Yesterday, we were two letters off. We stated that ESPN’s Chad Millman has renamed to long-standing sports handicapping tool of Margin of Cover as the “sweat meter.” He in fact refers to it as the “sweat barometer.”  By any name, the “Margin of Cover” (+/- how much they did or did not cover by) continues to be a betting weapon.

Now that sports betting experts know the top MOC teams in NCAAB to bet on or against, how about analyzing which teams in college basketball are best and worst off straight up wins and losses?

Cal Poly has been the top “predictably unpredictable” squad as they are 1-7 against the spread off a straight up win, but 8-1 to the number off a straight up loss.

Here are the best teams off an outright win:

Team Against the spread record

Hawaii                                    8-1

George Mason            13-3

Texas                          12-3

Cleveland State         11-3

However, the following teams can’t stand prosperity. These are the best teams to bet against off a straight up win:

Team Against the spread record

Miss State                   1-8

Ohio                            1-7

Miami Ohio                1-7

Southern Illinois        1-7

Cal Poly                      1-7

Michigan State           2-9

Who are the best bounce back teams? Only two teams have been particular impressive against the sportsbook odds off a straight up setback:

Team Against the spread record

Cal Poly                      8-1

San Francisco             7-1

Conversely, losing is quite contagious for these spread disasters. Here are the worst teams to bet on—or the best teams to bet against off a straight up loss.

Team Against the spread record

Fordham                    1-8

Texas Tech                 1-7

Florida Intl.                1-7

Arkansas State           1-7

San Diego                   3-13

For more information: Get today’s top sports picks and the video preview of Super Bowl 2011 on the OffshoreInsiders.com Network.

OffshoreInsiders.com Senior Sports Handicapper Matt Rivers has a pick Thursday on the Miami Hurricanes (-5.5) to Georgia Tech.

Reasoning: The very young Yellow Jackets have been half a disgrace at times this season and especially away from Hotlanta. Miami is not much better than mediocre but they do have quality guard play and being in South Beach should be too much for G Tech. In fact just being anywhere outside of their home element should be too much for G Tech.

Paul Hewitt has not coached his team up very well and right now the Jackets are a lower echelon ACC squad that has been awful. They have shown some glimpses at the Thrillerdome as Iman Shumpert, Daniel Miller, Glen Rice and a few others have manned up to beat North Carolina and play better at times against others but the road has been a different story and until they show anything really should lose by double digits against any opponent that has anything at all.

Tech is a perfect or imperfect 0-6 on the road and none of the games have even been that competitive. They lost to a dreadful team in Kennesaw State earlier in the season and were also downed by five by a regressing Siena program. The Saints are far from being the class of the MAAC anymore and all in all Tech has been brutally bad away and just cannot in any way, shape of form be trusted in such a spot.

Miami is 12-9 and if a few extremely tight games went their way it would be more like 15-6. This team has played a plethora of games that have come down to the last possession and they have been snakebitten with the results. But they have quality guard play led by Malcolm Grant and today is the game that they should get well with.

There is the potential for a blowout but in the end blowout or not I don’t see these visitors being able to compete. They haven’t yet so why tonight?

Top expert pick on this game: Miami Florida

For more information: Get today’s best sports picks, betting tips videos and more on the OffshoreInsiders.com Network.

Much like March Madness, the Super Bowl is always the time of the year where a large percentage of American’s wager in one way or another. Whether it’s the pedestrian “squares” pool that omnipresent at seemingly every Super Bowl party, the prop bets exploited by fantasy football players, or most importantly the point spread picks and the over/under selections on the Packers vs. Steelers game itself, significant money will change hands this weekend.

Not uncommon, the public is betting the favorite and the over thus far. Green Bay is up to a (-2.5 -120) favorite and the total is now as high as 45 at some sportsbooks.

Some of the best proposition bets:

Jordy Nelson (Green Bay) pass receptions: over 3 -148

Pittsburgh has the best run defense in the NFL. With top RB Ryan Grant and TE Jermichael Finley long gone, possession receiver Nelson is the Pack’s best ball control alternative. He is likely to be a big hot read option. The pick should be in by halftime.

James Starks (Green Bay) rushing yards: under 45.5 +129

The Steelers allow 3.0 yards per rush to teams normally getting 4.1. Only twice in his entire career has Starks rushed for more than 3.5 yards per carry. Now in the biggest game of his life, the rookie faces the best run defense in the NFL. He will be lucky to get 20 yards rushing.

Ben Roethlisberger (Pittsburgh) passing attempts: over 30.5 -135

It is considered to be a “fast track” at Cowboys Stadium. The AFC Championship ended 14 straight games in which Pittsburgh passed at least 27 times. Pittsburgh barely escaped a historic meltdown against the Jets by getting Marty Schottenheimer conservative. They finally put the game away with a couple of completions.

We don’t see the Steelers getting too conservative with the lead. But if the oddsmakers are correct, the Men of Steele will probably be behind in the fourth quarter, making it more likely they will throw often.

There are already some wacky wagers up such as what will be higher Aaron Rodgers completions or Dwayne Wade points. Bettors can bet the higher number: Aaron Rodgers completion percentage or Dwight Howard free throw percentage.

How about Andrew Quarless receiving yards or Jared Sullinger (Ohio State) points or Ben Roethlisberger completions vs. Paul Pierce points?

There will certainly be odds on the length of the national anthem, not to mention Super Bowl commercial props. “Personally, I never worry about prop bets, it’s all about who covers,” opines sports handicapper Stevie Vincent.

For more information: Get all the NFL handicapping information, betting picks and more on the OffshoreInsiders.com Network.

Billy Walters, Las Vegas gambler, will be featured on 60 Minutes. Before there was a Steve Fezzik, Grandmaster Sports Handicapper Joe Duffy, Alan Boston, Right Angle Sports, The Canadian Crew, Dr. Bob Stohl, there was the Computer Boys.

Why did the elusive Walters finally agree to appear?

Walters said he wanted to get some things off his chest about Las Vegas and gambling, to let the rest of the country know that legal gambling is far more honest than the massive fraud that is so common on Wall Street he accurately tells 8 News Now.

What influence has he had on today’s gamblers? Joe Duffy, widely agreed as the top professional sports handicapper today, says that Walters domination had him utilizing computer software for his entire quarter-century plus in handicapping.

“It started with Pointspread Analyzer software, written by a college professor Dr. Mike Orkin,” says Duffy. “Today I utilize all the good ones. FoxSheets and Sportsdatabase for systems, and TeamRankings and Accuscore top the list for predictions software, while the MasseyRatings are the most accurate power ratings.”

Stevie Vincent, the founder of forensic sports handicapping says he will be watching. “You are never too old to learn from the veterans.”

Only the name and the affiliation changed. Previously ScoresOddsPicks, The Canadian Crew is a squad of Ontario based wunderkinds who built up a large devout following among bettors in the Greater Toronto Area (GTA). With several online sportsbooks in the region, they were recruited to make picks with write-ups for search engine optimization.

There was a major problem: the picks won. And won.

Then they won some more.

Clients were drawn to the sportsbooks, but betting those picks. The online books gained clients and lost money. A ton of money. The bookmakers learned to be careful what they asked for.

Once they were told to stop winning or else, they were hired by ScoresOddsPicks.com as consultants and continued winning picks via the MasterLockLine as part of a special arrangement.

Upon becoming the winningest source in the history of the LockLine/SuperLockLine/MasterLockLine, their role was expanded again as a separate entity.

As of January 4, 2010, they are hired by OffshoreInsiders.com as their exclusive home to winning picks under the brand of, “The Canadian Crew.” Yes the same unprecedented picks winning percentage as ScoresOddsPicks, just a new, and more appropriate name. Now winning at outlandish rates is good and the only option.

It’s Virginia Tech vs. Stanford in the Orange Bowl. Here is the sports handicappers preview. Virginia Tech comes in with an 11-2 straight up record, 10-3 against the spread. Stanford is 11-1 straight up and 7-5 to the number.

The Las Vegas scores and odds on this game has the Hokies (-3.5) with a total of 58.5 to 59.

VA Tech gets 5.1 yards per rush to squads usually permitting 4.3, an incredible 8.5 yards per pass to 6.9, and 6.3 yards per play to 5.4. On the other side of the ball, Tech allows 4.5 yards per rush to teams normally getting 4.2 and a mere 6.4 yards per pass to 7.3. Overall, they are permitting 5.4 yards per play to teams that usually get 5.6.

Stanford gets 5.0 yards per rush to defenses that allow an average of 4.4, a fantastic 8.6 passing yards per attempt to 7.3, and 6.5 yards per play to 5.7.

The numbers are decent, but not overly impressive on the defensive side of the ball. The Cardinal permit 4.1 yards per rush to squads that normally accumulate 4.2, 6.1 yards per pass to 6.7, and 5.2 yards per play to 5.4.

Spread betting trends (all records are against the spread): Virginia Tech is 14-5 as underdogs and 20-8 their last 28 overall, 46-20 off a straight up win.

Stanford is 16-5 after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.

Over/under trends: Stanford over 7-1 after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.

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One of the best live football scores for bettors to exploit this week in football is the conflict between the Raiders vs. Chiefs.

The most excellent football betting service skilled practitioners bring into play distinct key handicapping numbers than the losing bettor. Here is an analysis of that game from a wagering perspective.

To contrast yards per rush on offense, the pre-eminence from a arithmetical angle goes to the Oakland Raiders by .1.

Passing yards per completion is another yardstick consumed by sports investors. The lead is owned by Oakland by .5.

Perhaps the most made use of number by certified gamblers is yards per point. From the offensive examination the better integers are is in the column of the Raiders as well by a significant 1.1.

Insofar as the key records on the defensive side of the ball. The yards per rush guide says the healthier run defense is Kansas City by .3.

The better-quality passing yards per completion data on defense give the upper hand to the Kansas City Chiefs by 1.3.

In terms of yards per point, the transcendent defense is Kansas City forcing 3.0.

Yards per point is determined by diving total yards by number of points. Offensively a lower number is considered more efficient. On defense, a higher number is better.

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Spread betting trends (all records are against the spread): Oakland is 6-0 to AFC West, 10-2 off spread loss. The underdog has covered seven straight in the series.

Kansas City is 4-10 to favorite, 1-5 to AFC.

Over/under trends: Oakland under 18-8 after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game. KC is under 20-8 after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game. The series has gone under 9-2.

Eagles vs. Cowboys NFL points spread preview:

The nation’s best sports handicappers make the most of these key performance indicators in predicting the against the spread picks with the performance gap breakdowns.

The betting odds on this contest are Philadelphia -3 +110 or -2.5 -117 with a total of 43.

Contrasting the yards per rush figures on offense, the facts give the edge to Philadelphia by 1.4.

Insofar as passing yards per completion on offense, the computations favor Philadelphia by .8.

So many professional bettors make the most of yards per point. Offensively the more productive numbers are owned by Philadelphia by .5.

Of the many sports handicapping picks out there, the premier sports service advice on this contest is: Never should one ever, ever, ever doubt the greatness of The Great One Stevie Vincent. His Bowl Game of the Century in Mississippi State was never in doubt. Blue Ribbon plays are 74 percent lifetime. Another goes Sunday in pro football, plus a Perfect Play, which means a stat that is 100 percent with at least 12 games.

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Defensively the more tightfisted unit against the run according to yards per rush is Philadelphia by .2.

Yards per reception digits favor the Philadelphia Eagles by .1.

Calculations on the yards per point math gives the upper hand to Philadelphia by 1.0.

Now to net turnover margin, the better squad has been Philadelphia by 15.

Yards per point is determined by diving total yards by number of points. Offensively a lower number is considered more efficient. On defense, a higher number is better.

Spread betting trends (all records are against the spread): Dallas 4-0 to teams with a winning record, but 1-5 on grass.

Philadelphia is 7-2 as a favorite of 0.5-3.0. Dallas is 4-0 in the series.

Over/under trends: Dallas has gone over 10-1 to NFC and over 14-3 overall. Philadelphia has gone over 9-2 overall.

The Vikings vs. Lions clash in week 17 betting picks NFL.

Here is dissection of the key metrics used by sports betting experts in football handicapping.

The team that is better running the ball according to rushing yards per attempt is Minnesota by .5.

Passing yards per completion says the more productive passing squad is the Minnesota Vikings by .4.

Betting specialists employ yards per point, a number that on the offensive side of the ball favors Detroit by 3.2.

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Now it’s time to focus on the numbers that the betting counselors cherish from a defensive standpoint. Yards per rush says the tougher defense is Minnesota by .7.

In juxtaposing yards per reception statistics, the margin on defense puts the positive checkmark in the column of the Minnesota Vikings by .6.

The often overlooked yards per point defensive advantage is possessed by Detroit forcing .6 more.

The net turnover ratio edge belongs to Detroit by a sensational 17 margin.

Yards per point is determined by diving total yards by number of points. Offensively a lower number is considered more efficient. On defense, a higher number is better.

Spread betting trends (all records are against the spread): Minnesota is 3-8 their last 11 road, 4-15 as a road underdog of 0.5-3.0, 1-8 as underdog. The Vikes are 7-2 in the series.

Detroit 5-0 off straight up win, 7-1 off spread win, but 1-7 versus an opponent with a losing record.

Over/under trends: Minnesota over 6-1 as a road underdog of 0.5-3.0, but under 24-9 after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.

Detroit over 8-1 at home, over 7-1 after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game, over 17-5 after allowing more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.

It’s the Chargers vs. Broncos in week 17 NFL betting. San Diego is laying 3.5 -105 or 3-125 with a total of 47 to 47.5.

We contrast the key success indicators used by pro bettors against both the college football schedule and in successful wagering on the NFL.

The superior team in terms of rushing yards per attempt on offense is San Diego by .1 yards per rush.

Also on offense, when it comes to yards per reception the figures give the eminence to the San Diego Chargers by .4.

Vegas sharps exploit yards per point. Data says the more adroit team in that classification is San Diego by 2.2.

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Defensively on yards per rush, the disparity favors the San Diego Chargers by 1.0.

The better team at stopping the air attack according to passing yards per completion is San Diego by a significant 2.9.

Yards per point dictates the shrewder defense belongs to San Diego by .3.

In net turnovers, the preeminence is barely to the Chargers by one.

Yards per point is determined by diving total yards by number of points. Offensively a lower number is considered more efficient. On defense, a higher number is better.

Spread betting trends (all records are against the spread): San Diego is 8-2 off spread loss, 23-11 off straight up loss, but 1-6 as road favorites. They are 7-1 in the series.

Denver is 8-20 to AFC West, 0-6 off spread win.

Over/under trends: Denver has gone over 8-1 after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game, over 8-2 after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.