According to data provided by SportsBetting the Detroit Tigers pulled off the biggest baseball upset in the last two decades Wednesday night. 

The Houston Astros, who are the current World Series favorites, lost to the Tigers in what was the largest upset dating back to 1999. 

Detroit was as high as a +440 underdog at SportsBetting on Wednesday, while the Astros were a -525 favorite, meaning a bettor would have to wager 525 dollars just to win 100.  

Less than two weeks ago, the Astros lost to Baltimore as -480 favorites on the road, which, at that time, was the biggest upset since 2007. 

The Tigers pulled off the historic win with just two hits, both home runs, versus Justin Verlander in a 2-1 victory. 

World Series odds

Joe Duffy’s Picks is 24-9 in MLB lately. Big Thursday NFL card up and MLB coming at OffshoreInsiders.com

Week 3 preseason NFL odds are up. OffshoreInsiders.com  is already working on the winners, but bet these and vetted sportsbooks such as Bovada. This is the so-called dress rehearsal week.

Jay Gruden has seemingly been on the hot seat for years, and this season the oddsmakers placed him at the top of the list to be first removed from his NFL head coach position. 

SportsBetting set odds for the first head coach to be dismissed via firing, retirement or resignation. Gruden is the favorite while Pat Shurmur comes in a close second, according to the odds.

Going into last season, Dirk Koetter and Hue Jackson were the favorites to be fired first. In 2017, it was Todd Bowles and Chuck Pagano.  

The sportsbook also has odds for the Coach of the Year and Comeback Player of the Year.

First head coach to lose his job during regular season (fired, resigned, retired)

Jay Gruden  3/1
Pat Shurmur  5/1
Doug Marrone  10/1
Bill O’Brien  12/1
Dan Quinn  12/1
Jason Garrett  15/1
Ron Rivera  15/1
Matt Patricia  20/1
Sean McDermott  20/1
Brian Flores  25/1
Adam Gase  25/1
Freddie Kitchens  25/1
Kliff Kingsbury  25/1
Matt LaFleur  25/1
Mike Vrabel  25/1
Mike Tomlin  33/1
Mike Zimmer  33/1
Anthony Lynn  33/1
Kyle Shanahan  33/1
Vic Fangio  40/1
Pete Carroll  50/1
John Harbaugh  50/1
Bruce Arians  60/1
Jon Gruden  60/1
Zac Taylor  60/1
Frank Reich  80/1
Matt Nagy  80/1
Sean Payton  80/1
Andy Reid  150/1
Doug Pederson  150/1
Sean McVay  150/1
Bill Belichick  200/1
No Coach Fired  10/1

Coach of The Year

Kyle Shanahan  10/1
Freddie Kitchens  11/1
Bill Belichick  12/1
Sean McVay  12/1
Andy Reid  14/1
Frank Reich  14/1
Sean Payton  14/1
Doug Pederson  16/1
Anthony Lynn  20/1
Bruce Arians  20/1
Dan Quinn  20/1
Matt LaFleur  20/1
Matt Nagy  20/1
Vic Fangio  20/1
Pete Carroll  22/1
Doug Marrone  25/1
Bill O’Brien  28/1
Adam Gase  28/1
Jason Garrett  28/1
John Harbaugh  28/1
Mike Tomlin  28/1
Mike Zimmer  28/1
Kliff Kingsbury  33/1
Mike Vrabel  33/1
Ron Rivera  33/1
Sean McDermott  33/1
Jon Gruden  40/1
Brian Flores  50/1
Jay Gruden  50/1
Matt Patricia  50/1
Pat Shurmur  50/1
Zac Taylor  50/1

Comeback Player of the Year

Jimmy Garoppolo  3/1
Le’Veon Bell  9/2
Devonta Freeman  9/1
Derrius Guice  12/1
Carson Wentz  12/1
Cam Newton  14/1
Earl Thomas  16/1
Jason Witten  16/1
David Johnson  16/1
Cooper Kupp  18/1
AJ Green  18/1
Greg Olsen  22/1
Everson Griffen  22/1
Hunter Henry  25/1
Jerick McKinnon  25/1
Marcus Mariota  25/1
Leonard Fournette  25/1
Antonio Brown  25/1
Josh Rosen  30/1
Travis Frederick  30/1
Keanu Neal  33/1
Joe Flacco  33/1
Eli Manning  33/1
Deion Jones  33/1
Derek Carr  33/1
Delanie Walker  50/1
Jake Butt  50/1
Marqise Lee  50/1
Tyler Eifert  50/1
Carl Lawson  50/1

OffshoreInsiders.com has best winning info for today and every day.

According to one sportsbook, Antonio Brown will not retire, Colin Kaepernick will not sign with a team and Daniel Jones will not start for the Giants.

On Monday, the site SportsBetting set odds for a few trending NFL topics, including Brown’s helmet standoff and cryrotherapy injury, the trio of quarterback competitions and Kaepernick’s chances to return to the league. (note: college QB battle odds will be updated later this week)

The oddsmakers are calling AB’s bluff, making his odds to retire 5-1 and his odds to not play in the season opener 3-1. They don’t expect the NFL to have any sympathy regarding his helmet either, setting the odds of him keeping his original headgear at 3-1. 

Current odds: 

Will Antonio Brown play in Week 1? 

Yes  -500

No +300

Will Antonio Brown where his old helmet in Week 1? 

Yes +300

No -500

Will Antonio Brown retire before Week 1? 

Yes +500

No -1000

Will Antonio Brown post a picture of his feet on social media before Week 1?

Yes +150

No -200

Odds for the three NFL quarterback battles were posted almost two weeks ago, and they haven’t changed much. Bettors initially backed Manning in the Giants’ competition, driving the odds from 1-10 (-1000) to -1500, but after Daniel Jones’ strong preseason performance, bettors took the rookie. Additional prop bets betwen the two QBs are below.

Case Keenum is still the favorite in the Redskins race while Dwayne Haskins is behind Keenum and Colt McCoy. 

Ryan Fitzpatrick has moved from a -250 favorite to start over Josh Rosen to -300.

Who will start for the Dolphins in Week 1?
Ryan Fitzpatrick -300  
Josh Rosen +200 

Who will start for the Redskins in Week 1?
Case Keenum +100

Colt McCoy +200

Dwayne Haskins +250

Who will start for the Giants in Week 1?
Eli Manning  -1200
Daniel Jones  +600

Who will start more games?
Eli Manning -150
Daniel Jones +110

Who will have the most passing yards?
Daniel Jones -140
Eli Manning +100

Who will have the most passing touchdowns?
Daniel Jones -120
Eli Manning -120

Who will have the most interceptions?
Daniel Jones -200
Eli Manning +150

Finally, despite his potential attempt for a comeback, SportsBetting doesn’t foresee a scenario where Kaepernick comes back to the league, setting the odds of him doing so at 2-1. 

Will Colin Kaepernick sign with an NFL team during 2019 season?

Yes +200

No -300

It’s time for Friday news and notes, both on NFL preseason betting and some baseball games. OffshoreInsiders.com shares some of this clipboard for today.

NFL

Vikings-Saints

• Vikings TE Kyle Rudolph is out that caused him to miss 3 practices this week
  • 64 catches last season
• Vikes OT, second-round pick Brian O’Neill is out

Buccaneers-Steelers

• Steelers QB Ben Roethlisberger is out. Joshua Dobbs gets the followed by Mason Rudolph
  • 4^th string QB Devlin Hodges may not play, but could mop up
• Tampa’s DT Vita Vea and star LB Lavonte David out likely out

Join the biggest and best NFL Super Contest with $150,000 in prizes! The Hilton-inspired contest is simply the biggest and most prestigious in gambling.  Football only and all-sports specials up for Joe Duffy’s Picks through Super Bowl

MLB

Atlanta-Miami

Julio Teheran last 7 starts 2.32 era

• 4.28 road era, much worse than home
• But whip and obp compatible

Celeb smith 2 ER or less in 4-of-5 starts

• Much better at home 2.66 era, .255 obp
  • Compare to road 3.95 and .278
• Much better at night: 2.50 era, .234 obp
  • Day 5.40 and .338

Team trends:

• Braves 155-144 road since 2016 +57.91 +18.1
• Marlins 12-25 -10.37 -27.7

Philadelphia-San Francisco 

Drew Smyly 7.01 era, 3.63 obp

• Since coming to Phillies 3.00 era and .242 obp in two starts
• Phillies 2-1 with him

Tyler beede 5.38 era, .359 obp

• Last 3 starts: 8.16 and .446
• Road numbers 6.23, .375, 1.72

Team:

• Phillies under 6-2 road
• Giants under 16-7

Washington-NY Mets

Stephen Strasburg 3.73, .278 obp

• Washington 15-8 with him
• Though slightly worse on road and at night, pretty consistent

Marcus Stroman

• Team just 8-13 in his starts, though all but one with Toronto
• 2.60 road, 1.19 whip

Team

• Nats under 182-137-17 road since 2015
• Mets 19-5 run +14 units and 36.6 roi
  • Runline is +15.1 units 51.1 roi
• Mets 27-11 at home

Cleveland-Minnesota 

Shane Bieber sensational 11-4, 3.31 era, .98 whip

• Last three: 1.41 era .202 obp, .68 whip
• Even better on road 2.79 era, .211, .76 whip
• However, night is 3.86, .288, 1.15
  • Compare to day 2.57, .215, .76

Devin Smeltzer: 2.28 era, .243 obp

• Home: .84 era, .221, .80
• 4 of 5 starts at home

Here is the preliminary version of the preseason primer for sharp bettors from OffshoreInsiders.com It will be updated here on JoeDuffy.net.

Thursday, August 8, 2019

Titans-Eagles

• Eagles oft-injured starting QB Carson Wentz is doubtful as precaution

Cowboys-49ers

• Cowboys franchise RB Zeke Elliot is out with contract dispute
• Niners big offseason acquisition RB Jerik McKinnon is out

Broncos-Seahawks

• Broncos have a game under their belt
• Broncos TE Jeff Jeuerman is questionable
  • 31 receptions last year in just 11 games

Falcons-Dolphins

• Falcons with game under their belt

Texans-Packers

• Packers LB Preston Smith is questionable with nagging injury
  • 24 sacks in 64 games
  • Prized free agent in offseason

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Friday, August 11

Vikings-Saints

• Vikings TE Kyle Rudolph is very questionable with nagging injuries that caused him to miss 3 practices this week
  • 64 catches last season

Sunday, August 10

Rams-Raiders

• Rams are thinned at LB as Justin Lawler is out

Big night portfolio from Joe Duffy’s Picks. Night Wise Guy among two night winners Get the picks now

Houston-Cleveland

• Jose Urquidy (Or-Keady) for Houston just 19 IP in four starts
  • Team is 3-1
  • OBP against .288
  • 2.79 road ERA, yet .310 OBA and 1.34 WHIP
• Zach Plesac for Cleveland nice 3.10 ERA and .288 OBP against
  • 1.12 ERA last three starts and .258 OPB, .94 WHIP
  • Slightly worse on road, but not substantially
  • Much better at night with 1.23 ERA, .95 WHIP
    • Day 4.83, 1.23

Team trends:

• Houston 95-43 favorites since last August 21 +21.14 units
  • 19-7 overall +9 units
• Cleveland 33-14 overall +13.14 units, 16.9 ROI
  • 27-20 runline with 14.8 percent ROI
• Indians under 47-34-5 home since July 14 of 2018

Minnesota-Miami

• Jose Berrios (Ba-rEE-os) for Minnesota 9-5 2.94 ERA
  • Weird numbers
  • 2.55 last three, though .329 OBP and 1.36 WHIP
  • 3.62 road ERA compared to 2.10 at home but .285 road OBP better than home
  • WHIP nearly identical home/road
  • ERA and WHIP both nearly identical day and night
• Sandy Alcantara 4-9, 4.18 ERA and horrible .342 OBP
  • 6.35 last three starts, .375 OBP, 1.71 WHIP
  • Is better at home in ERA, WHIP, and OBP but not by a lot

Team trends

• Twins under 11-4-1 road
• Marlins have under 51-35-5 dog

Mets-White Sox

• deGrom 2.86 ERA, 1.09 WHIP yet Mets 7-14 in his starts, 4-13 in night starts
  • Last 3 .47 ERA, .270 OBP against, 1.05 WHIP
  • No unearned runs
  • Better road with 2.51 ERA, though OBP and WHIP about same
• Lucas Giolito, Sox 13-7 in his starts but 3.52 ERA, 1.12 WHIP, .284 OBP
  • Twice in last four starts gave up at least six runs
  • Home ERA is 4.47 with WHIP and OBP slightly worse at home

Team trends

• Mets 19-7 favorities with a 21 percent ROI
• White Sox under 37-24 underdogs
• 5-16 overall -9.14 units and -42 ROI