The Miami Dolphins are a team encumbered in averageness. However, with a season win total of 4.5 to 5 with varying juice, a mediocre season is all they need to put the season total over at Bovada.  

A Pac-12 QB, drafted high, thrown to the wolves, and was baptized by fire in his rookie season. But enough about Jared Goff. The Miami Dolphins have made one of the significant overlooked QB upgrades in recent time. Good riddance to overrated stiff Ryan Tannehill and give a warm welcome to Josh Rosen, the breakout QB of 2019.

Conflicting rooting concerns are a nonstarter for me, so I abandoned fantasy sports decades ago. However, Rosen would be elevated on any intelligent projection of later round heists. The Arizona Cardinals castoff has a decent group of wideouts to heave to led by speedy Kenny Stills, a robust deep threat, plus Devante Parker. Yes, the latter is an underachiever. But with the foreseen enhancement at QB, this could be the season his production finally matches his ability. Albert Wilson is a solid talent bouncing back from injury.

I concur with the mania of electing coaches with offensive-oriented minds as the head man. But, my unapparelled achievements as a handicapper is in no small part to the fact I zig while everyone is zagging. Thus, I believe the counterintuitive procedure of hiring defensive coach Brian Flores to man the sidelines could shell out massive dividends.

Either way, the fact that former head coach’s Adam Gase’s falsely perceived genius was because Jay Cutler was less pitiful under his tutelage makes me to have faith change for the sake of change will at least bear fruit short-term. With offensive coordinator Chad O’Shea also coming from New England, the offense will get an abundance of emphasis, the hiring a DC as HC notwithstanding.

But how about that defense? Miami is reliable in the secondary with CB Xavien Howard, S Minkhah Fitzpatrick, and S TJ McDonald, who has 75 NFL starts on his resume. Christian Wilkens, a first-rounder DT, will have an immediate impact. Yes, there are holes on defense, especially with the departures of Cameron Wake and Robert Quinn. But with season-win totals ranging from 4.5-5 depending on the juice, they don’t have to be Monsters of the Midway to exceed the season wins total.

Season outlook: With the massive upgrade at QB sneaking under the radar and the short-term boost a new coach gives to a team playing below their potential, look for a .500 season or better.

The author, Joe Duffy is CEO of OffshoreInsiders.com and widely accepted as the top NFL handicapper in history.