There is a clear-cut top side and equally obvious top total for Friday. After months of research, we spent a lot of money getting the best computer simulations, power ratings, and models. Get the picks now 

MLB

KANSAS CITY (MINOR +141) St. Louis (Wainwright) 

Many of our angles say when the oddsmakers say it is their most winnable game in a while to go with what the oddsmakers are telling you. Yes, Royals have pulled off consecutive upsets, but six straight games they’ve been underdogs of 180 or more and eight straight of 155 or more. An angle that says to go with underdogs in a game in which the oddsmakers give them the most respect in recent play is 271-202 for 98.21 and an ROI of 20.6. Teams off consecutive wins of 180 or more are 45-42 +31.92 units and 36.3 ROI as long as they are not home dogs. Accuscore has KC +7.1 percent value. 

Steelers (-2, 33)-Cowboys 

64 percent of bets and 84 percent of money on Steelers. 

Steelers QB rotation: Mason Rudolph, Josh Dobbs, Dwayne Haskins. Haskins is looking very good in training camp and expected to battle for the No. 2 spot behind Ben Roethlisberger

Steelers OL is completely rebuilt after Maurkice Pouncey retired and Matt Feiler left

Pittsburgh made coaching changes on offensive side of ball and drafted Najee Harris in first round to improve running game

Cowboys QB rotation: Garrett Gilbert, Cooper Rush, and Ben DiNucci 

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Big night for tonight. Wise Guy plays from Joe Duffy are the single strongest bet in gambling. Three Wise Guys go tonight. An angle with a stunning 18.2 ROI overall and one that is 106-43 this season applies. Get the broom ready. Get the picks now 

Free

LA ANGELS (OHTANI -1.5 -105) Texas (Allard) at Bovada

It is one of the strongest angles in gambling history in using odds relative to recent numbers weaponizing the oddsmakers knowledge against them is up four digits based on total net units won at one-unit per bet minus juice. Taking advantage of oddsmaker same series adjustments is up +752.22. When both apply, it is +791.52 units and ROI is stronger on the road. Oddsmakers tell you a team has their best chance to win a game in recent play is +378.38. 

Texas better home record than Angels road mark but anytime a team is a large away favorites under specific situations that apply in this game, they are a very good play, especially on runline. Ohtani last three starts 1.35 ERA, .700 WHIP. Allard last three 13.14 ERA, 2.038 WHIP. Texas lost seven straight with him, all by two or more, all Allard decisions. 

Foxsheets has estimated line at -238. 

MLB trends from the databases of Joe Duffy, CEO of OffshoreInsiders.com   

P Corbin 0-12 underdogs of 150 or less

L McCullers 20-33 -27.5 career in the 2^nd half of season

B Snell 5-12 -17.4 to AL team with batting average of .255 or worse

M Fried 24-6 +16.8 units as favorites of 150 or less
Arizona 5-35 -30.1 units to NL starting pitchers with WHIP of 1.250

Rockies 22-8 +18.2 home to NL teams with OBP of .315

LA Dodgers 6-14 -16.4 units vs. starting pitcher who gives up .5 or fewer HRs per game

Seattle 33-23 +25.5 versus opponent with a winning record

Royals 5-21 -16.9 off three straight losses

Twins over 28-8 if they lost 3-of-4

Detroit under 20-5 if their previous 4 games were at home

Diamondbacks over 19-6 if their previous 4 games were at home

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Free winning pick from Joe Duffy:

ARIZONA (WIDENER +180) San Francisco (DeSclanfani)

Regression to the mean, go with much less profitable team is +100.42. One of our power lines says Arizona should only be getting 153, hence they are nice value here. TeamRankings gives Arizona a decent 1.5 percent value on the line. EV Analytics gives us 45.31 chance of winning which is a 7.57 percent value on the line, a very strong bet. 

Top betting angles for August 2, 2021 from OffshoreInsiders.com    

Seattle 51-36 underdogs +32.38 units

Tampa 109-63 +29.72

San Francisco 95-68 +28.61

Arizona 45-97 -44.96

Mets 25-62 as favorites -39.27 units

Philadelphia 25-58 as favorites -32.55

Yankees 47-75 as favorites -32.27

Angels 30-54 as favorites -26.73

Nats under 62-38-3

Arizona 2-36 -34.2 units to pitchers averaging 5 or more Ks per start 

NY Yankees 4-14 -17.2 units away favorites in revenge 

Mariners 20-9 +19.4 units to AL starter with WHIP 1.2 or better

As starter:

Chris Flexen 11-2 +11.4 units with total 8.5-10

Andrew Heaney over 14-3

Anthony DeSclanfani under 8-0 road with total 8.5-10; under 22-7 last 3 years with said total overall

Juicy Lucies are either moneyline or runlines in which we get +140 or more. The Grandmaster has MLB Juicy Lucy of the Month among two winners tonight. Still like those coin flips on three and four-letter network websites from aspiring writers who know nada about handicapping? Welcome back to winners from a 34-year professional. It’s all I’ve done my adult life. Your degenerate handicapper wins. Get the picks now 

Free pick from Joe Duffy’s Picks:

SAN FRANCISCO (GAUSMAN -124) Houston (Valdez)

The Giants were underdogs in three straight games but are now favorites. Oddsmakers tell you a team has their best chance to win a game in recent play is 2049-1150 for +378.48 units and 7.4 ROI. It also does very well on the runline. Framber Valdez has been lit for 11 ER, plus an unearned last 22 1/3 IP. 

Kevin Gausman is 8-1 +8.5 units versus opponent with a winning record. His ERA for the season is 2.21 with .910 WHIP, including .841 at home. Current Giants are hitting just.143 to him

Giants 22-8 for 15.3 units if they hit .225 or less over last five games and 24-7 against teams averaging 1.25 or more HRs per game +18.5 units. 

Backing said starting pitchers:

Carlos Carrasco in night games is 3-11 -13.3 units last 3 years

Kevin Gausman is  8-1 +8.5 units versus opponent with a winning record 

Matt Harvey 15-28 -21 units after allowing 2 or fewer ER in 2 straight games

Patrick Sandoval 4-14 last 3 years -12.6 units versus strands 6.9 or more runners per game

Chris Bassitt 20-5 +13.3 as favorites last 2 years 

Jameson Tallion 18-6 road off a loss since ‘97

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Barstool founder Dave Portnoy and major champion golfer Brooks Koepka will compete in a charity golf match on September 7, and according to Vegas, El Presidente will walk away as the loser.

Oddsmakers at online sportsbook SportsBetting made Portnoy a 6/1 underdog versus Koepka, who will play the match left-handed instead of his dominant right side in order to somewhat even the playing field. 

Koepka is a 1/12 (or -1200) favorite for the golf match, meaning a bettor would have to risk $1200 just to win a hundred on Koepka. A $100 wager on Portnoy would return $600 if he pulls off the upset.

Charity Golf Match Odds

Brooks Koepka   1/12   (-1200)

Dave Portnoy   6/1   (+600)

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The Dodgers have been World Series favorites the entire season, and their odds got even better following yesterday’s trade for Max Scherzer and Trae Turner. 

SportsBetting adjusted its MLB title numbers ahead of the final 24 before the trade deadline, and the Dodgers have nearly half the odds of the next team (Houston).

The Yankees saw their odds go from 22/1 to 20/1 after adding sluggers Joey Gallo and Anthony Rizzo, but they are currently still out of the postseason picture. 

Washington’s odds dropped from 150/1 after being 80/1 and the Cubs went from 80/1 to 125/1.

2021 World Series Odds

Los Angeles Dodgers   11/4    (same as +275)

Houston Astros           5/1

Chicago White Sox      15/2

Boston Red Sox           8/1

San Diego Padres        9/1

New York Mets           10/1

Milwaukee Brewers    12/1

San Francisco Giants   12/1

Tampa Bay Rays          14/1

New York Yankees      20/1

Oakland Athletics        25/1

Toronto Blue Jays       28/1

Atlanta Braves             55/1

Cincinnati Reds           66/1

Philadelphia Phillies    66/1

Seattle Mariners         66/1

Los Angeles Angels     100/1

St. Louis Cardinals       100/1

Chicago Cubs              125/1

Cleveland Indians        125/1

Washington Nationals 150/1

Miami Marlins             300/1

Detroit Tigers              750/1

Minnesota Twins        750/1

Kansas City Royals      1000/1

Colorado Rockies        3000/1

Pittsburgh Pirates       4000/1

Arizona Diamondbacks5000/1

Baltimore Orioles        5000/1

Texas Rangers             5000/1

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Following this year’s Finals, the Nets were quickly installed as 3/1 favorites for next season’s NBA championship. 

However, the draft day trade between the Lakers and Wizards that sent Russell Westbrook to L.A. has shaken up the odds board. 

SportsBetting now lists the Lakers as favorites with 3/1 odds. Brooklyn has the second-best odds, and then there’s a big gap between those two and the rest of the field. 

Prior to the Westbrook trade, the Lakers had 5/1 odds while Milwaukee had 7/1 odds.

Bradley Beal’s Wizards went from 80/1 to 125/1 following the trade.

Odds are subject to change and you can see current ones on this page: 

2021-22 NBA Championship

Los Angeles Lakers      3/1      

Brooklyn Nets             13/4    (same as +325)

Golden State Warriors            9/1      

Milwaukee Bucks                    9/1      

Phoenix Suns              14/1    

Los Angeles Clippers   16/1    

Philadelphia 76ers      16/1    

Utah Jazz                     16/1    

Denver Nuggets                      18/1    

Dallas Mavericks                     22/1    

Miami Heat                 25/1    

Boston Celtics             33/1    

Atlanta Hawks             35/1    

New York Knicks                     40/1    

Portland Trail Blazers  40/1    

New Orleans Pelicans 50/1    

Toronto Raptors                     66/1    

Indiana Pacers            80/1    

Memphis Grizzlies      80/1    

Charlotte Hornets       100/1  

Chicago Bulls               100/1  

Washington Wizards  125/1  

Minnesota Timberwolves       150/1  

Cleveland Cavaliers     200/1  

Orlando Magic            200/1  

Sacramento Kings                   200/1  

San Antonio Spurs      200/1  

Detroit Pistons                        250/1

Houston Rockets                     500/1  

Oklahoma City Thunder          500/1

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