The Blue Bloods of the college basketball world collide this Saturday in what is shaping up to be one of the most historic Final Four rounds.
Currently at SportsBetting, Kansas is a 4-point favorite against Villanova, and 68.6% of the handle so far is on the Jayhawks.
On the other side of the bracket, Duke is a 4-point favorite against rival North Carolina, but just 53.1% of the action is on the Blue Devils.
Early, look-ahead lines from SportsBetting.ag for the National Championship show these potential spreads:
Villanova vs. North Carolina (+1.5)
Duke vs. Villanova (+3.5)
Kansas vs. North Carolina (+5)
Kansas vs. Duke (+1)
Additionally, there are plenty of ways to wager on the Final Four outside of the game outcomes. Prop bets range from Coach K crying on the court to a Mario Chalmers championship highlight.
Finally, the latest odds for Most Outstanding Player can be found at the bottom.
Elite 8 betting Saturday sees Houston vs. Villanova, Arkansas vs. Duke. Get a free NBA winner plus market reports on college basketball and the NBA.
Free pick from NBA
HOUSTON -3.5 Portland
Many of my best angles, especially when the theory crosses sports, are based on using the oddsmakers knowledge against them. Houston is 8-30 SU road. Portland is 17-20 SU at home, yet the Rockets are laying 3.5. Anti-splits angle in which we go with road favorite if they have a much worse away winning percentage than the home team home winning percentage is 423-294.
Market report:
🏀Biggest public consensus in term of percentage of bets: None in NCAA tournament for Saturday. Brooklyn Nets only big one in NBA, though Spurs a strong public dog. Many contrarian bettors believe in fading public underdogs, even at a lower ticket percentage than one would fade a favorite.
🏀Most lopsided bets in term of percentage of money and biggest sportsbook liabilities: Portland Pilots, Houston Cougars in college. The Associating sees Houston Rockets, Oklahoma City, Brooklyn, Toronto, and Orlando.
🏀Biggest splits: Southern Utah in college basketball has 58 percent of bets, but a mere 10 percent of money on them. Portland Trail Blazers have 51 percent of bets, but only one-percent of the money.
🏀Biggest line moves with opening odds followed by current odds: Brooklyn opened -1, now -3.5 at Bovada. Raptors have gone from -9 to -11.
Top expert pick is from Joe Duffy. Our Million Dollar March on Vegas and Offshore is now 25-14 with all postseason tournament bets including Miami Florida as NCAA Tournament Game of the Year. My 34th March Madness as a pro handicapper may not yet be in my top 15, but I am still destroying the bookies. Both NCAA Tournament sides, plus side and total on The Basketball Classic. I am just that much better than anyone else. Newbies, now you know I am called The Lord of the Big Dance. Five NBA led by three Wise Guys.Oh off winning night in NBA too! And MLB around the block. Get the picks now
Most contrarian bettors love to fade the bets in the first category “percentage of bets.” The belief is that the public is almost always wrong (which is why bookmakers make a lot of money) by chasing square theories. Hence betting against them is a winning proposition. Joe Duffy, CEO of OffshoreInsiders.com is widely accepted as the top sports handicapper in the world. He prefers percent of tickets, which weighs $5 bettors the same as $500 and $5,000 a game wagerers saying, “If anything, the small bettor is the ultimate fade.”
While not completely disagreeing, Cy McCormick of the Masterlockline asserts that he prefers betting against the money. “Bookmakers always win long-term, so I want to be rooting for the same side they are,” while pointing out it is the money, not number of bets that will move the line.
Others like corroboration. If the same team is loved by both the handle and volume of bets, that’s “Truly a public play,” according to noted gambler Big Red. Finally, the splits are considered a sharp versus square metric. If majority of bets are on side A, but most of the money is on side B, some gamblers consider this equating to side B betting a sharp versus square bet.
Sweet 16 market watch, plus NBA betting intel using the same criterion. Keep in mind, the adage “public dogs die” is true, though not as much in the postseason where JoeyBagOfDonuts is willing to bet on underdogs.
🏀Biggest public consensus in term of percentage of bets: Miami Florida, Providence (dog); Pistons
🏀Most lopsided bets in term of percentage of money and biggest sportsbook liabilities: Providence (dog); Pistons, Heat
🏀Biggest splits in terms of percent of tickets versus the percent of cash: St. Peter’s 53 percent of bets, but only 22 percent of cash; Houston Rockets 57 but a mere 23 percent of cash.
🏀Biggest line moves with opening odds followed by current odds: Miami Hurricanes opened at -1, now -3 is the only one of note in NCAA Tournament today. In the NBA, the public is also loving Miami, as the Heat went from -5.5 to -7.5.
Top expert pick: Houston Cougars, my only Wise Guy, wins easily. I go 2-1 in Dance and am now 23-13 with postseason college basketball! Holy hell. The NCAA Tournament Game of the Yeargoes Friday among three NCAA Tournament winners. The winningest capper in world history with the GOY? You have an easy decision, Bubba.
The Grandmaster has added five NBA winnersas well. Get the picks now
Most contrarian bettors love to fade the bets in the first category “percentage of bets.” The belief is that the public is almost always wrong (which is why bookmakers make a lot of money) by chasing square theories. Hence betting against them is a winning proposition. Joe Duffy, CEO of OffshoreInsiders.com is widely accepted as the top sports handicapper in the world. He prefers percent of tickets, which weighs $5 bettors the same as $500 and $5,000 a game wagerers saying, “If anything, the small bettor is the ultimate fade.”
While not completely disagreeing, Cy McCormick of the Masterlockline asserts that he prefers betting against the money. “Bookmakers always win long-term, so I want to be rooting for the same side they are,” while pointing out it is the money, not number of bets that will move the line.
Others like corroboration. If the same team is loved by both the handle and volume of bets, that’s “Truly a public play,” according to noted gambler Big Red. Finally, the splits are considered a sharp versus square metric. If majority of bets are on side A, but most of the money is on side B, some gamblers consider this equating to side B betting a sharp versus square bet.
The NCAA Tournament commands the largest betting handle of any sporting event in America, and along with the standard game odds there is no shortage of props available to wager on.
SportsBetting has rolled out 77 unique props with more than 300 betting options for March Madness. The list below is broken down into nine sections:
Mascots
Regions
Player Stats
Seedings
Conferences/Head-to-Head Matchups
Sweet 16
Game Totals
Eliminations
Overtime/Buzzer Beaters
NCAA Tournament prop bets are subject to change and current odds can be found at SportsBetting
The tournament hasn’t even started yet, but the number crunchers are predicting which teams will advance to the Sweet 16, and ultimately, emerge from their regions and reach the Final Four.
SportsBetting only has one surprise in the regional odds below. No. 2-seeded Kentucky is favored to take the East Region instead of Baylor. The top seeds are favored in the other three regions.
Additionally, there are “Yes/No” odds for 16 teams (all of the teams seeded 1-4) to advance to the Sweet 16.
Arkansas, Illinois, Providence and Wisconsin are the only teams of the 16 not favored to advance to the Sweet 16. Providence is just a 2-point favorite in its opening round game against South Dakota State.
Odds are subject to change and current odds can be found on these pages:
The Lord of the Big Dance, 34-year handicapping veteran (scorephone legend), Joe Duffy has every pick in the tournament for a mere $149 at OffshoreInsiders.com
The bracket is set, and bets have already begun pouring in on the March Madness matchups.
SportsBetting was one of the first books to release spreads and totals for each game, which you can find below. Get every Joe Duffy pick of the NCAA Tournament when they come out. Beat the line moves for $149. Get the picks now
First Four – Tuesday
No. 16 Texas A&M Corpus-Christi vs. No. 16 Texas Southern
Tom Brady is apparently un-retiring, which changes the entire landscape of the upcoming NFL season.
SportsBetting adjusted its Super Bowl, conference, division and MVP odds after today’s news. Here’s how the Bucs odds were impacted:
Super Bowl: 28-1 to 8-1 NFC: 14-1 to 7-2 Division: +150 to -215
NFC South Tampa Bay Buccaneers -215 New Orleans Saints +450 Atlanta Falcons +500 Carolina Panthers +700
Super Bowl Top 10
Buffalo Bills 7-1 Green Bay Packers 15-2 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 8-1 Kansas City Chiefs 9-1 Los Angeles Rams 12-1 San Francisco 49ers 14-1 Denver Broncos 14-1 Dallas Cowboys 16-1 Baltimore Ravens 20-1 Los Angeles Chargers 22-1 Tennessee Titans 22-1
MVP Top 10
Josh Allen 7-1 Patrick Mahomes 8-1 Aaron Rodgers 9-1 Tom Brady 10-1 Matthew Stafford 11-1 Joe Burrow 12-1 Dak Prescott 12-1 Justin Herbert 12-1 Kyler Murray 13-1 Russell Wilson 15-1
After this past season’s NFL championship game, a 7-10 Broncos team was given quite conservative odds for Super Bowl LVII.
Just over a month ago, SportsBetting gave Denver 20-1 odds to hoist the Lombardi Trophy next season. The odds, which were better than the Bucs, Titans, Chargers, Cardinals, Colts, Patriots, Ravens and Packers, were that low in large part due to the distinct possibility that Aaron Rodgers could be traded to the Broncos.
During the next few weeks, when the Rodgers rumors continued but were never concrete, Denver’s odds escalated to 25-1. And then today’s trade, which sent Russell Wilson to the Broncos for players and a ton of draft capital, significantly impacted the Super Bowl odds.
After the Wilson deal, the Broncos went from 25-1 to 14-1 at sportsbooks.
“This was a 7-10 team last year with essentially a stump at quarterback,” MaximBet head trader Lenny Estrin said. “Now, you’re putting one of the best signal callers in the game on that roster with an incredibly talented defense…the AFC West may now be as good as the NFC West. I don’t think anyone is expecting the Broncos to be Super Bowl champs next year, but with Wilson they are now legit contenders.”
Speaking of division odds, the Broncos went from having the third-worst odds at 5-1 to win the West to now the second-best odds behind Kansas City.
The Broncos are also third on the AFC odds board, vaulting up from the eighth spot.
AFC West
Kansas City Chiefs +110
Denver Broncos +250
Los Angeles Chargers +350
Las Vegas Raiders +1000
Broncos finishing position in AFC West
2nd +100
3rd +125
1st +250
4th +400
Additionally, Russell Wilson’s MVP odds improved, going from 25-1 in Seattle to 15-1 in Denver.
With the regular season wrapping up for men’s college basketball today, it’s time to look at the ongoing and upcoming conference tournament schedule.
SportsBetting has listed odds for 19 conference tourneys, which you can find below.
ACC
Duke -150
North Carolina +750
Notre Dame +900
Wake Forest +900
Virginia Tech +1000
Miami +1200
Virginia +1600
Florida State +4000
Syracuse +4000
Clemson +6600
Louisville +6600
Georgia Tech +10000
NC State +10000
Boston College +20000
Pittsburgh +20000
Big 12
Baylor +200
Kansas +235
Texas Tech +300
Texas +650
TCU +1600
Iowa State +2000
Oklahoma +2000
Kansas State +5000
West Virginia +5000
Big East
Villanova +140
Providence +400
UConn +400
Seton Hall +800
Marquette +900
Xavier +1100
Creighton +1600
St John’s +1800
DePaul +5000
Butler +10000
Georgetown +15000
Big Ten
Purdue +210
Illinois +350
Iowa +400
Wisconsin +550
Ohio State +900
Michigan +1400
Michigan State +1400
Indiana +2500
Rutgers +3500
Maryland +6600
Nebraska +10000
Northwestern +10000
Penn State +10000
Minnesota +12500
Pac-12
Arizona -135
UCLA +185
USC +750
Oregon +1400
Washington State +2200
Colorado +2500
Arizona State +2800
Stanford +15000
Utah +15000
California +20000
Washington +20000
Oregon State +25000
SEC
Kentucky +190
Auburn +275
Tennessee +375
Arkansas +550
LSU +1100
Alabama +1400
Florida +2200
Mississippi State +3300
Texas A&M +3500
Vanderbilt +10000
South Carolina +12500
Ole Miss +25000
Georgia +30000
Missouri +30000
Atlantic 10
Davidson +275
Dayton +325
VCU +400
St. Bonaventure +600
Saint Louis +650
Richmond +800
George Mason +1600
Rhode Island +6600
UMass +6600
Fordham +10000
Saint Joseph’s +20000
George Washington +25000
La Salle +30000
Duquesne +50000
Mountain West
San Diego State +260
Boise State +275
Colorado State +375
Wyoming +650
UNLV +700
Utah State +1100
Fresno State +1200
Nevada +5000
New Mexico +10000
Air Force +30000
San Jose State +30000
WCC
Gonzaga -550
Saint Mary’s +450
San Francisco +1100
Santa Clara +2000
Conference USA
UAB +160
North Texas +175
Middle Tennessee +800
Louisiana Tech +900
Western Kentucky +900
Florida Atlantic +1800
Charlotte +4000
Old Dominion +4000
UTEP +4000
Rice +10000
Florida International +20000
Marshall +20000
Southern Miss +50000
UTSA +50000
Big West
UC Irvine +240
UC Santa Barbara +325
Hawaii +500
Long Beach State +550
CSU Fullerton +700
UC Riverside +700
UC Davis +1400
CSU Bakersfield +5000
Cal Poly +20000
CSU Northridge +25000
Big Sky
Montana State +190
Southern Utah +300
Weber State +375
Northern Colorado +600
Easter Washington +1000
Montana +1000
Portland State +2200
Idaho +10000
Sacramento State +10000
Idaho State +20000
Northern Arizona +50000
MAC
Toledo +115
Ohio +250
Buffalo +600
Kent State +700
Akron +750
Miami Ohio +2500
Ball State +4000
Central Michigan +15000
Patriot
Colgate -275
Navy +315
Boston University +600
Lehigh +2500
Southern
Furman +110
Chattanooga +150
Wofford +400
Samford +1200
Sun Belt
Georgia State +175
Appalachian State +200
Louisiana +300
Troy +375
Summit
South Dakota State -275
North Dakota State +500
Oral Roberts +550
Kansas City +1400
South Dakota +1800
Western Illinois +2800
MEAC
Norfolk State -165
Howard +350
Coppin State +1000
Morgan State +1000
North Carolina Central +1000
Maryland-Eastern Shore +2000
South Carolina State +2500
Delaware State +30000
Horizon
Cleveland State +205
Wright State +220
Northern Kentucky +275
Purdue Fort Wayne +300
Mr. March, Joe Duffy is the source for conference tournament winners at OffshoreInsiders.com
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