Free bowl winners from Joe Duffy, CEO of OffshoreInsiders.com. 

USC vs Iowa

• USC only traveling 112 miles to San Diego, Iowa 1532
• Go against bowl teams with much better turnover rate is 63-46-3 (USC) but 4-8-1 last 3 years
• Countless angles that say to go with colder spread team as USC covered two straight but Iowa lost two straight (Iowa)
• USC with only four senior starters makes sense they peaked late
• USC and coach Clay Helton overcome a ton of injuries but Kedon Slovis is probable at QB
  • 3,242 passing yards with 28 touchdown passes

The pick: USC +2

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Notre Dame vs Iowa State

• Countless angles that say to go with colder spread team as ND covered four straight while Iowa State lost three straight ats (Iowa State)
• Irish 949 miles, Iowa State 1158
• QB Ian Bock and WRs Chase Claypool and two-headed TDs, Irish with weapons
• Irish more likely to treat like consolation game 
• Irish expected to run more with evolving RB Jafar Armstrong 
• Brock Purdy is one of the top ISU QBs ever with 18 school records 

The pick: Iowa State +3.5

Oklahoma vs LSU

• Oklahoma travels 750 miles to Atlanta, LSU 457
• Big favorites in expected high scoring games are 87-47-2 (LSU)
• Fading teams off of great defensive games is 135-95-5 (Oklahoma)
• Faves of 9 or more in playoffs are 3-1
• Burrow throwing to Ja’Marr Chase and Justin Jefferson and handing off to Clyde Edwards-Helaire (E-laire) is unstoppable but Helaire is questionable 
• Oklahoma starting DB Ronnie Perkins and RB Rhamondre Stevenson suspended
  • Stevenson 515 rushing yards, 6 TDs, averaging 8 yards per carry 
  • Perkins leads team in sacks with six and second on tackles for loss with 13.5

The pick: LSU -13

Top expert pick on today’s card is from Joe Duffy. Football for the final week of 2019! Thursday, Wise Guy side and total plus Major. Friday, five Wise Guys including Minor Bowl Total of Year plus Major as we already hit Pre-Christmas Bowl Total of Year on Boise State-Washington UNDER. Saturday, Wise Guy totals on both CFB semi-final games, plus Major play side on Ohio State-Clemson, plus Notre Dame-Iowa State total.  Get the picks now

Joe Duffy is on fire. I am 70-40 with all football picks including Wise Guy Buffalo UNDER to start out the bowls! Night Major in college football and three NBA winners for Friday. The biggest betting myths are disproportionately bowl related. That’s why you have lost on your own for years, while my clients win. Don’t be on the outside looking in! Get the picks now

CBB

Biggest public consensus in term of percentage of bets: UC Irvine

Most lopsided bets in term of percentage of money and biggest sportsbook liabilities: South Dakota, IUPUI

Sharp versus square metrics AKA pros versus Joes: Norfolk State, IUPUI

Biggest line moves with opening odds followed by current odds: Marquette opened -15 down to -12.5

NBA

Biggest public consensus in term of percentage of bets: Memphis, Boston, New Orleans 

Most lopsided bets in term of percentage of money and biggest sportsbook liabilities: Memphis, Portland, Indiana, New Orleans

Sharp versus square metrics AKA pros versus Joes: Indiana 

Biggest line moves with opening odds followed by current odds: Boston opened -7 up to -9

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Critical injuries: 

Karl-Anthony Towns MIN at DEN     Doubtful

Fred VanVleet TOR vs WAS    Questionable

Devin Booker PHX at OKC     Questionable

Gordon Hayward BOS vs DET      Out

Julius Randle NY at MIA        Probable

Jeremy Lamb IND vs SAC      Out

Blake Griffin DET at BOS      Out

Bogdan Bogdanovic SAC at IND       Questionable

Luke Kennard DET at BOS      Out

Goran Dragic MIA vs NY        Questionable

Saturday, what a windfall for Joe Duffy! Pre-Christmas Game and Total of the Year both go among six bowl winners. Three NFL Saturday led by two Wise Guys. Sunday, a stunning five Wise Guys and five Majors as another added Wednesday night. Monday, another bowl Major. As long as you have a package that includes Monday you can access all week’s picks.  Get the picks now

Free pick:

NBA

MINNESOTA +10 Denver

Angle that says to bet on struggling away dog under specific circumstances that apply today is 74-48. 

Joe Duffy has night Major in college football and three NBA winners for Friday. The biggest betting myths are disproportionately bowl related. That’s why you have lost on your own for years, while my clients win. Don’t be on the outside looking in! Get the picks now

FIU-Arkansas State in Camelia Bowl

• FIU travels 586 miles to Montgomery 
• Arkansas State just 348
• FIU balanced with James Morgan has led the Panthers’ offense with 2,248 passing yards and 13 touchdown passes and RB Anthony Jones 802 rushing yards and 9 TDs
• FIU lost 3-of-5 to end season, while ASU won 4-of-5 to end season
• Last 5 Camelia Bowls decided by five or less
• Butch Davis 6-2 SU bowls including 2-2 FIU
• ASU 1-4 SU in bowls
• ASU could be extra motivated for coach Blake Anderson, who left the team for three weeks after death of his wife and turned down overtures from Missouri 
• When high-powered team plays ball-control team, starts out slowing before warming up

UNDER 13.5 first quarter

Washington-Boise State Las Vegas Bowl

• Bowl teams with at least two fewer wins yet laying -3 or more are 37-27 for 57.8, 34-21 since 1992 (Washington)
• Boise State only loss by 3 to BYU
  • Washington crushed BYU on road 45-19
• Washington should be fired up for Chris Peterson’s final game
• But Washington been to majors bowls previous three seasons
• Boise could have chip on their shoulder passed over by Memphis as top non-Power 5 team
• Boise beat six bowl-bound teams
• Yes Washington terrible on third down, but time off benefits them 

The pick: Washington -3.5

College Basketball

SMU at Georgia (-4.5, 148)

• KenPom has it 5 and 145
• UGA frosh Anthony Edwards 19.8 points per game, 5.2 boards, 2.2 steals 
• SMU Isiah Mike 48.6 percent of the 37 3-pointers he’s attempted and has made 9 of 18 over the last five games. He’s also converted 90.3 percent of his foul shots this season
• Georgia has won its last five home games, scoring an average of 92.6 points while giving up 72.2.

The pick: Georgia -4.5

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Joe Duffy with a big day and some free picks. JDP with four winning NBA including a Wise Guy side. Still like those coin flips on three and four-letter network websites from aspiring writers who know nada about handicapping? Welcome back to winners from a 31-year professional. It’s all I’ve done my adult life. Your degenerate handicapper wins.  Get the picks now

Jazz at Hawks 

• Teams that have lost at least 16-of-18 SU and getting 6 or more points decent 411-363-17 (Atlanta) 
• Teams that lost 16-of-18 versus an opponent won at least three straight are 100-75-4 (Atlanta)
• John Collins serving suspension for Hawks
  • 17 points per game, 8.8 rebounds per game
• Jazz G Mike Conley it out after re-injuring hamstring 
  • 13.6 points per game, 3.3 rebounds, 4.6 assists 

The pick: It’s a Wise Guy at OffshoreInsiders.com    

Lakers at Bucks

• Anthony Davis missed Tuesday, but should play tonight
  • 27.4 points per game, 9.3 rebounds per game
• Two teams with winning percentages .850 or over goes UNDER 74-59
• Kyle Kuzma out for Lake Show
  • 11.1 points per game, 3.4 rebounds 
• Thursday’s game between the Lakers and Bucks is the second-ever in a full NBA season to pit two teams with four or fewer losses on Dec. 19 or later.

No pick

Nets at Spurs

• Nets Nwaba is probable with sprained right ankle 
  • This month averaging 8.9 points per game, 2.6 rebounds in 16.6 minutes
• Jarrett Allen on fire for Nets. Over the last 17 games, Allen is averaging 14.5 points on 68.8 percent shooting, plus 11.7 rebounds per game. He’s risen to second in the NBA with a 65.5 percent field goal percentage
• Nets 11-5 record dating back to Nov. 15, the Nets are second in the NBA over that stretch in opponent field goal percentage (41.9) and opponent effective field goal percentage (48.5). They’re also ninth in defensive rating (105.1) over the same span
• LeBron admits 17 years in and 239 playoff games, not overly excited 

The pick: Brooklyn Nets +2.5

Rockets at Clippers

• Houston’s Eric Gordon remains out
  • 10.9 points per game, 1.9 rebounds 
• JaMychal Green is out for Clippers 
  • 7.4 points per game, 6.6 rebounds 
• Clippers much better home than on road, but no real edge
• Early money on dog, which is rare, but public does love quality dogs 

The pick: LA Clippers -5

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