers game, the early line for a 49ers vs. Chiefs Super Bowl matchup was Kansas City -3. However, when the Niners opened up a 34-7 lead Sunday night the line had dropped to Chiefs -1. 

Previously, there have only been three occasions where the Super Bowl spread was 1.5 points or fewer. The last time was Super Bowl XLIX where the Seahawks and Patriots game went off as a pick ’em. Prior to that, the 49ers were a 1-point favorite in Super Bowl XVI (1981 season) against Cincinnati and the Dolphins were a 1-point favorite versus Washington in Super Bowl VII (1972 season). 

As far as the over/under, the 52.5 marks one of the 10 highest totals in Super Bowl history. 

Some prop bets for the big game have already been released, and hundreds more will be sent out Tuesday. 

Some early betting patterns have evolved.

OffshoreInsiders.com off another sweep in the conference championships, is the place to go for winning picks and vetted sportsbooks.